id stringlengths 9 20 | slug stringlengths 2 54 | question stringlengths 1 193 | firstGroup float64 | createdTime int64 1,641B 1,736B | closeTime int64 1,702B 1,736B | resolvedTime int64 1,727B 1,736B | resolution stringclasses 2
values | resolutionProbability float64 0 1 ⌀ | volume float64 0 11.6M |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QfzdjXH9kzHUWEMPTbhb | will-trump-be-disqualified-from-the | Will Trump be disqualified from the presidency on insurrection grounds | null | 1,667,856,997,570 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,731,044,026,793 | NO | 0.011217 | 7,777.66835 |
vGDZ2AuSkfB66QQs7ZZD | will-a-general-european-unionmercos | Will a general European Union-Mercosur trade agreement be concluded before Dec, 31st 2024? | null | 1,667,695,718,654 | 1,735,614,000,000 | 1,735,675,723,953 | NO | 0.02355 | 8,373.672991 |
kPSc4kMonXJRiwznWupg | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-afb68187d4cc | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential election have a minimum net worth greater then $1 million USD as reported by OpenSecerts? | null | 1,667,507,577,043 | 1,731,652,304,531 | 1,731,652,304,531 | YES | 0.855417 | 515.70172 |
1pSCVBwxjPwzb0CIL67m | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-27437a631ce1 | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential election be married at the time of election | null | 1,667,506,713,115 | 1,733,253,325,894 | 1,733,253,325,894 | YES | 0.989389 | 6,116.995658 |
i6BaaKScM0zNnrIPxF5p | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-c1d838ebd643 | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential election posses a postgraduate degree at the time of election | null | 1,667,503,048,101 | 1,731,198,631,785 | 1,731,198,631,785 | NO | 0.042698 | 988.383893 |
MRGBwOHZyEzZ3DvWqWM3 | will-twitter-ipo-in-2024 | Will Twitter IPO in 2024? | null | 1,667,236,022,108 | 1,735,579,353,857 | 1,735,579,353,857 | NO | 0.01 | 11,829.717976 |
EvaDecG6x04e0no9fBGl | if-the-2024-presidential-race-is-ka | If the 2024 presidential race is Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump, then Kamala Harris will win | null | 1,666,828,507,119 | 1,730,825,999,000 | 1,730,942,576,117 | NO | 0.502691 | 2,325.69329 |
V7VaF44xJZbgUYraeLGg | will-former-republican-governor-was | Will former Republican governor Washington Gov. Dan Evans become a centenarian? | null | 1,666,666,744,717 | 1,726,951,648,357 | 1,726,951,648,357 | NO | 0.01 | 1,747.766414 |
oiDJH0f1JVpAN8KTeSk0 | will-scientists-create-artificial-b | Will scientists create artificial blood to be used on any patient by the end of 2024? | null | 1,666,228,219,469 | 1,735,648,173,508 | 1,735,648,173,508 | NO | 0.010119 | 8,745.640919 |
H2ErC4AbupNA0KUHaYX4 | will-bitcoin-mining-be-regulated-in | Will Bitcoin mining be regulated in the US by the end of 2024? | null | 1,666,227,760,442 | 1,735,581,125,008 | 1,735,581,125,008 | NO | 0.01 | 13,383.601226 |
BGDAicOXsGhsIo7NO1kF | austria-will-thomas-schmid-be-closi | Austria: Will Thomas Schmid be closing a plea deal with the prosecutors? ("Kronzeugenstatus") | null | 1,666,205,347,199 | 1,725,141,540,000 | 1,732,788,804,704 | YES | 0.857165 | 612.156873 |
n2pjMMF0CRNt9EdBmZuI | will-donald-j-trump-ever-be-elected | Will Donald J. Trump ever be elected President? (again) | null | 1,665,951,509,485 | 1,730,936,236,541 | 1,730,936,236,541 | YES | 0.984733 | 7,824.857264 |
