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Faith Communities Today 2005 Study
The multi-faith coalition of denominations and faith groups that conducted the Faith Communities Today 2000 national survey of congregations in 2004 formalized their continued partnership as a membership-based program housed within the Hartford Seminary Institute for Religion Research. The Cooperative Congregational Studies Partnership that developed out of that effort has several programmatic goals:
(1)Creating and testing a financially viable methodology for regular national survey of congregations, each survey to include three layers of questions:
a. A repeated set of items to track changes and trends,
b. A specific set of topical items tied to a congregational resource, and
c. A unique set of new items of immediate public interest.
(2) Creating an ongoing informative newsletter.
(3) Developing an approach to congregational resources that begins with a congregational situation requiring self-reflection, and then builds a topical module of supporting national survey items for inclusion in one of the biennial surveys, the results from which get built back into the congregational resource.
As a result the team then undertook and created the first survey in this series, Faith Communities Today 2005 Survey. These survey results are posted in the summary pdf report.
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The PAX® Lite Counter is a versatile totalizing counter that can
be adapted to a wide variety of counting, measuring, and positioning
readout applications. The PAX® Lite Rate Meter provides
the versatility and flexibility needed to accommodate virtually
any rate measuring application.
Both meters can be scaled for direct readout in terms of the
units being measured. Each meter is programmed through a
combination of front panel buttons and DIP switches. Once the
programming is complete, the buttons can be disabled by a DIP
switch setting.
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Technical Issues and Workarounds
Running into technical issues, or have experience troubleshooting on Khan Academy? Post your questions and workarounds here. TIP: Providing screenshots and specific details about the problem you’re seeing will be a big help in getting a quicker diagnosis. Be as descriptive as possible in your topic title for the best responses. Try searching the forum to see if your situation has been posted about already - if it has, leave a comment on that thread!
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Mitsubishi Motors is without a doubt one of the biggest automotive companies and is an instantly recognizable brand just about anywhere in the world. One of many divisions of the larger Mitsubishi brand, Mitsubishi Motors remains one of the most important subsidiaries that bears the name. At times it’s interesting to go back and look at where big companies originated and how they got to be what they are today. Let’s take a look at the rich history of Mitsubishi Motors dating back to 1917.
The Mitsubishi company had been set up as a shipping specialist in 1870, operating in Toyko and soon diversifying out into other areas including coal mining and iron-milling. Closer to the turn of the century, the company had set itself up as an industry leading in a number of fields in manufacturing and commerce from steel and glass to banking and insurance. The rise of the company during this period was quite profound, to say the least.
It wasn’t until 1917 that the company produced its first automobile, the Mitsubishi Model A. Looking back, the move into the automotive industry seemed inevitable with the company already active in related fields of production. There were a total of 22 Mitsubishi Model A vehicles built, all of which were handmade. Given the high costs of production compared to the competition, it was discontinued after just 4 years. In 1937 the company produced a four-wheel drive passenger sedan, but it wasn’t until well after the second world war (which took its toll on Japanese industry) that the company found its niche.
The mass-market sedan Mitsubishi 500 was released in 1953, a time when wages were rising and demand for family motor vehicles was on the rise. Over the next 11 years, two other vehicles were produced including Minica kei car, Colt 1000 and the Mitsubishi Debonair, a larger luxury car. Within a few years, demand was extremely high with 70,000 vehicles being produced annually. The success continued with the various model being introduced until 1969 when the larger Mitsubishi company decided that a division that focused solely on the automotive industry should be created – and Mitsubishi Motors was officially born.
It’s quite an origin story and some may be surprised by just how old the Mitsubishi brand is. In fact, the logo that we all know so well today was put together around 1870, well before Mitsubishi Motors was made official. If you’re in the market for a vehicle or want to find out more about the Mitsubishi story, feel free to contact the friendly team at Chadstone Mitsubishi.
In this day and age, there’s no denying that it can be quite costly to keep a car on the road. There’s the car’s true cost, fuel, registration and regular servicing, not to mention changing any parts that may need replacing down the road. Whether you’re driving a Mitsubishi or any other brand of car, it’s well worthwhile to take car of your car from day one as best you can. It’s a fact that good maintenance will keep your car in working order for longer. It will also save you money in the long run and keep you safer on the road too. Let’s take a look at 5 essential car care tips.
Check the oil regularly
It’s something that only takes a couple of minutes, but it can’t be understated how important checking and changing oil is. Oil is responsible for keeping the engine well lubricated and cool, without which you’re going to have some real problems!
Keep it clean
If you value the cosmetic appearance of your vehicle, washing it weekly or fortnightly is a good idea. A build-up of dirt, salt and grime can potentially damage the exterior if left alone. It’s also a good idea to keep the underside as clean as possible. For new cars, you should consider applying wax every half year if possible; this keeps the paint in good health.
Park in the shade
When talking in the long term, the sun and rain can damage the exterior of your car as well. Preferably, you’ll want to avoid parking it in the street; if you have a garage or carport your car will be much better off. The paint, leather and other materials can easily be damaged by the sun, so any way you can reduce the impact is well worthy of your time.
Flush out the coolant yearly
The car’s cooling system is what circulates coolant around the engine and keeps it cool. Usually, it’s made up of 50% distilled water and 50% coolant and it prevents corrosion is it is changed regularly. Without it operating as it should, the engine is likely to overheat and potential even seize up, which, in many cases, means the end of it. Doing so will also reveal any bursts in the system that may be leaking coolant.
Service your car regularly
For the basic car servicing things, you can usually take care by yourself. But it’s of utmost importance that you have a professional inspect your vehicle every few thousand kilometers. How regularly you will need it serviced will vary from car to car, depending on age and other factors. Find yourself a good, trusty mechanic and your car will be in safe hands.
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Association of Bakers and Confectioners of the Czech Republic
The Association represents a significant professional association in the food and drink industry whose aim is to protect the interests of companies operating in the bakery and confectionery sector and to support their activities. Currently, the Association has 113 members, including bakeries and confectioneries, suppliers of machinery, materials and services for this sector, as well as food technology schools.
General information about PEKAR CUKRAR monthly
The PEKAR CUKRAR monthly is published by a partnership of the Czech Bakers’ and Confectioners’ Association. It is a professional journal with a sixteen-year tradition. It appears before or, at the latest, on the 25th day of each calendar month. Circulation: 1 500 copies, distribution in the Czech Republic and abroad; advertising and PR texts possible. Price of separate issue: 45 Kc + 5 % VAT. Annual subscription fee: 490 Kc + 5% VAT.
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This item is available to borrow from 1 library branch.
In 1906 in America it was first discovered that humans could transmit typhoid fever. This is a dramatization of the outbreak and a profile of Irish cook Mary Mallon, known as 'Typhoid Mary'. Quarantined against her will, the story reveals the newfound power of health officials to protect the masses, often at the expense of personal liberties
In 1906 in America it was first discovered that humans could transmit typhoid fever. This is a dramatization of the outbreak and a profile of Irish cook Mary Mallon, known as 'Typhoid Mary'. Quarantined against her will, the story reveals the newfound power of health officials to protect the masses, often at the expense of personal liberties
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One friend calls this "The Louvre of the Internet." Others think I'm subversive. Most art is like that.
Tuesday, October 7, 2008
From the Other Side of the Pond...
...this perspective on canvassing by the Guardian UK's Gary Younge in Roanoke, Virginia. (And a shout out to OC Girl for sending this my way.)
"Hell no!" said the man with the long beard from his half opened doorway.
Meghan Schertz's Obama badge had unleashed a torrent of invective.
"No Obama," he kept shouting, while Meghan struggled to finish a sentence. "I don't need to hear nothing from you Obama people."
"Do you see the fucking Nader sign," he bellowed, pointing to his yard sign which bared the name of the perennial independent candidate, Ralph Nader. "There's your answer."
"So you're an independent then," asked Meghan, as though engaged in rational conversation.
"Get you're ass off my property before I get my shot gun," said the tourretic Nader supporter. And so we left. As we circled back along the street the man sat at a table in his driveway.
Cheekily, I waved my hand at him. Menacingly, he waved his gun at me.
An afternoon out with an Obama canvasser is an education in the leg work, patience and resilience it takes for the Democratic presidential contender's strategy work.
It took about an hour and half to visit a designated number of houses in just a few streets in the Washington Heights area of Roanoke - a racially mixed middle-class part of town.
In a bid to identify Obama's base so they can make sure they maximise their turnout on polling day, she asks them who they are going to support, how strong their support is, whether they are sure to turn up on election day and if they would like some literature.
Or at least she tries to. One man took one look at Meghan and, before she could open her mouth, said: "I don't want to talk about it," and then went back inside.
Another woman refused to open the door but shouted from her window.
"I'm for Obama, so go on now."
After many weekends' campaigning Schertz anticipates the response she's going to get as she walks up the driveway from the kind of cars people drive and other signifiers - a mixture of prejudice and defence mechanism.
But it doesn't always work. The home with two pick-up trucks bearing Harley Davidson stickers are leaning Obama. And who knew that a Nader sign would produce a gun-toting misanthrope.
But there are moments that have the smack of meaningful if minor achievement. With a day to go before the registration deadline Schertz also carries registration forms just in case. She gives some advice to a woman who is worried that her son's registration has his middle name wrong - the kind of discrepancy that could play havoc on election day.
In Virginia where if you don't vote for more than four years you fall off the voter rolls, some are not sure if they are registered or not.
And then there's the information that goes back to town office about where the base is, that will be punched into the computer providing the raw data on which the campaign's logistical efforts hinge. It all happens on such a small scale that you couldn't do it unless you thought you were part of something bigger.
Schertz, whose run-in with the Nader voter ultimately only provided more raw material for her good humour, has never been involved in an election campaign before.
In the primaries she supported Hillary Clinton. "There's too much at stake to sit this one out," she says.
A look at the big picture suggests that these small efforts are paying off for Obama. Numbers released by the Virginia state board of elections for September show that the increase in the number of registered voters in Roanoke city, which is Democratic and one quarter black, is more than double that of Roanoke county, which is Republican and 5% black over the past year.
Over the past month the city has seen more than three times the increase of registered voters as the county. This reflects a trend that is both statewide and nationwide news with traditionally Democratic areas far exceeding Republican areas and, where you can register by party, Democrats massively outpacing Republicans.
With voter registration drawing to a close all over the country this marks the end of the beginning for Obama's ground game.
His task was to not just to win over the electorate but to expand it and therefore change the calculus. So far so good.
Now comes the hard work. Keeping them energised and making sure that they show up. The Obama campaign predict that 80% of the new registered voters in Virginia are Democrats and that three quarters of them will show up on election day.
Which brings us to the final challenge. Making sure that the votes are counted.
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For some reason, the file brewsheet.ps, as it appears on mthvax, has an
error: the character that is supposed to print as a box (for checking off
options) instead appears as a "member of" character (curved E). You can
easily fix this by:
load brewsheet.ps into your favorite editor. Find the line that looks
like this:
[ 300 ] /lasy10.300 @newfont
This line has the first occurrence of lasy10.300 in the file. Two lines
down are two lines that look like this (where ... means I have left some
characters out):
[<007FF801FFF...
...7FF8> 24 26 -3 3 27.673] 50 @dc
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This figure should be positive for healthy organizations. It is derived by tallying the state government’s assets (monetary funds, investments, buildings, roadways, bridges, parks, etc.) and subtracting its obligations. The last positive position California had was during Governor Pete Wilson’s final term where the state had $1.5 billion in net assets.
California is now ranked the worst state, below Illinois, whose net position is a negative $143 billion, or $11,174 per person. Illinois’ finances are so bad, they’re telling lottery winners that they have to delay their payments.
In the 6 years following the Great Recession, California’s gas tax revenue grew by $1.75 billion, while road spending remained stagnant (Board of Equalization Data).
5. California's Business & Economic Competitiveness
California has the nation’s highest income taxes. California also has the highest corporate tax in the Western United States. According to the Tax Foundation’s 2016 Facts and Figures, California is ranked 48th overall.
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Almost all new homes in Southern California come well equipped with LED lights. This is because of all the great benefits that they provide to individuals, and best of all the environment. Whether you are attaining to a new construction project, or remodeling your current home, these lights will be sure to give you complete and utter satisfaction. Continue reading this blog post to find out why you need to make the switch, if you had not already!
Benefits of LED Lights
The first main benefit that is important about LED lights is that they are energy efficient. These special lights use less than half as much energy as normal bulbs do. They are natural and do not affect the environment as negatively as regular lights do. If all homes in Southern California could make the switch to LED lighting for their homes and commercial properties, the amount of energy we will be conserving for our environment will be very significant.
Next, making the switch will save you a lot more money on energy bills. Because these lights do not waste nearly as much energy as regular lights, this helps maintain and put a limit on your monthly bills and expenses. The amount of money you can save yearly from this energy efficient upgrade can be used for other important necessities. It is time to start taking the environment into consideration for our future generations, as well as thinking about your wallet.
Another reason to make the switch is because these lights come in different colors and shades to pick from. Regular light bulbs limit you to a select few simple shades, but LED lights have a wide array of options. The great thing about these upgrades is that the colors are much more vivid and brighter than normal lights. This way, you can completely see what you are doing at home, while your rooms will look more open and inviting rather than a darker and dimmed room.
Lastly, these lights last for much longer periods of time. You can leave these lights on for more hours if needed, and it will not harm the environment as much as regular bulbs would. Also, it won’t make that big of a difference on your energy bills. These lights last longer- which is an important money saver.
Contact Us
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Sorry to hear you were not completely satisfied with our services!
At Progressive Builders, we strive for making each and every one of our clients happy. If we did not do something right, please let us know and we will do our best to not only fix this for others, but also provide you a hard-to-resist offer to visit us again and make it right!
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Staffan Tollgard Presents OKHA In London And Decorex
This year Decorex international will showcase three signature pieces by South African luxury furniture brand OKHA.
16 – 19 SEPTEMBER AT LONDON’S SYON PARK, OKHA WILL BE FEATURED AT STAND E43 WITH STAFFAN TOLLGARD TO CELEBRATE OKHA’S NEW LONDON PRESENCE.
Staffan Tollgard
While OKHA Design and Interiors has always been a global citizen in luxury design, now for the first time OKHA has a home in London. Arriving for the start of the London Design Festival, The OKHA Curated Collection is now available at the design store of award-winning Staffan Tollgard Design Group. OKHA operates out of Cape Town, where its design studio and gallery are housed and through artisanal craftsmanship, attention to quality and a unique approach to design its work is sought throughout the world, from China to Sweden, which is why it made sense to have the OKHA Curated Collection represented in one of the world’s leading design capitals.
Adam Court
OKHA creative director and designer Adam Court, has a history in fine art and film. Perhaps it is through this lens that his design pieces take on the quality and character of being art and design; a chair is no longer just a chair – it is an emotively crafted wood, steel and leather sculpture from which the viewer can admire and survey the world around them. OKHA takes its name from an old Xhosa word meaning the bringing of warmth to hearth and home. South Africa’s cosmopolitan trade route history and its immense wealth of natural beauty – granite mountains, precious metals woven into its geological architecture and its indigenous forests are intrinsically fused into OKHA’s provenance and narrative. There is a primal quality of immediacy and timelessness in the luxury of OKHA’s work. Court works exclusively with natural fine materials and an emphasis on artisanal quality craftsmanship; hand-picked leathers, brass, marble and timbers which at times are gleaned from fallen trees in Table Mountain’s woodlands.
STM Swivel Armchair
Founder of the eponymously named award-winning Tollgard design group, Staffan Tollgard handpicked the pieces which make up OKHA’s Curated Collection. The collection which includes signature OKHA pieces such as the STM swivel armchair and the dark-wood Lean side table with marble top captures what Swedes or Danes commonly refer to as the red thread or heart of the OKHA design ethos; form and function as a singular notion. OKHA being brought to the doorstep of every Londoner, now means that more people have access to seeing and experiencing Court’s designs first-hand.
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A Simple Key For who to hire to build a website Unveiled
A Simple Key For who to hire to build a website Unveiled
So, like afraid very little kids, we hid driving our customized website and prayed to the web gods that our website will automobile-magically start out getting visitors and deliver a million bucks — Big miscalculation.
And so they’ll go and obtain a Sq. Space or possibly a Wix or maybe a Go Daddy website, and they’ll Imagine mainly because they’ve saved revenue they’re popping out in advance in the offer.
Sure, these do-it-your self website builders have their place. I as well send those with more compact budgets or are starting out to Wix or SquareSpace. But, at some point, they come back whenever they realize that aquiring a website, in nowadays’s noisy, TMI planet, is like using a tiny, tiny listing to the aged yellow book webpages or getting a property in middle of desert without any roads.
