Daily Papers

A common assumption holds that enough observational and interventional data, given to a strong enough predictor, suffices. We report a failure mode that contradicts it. Across hundreds of structural causal models, on identified quantities a strong predictor and a Bayesian baseline both succeed, but on unidentified quantities (the couplings between counterfactual worlds) the predictor collapses to a point, on 28% of models to one no valid model can produce, while the truth is an admissible interval more data never narrows. The gap is structural: prediction cannot represent uncertainty over counterfactual couplings. We cast a world model as a single positive semidefinite coupling kernel K(T,T') over admissible worlds, whose diagonal is the ordinary posterior (what a predictor recovers) and whose off-diagonal is the cross-world coupling it cannot, which every counterfactual reads. The paper is the theory of that off-diagonal. It is real: two states with identical posteriors differ on a cross-world query, and the off-diagonal is the coupling that fixes counterfactuals. It can be bounded: positive semidefiniteness is partial-identifying information the marginals lack, and enforcing it bounds counterfactuals in polynomial time where the exact response-type program is intractable. Logical structure sharpens it: ontology axioms tighten the bound by up to a third, propagating to couplings they never touch. It can be acquired: targeted scars, constraints learned from encountered infeasibilities, close the gap several times faster than untargeted ones. Its full reconstruction is approximate counting of the admissible worlds, tractable below the Sly-Sun threshold and inapproximable above; we do not claim to beat the worst case.

Building generalist embodied agents requires a unified system that can interpret multimodal goals, model environment dynamics, and execute reliable actions across diverse real-world tasks. Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) offer strong semantic priors and cross-modal generalization, while world models (WMs) provide actionable latent dynamics for prediction and control. Their combination holds promise for open-ended embodied intelligence, yet introduces two key challenges: (1) establishing a tight coupling between the semantic intent from MLLMs and the dynamic state representations within the WM's latent space, and (2) achieving task-aware adaptability that supports multi-task learning and cross-environment generalization. To address these limitations, we propose BiTAgent, a task-aware dynamic joint framework that enables bidirectional coupling between MLLMs and WMs. BiTAgent establishes two complementary pathways: a forward path that injects MLLM representations into the WM's latent space for semantically guided imagination, and a backward path where WM-generated feedback refines the MLLM's semantic space via dense text-conditioned rewards. This bidirectional interaction is realized through three synergistic components: Task-Aware Dynamic Joint Learning, Task-Aware Behavior Learning, and MLLM-WM Joint Optimization, which together harmonize semantic reasoning and dynamic prediction. Extensive experiments across multi-task and cross-environment settings demonstrate superior stability and generalization over state-of-the-art baselines, marking a step toward open-ended embodied learning.

Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models generalize semantically well but often lack fine-grained modeling of world dynamics. We present MotuBrain, a unified World Action Model that jointly models video and action under a UniDiffuser formulation with a three-stream Mixture-of-Transformers architecture. A single model supports policy learning, world modeling, video generation, inverse dynamics, and joint video-action prediction, while scaling to heterogeneous multimodal data such as video-only, task-agnostic, and cross-embodiment robot data. Building on Motus, MotuBrain further introduces unified multiview modeling, an independent text stream for stronger language-action coupling, a shared cross-embodiment action representation, and an efficient post-training and deployment recipe for long-horizon real-world control. Our inference stack combines step reduction, compilation, FP8 quantization, DiT caching, V2A-style action-only inference, and real-time chunked closed-loop execution, achieving over 50x speedup over a naive baseline and up to 11 Hz inference. Experimentally, MotuBrain achieves 95.8% and 96.1% average success on RoboTwin 2.0 under clean and randomized settings, respectively, attains the strongest reported EWMScore in our WorldArena comparison, and adapts to new humanoid embodiments with only 50--100 trajectories. These results show that unified world action models can scale in generality, predictive accuracy, and real-world deployability.

As audio-visual generative models evolve into world simulators, cross-modal synchronization stands as a critical proxy for assessing the consistency of world dynamics and causality in generated content. However, existing evaluation metrics presume structural correctness, reducing synchronization to mere temporal alignment. Consequently, they fail on generative outputs, especially when exhibiting structural hallucinations and asymmetric cross-modal relations, which currently mandate expert human annotation to assess synchronization. This dependency introduces a critical paradox: human evaluators rely on relative, reference-dependent comparisons, whereas automated metrics require reference-free, absolute scalars. We resolve this paradox by proposing a framework that distills relative human perception into a continuous, globally consistent metric. First, we introduce SynthSync, a dataset of generative failures ranked via pairwise human annotations. Second, we adapt the Omni-LLM equipped with a continuous latent projection to translate relative human rankings into continuous absolute values. Third, we propose Real-Valued Group Relative Policy Optimization (R-GRPO) to internalize the global causal structure of synchronization via listwise score distributions. Empirically, our metric achieves state-of-the-art human preference alignment. We leverage this estimator to establish a standardized benchmark, advancing AV-Gen assessment from low-level signal correlation to visually grounded causality.

Remote sensing world models aim to both explain observed changes and forecast plausible futures, two tasks that share spatiotemporal priors. Existing methods, however, typically address them separately, limiting cross-task transfer. We present RS-WorldModel, a unified world model for remote sensing that jointly handles spatiotemporal change understanding and text-guided future scene forecasting, and we build RSWBench-1.1M, a 1.1 million sample dataset with rich language annotations covering both tasks. RS-WorldModel is trained in three stages: (1) Geo-Aware Generative Pre-training (GAGP) conditions forecasting on geographic and acquisition metadata; (2) synergistic instruction tuning (SIT) jointly trains understanding and forecasting; (3) verifiable reinforcement optimization (VRO) refines outputs with verifiable, task-specific rewards. With only 2B parameters, RS-WorldModel surpasses open-source models up to 120 times larger on most spatiotemporal change question-answering metrics. It achieves an FID of 43.13 on text-guided future scene forecasting, outperforming all open-source baselines as well as the closed-source Gemini-2.5-Flash Image (Nano Banana).