lV8btPZreOyL28suoNmM | will-eddie-izzard-be-elected-to-par | Will Eddie Izzard be elected to Parliament? | null | 1,665,549,139,326 | 1,729,384,058,069 | 1,729,384,058,069 | NO | 0.03 | 2,477.07492 |
mpzDZijQxJFtlgkaQfZG | will-marjorie-taylor-greene-run-for | Will Marjorie Taylor Greene run for President in 2024? | null | 1,665,544,456,154 | 1,729,976,743,113 | 1,729,976,743,113 | NO | 0.02 | 2,233.453011 |
GF5faOJmqdB1ajongLHr | will-marco-rubio-run-for-president | Will Marco Rubio run for President in 2024? | null | 1,665,540,054,161 | 1,729,976,700,281 | 1,729,976,700,281 | NO | 0.02 | 16,310.043926 |
ZPAnV0cFwgevbNt7eeIo | will-the-creators-of-any-iteration | Will the creators of any iteration of AlphaFold win a Nobel Prize before 2030? | null | 1,664,791,313,131 | 1,728,479,443,470 | 1,728,479,443,470 | YES | 0.99 | 15,921.975271 |
ouqQmZ5e8nzuKgDhpqvF | will-the-california-remove-voter-ap | Will the California Remove Voter Approval Requirement for Public Low-Rent Housing Projects Amendment (2024) pass? | null | 1,664,726,023,021 | 1,728,707,185,957 | 1,728,707,185,957 | NO | 0.43 | 52.069588 |
XR5JhLjnAM85Z8mPwnBV | will-there-be-5-or-more-faithless-e | Will there be 5 or more faithless electors in the 2024 US presidential election? | null | 1,664,463,392,955 | 1,735,632,219,244 | 1,735,632,219,244 | NO | 0.010418 | 12,891.961349 |
RUabTM4FfThaIog7UjJ6 | will-sota-on-math-in-sep-2024-utili | Will SOTA on MATH in Sep 2024 utilize a hard-coded search/amplification procedure? | null | 1,664,378,957,758 | 1,727,755,140,000 | 1,727,821,057,418 | NO | 0.42 | 4,362.784921 |
hgUJ8z5S5VLI5cGf08ML | will-manifold-have-a-realmoney-mark | Will Manifold have a real-money market on the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election? | null | 1,664,231,921,842 | 1,726,363,941,755 | 1,730,940,235,440 | NO | 0.063331 | 16,373.875862 |
VXVYi542EjcshXQjyNxN | will-mortgage-rates-fall-below-5-an-33692bf3e8b8 | Will mortgage rates fall below 5% anytime before the end of 2024? | null | 1,663,975,673,876 | 1,735,686,012,175 | 1,735,686,012,175 | NO | 0.01 | 12,828.102646 |
4DPl5xemMxRWklD9QIRT | will-on-average-more-than-500-peopl | Will on average more than 500 people a year be evicted from the UK in Rwanda-style resettlement deals, before the next election? | null | 1,663,601,998,433 | 1,733,949,492,223 | 1,733,949,492,223 | NO | 0.01 | 7,595.627578 |
Nkqi27rqeyTGIGCbX6Gi | will-the-uk-government-create-law-o | Will the UK government create laws or large incentives towards working in offices, before the next election? | null | 1,663,601,873,773 | 1,733,401,164,895 | 1,733,401,164,895 | NO | 0.018926 | 2,554.697683 |
CtYCT0jMb79Yi2OvIgsS | will-trump-run-and-not-win | Will Trump run and not win? | null | 1,663,425,414,506 | 1,730,936,230,224 | 1,730,936,230,224 | NO | 0.01 | 21,883.292778 |
OOP50Vt7C6ARgi2RgMa8 | will-trump-be-indicted-run-and-win | Will Trump be indicted, run, and win? | null | 1,663,425,140,535 | 1,730,936,200,049 | 1,730,936,200,049 | YES | 0.99 | 9,124.899095 |
akoaxu6i4WV4iSwbDqmo | will-the-first-attempt-to-catch-a-s | Will the first attempt to catch a starship booster with Mechazilla result in the booster exploding | null | 1,663,260,061,027 | 1,729,188,367,175 | 1,729,188,367,175 | NO | 0.01 | 21,484.227822 |
i5ewGmfvRfFKq5j7mWtc | will-there-be-another-pandemic-befo-6001af28e5ae | Will there be another pandemic before 2025? | null | 1,663,102,675,521 | 1,735,620,669,539 | 1,735,620,669,539 | NO | 0.01 | 11,181.370694 |