But from what I’ve heard (I've some western close friends Operating or have worked in China), it’s fairly preferred for people today to make use of VPNs to accessibility blocked websites (including Facebook, and so on).
Good post Jeremy. I concur that it is now great and straightforward to make a website with the assorted website builders Which Wix is one of these (without a doubt I've established quite a few websites with Wix).
I'd a read throughout the short article. Some fascinating factors you have there. I think I am fifty/50 on Whatever you say however. I agree that you should have an extremely fantastic idea of your small business before we do a website. The majority of the businesses We've got worked with up to now didn't even have a company profile, so when it arrived time for them to tell us more details on whatever they do and who their perfect shopper is, that they had no clue!
I don’t know how paying a “professional” Internet designer lots of money I don’t have, to assist me offer my enterprise when all I have to do is post RFP’s and my include letter, with a company card. As I develop and do that by myself for your number of years, and my need to have expands, then I'm able to see investing in some thing just like a “Skilled” Website designer.
Some drag click here & drop builders even have the potential to take care of escalating websites, and it is absolutely doable to run A prosperous and experienced business with them.
Yet again, Weebly is incredibly affordable compared to committing to hundreds or 1000s of pounds to hire a website designer.
Whenever you do speak to somebody about doing all your website, ensure that they make time to tell you how Google truly works.
This can be the actual opposite of error #1. Allow me to get started by revealing a filthy minimal key In relation to website style. Most people Believe, “Oh, I’m going to hire an experienced website firm mainly because I want a “true website” Rather than a Phrase Push website or something else.” And what plenty of people don’t notice is that all websites are comprised of the same things.
So they endure. Style and design and Search engine marketing/Compensated internet marketing are 2 different things. Even at the $3,000 cost point those companies gained’t be bundled jointly and I’m Ill and Weary of beginner “Inventive directors” and “account managers” endeavoring to make men and women feel that it is just to produce a sale. I concur along with you with regard to the viable organization point. The entrepreneur has to offer individuals some thing they actually want and not be afraid to market it.
But does that truly support confirm out or validate your company strategy? Will it reveal to you personally you could generate earnings by offering items or products and services to finish random strangers?
I do think there’s absolutely a time and place for working with Experienced Internet designers, but it really might be not pretty most likely when beginning a completely new business enterprise mainly because, as talked about within the write-up, if The thought isn’t adequate and matters don’t figure out then that may be an dreadful large amount of money flushed absent with a website.
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March 2006 Entries
Rocky Lhotka was recently on DNR and made some comments about TDD that have created quite astir. Rocky has posted a deeper explanation of his comments from the show.
I first must place myself as a TDD skeptic who finds the topic worthy of more research. Personally, I have many of the same concerns that Rocky brought up. Much of what I have read on the subject focuses on building one piece of functionality at a time. I try to keep an open mind, and maybe I am missing something, but it seems that this narrow focus would lead to code that does not play well with others and a lot of rework.
I think people need to remember that no matter how much you believe in your approach others are going to disagree with you. Saying or implying that a person is irresponsible because their viewpoint differs to me is the sign of a closed mind.
I finally sent off my Logging Application Block chapter to the main author, Keenan Newton, for an upcoming Apress Enterprise Library book. I have to say that I share Craig Shoemaker's sense of accomplishment at completing this type of endeavor. It gives me a new appreciation for all the authors that put out the tomes that I rely on to keep up with our industry.
Of course now that this is done I have time again to pursue other topics. I will be doing more work with ASP.NET, GAT and SC-BAT. As that moves along you will see more posts here about their cool features and gotchas. Until then ...
I almost made a mistake and skipped this week's Hanselminutes. This week Scott covers MONAD. I a nutshell, this is the command shell on object steroids.
Most people who know me have heard me say that my ideal environment has the ease of use that comes with a windowing, event-driven environment with the power of a command line. Well it looks like the computer gods are smiling on me. MONAD sounds like it makes Windows really close to what I am looking for. Call me a dinosaur geek, but this is way too cool.
The one place that I know you can get a version of MONAD is the Windows SDK For January 2006 CTP. I'm not sure about anywhere else. Of course in order to get the CTP you need to be an MSDN subscriber. I will post more about the product once the MSDN download application decides to give me the last 1% of the download.
So is MONAD the answers to my prayers of years gone by? Tune in next time and see.
I just finished listening to this week's DNR with Jean-Paul Boodhoo on TDD. Now I will say right up front that I have not actually done TDD on any of my projects. This discussion with JP really brought home the ideas in a way that was easy to understand. Carl and Richard also asked him many tough questions about pair programming, continuous integration and what happens to the rest of the team.
One thing that struck close to home is with regard to what is and isn't TDD. Before I started with my current employer I interviewed with another consulting company. Coincidentally they wanted to send me to the same client I am at right now. They asked if I knew or at least understood TDD because that is what the client did. Not to put the client down, but they do unit test and not test driven development. They are being driven by another large consulting firm to put 1000 layers of documentation on every project. We could not touch a line of code until we had full detailed designs showing what every class was going to look like and sequence diagrams showing how they would interact. So beware when a client or an employer says they do TDD.
This does bring up a good question. No matter what you need to get your requirements before starting to do coding. For those of you out there that are doing test driven project, how much planning are you doing up front and what kind of planning? JP states that architecting does not go away on these projects. I am interested in what form it takes with this different mindset.
Well, check out the DNR episode as well as JP's blog. Carl and Jean-Paul also recoreded a dnrTV episode and will be putting another out this week. Here are the links.
This is just one of those things that is going to take a while to get used to. Twice now I have lost significant amounts of time trying to track down a problem only to find out that it was a matter of my expectations. I am so used to creating classes in VS2003 where classes are automatically public that it is not even something I think about. So when I try to access a class outside of its assembly that was created in VS2005 I cannot figure out why the class is not found.
The reason is that the classes are now internal by default. This means that they are only accessible by classes within the same assembly. Most of the time I write code for the business and data layers of an application. These classes are normally external facing so that the layer above them can use their functionality. Because of this most of my classes should be public by default. Only helper classes would be internal.
I understand why this was done, but after spending so much time in an environment that did the opposite it will take a while to get used to.
Here is another story from the trenches. My current project was having mysterious errors coming from its Oracle database, but only under load. Specifically we were getting the following:
ORA-01013: user requested cancel of current operation
This one had me stumped. How could this happen. I searched the code line by line. I got assurances from the testing team that the testing tool was waiting for the last byte to return before navigating away from the page. I scoured the web for any hint of what could cause this.
We ran some more tests with the DBA monitoring the database. What we found was large number of locks being held for an unusually long time. This of course results in other requests being blocked and eventually timing out.
Unfortunately I couldn't execute my own explain plans. For any who don't already know, this is a function within Oracle that tells you the cost of the query you are trying to execute. Once the DBA ran them for us it showed that the query that was getting a lock was doing a table scan. It was reading row by row until it finally found the one it was looking for.
We added an index specifically for this query and the result was that the locks were being released so quickly that the DBA's monitoring tool didn't even see them.
This is one that bit me the other day and re-enforces the need to think about why you use a certain method. I was doing some testing at the client I am working at and a page suddenly started rendering twice in the same browser window. So what I ended up with was:
My Page
My Page
Now how the heck can that happen? I was a victum of my own code. The application's detail page was catching a custom exception type and then using Server.Transfer to go to an overview page. No problem, right?
The problem is that calling Server.Transfer causes a ThreadAbortException in the originating page. After the custom exception was caught and the page was transferred and the new page completed its load the thread abort was caught by the original page looking for any System.Exception errors. Guess what was being performed in this catch. That's right. Transfer to the overview page resulting in the scenario above.
I had never seen this behavior before, but then again, I normally use Redirect instead of Transfer. I have read a number of articles and none of them mention the possibility of this happening. All of them say that the page terminates and transfers to the new page. Evidently this is the case for all situations other than exceptions.
Tim is a Solutions Architect for PSC Group, LLC. He has been an IT consultant since 1999 specializing in Microsoft technologies. Along with running the Chicago Information Technology Architects Group and speaking on Microsoft and architecture topics he was also contributing author on "The Definitive Guide to the Microsoft Enterprise Library".
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Olympic Gymnast Aly Raisman Is Back And Feeling Stronger Than Ever
If you're a lover of all things Olympics, then you're probably already getting excited for the upcoming 2016 Summer Games in Rio de Janeiro. And if you're a fan of gymnastics, that most exquisite, often logic-defying athletic discipline, then there's a good chance you're already following one of the big, dramatic "what if" stories for this year's American team. Namely, whether you'll see the return of a very familiar face — the captain of 2012's gold-medal winning team, Aly Raisman, who tells Bustle that she's back, and ready for the challenge of competing in consecutive Olympic games.
Raisman, 22, starred on the exceptional, gold-medal winning "Fierce Five" gymnastics team during the London Olympics four years ago, netting gold in both team and floor competitions. Now, in 2016, she's got her sights set on an ambitious and rare goal: she's striving to be the first American gymnast to compete in consecutive Olympics since 2000, and the first ever to claim gold on both trips. As a matter of fact, one of her former teammates is attempting that same feat, too — Gabby Douglas is also fighting for a spot on the 2016 Olympic team.
If you're wondering why that's such a rare feat, it has everything to do with age, and the incredible physical demands of the sport. Back in 2012, Raisman was already the oldest member of the Fierce Five at 18, alongside 16-year-old Gabby Douglas, 15-year-old Kyla Ross, 16-year-old Jordyn Wieber, and 16-year-old McKayla Maroney.
Ezra Shaw/Getty Images Sport/Getty Images
So, is she feeling prepared? "I feel stronger than I did four years ago," Raisman tells Bustle. She cites a combination of physical therapies, essential rest and relaxation, and the intense amount of conditioning any Olympic-level athlete needs. In particular, she mentions the acupuncture technique of dry needling, saying "Besides, of course, my conditioning, I credit being healthy to dry needling, that has helped me so much."
"I also float in a flotation tank," she says, referring to those deep-rest inducing sensory deprivation tanks that have become in-vogue with athletes of all kinds in recent years. "It's like a pod, and you close it and you literally float in salt water and fall asleep for like an hour or so, that stuff is really crucial because you have to find ways to rest."
And, of course, figuring out what your body needs is key: "Finding nutrition that works for your body. Everyone is different. Doing lot of conditioning, and getting a lot of rest."
Raisman also credits a recent move with helping her balance the grueling athletic schedule with her family life. "I actually just moved houses and it's a nice little change," she says. "My backyard is really private and I've been able to spend more time with my family. Just finding little balances here and there is really key."
VALERIE MACON/AFP/Getty Images
There's also the burning question that might be on a lot of people's minds, though — why another run at the Olympics, after all the training, and strain, and pressure, and ultimate success of the first time?
According to Raisman, it's a simple matter of personal drive, and a desire to accomplish something that no one else ever has. "I was 18 years old at the last Olympics," she told reporters. "I felt that I still wanted to try and do more in the sport. It's never been done before, for a U.S. gymnast to do back-to-back golds. So that's something Gabby and I wanted to try and do together. I've been trying to do it for myself."
Gabby Douglas, now 20, is also participating in the trials for the Rio Olympics, vying for a repeat trip to the biggest stage in the world. And according to Raisman, that process — of clearing the trials and getting onto the team — might actually be tougher than the Olympic competition itself. "I think that this part and the training camp is almost harder than when the girls get to Rio," she says. "This part and the training camp with Márta [Márta Károlyi, national team coordinator for U.S. Gymnastics] is more intense."
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Tuan Pham
About
Most indicators move in sync so price & probabilities are my allies. Options is the quickest way to legally grow one's portfolio. Caveat: It's also the quickest way to shrink it too! When all else fail, flip the coin!
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We’re delighted to announce a new client partner in First Trains TransPennine Express.
First Trains TransPennine Express (TPE), is a UK train operating company which services major cities of Northern England as well as Scotland. After a competitive four way pitch we can proudly declare ourselves as the new incumbent agency for TPE.
We’ve thoroughly enjoyed pitching for the Transpennine Express and are delighted to have been appointed as TPE’s new creative agency. It’s an iconic rail brand that connects economic and cultural hubs in Northern England and Scotland.
We can’t wait to embark on the next stage of TPE’s exciting journey with them.
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An anonymous reader quotes a report from Softpedia: Windows 10 build 14352, a preview version of the upcoming Anniversary Update (also known as Redstone), comes with an eagerly awaited change that Microsoft hasn’t yet announced publicly. The 260-character path length limit in Windows can be removed with the help of a new policy, thus allowing you to run operations with files regardless of their path or file name. While this new rule is not enabled by default, admins can turn it on by following these instructions. Launch the Registry Editor by clicking the Start menu and typing “regedit.exe,” and then navigate to the following path: HKEY_CURRENT_USER\SOFTWARE\Microsoft\Windows\CurrentVersion\Group Policy Objects\{48981759-12F2-42A6-A048-028B3973495F}Machine\System\CurrentControlSet\Policies. Look for an entry called “LongPathsEnabled,” and if it does not exist, simply right-click Policies, select New DWORD (32-bit), name it “LongPathsEnabled” (without the quotes), enter value 1, and you’re good to go. The description of the preview reads, “Enabling NTFS long paths will allow manifested win32 applications and Windows Store applications to access paths beyond the normal 260 char limit per node. Enabling this setting will cause the long paths to be accessible within the process.” While the Windows 10 preview build 1452 has been made available last week, according to Windows Central, a Microsoft team member says that the company could released Windows 10 Mobile build 14352 for Insiders on Tuesday, May 31.
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The similarity between the nature of these complaints and other medically unexplained illnesses such as fibromyalgia, irritable bowel syndrome, and chronic fatigue syndrome suggest that they may share a common mechanism.
Here, we provide support for PDS as a consequence of pain and sensory amplification secondary to neuroplastic changes within the central nervous system, a phenomenon often termed central sensitization.
We also discuss how factors such as stress and genetics may promote chronic widespread pain in veterans and service members who develop PDS.
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participant experience
As any race director who’s been in the business for awhile will tell you, what participants expect from events and races has changed quite a bit in the past few years. The good news is that there are more people who are participating—the number of U.S. race finishers has increased by 80% since the year 2000*–but keeping them happy is getting harder. In other words, participation is on the rise but so are the demands of participants.
These participant expectations all revolve around gaining a quality and unique experience—we are dealing with experiential consumers. Experience is the new luxury and people are Instagramming pictures and strapping Go Pro cameras to their heads to capture and share their experiences. ACTIVE Network and RaceHQ decided to partner up because we recognize the impact this trend will have on event directors. Both of our companies provide technology to make the lives of event directors easier—we handle the details, automating and organizing them—because you have more pressure than ever to create those filter-worthy, camera-ready experiences.
So how do you build a quality experience for your participants, whether they’re newbies or veterans? Here are three event elements that will make the experiential consumer happy:
1. Be SocialThere has been a huge increase in team and group participation, largely due to the popularity of
“fun” events (non-competitive, Mob™-style events), which encourage teams. But now this phenomenon has permeated more traditional and competitive events and it’s more important than ever for your event to promote a collective experience. People want to try something new with their friends and post about it on Facebook, using the event as an extension of their social life. Offering team, group, charity, and relay options when registering will help you increase your numbers and reach people who wouldn’t normally participate in races.
3. Go MobileApproximately 58% of smartphone users don’t go one hour without checking their phones!** If people are staring at this gadget for hours upon hours a day, then your event needs to be on that screen in some form or another. Here are a few ideas how:
Optimize your results page to be mobile enabled. Participants want results asap, and odds are they’ll have their phones or tablets with them as soon as they finish the race. Deliver results to the palms of their hands versus making them track down results printouts on boards at the finish line.
Offer training apps like the Couch-to-5K or 5K-to-10K app to keep participants engaged and excited about your event.
Use QR codes on marketing materials. With just a quick scan of that black-and-white box using their smartphone, people can access your registration page, results, and more.
Encourage mobile sharing on social media channels, which brings us to #3…
3. Encourage Facebragging
Facebragging, more formally known as “wanting social proof,” is something we’re all prone to. It’s no longer enough to have completed something—it needs to be shared on social media for the experience to reach its full potential. For events, this means you need to think about more than just the finish line hero pose. Encourage participants to capture and share every step of the event lifecycle, from registering to training to the course to the post-race celebration. Hold social media contents for best photo or video, make event day as visually vivid as possible, sell creative merchandise, etc. Engaging participants online and getting them to Facebrag will ultimately increase your event’s exposure and help it go viral.
However you decide to do it, the most important thing is to make your event an experience to remember because that is what participants are expecting.
