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Running
Running
| model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s,median_inference_time_s,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures | |
| TimesFM-2.5,79.0769230769231,33.818136330484805,0.0,117.557863139,0.08,0.0 | |
| TiRex,78.8076923076923,33.56017122067458,0.0,1.4030189444999999,0.01,0.0 | |
| Toto-1.0,70.30769230769232,31.488756179777678,0.0,90.676829282,0.08,0.0 | |
| TabPFN-TS,67.88461538461537,33.36123166513091,0.0,305.466367349,0.0,2.0 | |
| Moirai-2.0,65.61538461538461,30.651048841637785,0.0,2.5351729785000003,0.28,0.0 | |
| Chronos-Bolt,64.92307692307692,29.770064235526473,0.0,0.9960156920000001,0.0,0.0 | |
| Sundial-Base,54.576923076923066,27.263435775595426,0.0,35.620029862500004,0.01,0.0 | |
| Stat. Ensemble,50.26923076923077,17.693885547849597,0.0,690.615290623,0.0,11.0 | |
| AutoARIMA,37.03846153846154,13.271687847205381,0.0,186.7699845295,0.0,10.0 | |
| AutoETS,36.346153846153854,4.328689341465408,0.0,17.004582018,0.0,3.0 | |
| AutoTheta,34.00000000000001,13.794755020224814,0.0,9.267665384499999,0.0,0.0 | |
| Naive,23.96153846153846,-6.11148881462471,0.0,2.2371214229999996,0.0,0.0 | |
| Seasonal Naive,20.346153846153847,0.0,0.0,2.3247850175,0.0,0.0 | |
| Drift,16.84615384615385,-8.604851625817744,0.0,2.1929671395000003,0.0,0.0 | |