62radchO7O3shl2Y89xY | will-any-us-supreme-court-justice-g | Will any US Supreme Court Justice go through a formal impeachment process by the end of 2024? | null | 1,663,102,359,321 | 1,735,581,140,386 | 1,735,581,140,386 | NO | 0.01 | 6,961.245304 |
4HNJtd3z1i4fKRwmt1aC | will-someone-other-than-biden-harri | Will someone other than Biden, Harris, Buttigieg, or Newsom receive the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | null | 1,662,847,907,284 | 1,730,786,340,000 | 1,730,897,878,242 | NO | 0.009135 | 84,075.624214 |
tLQyqnAe0Z24e7gKzy2k | will-kamala-harris-lose-the-2024-pr | Will Kamala Harris LOSE the 2024 Presidential election for Democrats? | null | 1,662,772,706,646 | 1,730,896,565,667 | 1,730,896,565,667 | YES | 0.998713 | 12,059.83963 |
e9ZaMThrZV1IZLhFnVxP | will-kamala-harris-win-the-2024-pre | Will Kamala Harris WIN the 2024 Presidential election for Democrats? | null | 1,662,772,656,420 | 1,730,896,598,773 | 1,730,896,598,773 | NO | 0.010079 | 17,924.304546 |
0nlYTzXipsZMfMqq5U4D | will-there-be-51-or-more-us-states | Will there be 51 or more U.S. states by the 2024 Presidential Election? | null | 1,662,095,431,063 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,906,788,207 | NO | 0.010396 | 5,866.372426 |
IRSUUxp0OA8oMuQjnflG | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-pre-4d8ef5e74437 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? (RW version) | null | 1,661,381,975,345 | 1,733,032,740,000 | 1,733,032,921,832 | NO | 0.010002 | 26,806.773918 |
ylIXgDeMDCYkltnmAlpZ | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-pre | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | null | 1,661,381,842,885 | 1,730,933,153,178 | 1,730,933,153,178 | NO | 0.010769 | 316,943.941589 |
YVqerycJne35zgC1Vro2 | will-nina-turner-run-for-president | Will Nina Turner run for president in 2024? | null | 1,661,372,627,275 | 1,729,025,922,898 | 1,729,025,922,898 | NO | 0.01 | 5,492.217477 |
HQvRxWKFrScLYSy15AQ9 | will-justin-amash-run-for-president | Will Justin Amash run for President in 2024? | null | 1,661,297,099,688 | 1,729,976,692,143 | 1,729,976,692,143 | NO | 0.01 | 3,778.485917 |
9cuzSSGtmp3pB3DgxONW | will-bernie-sanders-run-for-preside | Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2024? | null | 1,661,293,502,604 | 1,729,976,684,778 | 1,729,976,684,778 | NO | 0.01 | 8,489.711263 |
O8qtPVi3e5t6ebMyeQRu | will-data-from-the-james-webb-space | Will data from the James Webb Space Telescope disprove the Big Bang? | null | 1,660,568,810,174 | 1,734,929,940,000 | 1,735,065,148,680 | NO | 0.025649 | 8,062.930258 |
jRiRHEZ4VDVhm8ynv51D | will-donald-trump-be-eligible-to-ru | Will Donald Trump be eligible to run for president in 2024? | null | 1,660,332,254,535 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,731,003,384,058 | YES | 0.986642 | 9,393.204632 |
8bFIILiIEvIwyAanEI9F | conditional-on-donald-trump-being-i | Conditional on Donald Trump being indicted before the 2024 presidential election, will he win said election? | null | 1,660,226,806,186 | 1,730,786,340,000 | 1,730,903,558,246 | YES | 0.509004 | 8,807.959426 |
CrRQqwCHpI4c6bivM4GO | will-kalshi-have-a-realmoney-market | Will Kalshi have a real-money market on the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election? | null | 1,659,680,372,303 | 1,728,668,060,042 | 1,728,668,060,042 | YES | 0.99 | 1,843,531.923544 |