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Awards
Wednesday, June 03, 2015
Progressive America has a fever and the only solution is more welfare. Celebrities are trying to buy only $29 worth of fair trade arugula at Whole Foods and then taking snapshots of it in a mistaken effort to show how little food stamps buy. Obama is urging more social welfare spending as the answer to the race riots he stirred up across the country by embracing the Ferguson “Hands Up, Don’t Shoot” hoax.
Outraged rich liberals are furiously lecturing the rest of the country on income inequality as if there were no escaping the fact that we’re a society of greedy plutocrats that doesn’t care about the poor.
Obama called for “massive investments in urban communities”. Last year, we spent $75 billion on food stamps. The year before that it was $80 billion. That’s up from $33 billion in 2007. The number of participants has doubled approaching 50 million.
Is spending $80 billion on food stamps alone for a sixth of the country not a massive investment?
Food stamp use in Baltimore under Obama increased 58%, but even back in 2009, a quarter of Baltimore and a third of its black population were on food stamps. Baltimore already accounts for almost half of the food stamp using households in the entire state.
Democratic Congressman Elijah Cummings called for an “inclusion revolution” after the riots, but the revolution in his district happened a while back where a fifth of the households are on food stamps. Even though the household racial split in the seventh is about even, 85% of food stamp households are black. Cummings says that Baltimore needs to be a model for the nation. It’s a hell of a model.
The nation can’t survive turning into Baltimore. The city is subsidized by Maryland taxpayers, a state full of bedroom communities for consultants and employees of the Federal government. Maryland didn’t become the richest state in America through entrepreneurship and hard work, but by siphoning off massive Federal spending. Billions have already been “massively invested” in Baltimore with no return.
Poor urban areas have not been “abandoned” by a cold selfish nation that spends all its time watching FOX News, as Obama claims, they have been subsidized up to their ears. Every poverty statistic is presented as if it were evidence of our guilt, when it’s actually evidence of our incredible generosity.
The angriest portion of the population lives in subsidized homes, goes to subsidized schools, shops with food stamps and even works at subsidized government jobs servicing the needs of the aforementioned. MSNBC talking heads claimed that the rioters and looters targeted the grocery and check cashing places that were oppressing the community. The only community they were oppressing was that of taxpayers.
Those were the places where urban dependents turned taxpayer subsidies into food and cash. They took their cut of a transaction that deprived millions of working families of their income and turned it over to looters.
And when the looters found the opportunity, they looted them.
Rioters don’t gleefully loot stores of snacks and liquor while posing for selfies because they’re outraged and oppressed, but because their sense of entitlement has turned them into amateur sociopaths.
None of this is about oppression or poverty. It’s about an incredible sense of entitlement.
We’ve blown past the antiquated mores in which living on charity was shameful. What’s shameful now is not spending enough money to subsidize the inflated entitlement of the perpetually outraged.
We are cruel for only dumping $80 billion into food stamps instead of $160 billion or $1.6 trillion or whatever insane figure is meant to be the real objective. Means tested welfare spending under Obama has been in the trillions. Why not the quadrillions or the quintillions? There’s no actual spending limit.
This entire twisted debate about the sad plight of the inner city is an indictment of us for not spending enough money funding every possible gimmick for the rioters and looters while believing that some crimes, such as dealing drugs or beating random people to death, should be punished by time in prison.
All the proposed progressive policy solutions have one thing in common; less responsibility. From wrecking the criminal justice system to pouring even more money into the giant urban pit, they ask America to take more risks and responsibility while expecting even less from Baltimore’s residents.
The single factor in Baltimore’s poverty statistics that mattered the most wasn’t race; it was family. Families headed by a married couple were better off than blacks or whites individually.
There are other names for that phenomenon. Responsibility. Commitment. Work ethic.
Baltimore’s problem isn’t segregation, lead paint or any of the other liberal hobgoblins. It’s a lack of responsibility. Responsible people get married. Responsible people find work or create work.
Jobs aren’t created by government programs. They’re created by people.
If a community doesn’t have jobs, that’s not the fault of the capitalist pigs living on their yachts while lighting their cigars with trillion dollars bills. It’s a reflection on the people who live there.
Tellingly the justifications for the looting involved claims that the businesses don’t come from the ‘community’. The question is why is the average business in a depressed urban area run by immigrants who just got off the plane with few other resources than a large family and a willingness to work their way into the ground? And it’s one of those questions that answer themselves.
It’s not racism. It’s not because life on a particular street is utterly hopeless. If it were, the Chinese or Indians couldn’t make a go of it there.
If an immigrant with eight kids and fewer language skills than even one of the graduates of Baltimore’s overfunded and thoroughly broken schools can swing the financing to open a store that provides vital malt liquor, lottery and potato chip services to the neighborhood, why can’t the looters pawing through the debris of his store figure out the same trick?
They can. They choose not to.
Hanging out with your friends and committing petty crimes that escalate until they lead to that dreaded “prison pipeline” is a lot more fun than working fourteen hours a day so your kids can go to college.
Especially if the rest of the country can be induced to subsidize your lifestyle using violence and guilt.
It’s easier to loot a convenience store or a check cashing place than it is to open one. It’s easier to go back to another round of looting American taxpayers than it is to get a job.
National poverty and crime rates mysteriously declined after welfare reform in 1996. Unemployment rates fell dramatically. So did murder rates.
But the welfare lobby won’t be satisfied until it rolls back the clock to the welfare, poverty and crime rates of the seventies. Now that the race riots are here, we can look forward to experiencing the entire glorious failed experiment in human misery all over again. It’s as if the Russians had decided to bring back collective agriculture because they were tired of having so much food in their stores.
Baltimore’s problem isn’t poverty. It’s entitlement. And entitlement is just another word for irresponsibility. The inner city doesn’t have a poverty problem. It has an irresponsibility problem.
This isn’t a problem that more “massive investment” can fix. It can only make it worse.
The only answer to a sense of entitlement is perspective. Our values offer us perspective. They teach us responsibility by telling us that the things that really matter are the ones that we work hard for.
The left took away those values and the sense of responsibility. They divided America into oppressors and victims. They stirred up hate mobs to burn and loot over the outrage of the moment, radicalizing irresponsibility and feeding entitlement. But the victims aren’t the ones who live off other people.
They’re the oppressors.
Victims work for a living. Oppressors live off them. The victims take responsibility for their lives. Oppressors only show entitlement.
The incredible entitlement of the welfare lobby has to end if the inner city is to have a future.
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comments:
Anonymous
said...
WOW! So then, how come the last few paragraphs reminded me SOOOOO much of Ayn Rand? (Atlas Shrugged) Very well expressed, Daniel; well done!Neville, Australia.
Though you speak truth to power, Daniel, it will fly right over the swollen heads of progressive liberals who read this because they still haven't learned that you cannot legislate morality, or compassion, or kindness.
The problem with inner city Baltimore, Chicago, Birmingham, Memphis, Detroit, etc. is that these cities are full of people with iq's of 85 or less. Cities such as Portland, Seattle, and San Francisco are as liberal as Sweden, but are doing quite well.
I would not want to live in Portland, Seattle , or San Francisco, because I find liberal hipsters to be repulsive human beings. I prefer the rural south where men are still men and women are proud of it. But I do think it is disingenuous to blame liberalism for the problems of the ghetto culture in American cities. I guess it is nice to think that because it implies that there is a solution. The reality is there is no solution. The problem of large populations of low iq, low impulse control people cannot be solved. All you can do is separate yourself from them and arm yourself in the event they decide to visit your neck of the woods.
I used to go to the Inner Harbor and the Orioles games on occasion. I loved cheering on the O's as I was a lifelong fan. Things that began to mount up in the mid 90's that made me stop going.....I just didn't feel safe and even more so with friends and family with me. It has only gotten worse and has not been reported very well in the National Capitol Region media. I feel sorry for Baltimore as this summer will be a tough one...GO Cards! Wacha Wacha Wacha
And yet the President recently stated with a straight face he never played the race card or pitted one group against another. It's difficult to make any head way against this agenda when it is the foundation of the progressives platform from the top down.
Very poor. Why not comment on the billions spent on farm support policies, which go overwhelmingly to the richest - and whitest - farmers? Or the billions of taxpayer dollars that go on corporate welfare to huge corporates?
1) Appoint Al Sharpton as 'Entitlement Czar'.2) Have the Treasury Department conjure up a trillion electronic dollars and put them in Reverend Al's bank account. (The US is bankrupt anyway, what difference will another trillion digital dollars on the bonfire make at this point?)3) Direct all calls for more welfare to Reverend Al.4) Enjoy the show as Al tries to keep it all for himself.
"..., and San Francisco are as liberal as Sweden, but are doing quite well."
Several decades ago, SF was the most beautiful American city. Not anymore. Now it is a self-appointed "sanctuary" crap hole.
Homeless people are literally crapping in the streets. Every other street is under construction because the city's infrastructure is crumbling. Crazy people are mingling with ordinary people (usually talking nonsense to themselves). Unkempt drug addicts are stumbling around in traffic.
Well Daniel, as usual you hit the nail on the head. Also as usual, the people that need to read and understand this, won't. So, here is my take on this:
1. It is really not much simpler than elementary school arithmetic. We have this problem because our current system rewards irresponsibility and punishes responsibility.2. Both parties helped, encouraged, and rewarded the dismantling of our production (evil, nasty, corporate run factories as well as small entrepreneurial specialty manufacturing) along with the jobs. Unions, originally intended to protect the workers are a part of the problem as well.3. Both parties refuse to close the open borders that allow millions of low skill, often marginally functional, and semi-literate invaders cross into here. The terrorists are a bonus I guess.4. As for Mr. Outcomes remark, the big Agribusiness people may be getting fantastic subsidies, but the nearly extinct family farmer (1/2 section or less) really did not get much out of these programs, and most went broke or were not financially viable.
All of this reminds me of the famous Talmudic statement: "Those who are merciful to the cruel, end up being cruel to the merciful". What do these "liberal" and "progressive" people who go around claiming they "love humanity" think they are doing when they hamstring the police which causes a big increase in crime, most of whose victims are poor blacks? Why do they think supporting values and welfare policies that cause the break down of family values leading to generation after generation of poor, uneducated people in poor health with no future is "helping them"?I completely reject the idea that inner city people have "low IQ's" which was stated in an earlier comment. The problem is VALUES. Today's Obamaesque liberals say that what is important is having good laws on the books. Charles Murray in his outstanding book "Coming Apart" pointed out that the Founding Fathers did NOT believe that..they felt their new Constitutional system would only work if people controlled themselves and had the proper values. All the laws in the world won't make people act properly. Making "hate speech" illegal will not bring brotherhood to the world. Prohibition thought that a law would make people stop wanting liquor. In reality I am convinced that these "liberal/progressives" like the gang that is in power today in the White House have no interest in people's welfare. They despise the society they live in and want to see it dismantled. They do this in the name of "human rights" which is the furthest thing from their minds.
The board game "Obozo's America: Why Bother Working for a Living?" is a hilarious graphic depiction of the work of the welfare empire. You can see a full pdf of the playing surface at www.obozosamerica.com
I'm trying to recall the last "farmer riot", where the white farmers burned down the grain silo, bowling alley, Grange Hall, and "Tiny Tap Bar", to protest the loss of subsidies that allow them to produce the food you eat while you sit at the keyboard dropping crumbs and try to seem interesting while proving you're completely clueless to what is happening around you. Can you provide sustenance for yourself? No? Then thank a farmer. And God. MrOutcomes, you're today's winner of "did I say that out loud?". Drool on, moron. stormfriend sends.
Life on the dole IS almost a full time job of sorts.. All those hours in waiting rooms filled with whiny tots in dirty diapers is no walk in the park. Not to mention that the lying, obfuscating, and general need to 'hustle' for real money is career path for many. They don't seem to realize that an actual, genuine job might be less aggravating.
The illegal immigrants are equal participants in this circus, but have the advantage of giving a blank stare in response to any question in English, if the gov't paid translator isn't around.
Y. Ben David,The statistics are out there, but I can offer 25 years in the trenches and assure you that there is an I.Q. problem in some sectors of society. There is a distinct connection between intelligence and culture, and culture overrules everything else..However, when meeting a young person from a stable home, who has been raised to meet just average expectations, the differences in Race or background is far less marked. Caribbean people who have autonomy in their own countries and still experience the last vestiges of British tradition, can compete on a much larger stage with little difficulty.
I was with you til you pulled the old, 'if an immigrant w/etc, etc.. start a business' lie. These immigrants & I include illegals in this from Asia, India, Latin America, etc.. are being given taxpayer dollars to start their so called businesses, whether hotels, motels, restaurants convenience stores to corporations, you name it. US veterans are denied the basic promises made to them while foreigners are being given a free ride, so can the praising parasitic 'immigrants', they aren't the hardworking, by the bootstraps immigrants of the past.
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The former Spice Girls star and her husband, David, are parents to three sons and a baby daughter, and recent reports suggested Beckham was keen to expand her lines of women's apparel with a children's collection.
She tells Japan's Numero magazine, "We are researching retail and e-commerce opportunities at the moment. I rarely get (a) chance to go out shopping; everything I do is online, and I believe that will play a part of the future. Contrary to what people say, I have no interest in doing a children's line. There are lots of people doing that very well already."
Gwen Stefani and Madonna are among the celebrities who boast successful fashion ranges for juniors.
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Indian man jailed in US for supporting Hezbollah
New York: A 50-year-old Indian man, who was residing illegally in the US has been sentenced to 15 years in prison by a US court for conspiracy and attempting to provide material support to Lebanese
PTI [ Updated: October 28, 2014 8:57 IST ]
indian man jailed in us for supporting hezbollah
New York: A 50-year-old Indian man, who was residing illegally in the US has been sentenced to 15 years in prison by a US court for conspiracy and attempting to provide material support to Lebanese group Hezbollah.
Patrick Nayyar, was sentenced in Manhattan federal court yesterday by US District Judge Robert Sweet for crimes related to the support he attempted to provide to Hezbollah, which has been designated as a foreign terrorist organisation by the US.
Nayyar was convicted in March 2012 after a seven-day jury trial, US Attorney for the Southern District of New York Preet Bharara said.
According to the superseding indictment filed in court, between July 2009 and September 2009, Nayyar and his co-conspirator, Conrad Stanisclaus Mulholland, agreed to provide weapons, ammunition, and vehicles to Hezbollah.
During a series of meetings with a confidential informant working with the FBI, who represented himself as able to deliver materials to Hezbollah, Nayyar and Mulholland agreed to sell guns, ammunition, vehicles, bulletproof vests, and night-vision goggles to the confidential informant.
During these meetings, Nayyar and Mulholland also provided the informant with a handgun, a box of ammunition, and a pick-up truck, believing that the informant would deliver the items to Hezbollah in Lebanon.
Nayyar was charged in the Southern District of New York in October 2009, following his arrest at his residence in Queens here in September 2009 on a separate charge.
Nayyar's co-conspirator Mulholland, 47, who is not a citizen of the US and resides abroad, left the US before charges were filed, and remains at large.
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The Linux Voice view on what's going on in the world of Free Software.
News Analysis
No matter what the zealots say, Free Software and Open Source occupy common ground.
Opinion
The Shallowness of the Free vs. Open Dichotomy
The term Open Source, in the context of software, was coined in 1998 by a group of experienced software freedom advocates frustrated by the challenges of helping corporations adopt Free Software. As the movement has energetically grown over the ensuing decades, it has been repeatedly necessary to remind people that framing it as a methodology is a construct chosen nearly 20 years ago to help cultivate executive acceptance and business promotion of software freedom. The frame is necessarily not the entire story, no matter how often newly-woke geeks may assert it should be and how evil it is not to say "Free Software." Open Source is inescapably a part of the culture, philosophy, and ethical construct that is software freedom, not an alternative to it.
Here's why. Corporations are not people, and so can't "behave ethically" – doing so requires consciousness as a minimum. The people they employ can be expected to behave ethically, but a corporation will follow its programming to optimize the objectives stated in its bylaws. The people tending the machine can steer it towards different ways of achieving those objectives and can express their ethical selves through their choices, but they are not free to justify preferences purely on the basis of ethics. As a consequence, most advocacy of Open Source has focused on helping those corporate employees demonstrate the value arising from it rather than the values motivating the people involved with it.
This pragmatism has been ceaselessly criticized by people adhering to the supposed "purity" of the term "Free Software," who attempt to claim that Open Source and Free Software are different things and the advocates of Open Source are at best amoral. They are not; effective adoption of Open Source involves the principled application of Free Software. More than that, there's a strong causal relationship between software freedom and the value business deployers gain from Open Source software.