VNzUuywR0KQI3Zw5Zmgk | will-trump-receive-at-least-60-mill | Will Trump receive at least 60 million votes? | null | 1,659,571,109,134 | 1,731,695,066,255 | 1,731,695,066,255 | YES | 0.99 | 32,235.791696 |
1hXgZx3iJDuEwbIAqVT5 | what-is-the-risk-free-interest-rate | What is the Risk Free Interest Rate on Manifold Markets until Election Day 2024? | null | 1,659,354,790,901 | 1,730,919,941,249 | 1,730,919,941,249 | NO | 0.009928 | 149,776.60449 |
zCFjmTnlpiAGBbWjYQjF | will-there-be-a-robust-third-party | Will there be a robust third party movement in America that impacts the 2024 Presidential race? | null | 1,659,041,624,460 | 1,731,613,927,901 | 1,731,613,927,901 | NO | 0.057919 | 14,266.882359 |
kSMUyZEWlsKjA41gLy8t | will-winner-of-the-2024-presidentia-6a49986bfd71 | Will winner of the 2024 Presidential election be a proponent of 2020 election fraud theories? | null | 1,658,847,402,305 | 1,731,090,584,329 | 1,731,090,584,329 | YES | 0.945638 | 3,508.135476 |
zJswumDJHZJ6qfc4uTDI | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-799138703e51 | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential election be either equal to or greater then 165 cm in height? | null | 1,658,847,258,409 | 1,731,090,553,088 | 1,731,090,553,088 | YES | 0.99 | 3,107.360035 |
QHW1P6dHa3bxvY88V3C0 | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-20645f46f6a3 | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential election be either equal to or greater then 182 cm in height? | null | 1,658,847,083,203 | 1,731,090,735,385 | 1,731,090,735,385 | YES | 0.99 | 13,718.800147 |
XAej3RwDTXagXd9Y5TsT | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-a7458cd40409 | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential election be born pre 1960 | null | 1,658,767,435,267 | 1,731,652,321,635 | 1,731,652,321,635 | YES | 0.99 | 12,050.613833 |
xWZEXEaho5TKluf6Qhms | will-winner-of-the-2024-presidentia | Will winner of the 2024 Presidential election self-report as being vaccinated for COVID-19 | null | 1,658,766,956,101 | 1,731,091,163,722 | 1,731,091,163,722 | YES | 0.99 | 11,695.127934 |
8yrXjPx3RYtq84AxuJOG | will-a-us-state-legislature-refuse | Will a US state legislature refuse to recognise the popular vote winner in the state in the 2024 Presidential Election? | null | 1,657,099,431,127 | 1,735,280,509,522 | 1,735,280,509,522 | NO | 0.024811 | 7,526.093003 |
m4PZ1ChlcfgGeXShoxYz | will-bitcoin-reach-10k-before-it-re | Will Bitcoin reach $10k before it reaches $100k? | null | 1,655,484,641,862 | 1,733,452,565,781 | 1,733,452,565,781 | NO | 0.009217 | 44,761.814267 |
CrD4PISBN1H99VrHcknZ | conditional-on-being-nominated-by-t | Conditional on being nominated by the Republican party, will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,655,442,690,409 | 1,731,036,897,279 | 1,731,036,897,279 | YES | 0.989988 | 21,236.71002 |
2N12olMC9YgSRj7M4JBE | will-the-next-edition-of-games-in-s | Will the next edition of games in season 2 of Squid Game take place in a different country? | null | 1,655,321,241,936 | 1,735,240,400,580 | 1,735,240,400,580 | NO | 0.01 | 11,752.398407 |
IOc89ZVDOeGQAKrxBBfV | stormlight-archive-will-qnyvane-bec-5d1669b29fda | Stormlight Archive - Will [Qnyvane] become the Vessel of either (inclusive) of the Shards [Ubabe] or [Bqvhz] in Era 1? | null | 1,655,320,828,845 | 1,734,372,385,950 | 1,734,372,385,950 | YES | 0.919005 | 2,670.326925 |
XtQih9PRIQZJSZP96DJG | will-hwang-junho-still-be-alive-whe | Will Hwang Jun-Ho still be alive when "Squid Game" returns for season 2? | null | 1,655,320,088,049 | 1,733,100,027,733 | 1,733,100,027,733 | YES | 0.99 | 9,391.620463 |
Tx9a1HiZ66t1WLiNuCul | if-trump-is-elected-president-in-20 | If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have won the popular vote? | null | 1,654,546,322,137 | 1,730,913,204,586 | 1,730,913,204,586 | YES | 0.978952 | 187,976.880618 |
0FAJAfWknPeJY2B27NOS | will-the-next-us-president-to-be-in | Will the next US president to be inaugurated win the popular vote? | null | 1,653,409,633,757 | 1,732,932,638,644 | 1,732,932,638,644 | YES | 0.99 | 17,497.223016 |
fNhfJ7tAzmatmM7slWOL | will-538s-2024-presidential-electio | Will any of 538's 2024 Presidential Election models change by more than 10 percentage points, start to finish? | null | 1,652,905,940,644 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,869,312,986 | NO | 0.789395 | 200.090381 |
9XNB48DCranqKs2lx0dt | will-biden-announce-mass-student-lo | Will Biden announce mass student loan forgiveness during his first presidential term? | null | 1,651,488,190,810 | 1,730,811,540,000 | 1,731,699,406,800 | NO | 0.041044 | 3,004.005523 |
V3ATbasExreIKbrY0bt8 | joe-biden-will-step-down-as-preside | Joe Biden will step down as president before the 2024 presidential election results. | null | 1,650,809,824,434 | 1,733,253,345,400 | 1,733,253,345,400 | NO | 0.009372 | 4,847.548973 |
1sQFF7liE5Iw5ePbH3GM | will-jimmy-carter-become-a-centenar | Will Jimmy Carter become a centenarian? | null | 1,650,320,437,629 | 1,727,766,000,000 | 1,727,798,886,104 | YES | 1 | 5,052,702.675077 |
ZVfI3pXc4gLdh7GXwtNv | will-levy-rozman-gothamchess-become | Will Levy Rozman (GothamChess) become a certified GM by the end of 2024? | null | 1,649,364,450,011 | 1,733,115,540,000 | 1,733,980,234,317 | NO | 0.02353 | 2,679.24033 |
aNbn9YBmbozzNDeu50RH | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-10126fe153d6 | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential election be a self-described socialist | null | 1,647,979,258,825 | 1,731,090,668,853 | 1,731,090,668,853 | NO | 0.01 | 9,918.205458 |
YlYt66WxkeZgHgxm6Sq8 | will-a-prior-or-current-congress-pe | Will a prior or current Congress person, a white house/cabinet official/high ranking Government official, or a high ranking national party(DNC or RNC) official win the 2024 election. | null | 1,647,975,842,470 | 1,731,614,168,832 | 1,731,614,168,832 | YES | 0.985644 | 5,759.864233 |
VnkYJbdun2nhMlGNhPED | will-the-united-states-elect-its-fi | Will the United States elect it's first LGBTQ+ President in 2024 | null | 1,647,974,379,299 | 1,731,090,654,178 | 1,731,090,654,178 | NO | 0.01 | 4,783.177342 |
KLC57yIaQ6Rj6La1rGyy | will-the-united-state-elect-its-fir | Will the United State elect it's first woman President in 2024 | null | 1,647,551,269,071 | 1,731,652,344,290 | 1,731,652,344,290 | NO | 0.01051 | 12,199.860294 |
roaiUgvr0F1XZC2oUpca | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-3563a1248720 | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential election be White? | null | 1,647,441,318,315 | 1,731,090,519,589 | 1,731,090,519,589 | YES | 0.990122 | 10,894.611622 |