To seek the benefits without embracing the values is possible but inadvisable. Prices can be cut artificially as an incentive; documentation, architectures, APIs, and even code snapshots can be delivered on demand by proprietary vendors. But if you are not the one enjoying software freedom, all those benefits are contingent on your relationship with the one who is. Those values also have wider applicability. They protect against covert abuses and also lead one to shun the infringement of liberties.
None of this is peculiar to Open Source. It is equally possible for the term "Free Software" to be used for its benefits without embracing its values, and it's actually easier for the newcomer to interpret the term at face value and assume price is the primary motivation. Indeed, that accidental invocation of the "price frame" continues to lead people astray even today. So renewed moves to define Open Source and Free Software as somehow different are mistaken. What's needed is to reconnect users of Open Source Free Software with the origin of the benefits they enjoy from it. That origin is software freedom, the certainty of being explicitly entitled to use, improve, and share the software upon which you depend.
The Author
Simon Phipps is ex-president of the Open Source Initiative and a board member of the Open Rights Group and of The Document Foundation (makers of LibreOffice).
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The books are the real thing, not clip art. They are from Rob Kall's Library of 500+ Quotation books. These are lovingly collected "middle aged books, dating from 1726 to about 1908. More antiquarian books in the collection date back to as early as 1582 and include a first edition of Fuller's Gnomologia. Photo by Rob Kall
This page leads to a batch of linked pages covering different topics I have collected in the process of building a software and print based quotation collection. There are over 1089 quotations in this part of the web site, with more added regularly. We're happy to accept suggestions for new subjects to add, and to receive your favorite quotes. If there's a great quote you know, for a topic we list, which we don't have, PLEASE send it our way.
If you use a quote from this site for a book, please credit it in your acknowledgements. I invite you to submit new quotes too.
Collecting quotations is a serious hobby of mine. I have about 30,000-40,000 quotes on my hard drive, plus about 350+ quotation related books (sayings, proverbs, etc.) dating back to 1590, and several CD quote collections. I am interested in proposals from publishers, authors, web sites, etc. to develop projects using these resources, which I have been told are among the most extensive in the world.
Deep/Depth (19)"To love deeply in one direction makes us more loving in all others." Madame SwetchineDiversity (5)"There never was in the world two opinions alike, no more than two hairs or two grains; the most universal quality is diversity." Montaigne, Of the Resemblance of Children to Their Fathers
Enlightenment (30)There are many paths to enlightenment. Be sure to take one with a heart. Lao Tzu
Freedom (41)"The secret of happiness is freedom, and the secret of freedom is courage." Thucydides
Frontiers (15)"Pessimism operates in a narrowed field of vision that fails to take into account the possibilities at the outer edges of experience." Norman Cousins
Genius (51)"What is genius or courage without a heart?" --Oliver GoldsmithHealth (47 )We know a great deal more about the causes of physical disease than we do about the causes of physical health. M. Scott Peck
Heart (27)'T is the heart's voice alone can reach the heart." Alfred De Musset
Integrity(28) "So live that you wouldn't be ashamed to sell the family parrot to the town gossip." Will Rogers
Intention (23)Ultimately, human intentionality is the most powerful evolutionary force on this planet. --George Leonard
Laughter (24) "Nothing shows a man's character more than what he laughs at." Goethe
Learning(56)"The man of imagination who is untrained (unlearned, uneducated, undisciplined) has wings and no feet." Joseph JoubertMuscle (17) "Our most sacred convictions, the unchanging elements of our supreme values, are judgements of our muscles."Nietzsche, The Will To Power
Pain (27) When we cling to pain we end up punishing ourselves. Leo F. Buscaglia
Story, Stories (31)"Storytelling is the most powerful way to put ideas into the world today." Robert McKee
Stress (15)"..restless thoughts, that like a deadly swarm of hornets arm'd, no sooner found alone, But rush upon me thronging." MiltonTouch (19)"Touch seems to be as essential as sunlight" Diane Ackerman, A Natural History of The Senses
Wonder (15)There is something of the marvelous in all things of nature. Aristotle 384-322BC, Parts of Animals
More to come! Drop me a note to let me know what other topics you'd like covered with quotes. I also do quote searches, using the net, my personal quote data-base and my collection of 100s of quote books and 1000s of reference source books.
My Favorite Quotations
People often ask what my favorite is. There are so many I like, but here are a few I use often and keep coming back to. I know they're not short, but then again, I said quotations, not epigrams. <g>
"A man is like a bit of Labrador spar, which has no lustre as you turn it in your hand until you come to a particular angle; then it shows deep and beautiful colors. There is no adaptation or universal applicability in men, but each has his special Talent, and the mastery of Successful men consists in adroitly keeping themselves where and when that turn shall be oftenest to be practiced."
Ralph Waldo Emerson
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*
"The movements of exaltation which belong to genius are egotistic by their very nature. A calm, clear mind, not subject to the spasms and crises which are so often met with in creative or intensely perceptive natures, is the best basis for love or friendship. --Observe, I am talking about minds. I won't say, the more intellect, the less capacity for loving; for that would do wrong to the understanding and reason;-- but on the other hand, that the brain runs away with the heart's best blood, which gives the world a few pages of wisdom or sentiment or poetry, instead of making one other heart happy, I have no question."
Thought for Today Quotation Archive George Osner has put together a very impressive quotation resource, definitely worth bookmarking. It includes a list of quotation books and a quotation collection with over 200 subjects, plus six years of quote a day collections.
MaximNet established by the Templeton Foundation as a maxim resource, but perhaps more exciting a place to report on the foundatioin's efforts to develop approaches to using maxims for child character education. Good Work!
Donald Lancon, Jr.'s Quote page not that extensive, but very well linked to the web--the way a really good quote site should, and probably, ultimately will look, in terms of web links. Well, at least a suggestion of it, sans images, and digitized audio and video.
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Persona 4 The Magician
Based on the Videogame, this manga focuses on Persona 4's 'sidekick' character, Yosuke Hanamura. The manga mostly focuses on Yosuke's life before the events of Persona 4, while occasionally re-telling events from the game.
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Breakaway Graphics
Breakaway Graphics called on us again to update their web image. For magazine layout and graphic design Sheana Firth always delivers and we’re happy that we can continue to help display her exceptional print work online. For this new site we created a new portfolio system and new blog organization. We also built it so the entire site is mobile and tablet friendly.
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A Gem in Every Genre
One of my favorite silly lyrics comes from a Billy Idol song, Flesh for Fantasy where he croons, “Do you like good music, do you like to dance?” The second part of that question might be legitimate, but the first is over the top ridiculous. No Billy, I hate good music. I hate music of any kind. Still, that is a fantastic song.
Of all the arts, I find music to be the one most tied to personal opinion and in my experience that opinion is subjected more often to derision, mockery and persecution. Perhaps I just run in different circles that are sadly lacking in painters, sculptors and other other visual artists, but I have yet to hear someone say “Picasso is my guilty pleasure”, though I am not opposed to the idea that he might be that for many. I am sure there are many who would debate my assumption and I am more than willing to be wrong about this. I do think that musical preference is very personal and it always makes me giggle a bit when people (self included) are quick with the appalled face when encountering a friends musical leanings.
My father loved music. Growing up in the fifties and sixties he was present for the cultural explosion of Rock and Roll, from its infancy where most of the songs were innocent sounding, to the psychedelic songs of the late sixties. In all my earliest memories there is a musical background. I have a strange memory of my father cleaning the bathroom while listening to Neil Young. My childhood was full of the Beatles, The Rolling Stones. Creedence, Hendrix, The Zombies, The Kinks, The Who and so many others.
The first records I owned were 7 inch singles that my father had doubles of. I had a copy of I am the Walrus as well as Ruby Tuesday (the b-side being Let’s Spend the Night Together) . The vinyl was well used and worn. The songs began with a heavy hiss that permeated the length of the songs. When I first heard these songs on clean vinyl they almost sounded like different versions. I remember listening to Cold as Ice by Foreigner in my bedroom (in the pillbox house) on my own tiny turntable, one speaker and the widest needle arm in history. My first full length record was a thrift store copy of Destroyer by Kiss. How cool!
By the time I reached 7th grade my musical tastes had waded their way through some arena rock (REO and Journey) and recently found themselves bathing in the dulcent tones of Def Leppard. Pyromania was huge when I was in Jr High. At one after school dance, my friends and I banged our heads to Rock Rock till you Drop as we walked around and around the gym, never once taking a dance step (I liked good music but was afraid to dance, Billy).
It was around this time that I had my first experience with musical preference affecting more than what you listened to in your bedroom or with friends . The early 80’s brought with it MTV and because of the types of bands that were making music videos, many kids were exposed to new kinds of music. New Wave was huge in many places. In West Valley City, liking it was a good way to get the holy hell beaten out of you. Kids who openly liked The Human League, Soft Cell, Echo and the Bunnymen were often attacked in the hallways of the school, spit on and mocked. One story (which is most likely exaggerated) tells of a student being pushed or thrown over a railing at a local high school, falling ten or so feet down into the commons area. Where I lived, you liked metal (a watered down metal for sure, but metal all the same) or pop rock (where Micheal Jackson and groups like Duran Duran were allowed to reside). “Wavers” were a small minority, and while I loved this music, I was not brave enough or foolish enough to let that get out to anyone but my close friends.
For someone like me, who liked so many different styles of music it was hard to understand how anyone could limit themselves to just one particular kind. This musical animosity carried over into my high school years but by then I was a bit more assertive, openly liking whatever bands I wanted, but being just like everyone else, overly critical of music I didn’t like. I had a backlash reaction to 80’s metal. I made myself hate it. It was my response to being forced to choose it or face the consequences. I missed out on early Metallica, (which makes me sad) and really hated Guns and Roses. I don’t regret missing out on Poison, however.
My tastes have broadened as I have aged. I have a new found love of Bluegrass music and what I like to call “Real” Country (see, I still do it), which is a very narrow grouping of artists, few of which are alive today. I have rediscovered my love of metal, falling in love with lesser known bands in lesser known sub- genres like Burnt by the Sun, Isis (perhaps the best band EVER), Neurosis Kylesa and Boris (who everyone should listen to just because).
Lucky for my children, those old musical divides are not as strong as they used to be. As music had developed, and more of it has been made, trends move much more slowly and songs have staying power long beyond what they used to have. Radio stations play songs that are easily fifteen or twenty years old along side new ones. Many younger listeners seem more willing to try almost anything. There is a great deal to listen to and a great deal to be excited about, even if there are still too many of us ready to get a good laugh at the music collection of others.
I have barely touched on the multitude of great music out there, old and new. I have a list of bands as long as my arm to share if anyone is interested. Also, as I read other music threads, I see that there are hundreds of bands I have never heard of. So please, share them with me. I try everything.
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About fenster
4 responses to “A Gem in Every Genre”
Ryan, I love your memories of growing up with music in the background, brought back lots of memories to me also. I am grateful to your dad for widening my musical horizon and introducing me to many kinds of good (and some not so good) music that I may have never experienced, although he did have a really hard time when I startd listening to some country, ha, ha. Are you happy that I introduced you to Iris Dement? Once again, fantastic writing. Love you!
I am glad to be introduced to Iris Dement. It sometimes puzzles me why I was so focused on particular types of music for so long. I don’t regret missing out on 80’s or 90’s country, but I do like what I am coming across lately.
I like it that while all the ‘hair bands’ have faded into oblivion some of the new wave bands are still making great albums. Depeche Mode’s 2010 album, Sounds of the Universe is awesome as is Pet Shop Boys’ 2010 album, Yes.
Rock on new wave.
True enough! A great many bands from that era were so disposable and made clearly dated music. Bands like DM and Pet Shop Boys made fantastic music that still sounds fresh. While I am partial to the 80’s and 90’s Depeche, I have come to appreciate much of the newer material.
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Regime von Würmern
It may be used freely by individuals for research, teaching and personal use Regime von Würmern long as this statement of Regime von Würmern is included in Regime von Würmern text. Würmer alle Präsentation auf der Julius Goebel p. The text has been entered using Regime von Würmern and verified against the original.
The eszett which is used in German Fraktur typeface has been printed as an ss in the text of Regime von Würmern electronic edition.
Original grammar, punctuation, and spelling have been preserved. Regime von Würmern typographical errors have been preserved, and appear in red type. All footnotes are inserted at the point of reference within paragraphs. Any hyphens occurring in line breaks have been removed, and the trailing part of a word has been joined to the preceding Regime von Würmern. All quotation marks, em dashes and ampersand have been transcribed as entity references. All double right and left quotation marks are encoded as " and " respectively.
All single right and left quotation marks are encoded as ' and ' respectively. All em dashes are encoded as -- Indentation in lines has not been preserved. Running titles have not been preserved. Virginia -- Description and travel -- Early works to North Carolina -- Description and travel -- Early works to North Carolina -- History -- Colonial period, ca.
North Regime von Würmern -- Politics and government -- To Graffenried, Christoph von, Baron, Swiss Americans -- North Carolina. Palatine Americans -- North Carolina. Whites -- North Regime von Würmern -- Relations with Indians. Beginning with reference numeral 4 Regime von Würmern is an error in each of the reference numerals through number To correct the references: On pageparagraph 1, against the word "appearances" place the numeral 4. On pages read 4 as 5, 5 as 6, and so on through number This will make the reference numerals read from 1 to 57 in order, and correspond with Regime von Würmern numerals in the German original, the French original, and the translation of the French.
With such a proportion of Germans, is it not strange that almost nothing is said in our histories about this great element of our population; about the causes that induced them to leave their homes; about the circumstances of their first settlements; about their influence upon the growth of our common culture?
The reason of this lies, partly in the undeveloped provincial character of American historiography, partly in the fact that American History was first written by men from New England. They wrote of the things with which Regime von Würmern were most familiar, their own Puritan commonwealths and the institutions developed from Regime von Würmern. Biased wie Darmwürmer bei Rindern zu behandeln provincial prejudices they overlooked other events of equally great importance, so that their histories read like a one-sided glorification of their ancestors.
A very powerful contributory cause for this discrimination is the fact that the Germans made their settlements comparatively late, and for the most part avoided New England. By the time Regime von Würmern first permanent settlements were made at Germantown, near Philadelphia New England had passed through some of its most epoch-making experiences. The colonies about Massachusetts Bay, Connecticut and Rhode Island had been settled and their characteristic institutions, which have come down to our own time, were becoming fixed in laws and customs of Regime von Würmern people.
American historiography as first conceived by the New England historians has since followed the same or similar lines, and until recently Ich erhalte nicht besser, weil der Würmer the German-Americans themselves took up the work, Regime von Würmern little, in Regime von Würmern, was known about the early life of this portion of our population.
It is to be hoped that this regrettable division in matters of historical truth will be done away with, and since no one nationality can rightfully claim all the honor of having made America what it is, Germans as Regime von Würmern as Puritans and Cavaliers will come to be recognized for what they are or have done, and not be excluded from consideration for what they have not done.
II, pages, ff gives a rather extended and appreciative notice of the Germans in Pennsylvania. In a foot note on page he mentions the Regime von Würmern on which this paper has been based. Government in Massachusetts; but it is to the German settlers at Schoharie that we, in a large measure, owe the fortunate outcome of the French and Indian Regime von Würmern, for it was they who kept Regime von Würmern Six Nations from joining the French, when such an event would have spelled disaster to the New York and New England colonies; they did not give us theocracies from which a doubtful ideal of the state eventually evolved; but they helped to give us freedom of conscience, the very corner-stone of modern politics, and it is to the German printer in New York that we owe an untrammeled public press.
Who shall say Regime von Würmern is the worthier? It is not Regime von Würmern then to know that in the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries a large number of Germans came to America, and made or tried to make certain settlements.
We want to go further and learn about their life and work and be able to appreciate them as we do the other pioneers. Regime von Würmern is for this reason that a study of Baron Christoph von Graffenried's settlements may be considered worth while. This colony in North Carolina would have consisted of only a few Swiss adventurers but for the events of the year These enlarged the scope, increased the prestige of the undertaking, gave the leadership to one of the few ever to possess a title of nobility Regime von Würmern Locke's new American order, made this pioneer of several Swiss undertakings the nearest approach to Locke's ideal that ever existed in America, and taking it out of its isolation, made it a part of the great German migration of ; a consideration Regime von Würmern which may properly precede the study of Graffenried's own adventures.
Since a man should be judged by his intentions and by the times in which he lived, as well as by the actual results of his efforts, it has seemed well to quote from or make Regime von Würmern to the writings of contemporaries wherever possible. Society,pages The great stream of emigration from Germany to England and from thence to Click to see more, beginning rather feebly in the latter part of the seventeenth century, then suddenly swelling to such enormous proportions that more Germans had come to New York, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina in von das Tiere Tabletten Geben wie Würmern year than had come to New England in Regime von Würmern first ten years of the settlements about Massachusetts Bay, has as its fundamental cause the great intellectual movement of the Reformation, and the equally intense Counter Reformation which began in the latter Regime von Würmern of the sixteenth century and extended far into the seventeenth century.
Since the Protestant Reformation in England had come rather later Regime von Würmern in Germany, and had not been so radical at the start, English reformers long looked upon Germany as the fatherland of the Reformation, and during the persecutions which accompanied the reaction under Mary those who escaped over seas found refuge in Holland, Germany and Switzerland.
Under Elizabeth protestantism was again gradually restored, but there Regime von Würmern no place for Regime von Würmern who disagreed with the church as established by the state and dissenters were severely punished, but still the sentiment of protest grew until after the revolution ofwhen Cromwell, having finally become a dictator, was able to introduce a Regime von Würmern reformation, which led to a wider separation from Rome.
He hoped to secure the ground gained, by a union of the protestant states against the Catholic Spanish world. He conceived England to be the champion protector of protestantism, and by Regime von Würmern a union, he hoped to make it a world power.
During the reigns Regime von Würmern Charles Regime von Würmern and James II there was another reaction which, however, was not so violent as that in the reign of Mary.
When Regime von Würmern of Orange became King of England protestantism was again fully restored and there was even some relief given dissenters. It was Queen Anne, however, who took up Cromwell's work, and to the best of her Page 10 ability carried out his program of national and protestant expansion. Public opinion, moreover, was, to a large degree, with her in this matter.
Interest in the German protestant situation was kept alive by pamphlets which gave information about the conditions of Regime von Würmern Reformation in Germany and particularly in the Palatinate to which they felt related because of the marriage of Elizabeth, daughter of James I of England, to Regime von Würmern Electro Frederick, better known as the Winter King. Regime von Würmern interest was further increased since the cause had been compelled to fight for its life in Germany as well as in England.
Not only the Regime von Würmern which came in Luther's time and immediately following his death were caused by the Reformation; but the Thirty Years' War and the wars in which the French King, Louis XIV, involved Europe during his long reign were also very largely incited by the same spirit of enmity that animated the earlier Regime von Würmern Reformation.
In all these struggles no portion of Germany suffered so much as that part called Regime von Würmern Lower Palatinate. III, page ff. By the Peace of Westphalia the Lutheran and Reformed religions had been established in the Palatinate and the Catholic religion was allowed only on sufferance of the Elector. But now under John William religious toleration was announced, and the Roman Catholic religion thereby put upon a theoretical equality with the other two.
As a matter of fact, he went further and took revenues, churches, and schools belonging to the Protestants, whether or not they had been Catholic property, and turned them to Catholic uses, or else arranged for Catholics and Protestants to have joint possession of the church edifices. He refused to allow Protestant clergymen to sit in the Ecclesiastical Council; and when the people protested, he said that the "ministers were seditious rebels.
The persecution, also, often took the form of bodily injury and death was frequently the result. No wonder, then, the poorer subjects became alarmed.
In Switzerland the Anabaptists having no legal status had always been exposed to the doubtful mercies of the bigoted Http://lego-worlds.de/byqidihol/medikamente-gegen-wuermer-fuer-kinder-5.php Church. In other provinces of Germany, as well as in the Palatinate, there was great suffering among the poorer classes because of the oppressions of the petty princes who fashioned their courts after the model of Versailles, plunged into extravagance and excess of all kinds, the burden of which fell upon the laboring classes who suffered severely from the exorbitant taxes and tolls demanded Regime von Würmern defray these expenses.
This widespread poverty, and the religious persecutions had for years Regime von Würmern producing a Regime von Würmern unrest, and those who saw no hope of better conditions at home began to look to America as a place where they could go and be safe. A rather small colony had gone to Pennsylvania with Pastorius as early asand a few families or single persons had gone every year since. Another small company, 50 persons in all, under the Lutheran pastor, Kocherthal, came to England in and were sent Würmer Asthma New York.
That same spring and summer great numbers of Germans came through Holland to England and were given all possible care by public and private philanthropy. This is generally spoken of as the Palatine Migration, but the name is misleading because there were many other German-speaking people in the movement. The majority of these immigrants did, however, come from the Palatinate; and as the English people were interested in that province, they gave the name without distinction to all who came.
The causes mentioned, together with the Regime von Würmern German Wanderlust and the attraction which America had for Europeans, have been considered sufficient to explain this migration. But are they sufficient? Is there not a more important problem Regime von Würmern unsolved? When one considers that all these contributing causes, political oppression, religious persecution, devastation of property, and poverty had existed for years in Germany and Switzerland; that the passion for travel had always been characteristic of this people; that the advantages of America had been well set forth by the preaching of William Regime von Würmern and other Quakers before this colony was Regime von Würmern that over die die Nieren Würmer auf ob books, 1 1 Penn.
The truth is Queen Anne was attempting to continue Cromwell's plan of expansion, and in this program there was need of increasing her subjects at home and in the Regime von Würmern, by inviting, and even subsidizing, people Regime von Würmern settle in British America. At the same time also the Proprietors of the Provinces were quite as anxious as the Queen to have their territories settled; and no one was more industrious than Regime von Würmern in advertising his province.
Yet the subject is Regime von Würmern to treat, because direct evidence is not plentiful, Regime von Würmern no one wished to take the responsibility of tempting the subjects to leave their rightful lord.
But there was one document which had great, perhaps the greatest, influence in persuading people to go to America; Regime von Würmern that was a small volume printed first inby the Reverend Mr. Kocherthal, just mentioned, had not been to America at the time he published his book, but had been in England to make inquiries about the colonies.
Having become convinced of the advantages of South Carolina, he wrote a handbook for Germans, Page 14 describing the province, with Regime von Würmern how to go there. This book was Regime von Würmern eagerly read that in it had reached its fourth edition.
Graffenried and several of his settlers mention Kocherthal's book, indeed this is the only book the settlers do mention; and from the nature of their allusions to it one must conclude they were strongly influenced by it.
In fact, the book continued to have such an effect, even after Kocherthal had gone to New York that Anton Wilhelm Boehme, 2 2 Penn. VII, page 47 ff. An investigation, detailed mention of which will be made later, brings out the additional fact that another great cause of the emigration was the so-called Golden Book, so named because the Queen's picture adorned one of the front pages, and the title page was printed in gilt letters.
This was evidently a very special and expensive edition, and was probably published with the Queen's permission some time after she had ascended the throne inthe evident intention being to impress German readers.
From the language in the report Regime von Würmern the investigating committee it is clear that the book was written chiefly in praise of Carolina.
Absolute proof cannot be given; but judging from the coincidence of the date at which the books appeared, Kocherthal's inthe Golden Book between andfrom the similarity of the subject Regime von Würmern, both treating of Carolina in particular, and from the effect, one may conclude that Kocherthal's book and the Golden Book are identical. The following passages occur in the fourth edition undoubtedly reprinted from Regime von Würmern first, and are among the directions to prospective colonists:.
Round shaped, w hite, containing We can advise of an appropriate worming regime depending on your dog's age or circumstance. Our usual product would be. Milbemax tablets but we can tailor the programme to individual need.
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something interesting
Why can’t we all play nicely?
Author
Mr. Markets
| Published on
April 17, 2017
Antipathy towards banks is unwarranted
Talking to retail FX traders one thing always comes across to me. There is a general antagonism towards banks. This could be jealousy, it could be an inferiority complex, it could even be a feeling that the market is skewed towards banks and their ability to almost print money.
It never ceases to amaze me how few traders have been inside a bank’s dealing room. Admittedly we don’t all live with a stone’s throw of the City of London, Paris Frankfurt or even Sydney but even a ten-minute visit would be a real eye-opener and time well spent.
We all know the statistics about retail FX traders; 90% of them take 90 days to burn through their initial deposit. True? I’m not sure. One thing is sure; it’s not just the lucky ones who survive and prosper.
Ex-traders who were, if you like, the pioneers of retail trading, don’t have a much better track record despite their experience. So, is the market skewed in favour of the banks? Well, I wouldn’t necessarily say it’s skewed but by providing liquidity and pricing, having the clout to take on large positions and simply seeing the flow or orders, banks certainly have an advantage.
But that doesn’t mean retail traders are doomed to failure! Also, they don’t need to act like banks to make money but it certainly would benefit them to understand how a bank’s trader operates.
The first verse in the bank trader’s bible is about discipline. If you are wrong, you are wrong. Don’t fight it, get out
Next, don’t try to generate interest. When I was a young PIGlet coming from a back-office role in the bank, it was ingrained that I should at least look busy even if I wasn’t, otherwise I could be deemed surplus to requirements. My first interbank trading role was Scandinavian currencies in a major U.S. trading bank.
We were there for every player in the market in whatever size of trade they wanted. It was scary stuff but if there was nothing going on, there was nothing going on. I could read a copy of The Sun, even page three in those days, without worrying that come the end of the year I would be out! Only one thing mattered and it wasn’t your friendly nature and willingness to help out that is typical of a non-trader’s appraisal. Make your budget or Bye Bye.
A lot is made of pressure. What is scarier? Trading your own money or living with the fear that having built a decent lifestyle one bad year and you could be out. If that coincided with a downturn you may never work again.
Management of expectation is critical. Don’t expect to make your fortune trading from your basement in isolation. When they say on gambling adverts on TV, don’t risk more than you can afford to lose, that’s aimed at the guy in the pub with a five team acca expecting to make his beer money for the week for the cost of a single pint.
It is impossible to generalize and say who is risking more the employed trader or the retail guy. Bank traders are one of the only breeds in senior positions in banks who can lose their jobs without doing anything wrong. Being paid to speculate is real pressure, especially in an industry that is traditionally conservative.
Read the book Dinosaur by Haydon Murray. He takes the reader on a journey through the whole 1990’s trading excesses ultimately falling foul of an unseen enemy; progress.
Interbank traders don’t paw over charts they use their instincts. Trading is, in my opinion, an instinctive challenge and not everyone, no matter their mathematical prowess, can handle it.
We can all understand charts, signals, Algo’s even robots but at the end of the day a price goes up or down or stays the same. It’s a basic primal game that demands strong nerves and sharp reflexes.
Any retail trader who say’s “I don’t get involved in chatter” and trades longer term will have been shaken out of his nice short cable position which all the charts, signals and algo’s say is definitely correct, by some American pharma business paying billions for a U.K. firm. They need to buy xxx billion pounds and up goes cable. It takes real nerve (and deep pockets) to stay with your position at that point convinced you are right. But then you are maybe just fighting reality.
Want to see how the big boys do it? Sit in with a dealer when the employment report has just come out. He is short Usd/Jpy and the non-farm is +300k against an expectation of +100k. The speed with which these guys can turn a position or add to the existing one at better levels is truly phenomenal.So, is there room in the sandbox for everyone? Of course, there is, just don’t cuss the bully or you may end up with a black eye!
Antipathy towards banks is unwarranted
Talking to retail FX traders one thing always comes across to me. There is a general antagonism towards banks. This could be jealousy, it could be an inferiority complex, it could even be a feeling that the market is skewed towards banks and their ability to almost print money.
It never ceases to amaze me how few traders have been inside a bank’s dealing room. Admittedly we don’t all live with a stone’s throw of the City of London, Paris Frankfurt or even Sydney but even a ten-minute visit would be a real eye-opener and time well spent.
We all know the statistics about retail FX traders; 90% of them take 90 days to burn through their initial deposit. True? I’m not sure. One thing is sure; it’s not just the lucky ones who survive and prosper.
Ex-traders who were, if you like, the pioneers of retail trading, don’t have a much better track record despite their experience. So, is the market skewed in favour of the banks? Well, I wouldn’t necessarily say it’s skewed but by providing liquidity and pricing, having the clout to take on large positions and simply seeing the flow or orders, banks certainly have an advantage.
But that doesn’t mean retail traders are doomed to failure! Also, they don’t need to act like banks to make money but it certainly would benefit them to understand how a bank’s trader operates.
The first verse in the bank trader’s bible is about discipline. If you are wrong, you are wrong. Don’t fight it, get out
Next, don’t try to generate interest. When I was a young PIGlet coming from a back-office role in the bank, it was ingrained that I should at least look busy even if I wasn’t, otherwise I could be deemed surplus to requirements. My first interbank trading role was Scandinavian currencies in a major U.S. trading bank.
We were there for every player in the market in whatever size of trade they wanted. It was scary stuff but if there was nothing going on, there was nothing going on. I could read a copy of The Sun, even page three in those days, without worrying that come the end of the year I would be out! Only one thing mattered and it wasn’t your friendly nature and willingness to help out that is typical of a non-trader’s appraisal. Make your budget or Bye Bye.
A lot is made of pressure. What is scarier? Trading your own money or living with the fear that having built a decent lifestyle one bad year and you could be out. If that coincided with a downturn you may never work again.
Management of expectation is critical. Don’t expect to make your fortune trading from your basement in isolation. When they say on gambling adverts on TV, don’t risk more than you can afford to lose, that’s aimed at the guy in the pub with a five team acca expecting to make his beer money for the week for the cost of a single pint.
It is impossible to generalize and say who is risking more the employed trader or the retail guy. Bank traders are one of the only breeds in senior positions in banks who can lose their jobs without doing anything wrong. Being paid to speculate is real pressure, especially in an industry that is traditionally conservative.
Read the book Dinosaur by Haydon Murray. He takes the reader on a journey through the whole 1990’s trading excesses ultimately falling foul of an unseen enemy; progress.
Interbank traders don’t paw over charts they use their instincts. Trading is, in my opinion, an instinctive challenge and not everyone, no matter their mathematical prowess, can handle it.
We can all understand charts, signals, Algo’s even robots but at the end of the day a price goes up or down or stays the same. It’s a basic primal game that demands strong nerves and sharp reflexes.
Any retail trader who say’s “I don’t get involved in chatter” and trades longer term will have been shaken out of his nice short cable position which all the charts, signals and algo’s say is definitely correct, by some American pharma business paying billions for a U.K. firm. They need to buy xxx billion pounds and up goes cable. It takes real nerve (and deep pockets) to stay with your position at that point convinced you are right. But then you are maybe just fighting reality.
Want to see how the big boys do it? Sit in with a dealer when the employment report has just come out. He is short Usd/Jpy and the non-farm is +300k against an expectation of +100k. The speed with which these guys can turn a position or add to the existing one at better levels is truly phenomenal.So, is there room in the sandbox for everyone? Of course, there is, just don’t cuss the bully or you may end up with a black eye!
Prime Intermarket Group Asia Pacific Limited, doing business as FXPIG™, holds a Principal's License for dealing in securities, granted by the Minister of Finance and Economic Development of Vanuatu, under the arm of the Vanuatu Financial Services Commission (VFSC Company Number 014578).
FXPIG™ does not open or maintain accounts for Vanuatu based entities or residents or U.S. based entities or residents who are classified as retail or low net worth clients as per the most recent definition of such by the CFTC. Governmental restrictions along with our own internal company policies prohibit FXPIG from opening accounts originating from restricted and/or OFAC sanctioned countries.
Trading in the Forex or CFD Markets is speculative in nature and not appropriate for all investors. Investors in the Forex or CFD Markets should only use risk capital when trading futures, options, and Forex because there is always the risk of substantial loss.
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I miss not holding your hand,
as the trees change colour and the wind chills the bone…
I miss being huddled together in the park,
an afternoon walk cut short by quiet whispers in lovers code…
I miss never having tea with you,
sitting cross legged on a porch and sipping something sweet.
And the artifice is gone, and nothing is all that’s left…
I miss not having gone to church with you,
and an afternoon nap where we didn’t have to say a word…
I miss seeing your sleeping form,
as I stay up late polishing a project and smiling to myself…
I miss never knowing the closeness,
that you and I have needed so much…
And being alone now makes it clear, that being surrounded isn’t the same, as being near you…
I miss listening to music,
and dancing to a song that makes me want to cry…
I miss the things we might have done,
the places we could have gone, the food we would have eaten…
I miss you, and wonder…
will you ever miss me?
|
{
"pile_set_name": "Pile-CC"
}
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After being overlooked in the 2012 draft, Wilson remained at Sturt, making his senior debut in 2014 before making a conscious decision to step away from the game at the age of 20. A string of injuries and inconsistent form led to a feeling of indifference about a sport he’d dedicated so much of his life to.
“I took the year off in 2015 and went travelling and did something unrelated to sport,” he said.
Reflecting now on his decision to take a break from the game two seasons ago, the new Crow has no doubt that it has helped him to reignite his passion for football and build resilience.
“I wouldn’t have it any other way, because I have some good life experience.”
Upon returning to the Double Blues the following year, Wilson was forced to watch his team mates celebrate a premiership win from the sidelines after a shoulder injury required a mid-season reconstruction.