27lFeQhJrN199gBJ6wGF | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential election be born post 1980 | null | 1,647,437,932,690 | 1,733,253,289,245 | 1,733,253,289,245 | NO | 0.01 | 4,572.836367 |
JRzyleybZUTR8GHXs7ug | will-either-joe-biden-or-donald-tru | Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump be elected President in 2024? | null | 1,646,597,653,548 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,913,742,703 | YES | 0.978165 | 1,211,543.548651 |
U5rW8rhQ0Ubz4WgkHRhk | will-andrew-yang-run-for-president | Will Andrew Yang run for President in 2024? | null | 1,645,567,467,785 | 1,730,851,200,000 | 1,730,853,563,992 | NO | 0.0104 | 14,383.025044 |
rZSX556sOqfreUkwWTtA | will-the-losing-candidate-in-the-20 | Will the losing candidate in the 2024 presidential election refuse to concede defeat? | null | 1,645,218,450,813 | 1,730,782,800,000 | 1,732,947,137,346 | NO | 0.428088 | 6,799.491029 |
5qI3Q6NpxPgPyw4Gk1wE | will-elon-musk-run-for-president-in | Will Elon Musk run for president in 2024? | null | 1,645,160,688,854 | 1,730,752,819,405 | 1,730,752,819,405 | NO | 0.01 | 10,192.134457 |
IjqF5KXVxSWUtsmKcnBF | will-a-democrat-win-the-white-house | Will a Democrat win the White House in 2024? | null | 1,644,821,629,903 | 1,730,935,833,271 | 1,730,935,833,271 | NO | 0.01 | 29,653.405208 |
tlOBpptrUOJI6Jkjr2Y6 | will-at-least-10-world-cities-have | Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025? | null | 1,644,739,447,251 | 1,735,686,000,000 | 1,735,687,444,813 | YES | 0.876785 | 106,932.193318 |
7zZQAXsGlypLixghpSIb | will-a-trans-female-athlete-win-an | Will a trans female athlete win an Olympic medal (any class) in any women's game category in 2024? | null | 1,642,983,503,843 | 1,725,249,599,000 | 1,727,887,817,731 | NO | 0.01 | 19,901.619296 |
8eM9t6wpy733Gwmr5aKI | if-kamala-harris-becomes-the-democr | If Kamala Harris becomes the Democratic nominee, will she win the 2024 election? | null | 1,642,268,585,570 | 1,730,678,399,000 | 1,730,914,630,100 | NO | 0.506378 | 20,406.686659 |
Ua0kzjbcBjwSySES4hYt | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-p | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | null | 1,642,180,968,333 | 1,730,916,967,569 | 1,730,920,852,491 | YES | 0.989896 | 1,577,883.019984 |
QJslgIQGPJx3xpZjJRc2 | will-the-value-of-bitcoin-pass-100k | Will the value of Bitcoin pass 100k USD by the end of 2024? | null | 1,642,047,822,269 | 1,733,519,720,974 | 1,733,519,720,974 | YES | 0.99 | 48,662.686734 |
BWbzDnWJMQv8eNo2GrM4 | jen-psaki-will-win-the-2024-united | Jen Psaki Will Win the 2024 United States Presidential Election | null | 1,642,040,100,316 | 1,730,940,356,348 | 1,730,940,356,348 | NO | 0.01 | 3,253.363805 |
TBa0KxERQuCNEpyKcwKx | tulsi-gabbard-will-win-the-2024-uni | Tulsi Gabbard Will Win the 2024 United States Presidential Election | null | 1,642,040,061,441 | 1,732,518,039,579 | 1,732,518,039,579 | NO | 0.011656 | 3,829.808517 |
dbqDp4mV1NkG8IfRZNbV | hillary-clinton-signals-in-any-way- | Hillary Clinton signals in any way she might run for president in 2024 | null | 1,641,003,914,971 | 1,732,374,704,631 | 1,732,374,704,631 | NO | 0.009924 | 10,996.65042 |
JEBkPNuPE4eDWKul2CBe | will-the-runnerup-in-the-2024-us-pr | Will the runner-up in the 2024 US Presidential Election accept their defeat by Dec 31, 2024? | null | 1,640,703,303,623 | 1,730,931,473,254 | 1,730,931,473,254 | YES | 0.99 | 20,260.78185 |
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