“It was tough, but it happened midway through the year, so I had about 12 weeks to really get over it,” he said.
“I knew I had to get the surgery and it was out of my control, so I was just happy for the people who were playing and the club.”
Wilson returned from his injury this year with a renewed determination, shifting from defence into an onball role that saw him establish himself as one of the SANFL’s leading midfielders.
“Marty (Mattner, Sturt Senior Coach) said to me that there was a chance for myself to play in the midfield,” he explained.
“At first I was a bit hesitant to do that, but he pushed me. We had a few injuries which meant I could start in there straight away.”
The positional change encouraged Wilson to play to his strengths, leading to a strong run of form.
“It came together perfectly. I like the physical side of football; tackling, bumping, it suited my style a bit,” he said.
Wilson finished the SANFL season averaging 20 disposals, six tackles and five clearances from his 19 games, booting 18 goals along the way.
“One of my strengths is that I can kick the ball a long way but also pretty accurately,” he said.
“I found that during the year I was able to push forward as a midfielder and impact the scoreboard; I had a couple of games where I was able to kick two or three goals.”
With six Double Blues drafted into the AFL this year, former Crow and back to back SANFL Coach of the Year Mattner has helped to build players ready to take the next step with their football. And Wilson acknowledges his guidance reaches further than the football field.
“Marty is great; he’s probably more of a teacher than a coach,” he said.
“He’s really good at developing a personal relationship with you, which is something that I really like, because at times you just need someone to lean on and talk to.
“He was great with the whole playing group; everyone has the utmost respect for him.”
Wilson is looking forward to training with the main group after Christmas, having been placed in the rehab group as he works his way back from a toe injury. Once fit, he’s confident he can continue to build on his strengths.
“I think I can do the hard work and feel like I have a bit of class on the outside and can impact the game.”
|
{
"pile_set_name": "Pile-CC"
}
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Write-up: Extreme fatigue, spontaneous stomach pain (followed up with doctor and on 9/11/10 with ER - all blood work and urine confirmed no infection); the Gardasil vaccine was the only thing different that has occurred in my life. ER gave antispasm prescription and has sent me back to primary care doctor.
|
{
"pile_set_name": "Pile-CC"
}
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Transcription
1 Learning from Prices, Liquidity Spillovers, and Market Segmentation Giovanni Cespa and Thierry Foucault December 2011 Abstract We describe a new mechanism that explains the transmission of liquidity shocks from one security to another ( liquidity spillovers ). Dealers use prices of other securities as a source of information. As prices of less liquid securities convey less precise information, a drop in liquidity for one security raises the uncertainty for dealers in other securities, thereby affecting their liquidity. The direction of liquidity spillovers is positive if the fraction of dealers with price information on other securities is high enough. Otherwise liquidity spillovers can be negative. For some parameters, the value of price information increases with the number of dealers obtaining this information. In this case, related securities can appear segmented, even if the cost of price information is small. Keywords: Liquidity spillovers, Liquidity Risk, Contagion, Value of price information, Transparency, Colocation. JEL Classification Numbers: G10, G12, G14 A previous version of this paper was circulated under the title: Dealer attention, liquidity spillovers, and endogenous market segmentation. We are grateful to Terry Hendershott (the AFA discussant) for his comments. We also thank Dimitri Vayanos and seminar participants at the 2011 AFA meeting, the Copenhaguen Business School, theb ESADE-IESE workshop, the University of Naples, the Paris School of Economics, the School of Banking and Finance at UNSW, the 6th CSEF-IGIER Symposium on Economics and Institutions, and the workshop on Acquisition, Use and Transmission of Private Information in Financial Markets (European University Institute, June 2010) for helpful comments and suggestions. Cespa acknowledges financial support from ESRC (grant n. ES/J00250X/1). All errors are ours. Cass Business School, CSEF, and CEPR. HEC, School of Management, Paris, GREGHEC, and CEPR. Tel: (33) ; 1
2 1 Introduction The flash crash of May 6, 2010 provides a striking illustration of how a drop in the liquidity of one security can quickly propagate to other securities. As shown in the CFTC-SEC report on the flash crash, buy limit orders for the E-mini futures contract on the S&P 500 index vanished in a few minutes after 2:30 p.m. on May 6, This evaporation of liquidity in the E-mini futures was soon followed by a similar phenomenon in the SPY Exchange Traded Fund (another derivative security on the S&P 500 index) and in the S&P 500 index component stocks (see Figure 1.12 in the joint CFTC-SEC report), resulting in a very high volatility in transaction prices (with some stocks trading as low as a penny or as high as $100, 000). Why do such liquidity spillovers arise? Addressing this question is of broad interest. It can shed light on sudden and short systematic liquidity crises such as the flash crash. More generally, it can explain why liquidity co-varies across securities. 2 Co-movements in liquidity have important implications for asset pricing since they are a source of systematic risk (see for instance Acharya and Pedersen (2005), Korajczyk and Sadka (2008) and Amihud et al. (2005) for a survey). Yet, their cause(s) is not well understood. Co-variations in liquidity may be driven by systematic variations in the demand for liquidity (see Hendershott and Seasholes (2009) or Koch, Ruenzi and Starks (2010)) or systematic variations in the supply of liquidity. One possibility is that financing constraints constitute a systematic liquidity factor because they bind liquidity providers in different securities at the same time. This mechanism is formalized by Gromb and Vayanos (2002) and Brunnemeier and Pedersen (2007) and has received empirical support from analysis of NYSE stocks (see for instance, Coughenour and Saad (2004) or Comerton-Forde et al. (2010)). Another related explanation is that a drop in the capital available to financial intermediaries active in multiple securities can trigger an increase in risk aversion, impairing the supply of liquidity in these securities (as in Kyle and Xiong (2001)). In this paper we analyze a new mechanism that generates co-movements in the supply of liquidity in different securities, even when dealers active in these securities are distinct and not simultaneously hit by a market wide shock. Dealers in a security often rely on the prices of other securities to set their quotes. For instance, dealers in a stock learn information from the prices of other stocks in their industry or stock index futures. We show that cross-security learning by dealers causes liquidity spillovers and thereby co-movements in liquidity. To see this intuitively, consider a dealer in security X who uses the price of security Y as a source of information. Movements in the price of security Y are informative because they reflect news about fundamentals known to dealers in security Y. However, this signal is noisy since price movements in security Y also reflect transient price pressures due to uninformed trades. These transient price pressures account for a larger fraction of price volatility when the cost of 1 See Findings regarding the market events of May 6, 2010, CFTC-SEC joint report available at http: // 2 Evidence of co-variations in liquidity are provided in Chordia et al. (2000), Hasbrouck and Seppi (2001), Huberman and Halka (2001), Korajczyk and Sadka (2008), Corwin and Lipson (2011) for stocks and Chordia et al. (2005) for bonds and stocks. 2
3 liquidity provision for dealers in security Y is higher. 3 For this reason, the informativeness of the price of security Y for dealers in security X is smaller when security Y is less liquid. 4 Now suppose that a shock specific to security Y decreases the cost of liquidity provision for dealers in this security (e.g., dealers in this security face less stringent limits on their positions). Thus, security Y becomes more liquid and, for this reason, the price of security Y becomes more informative for dealers in security X (transient price pressures in security Y contribute less to its volatility relative to news about fundamentals). As a result, inventory risk for dealers in security X is lower and the cost of liquidity provision for these dealers declines as well. In this way, the improvement in liquidity for security Y spreads to security X, as shown in Figure 1. [Insert Figure 1 about here] To formalize this intuition, we consider a model with distinct pools of risk averse dealers operating in two securities, X and Y, with a two-factor structure. Dealers in a given market have identical information on one of the risk factors. However, dealers operating in different markets are informed on different risk factors. For this reason, dealers in one market can learn information about the risk factor on which they have no information by watching the price of the other security. We explore two cases: the case in which learning is two-sided (dealers in each security learn from each other s price) and the case in which learning is one-sided (the price of one security is informative for dealers in another security but not vice versa). 5 refer to dealers who engage in cross-security price monitoring as being pricewatchers. The fraction of pricewatchers associated with a security sets the dealers level of attention to the other security. The model generates the spillover mechanism portrayed in Figure 1 and a rich set of implications. First, when learning is two-sided, an exogenous shock to the cost of liquidity provision in one security (say Y ) is amplified by the propagation of this shock to the cost of liquidity provision in the other security (say X). Indeed, as learning is two-sided, the change in the liquidity of security X feeds back on the liquidity of security Y, which sparks a chain reaction amplifying the initial shock. Hence, liquidity is fragile in our model: a small exogenous drop in the liquidity of one market can ultimately result in a disproportionately large drop in the liquidity of this market and other related markets. 3 For stocks listed on the NYSE, Hendershott, Li, Menkveld and Seasholes (2010) show that 25% of the monthly return variance is due to transitory price changes. Interestingly, they also find that transient price pressures are stronger when market-makers inventories are relatively large. This finding implies that price movements are less informative when dealers cost of liquidity provision is higher, in line with our model. 4 In this paper, we measure liquidity by the sensitivity of prices to market order imbalances, as in Kyle (1985). The market is more liquid when this sensitivity is low. Empirically, this sensitivity can be measured by regressing price changes on order imbalances (see for instance Glosten and Harris (1988) or Korajczyk and Sadka (2008)). 5 For instance, consider dealers in a stock and dealers in stock index futures. The stock return is determined both by a systematic factor and an idiosyncratic factor whereas the stock index futures return is only driven by the systematic factor. Suppose that dealers in the stock index futures are well informed on the systematic factor. In this case, dealers in the stock can learn information about the systematic factor from the price of the stock index futures whereas dealers in the stock index futures have nothing to learn from the price of individual stocks. In this case learning is one sided. We 3
4 Second, when learning is two-sided, the model can feature multiple equilibria with differing levels of liquidity. The reason is as follows. Suppose that dealers in security X expect a drop in the liquidity of security Y. Then, dealers in security X expect the price of security Y to be noisier, which makes the market for security X less liquid. But as a consequence, the price of security X becomes less informative for dealers in security Y and the liquidity of security Y drops, which validates the expectation of dealers in security X. Hence, dealers expectations about the liquidity of the other security can be self-fulfilling. For this reason, there exist cases in which, for the same parameter values, the liquidity of securities X and Y can be either relatively high or relatively low. 6 A sudden switch from a high to a low liquidity equilibrium is an extreme form of co-variation in liquidity and fragility since it corresponds to a situation in which the liquidity of several related securities dries up without an apparent reason. Third, an increase in the fraction of pricewatchers in a security has an ambiguous impact on the liquidity of this security. On the one hand, this increase improves liquidity because pricewatchers require a smaller compensation for inventory risk (as they have more information). On the other hand, entry of new pricewatchers impairs liquidity because it exposes inattentive dealers (i.e., dealers without price information) to adverse selection. Indeed, pricewatchers bid relatively conservatively for the security when they receive bad signals and relatively aggressively when they receive good signals. As a result, inattentive dealers are more likely to end up with relatively large (small) holdings when the value of the security is low (large). In reaction to this winner s curse, inattentive dealers shade their bids, which reduces market liquidity. The net effect on liquidity is always positive when dealers risk bearing capacity (i.e., dealers risk tolerance divided by the variance of dealers aggregate dollar inventory) is low enough. Otherwise, an increase in the fraction of pricewatchers can impair market liquidity when the fraction of pricewatchers is small. Fourth, the exposure of inattentive dealers to adverse selection implies that liquidity spillovers can be negative. To see why, suppose that the liquidity of security Y improves. This improvement implies that the price of security Y conveys more precise information to pricewatchers in security X. Thus, the informational disadvantage of inattentive dealers increases and, as a result, the liquidity of security X may drop. For this to happen, we show that the fraction of pricewatchers must be small enough and dealers risk bearing capacity must be large. In a last step, we endogenize the fraction of pricewatchers by introducing a cost of attention to prices. There are several possible interpretations for this cost. It may simply reflect the fact that monitoring the price of other securities requires attention (it is time consuming) and human dealers have limited attention. 7 More importantly maybe, real-time data on prices are costly to acquire. Data vendors (Reuters, Bloomberg, etc... ) or trading platforms charge a fee for real time datafeed. 8 In particular, some market-makers can choose to pay a co-location 6 There also exist cases in which the equilibrium is unique, even if learning is two-sided. 7 Recent empirical papers (Corwin and Coughenour (2008), Boulatov et al. (2010) and Chakrabarty and Moulton (2009)) find that attention constraints for NYSE specialists have an effect on market liquidity. Thus, modelling dealer attention is important to understand liquidity. 8 Market participants often complain about these data fees.for instance, the fee charged by Nasdaq for the dissemination of corporate bond prices has been very controversial. For accounts of these debates, see, for in- 4
5 fee to trading platforms in order to obtain the right to place their computers close to platforms matching engines. In this way, they possess a split second advantage in accessing and reacting to changes in prices. Last, in the absence of real time price reporting (as for instance in some OTC markets), real time price information is available only to a few privileged dealers and very costly to collect for other participants. 9 When learning is one-sided, the value of price information declines with the fraction of pricewatchers. Thus, the equilibrium fraction of pricewatchers is unique and inversely related to the cost of price information. When dealers risk bearing capacity is low, a decrease in the cost of price information leads to an improvement in liquidity. Otherwise, liquidity is a U- shaped function of this cost. Indeed, for relatively high values of the cost of price information, a decrease in this cost triggers entry of a few pricewatchers, which is a source of adverse selection risk and impairs liquidity, as explained previously. In contrast, when learning is two-sided, the value of monitoring the price of, say, security X for dealers in security Y can increase with the fraction of pricewatchers in either security (for some parameter values). The reason is as follows. As explained previously, if dealers risk bearing capacity is low enough, an increase in the fraction of pricewatchers in security Y makes this security more liquid. This improvement in liquidity spreads to security X, which makes the price of this security more informative. Thus, information on the price of security X becomes more valuable for dealers in security Y. Furthermore, the value of information on the price of security X for dealers in security Y also increases in the fraction of pricewatchers in security X. Indeed, as the number of pricewatchers in security X increases, the price of this security becomes more informative, which strengthens its informational value for dealers in security Y. This finding is surprising since usually the value of financial information declines with the number of investors buying information (Grossman and Stiglitz (1980) or Admati and Pfleiderer (1986)). This principle does not necessarily apply to price information because the precision of price information increases in the number of dealers buying this information. One consequence is that dealers decisions to acquire price information on other securities are self-reinforcing both within and across markets. As a result, there can be multiple levels of attention in equilibrium for a fixed value of the cost of attention to prices. In particular, for identical parameter values, the markets for the two securities can appear well integrated (the fraction of pricewatchers is high) or segmented (the fraction of pricewatchers is low). As an illustration we construct an example in which, for a fixed correlation in the payoffs of both securities, the markets for securities X and Y are either fully integrated (all dealers are pricewatchers) or segmented (no dealer is a pricewatcher). For dealers in security X, monitoring the price of the other security does not have much value if there are no pricewatchers in security Y and vice versa. Thus, the situation in which the two markets are segmented is self-sustaining stance, Latest Market Data Dispute Over NYSE s Plan to Charge for Depth-of-Book Data Pits NSX Against Other U.S. Exchanges, Wall Street Technology, May 21, 2007; the letter to the SEC of the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association (SIFMA) available at letters/ pdf, and TRACE Market Data Fees go to SEC, Securities Industry News, 6/3/ For instance, a bond dealer may be an employee of a trading firm also active in credit default swaps (CDS). In this way, the dealer may be privy of information on trades in CDSs written on the bond. 5
6 and can persist even if the cost of attention declines. The mechanism that leads to liquidity spillovers in our model generates predictions distinct from the mechanisms based on funding constraints or systematic shifts in risk aversion described in Brunnemeier and Pedersen (2008), Gromb and Vayanos (2002) or Kyle and Xiong (2001). In our model, funding restrictions or an increase in risk aversion for dealers in one asset class (e.g., stocks) can initially spark a drop in the liquidity of this class of assets. However, in contrast to other theories of co-variations in liquidity supply, our model predicts that this shock can spread to other asset classes (e.g., bonds) even if there is no tightening of funding constraints for dealers in other asset classes. The only requirement is that the prices of assets in the first class are used as a source of information to value assets in other classes. Furthermore, as explained previously, in our model liquidity spillovers can be negative while theories based on funding constraints imply positive liquidity spillovers. Isolating the role of cross-asset learning in liquidity spillovers is challenging empirically because this mechanism can operate simultaneously with other sources of systematic variations in liquidity. One way to address this difficulty consists in studying the effects of changes in trading technologies that affect dealers ability to learn from the prices of other assets. One strategy is to consider cases in which a security switches from an opaque trading system (e.g., an OTC market) to a more transparent trading system (a case in point is the implementation of post trade transparency in the U.S. bond market in 2002). In this case, dealers in related securities can more easily use the information conveyed by the price of the previously opaque security. This is similar to a decrease in the cost of price information in our model. Another approach is to study the effect of changes in co-location fees. Indeed, dealers who co-locate can be seen as pricewatchers in our model (they have very quick access to prices of other securities and can thereby make their strategies contingent on these prices). Hence, variations in colocation fees should also affect the fraction of pricewatchers. We develop predictions about the effects of such changes in trading technologies in the last part of the paper. Our model is related to models of contagion (King and Wadhwani (1990), Kodres and Pritsker (2002), or Pasquariello (2007)) and cross-asset price pressures (Andrade, Chang and Seasholes (2008), Bernhardt and Taub (2008), Pasquariello and Vega (2009), Boulatov, Hendershott and Livdan (2010). These models describe various mechanisms through which a shock on investors information or liquidity traders demand in one security can affect the prices of other securities. 10 None of these models however studies the role of cross-asset learning in the transmission of a liquidity shock (i.e., a change in the sensitivity of price to order imbalances) in one security to other securities, as we do here. Our paper is also linked to the literature on the value of financial information (e.g., Grossman and Stiglitz (1980), Admati and Pfleiderer (1986)). We contribute to this literature by studying the value of securities price information. As explained previously, we show that price information is special in the sense that its value can increase with the number of investors buying this information, an effect which does not arise in standard models of information acquisition. In this respect, our paper adds to the few 10 Most of these models build upon the multi-asset pricing models of Admati (1985) and Caballe and Krishnan (1994). 6
7 papers identifying conditions under which the value of financial information may increase with the number of informed investors (Barlevy and Veronesi (2000), Veldkamp (2006), Chamley (2007), and Ganguli and Yang (2009)). The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 describes the model. In Section 3, we consider the case in which the fraction of pricewatchers is fixed and we show how liquidity spillovers and multiple equilibria arise in this set-up. In Section 4, we study how the value of price information depends on the fraction of pricewatchers and we endogenize this fraction. Section 5 discusses testable implications of the model and Section 6 concludes. collected in the Appendix or the Internet Appendix. 2 The model Proofs are We consider two securities, denoted D and F. These securities pay-off at date 2 and their payoffs, v D and v F, are given by a factor model with two risk factors δ D and δ F, i.e., v D = δ D + d D δ F + η, (1) v F = d F δ D + δ F + ν. (2) The random variables δ D, δ F, η and ν are independent and have a normal distribution, with mean zero. The variance of η is denoted σ 2 η. We make additional parametric assumptions that simplify the exposition without affecting our conclusions. First, there is no idiosyncratic risk for security F (i.e., ν = 0). Second, the variance of the factors is normalized to one. Third, we assume that d F = 1 and d D [0, 1], so that the payoffs of the two securities are positively correlated. To simplify notations, we therefore denote d D by d. When d = 0, the payoff of security D does not depend on factor δ F. Thus, the price of security F cannot convey new information to dealers in security D. In this case, we say that learning is one-sided. Trades in securities D and F take place at date 1. In each market, there are two types of traders: (i) a continuum of risk-averse speculators and (ii) liquidity traders. The aggregate demand of liquidity traders in market j is u j N(0, σ 2 u j ). Liquidity traders demands in both markets are independent and are absorbed by speculators. Hence, in the rest of the paper, we refer to speculators as dealers and to u j as the size of the demand shock in market j. Dealers are specialized: they are active in only one security. In this way, we rule out co-movements in liquidity which arise simply because the same dealers are active in multiple securities. 11 Dealers specialized in security j have perfect information on factor δ j and no information on factor δ j. However, they can follow the price of the other security to obtain information on this factor. We denote by µ j the fraction of dealers specialized in security j who monitor the price of security j and we refer to µ j, as the level of attention to security j. 11 In reality, dealer firms are active in multiple securities. However, these firms delegate trade-related decisions to individuals who operate on specialized trading desks. Naik and Yadav (2003) show empirically that the decision-making of these trading desks is largely decentralized (e.g., dealers trading decisions within a firm are mainly driven by their own inventory exposure rather than the aggregate inventory exposure of the dealer firm to which they belong). Their results suggest that there is no direct centralized information sharing between dealers within these firms. 7
8 We refer to these dealers as being pricewatchers. Other dealers are called inattentive dealers. We use W to index the decisions made by pricewatchers and I to index the decisions made by inattentive dealers. The polar cases, in which there are either no pricewatchers in either market (µ D = µ F = 0) or all dealers are pricewatchers (µ D = µ F = 1) are called the no attention case and the full attention case, respectively. Table 1 summarizes the various possible cases that will be considered in the paper. Attention/Learning One-Sided: d = 0 Two-Sided: d > 0 No Attention µ D = µ F = 0 µ D = µ F = 0 Limited Attention µ j > 0 and µ j < 1 µ j > 0 and µ j < 1 Full Attention µ D = µ F = 1 µ D = µ F = 1 Table 1: Various Cases Each dealer in market j has a CARA utility function with risk tolerance γ j. Thus, if dealer i in market j holds x ij shares of the risky security, her expected utility is E [ U (π ij ) δ j, P k j ] [ { } ] = E exp γ 1 j π ij δj, Pj k, (3) where π ij = (v j p j )x ij and P k j is the price information available to a dealer with type k {W, I} operating in security j. As dealers submit price contingent demand functions, they all act as if they were observing the clearing price in their market. Thus, we have P W j = {p j, p j } and P I j = {p j }. We denote the demand function of a pricewatcher by x W j (δ j, p j, p j ) and that of an inattentive dealer by x I j(δ j, p j ). 12 In each period, the clearing price in security j, p j, is such that the demand for this security is equal to its supply, i.e., µ j x W j (δ j, p j, p j )di + (1 µ j )x I j(δ j, p j )di + u j = 0, for j {D, F }. (4) As in many other papers (e.g., Kyle (1985) or Vives (1995)), we will measure the level of illiquity in security j by the sensitivity of the clearing price to the demand shock (i.e., p j / u j ). In equilibrium, the aggregate inventory position of dealers in security j after trading at date 1 is u j and the total dollar value of this position at date 1 is u j v j. The risk associated with this position for dealers in security j can be measured by its variance conditional on information on risk factor δ j, i.e., σ 2 u j Var[v j δ j ]. Thus, the ratio of dealers risk tolerance to this variance (the total amount of risk taken by the dealers) is a measure of the risk bearing capacity of the 12 As pricewatchers observe the price in security j, they can make their trading strategy in security j contingent on this price. Alternatively, one can assume that pricewatchers do not observe directly the price of security j but are allowed to place limit orders (a demand function) in security j contingent on the price of other securities. Such indexed limit orders have been proposed by Black (1995) but are typically not offered by exchanges. See Cespa (2004) for an analysis of trading mechanisms that allow multi-price contingent orders. 8
9 market. We denote this ratio by R j : R j = γ 2 j σ 2 u j Var[v j δ j ]. (5) The higher is R j, the higher is the risk bearing capacity of the dealers in security j. As we shall see this ratio plays an important role for some of our findings. There are several ways to interpret the two securities in our model. For instance, as in King and Wadhwani (1990), securities D and F could be two stock market indexes for two different countries. Alternatively, they could represent a derivative and its underlying security. For instance, security D could be a credit default swap (CDS) and security F the stock of the firm on which the CDS is written. When d = f = 1 and σ 2 η = 0, the payoff of the two securities is identical, as in Chowdry and Nanda (1991). In this case, the two securities can be viewed as the stock of a cross-listed firm and its American Depository Receipt (ADR) in the U.S. for instance. Factor δ F can then be viewed as the component of the firm s cash-flows that comes from its sales in the U.S. In each of these cases, it is natural to assume that dealers have specialized information. For instance, dealers in country j will be well informed on local fundamental news but not on foreign fundamental news as in King and Wadhwani (1990) Attention and liquidity spillovers 3.1 Benchmark: No attention We first analyze the equilibrium in the no attention case (µ D = µ F = 0). For instance, the markets for securities D and F may be opaque so that dealers in each security can obtain information on the price of the other security only after some delay. Alternatively, the prices of each security are available in real time but accessing this information is so costly that no dealer chooses to be informed on the price of the other security (see Section 4). Lemma 1. (Benchmark) When µ F = µ D = 0, the equilibrium price in market j is: with B D0 = γ 1 D (σ2 η + d 2 ) and B F 0 = γ 1 F. p j = δ j + B j0 u j, (6) The sensitivity of the equilibrium price for security j to the aggregate demand shock in this market, the illiquidity of security j, is given by B j0 (we use index 0 to refer to the case in which µ F = µ D = 0). In the no attention case, the illiquidity of security D is determined by parameters σ 2 η, d, and γ D. We refer to these parameters as being the liquidity fundamentals of security D. Similarly, we refer to γ F as a liquidity fundamental of security F since it only affects the illiquidity of security F. Illiquidity increases with dealers risk aversion (γ j decreases) and uncertainty on the securities payoffs (σ 2 η increases). 13 In the case of the CDS market, dealers in CDS are often affiliated with lenders and therefore better informed on the likelihood of defaults (and size of associated losses) than dealers in the stock market (see Acharya and Johnson (2007)) 9
10 Importantly, in the benchmark case, there are no liquidity spillovers: a change in the illiquidity fundamental of one market does not affect the illiquidity of the other market. For instance, an increase in the risk tolerance of dealers in security D makes this security more liquid but it has no effect on the illiquidity of the other security. 14 In contrast, with limited or full attention, a change in the illiquidity fundamental of one security will affect the illiquidity of the other security, as shown in the next sections. 3.2 Liquidity spillovers with full attention In this section, we consider the case in which all dealers are pricewatchers, that is the full attention case (µ D = µ F = 1). The analysis is more complex than in the benchmark case as dealers in one security extract information about the factor that is unknown to them from the price of the other security. To solve this signal extraction problem, dealers must form beliefs on the relationship between clearing prices and risk factors. We will focus on equilibria in which these beliefs are correct, i.e., the rational expectations equilibria of the model. We first show that, in contrast to the benchmark case, the levels of illiquidity of both markets are interdependent and this interdependence leads to multiple equilibria (Section 3.2.1). We then provide an explanation for this finding and we show that that the interdependence in the illiquidity of securities D and F leads to liquidity spillovers: a shock to the illiquidity fundamental of one security propagates to the other security (Section 3.2.2). Finally, we show that when learning is two-sided, the total effect of a small shock on the illiquidity fundamental of one security can be much larger than the initial effect of such a shock (Section 3.2.3) Equilibria with full attention In our model, a linear rational expectations equilibrium is a set of prices {p j1} j {D,F } such that p j1 = R j1 δ j + B j1 u j + A j1 δ j + C j1 u j, (7) and p j1 clears the market of asset j for each realization of {u j, δ j, u j, δ j } when dealers anticipate that clearing prices satisfy equation (7) and choose their trading strategy to maximize their expected utility (given in equation (3)). We say that the equilibrium is non-fully revealing if pricewatchers in security j cannot infer perfectly the realization of risk factor δ j from observing the price of security j. The sensitivity of the price in market j to the demand shock in this market, i.e., the illiquidity of market j, is measured by B j1 in the full attention case. Index 1 is used to refer to the equilibrium when µ D = µ F = 1. Proposition 1. With full attention and σ 2 η > 0, there always exists a non-fully revealing linear rational expectations equilibrium. At any non-fully revealing equilibrium, B j1 > 0, R j1 = 1 and 14 In our model, a variation in risk tolerance of dealers in one security is just one way to vary the cost of liquidity provision for dealers in one asset class. In reality variations in this cost may be due to variations in risk tolerance, inventory limits or financing constraints for dealers in this asset class. The important point is that they do not directly affect dealers in other asset classes. 10
11 the coefficients, A j1 and C j1 can be expressed as functions of B j1 and B j1. Moreover B D1 = f 1 (B F 1 ; γ D, σ 2 η, d, σ 2 u F ) = σ2 η d 2 BF σ2 u F γ D γ D (1 + BF 2 1 σ2 u F ), (8) B F 1 = g 1 (B D1 ; γ F, σ 2 u D ) = B 2 D1 σ2 u D γ F (1 + B 2 D1 σ2 u D ). (9) Proposition 1 shows that the illiquidities of securities D and F are interdependent since B D1 is a function of B F 1 and vice versa. Moreover, all coefficients in the equilibrium price function can be expressed as functions of the illiquidity of securities D and F. Thus, the number of nonfully revealing linear rational expectations equilibria is equal to the number of pairs {B D1,B F 1 } solving the system of equations (8) and (9). In general, we cannot characterize these solutions analytically and therefore cannot solve for the equilibria in closed-form. However, we can find these solutions numerically. In Figure 2 we illustrate the determination of the equilibrium levels of illiquidity by plotting the functions f 1 ( ) and g 1 ( ) for specific values of the parameters. [Insert Figure 2 about here] The equilibria are the values of B D1 and B F 1 at which the curves representing the functions f 1 ( ) and g 1 ( ) intersect. In panel (a) we set γ j = d = 1, σ uj = 2, and σ η = 0.2. In this case, we obtain three equilibria: one with a low level of illiquidity, one with a medium level of illiquidity and one with a relatively high level of illiquidity. In panels (b) and (c), we pick values of σ η or d such that the correlation between the payoffs of securities D and F is smaller (σ η = 1 in panel (b) while d = 0.9 in panel (c)). In this case, we obtain a unique equilibrium. More generally, when d is low relative to σ 2 η, the model has a unique rational expectations equilibrium, as shown in the next corollary. Corollary 1. If 4d 2 < σ 2 η and µ D = µ F = 1 then there is a unique non-fully revealing rational expectations equilibrium. In particular, when learning is one sided (d = 0), there exists a unique non-fully revealing linear rational expectations equilibrium. Furthermore, in this case, we can characterize the equilibrium in closed-form (see Corollary 6 below). 15 The case in which σ 2 η = 0 requires a separate analysis. In this case, it is still true that if there exists a non-fully revealing equilibrium then B D1 and B F 1 solve the system of equations (8) and (9). However, in this case, the unique solution to this system of equations can be B D1 = B F 1 = 0 so that a non-fully revealing equilibrium does not exist. As an example, consider the case in which the two securities are identical: d = 1, σ 2 η = 0, γ F = γ D = γ, σ 2 u j = σ 2 u. We refer to this case as the symmetric case. 15 The condition given in Corollary 1 is sufficient to guarantee the existence of a unique rational expectations equilibrium when all dealers are pricewatchers, but it is not necessary. Numerical simulations show that there exist multiple equilibria when d is high relative to σ 2 η. Moreover it can be shown formally that the model has either one or three non-fully revealing rational expectations equilibria. 11
13 When d = 0, the price of security F does not convey information to dealers in security D (ρ 2 D1 = 0) since the payoff of security D does not depend on the risk factor known to dealers in security F. Using the expressions for B j1 given in Proposition 1, we obtain that B j1 = B j0 (1 ρ 2 j1). (17) This observation yields the following result. Corollary 2. The markets for securities D and F are less illiquid with full attention than with no attention, i.e., B j1 B j0. Moreover, with full attention, an increase in the informativeness of the price of security j for dealers in security j makes security j more liquid, i.e., B j1 ρ 2 j1 0. (18) The intuition for this result is straightforward. By watching the price of another security, dealers learn information. Hence, they face less uncertainty about the payoff of the security in which they are active. For this reason, with full attention, dealers require a smaller premium than with no attention to absorb a given demand shock (first part of the corollary) and this premium decreases with the informativeness of prices (last part of the corollary). Price movements in security j are driven both by news about factor δ j and demand shocks specific to this security. The contribution of demand shocks to price variations becomes relatively higher when security j becomes more illiquid. As a consequence the price of security j becomes less informative for dealers in other markets when security j becomes more illiquid. To see this, remember that the signal about factor δ j conveyed by the price of security j to dealers in security j is ω j = δ j + B j1 u j. Clearly, this signal is noisier when B j1 is higher, which yields the following result. Corollary 3. With full attention, an increase in the illiquidity of security j makes its price less informative for dealers in security j: ρ 2 j1 B j1 0. (19) Corollaries 2 and 3 explain why the illiquidity of security D and F are interdependent when dealers in the two securities learn from each other s prices. Indeed, the illiquidity of security j determines the informativeness of the price of this security for dealers in security j (Corollary 3) and as a result the illiquidity of security j (Corollary 2). This observation helps us to understand how multiple equilibria can arise when dealers learn from each other s prices. Consider dealers in security F. They do not directly observe the sensitivity of the price to demand shocks in security D, i.e., the illiquidity of security D. Hence, ultimately, the informativeness of the price of security D for dealers in security F depends on their belief regarding the illiquidity of security D. Similarly, the informativeness of the price of security F for dealers in security D depends on their belief regarding the illiquidity of security F. In sum, the illiquidity of security j depends on the beliefs of the dealers active in this 13
14 security about the illiquidity of security j, which itself depends on the beliefs of its dealers about the illiquidity of security j. This loop leads to multiplicity as, for the same values of the exogenous parameters, various systems of beliefs can be self-sustaining. 17 This circularity breaks down when dealers in security D do not use the information contained in the price of security F (either because µ D = 0 or because d = 0). In this case, the illiquidity of security D is uniquely pinned down by its fundamentals (γ D and σ 2 η) and, as a result, the beliefs of dealers in security F regarding the liquidity of security D are uniquely defined as well (since dealers expectations about the illiquidity of the other security must be correct in equilibrium). More generally, when d is low relative to σ 2 η, security D is not much exposed to factor δ F. Thus, the beliefs of dealers in security D about the liquidity of security F play a relatively minor role in the determination of the liquidity of security D and, for this reason, the equilibrium is unique, as shown in Corollary 1. The interdependence in the illiquidity of securities D and F has another implication. In contrast to the benchmark case, an exogenous change in the illiquidity of one market (due for instance to an increase in dealers risk tolerance in this market) affects the illiquidity of the other market. We call this effect a liquidity spillover. To see this point, consider the effect of an increase in the risk tolerance of dealers in security D. The immediate effect of this increase is to make security D more liquid as in the benchmark case. Hence, its price becomes more informative for dealers in security F (Corollary 3), which then becomes more liquid (Corollary 2) because inventory risk for dealers in security F is smaller when they are all better informed. Thus, the improvement in the liquidity of security D spreads to liquidity F, although security F experiences no change in its liquidity fundamentals. More formally, consider the system of equations (8) and (9). Other things equal, an increase in the risk tolerance of dealers in security D makes this security more liquid since f 1 / γ D < 0. In turn this improvement spreads to security F because g 1 / B D1 0. More generally, any exogenous change in the illiquidity of security D will spill over to security F because g 1 / B D1 0. Similarly, an exogenous change in the illiquidity of security F will spill over to security D when f 1 / B F 1 0. The direction (positive/negative) of these liquidity spillovers is determined by the signs of g 1 / B D1 and f 1 / B F 1. Corollary 4. With full attention, liquidity spillovers are always positive, i.e., f 1 / B F 1 0 and g 1 / B D1 > 0. Moreover when learning is one sided (d = 0), there is no spillover from security F to security D because the price of security F conveys no information to dealers in security D. In contrast, when learning is two-sided (d > 0), liquidity spillovers operate in both directions. Intuitively, positive liquidity spillovers generate positive co-movements in illiquidity acrosssecurities. In our model, illiquidity is not stochastic (it is a deterministic function of the parameters). However, we can create variations in illiquidity by picking randomly the exogenous 17 Ganguli and Yang (2009) consider a single security model of price formation similar to Grossman and Stiglitz (1980). They show that multiple non-fully revealing linear rational expectations equilibria arise when investors have private information both on the asset payoff and the aggregate supply of the security. The source of multiplicity here is different since dealers have no supply information in our model. 14
15 parameters of the model (e.g., the risk tolerance of dealers in security D) and compute the resulting covariance for illiquidity of securities F and D. Figure 5 in Section 3.3 provides an example that shows how positive liquidity spillovers result in positive covariation in liquidity Amplification: the illiquidity multiplier With two-sided learning, liquidity spillovers operate in both directions. As a consequence, the total effect of a small change in the illiquidity fundamentals of one security is higher than the direct effect of these changes. To see this consider the chain of effects that follows a small reduction, denoted by γ D < 0, in the risk tolerance of dealers in security D. The direct effect of this reduction is to increase the illiquidity of security D by ( f 1 / γ D ) γ D > 0. As a consequence, the price of this security becomes less informative. Hence, dealers in security F face more uncertainty and security F becomes less liquid as well, although its liquidity fundamental (γ F ) is unchanged. immediate increase in the illiquidity of security F is equal to ( g 1 / B D1 )( f 1 / γ D ) γ D > 0. When learning is two sided (d > 0), this increase in illiquidity for security F leads to an even larger increase in the illiquidity of security D, starting a new vicious loop (as the increase in illiquidity for security D leads to a further increase in illiquidity for security F etc,... ). As a result, the total effect of the initial decrease in the risk tolerance of dealers in security D is an order of magnitude larger than its direct effect on the illiquidity of both securities. The next corollary formalizes this discussion. Corollary 5. Let κ The 1 (1 ( g 1 / B D1 )( f 1 / B F 1 )), (20) and assume that d > 0. With full attention, the total effects of a change in the risk tolerance of dealers in security D is given by db D1 f 1 = κ < 0, dγ } {{ D γ } }{{} D Total Effect Direct Effect db F 1 = κ g 1 f 1 < 0. dγ } {{ D B } D1 γ } {{ D} Total Effect Direct Effect and there always exists at least one equilibrium in which κ > 1. Thus, the initial effects of a small change in the risk tolerance of dealers in security D are amplified by a factor κ. We call κ the illiquidity multiplier. This illiquidity multiplier can be relatively large when the illiquidity of each market is very sensitive to the illiquidity of the other market (( g 1 / B D1 )( f 1 / B F 1 ) is high). In this sense, cross-asset learning is a source of fragility for financial markets Allen and Gale (2004) define a financial market as being fragile if small shocks have disproportionately large effects. (Allen and Gale (2004), page 1015). 15
16 Figure 3 illustrates this point for specific values of the parameters (in all our numerical examples we choose the parameter values such that there is a unique rational expectations equilibrium, except otherwise stated). It shows the value of κ for various values of the idiosyncratic risk of security D (σ η ) and the resulting values for the direct and total effects of a change in this risk tolerance on the illiquidity of securities D and F, as a function of σ η. In this example, the total drop in illiquidity of each security after a decrease in risk tolerance for dealers in security D can be up to ten times bigger than the direct effect of this drop. Table 2 provides another perspective on the illiquidity multiplier by showing the elasticity, denoted E Bj1,γ D, of illiquidity in each security to the risk tolerance of dealers in security D, i.e., the percentage change in illiquidity in each security for a one percent increase in the risk tolerance of dealers in security D. The table also shows the elasticity that would be obtained (ÊB j1,γ D ) in the absence of the illiquidity multiplier (e.g., κ = 1 if µ D = 0). For instance, when γ D = 1.8, a drop of 1% in the risk tolerance of dealers in security D triggers an increase of 9% in the illiquidity of security D and 14.9% in the illiquidity of security F. This is much larger than what would be obtained in the absence of bi-directional spillovers (e.g., if µ D = 0) since in this case the illiquidity of securities D and F would increase by only 1% and 1.5% respectively. γ D κ B D1 B F 1 Elasticities E BD1,γ D Ê BD1,γ D E BF 1,γ D Ê BF 1,γ D Table 2: The table shows the impact of the illiquidity multiplier for different shocks to the risk aversion of dealers in market D. Other parameter values are d = 1, σ η =.62, σ uf =.1, σ ud = 1.6, γ D = 1.8, and γ F = 1/24. The corollary focuses on the effect of an increase in the risk tolerance of dealers in security D but the effects of a change in the other exogenous parameters of the model (γ F and σ 2 η) are also magnified for the same reasons. Last, we note that when the equilibrium is unique, it is necessarily such that κ > 1 (an implication of the last part of Corollary 5). When there are multiple equilibria, there is in general one equilibrium for which κ < 0. This equilibrium delivers unintuitive comparative statics. 19 For instance, in this equilibrium, a reduction in the risk tolerance of dealers in, say, security D increases the liquidity of both securities. Such an equilibrium may exist because, 19 It is possible to show that the model has three equilibria when it admits multiple equilibria. The equilibrium with κ < 0 is unstable whereas the two other equilibria (for which κ > 1) are stable. 16
17 as explained previously, the illiquidity of each security is in part determined by dealers beliefs about the illiquidity of the other market. These beliefs may be disconnected from the illiquidity fundamentals of each security and yet be self-fulfilling. 3.3 Limited attention, adverse selection, and negative liquidity spillovers We now turn our attention to the more general case in which 0 < µ D 1 and 0 < µ F 1. That is, we allow for limited attention by dealers in either security. In this case, the pricewatchers (dealers who monitor the price of the other security) have an informational advantage over inattentive dealers (dealers who do not monitor this price). This advantage is a source of adverse selection for inattentive dealers. This effect yields two new results: (a) liquidity spillovers can be negative and (b) an increase in the fraction of pricewatchers in one security can reduce the liquidity of this security when the fraction of pricewatchers is small. We now explain the intuition for these two results in more details. We proceed as follows. We first generalize Proposition 1 when attention is limited (Section 3.3.1). We then show that liquidity spillovers can be negative with limited attention and we provide a sufficient condition on the parameters for liquidity spillovers to be always positive (Section 3.3.2). Finally, we study the effect of a change in the fraction of pricewatchers in a security on the liquidity of this security (Section 3.3.3) Equilibria with limited attention As with full attention, a linear rational expectations equilibrium is a set of prices {p j} j {D,F } such that p j = R j δ j + B j u j + A j δ j + C j u j, (21) and p j clears the market of asset j for each realizations of {u j, δ j, u j, δ j } when dealers anticipate that clearing prices satisfy equation (21) and choose their trading strategies to maximize their expected utility. The next proposition generalizes Proposition 1 when 0 < µ D 1 and 0 < µ F 1. Proposition 2. Suppose σ 2 η > 0. With limited attention (i.e., 0 < µ D 1 and 0 < µ F 1), there always exists a non fully revealing linear rational expectations equilibrium. At any nonfully revealing equilibrium, B j > 0, R j = 1 and the coefficients A j and C j can be expressed as functions of B j and B j. Moreover B j = B j0 (1 ρ 2 j) γ 2 jµ j ρ 2 j + σ 2 u j Var[v j δ j ](1 ρ 2 j) γ 2 j µ2 j ρ2 j + σ2 u j Var[v j δ j ](1 ρ 2 j )(1 ρ2 j (1 µ j)), (22) where ρ 2 D d2 /((σ 2 η + d 2 )(1 + B 2 F σ2 u F )) and ρ 2 F 1/(1 + B2 D σ2 u D ). Proposition 2 generalizes Proposition 1 when attention is limited. As in the full attention case, it can be shown that (i) pricewatchers in security j extract a signal ω j = δ j + B j u j from the price of security j and that (ii) variable ρ 2 j is the informativeness of this signal. As 17
18 the pricewatchers trading strategy depends on the information they obtain from watching the price of security j (i.e., ω j ), the price of security j partially reveals pricewatchers private information. 20 Equation (21) implies that observing the price of security j and risk factor δ j is informationally equivalent to observing ˆω j A j δ j + B j u j + C j u j. Thus, in equilibrium, the information set of inattentive dealers, {δ j, p j }, is informationally equivalent to {δ j, ˆω j }. In what follows, we refer to ˆω j as inattentive dealers price signal. Using the expressions for A j and C j (given in the proof of Proposition 2), we obtain that ˆω j = A j ω j + B j u j. Hence, when B j > 0, inattentive dealers price signal is less precise than pricewatchers price signal, which means that inattentive dealers in security j are at an informational disadvantage compared to pricewatchers. This disadvantage creates an adverse selection problem for the inattentive dealers. Indeed, relative to inattentive dealers, pricewatchers will bid aggressively when the price of security j indicates that the realization of the risk factor δ j is high and conservatively when the price of security j indicates that the realization of the risk factor δ j is low. As a consequence, inattentive dealers in one security will tend to have relatively large holdings of the security when its value is low and relatively small holdings of the security when its value is large. This bias in inattentive dealers portfolio holdings is a source of adverse selection, which is absent when all dealers are pricewatchers. This new effect is key to understanding why liquidity spillovers may be negative in the limited attention case (see below). Substituting ρ 2 D and ρ2 F by their expressions in equation (22), we can express B j as a function of B j. Formally, we obtain: B D = f(b F ; µ D, γ D, σ 2 η, d, σ 2 u F ), (23) B F = g(b D ; µ F, γ F, σ 2 u D ), (24) where the expressions for the functions f( ) and g( ) are given in the Appendix (see equations (A.26) and (A.28)). The linear rational expectations equilibria are completely characterized by the solution(s) of this system of equations. As in the full attention case and for the same reason, there might be multiple equilibria and we cannot in general provide an analytical characterization of these equilibria. Of course, when µ D = µ F = 1, the solutions to the previous system of equations are those obtained in the full attention case since this case is nested in the limited attention case When are liquidity spillovers positive? As mentioned previously, liquidity spillovers from one security to the other can be negative when the fraction of pricewatchers in the latter security is relatively small. The intuition for negative spillovers is more easily seen when learning is one sided (d = 0) or when no dealers 20 Pricewatchers trading strategy (demand function) can be written as x W j (p j, ω j ) = a W j (E[v j δ j, p j ] p j ) = a W j (δ j p j ) + b W j ω j, where expressions for coefficients a W j and b W j are provided in the proof of Proposition 2. 18
19 in security D are pricewatchers (µ D = 0). Indeed, in these cases, the price of security F conveys no information to dealers in security D. Thus, the level of illiquidity in security D is as in the benchmark case (B D = B D0 ) and the level of illiquidity in security F is readily obtained by substituting this expression for B D in equation (22). Hence, there is a unique rational expectations equilibrium and we can characterize the equilibrium in closed form, which considerably simplifies the analysis. Remember that R F is a measure of dealers risk bearing capacity in security F (see equation (5)). We obtain the following result. Corollary 6. With one-sided learning (d = 0) or no pricewacthers in security D (µ D = 0), there is a unique linear rational expectations equilibrium where the levels of illiquidity of securities D and F are B D = B D0, (25) B F = B 2 D σ2 u D (B 2 D σ2 u F σ 2 u D + µ F γ 2 F ) γ F (µ 2 F γ2 F (1 + B2 D σ2 u D ) + B 2 D σ2 u D σ 2 u F (µ F + B 2 D σ2 u D )). (26) In this equilibrium, liquidity spillovers from security D to security F are positive for all values of µ F if R F 1. In contrast, if R F > 1, liquidity spillovers from security D to security F are negative when µ F < ˆµ F and positive when µ F ˆµ F, where ˆµ F is strictly smaller than one and defined in the proof of the corollary. When µ D = µ F = 1, the corollary describes the equilibrium obtained with full attention and one sided learning. In this case, as explained previously, liquidity spillovers from security D to security F are always positive. In contrast, when µ F is small enough and R F > 1, liquidity spillovers from security D to security F can be negative. To see why, consider a decrease in the risk tolerance of the dealers operating in security D (γ D decreases). This decrease makes security D less liquid and therefore less informative for pricewatchers in security F. Thus, uncertainty about the payoff of security F increases. As with full attention, this uncertainty effect increases the illiquidity of security F. However, with limited attention, there is a countervailing effect that we call the adverse selection effect. Indeed, as pricewatchers private information is less precise, their informational advantage is smaller. As a consequence, inattentive dealers are less exposed to adverse selection. This effect reduces the illiquidity of security F. Intuitively the reduction in uncertainty has a small effect on illiquidity when (i) few dealers receive price information (µ F < ˆµ F ) and (ii) when dealers risk bearing capacity is high (i.e., R F > 1) since in this case uncertainty is not a big driver of illiquidity. When these conditions are met, the adverse selection effect prevails over the uncertainty effect. As a result the increase in the illiquidity of security D reduces the illiquidity of security F. Otherwise, the uncertainty effect dominates and liquidity spillovers from security D to F are positive. We now consider the more general case in which learning is two-sided (d > 0). The next corollary shows that liquidity spillovers in this case are positive if the fraction of pricewatchers in securities D and F is high enough. 19
20 Corollary 7. Let { µ j = max 0, R } j 1, for j {D, F }. (27) R j If µ D [µ D, 1] and µ F [µ F, 1] then liquidity spillovers from security D to security F and vice versa are positive for all values of d. Thus, the model will feature positive liquidity spillovers if the level of attention is higher than µ j for j {D, F }. This threshold is always less than one and can be as low as zero if dealers risk bearing capacity is small enough in both markets, i.e., if R j 1 for j {D, F }. In contrast, when the fraction of pricewatchers in security j is less than µ j, liquidity spillovers from security j to security j can be negative for the reasons explained previously. As an example, suppose that the parameter values are as follows: σ uf = 0.1, σ ud = 1, γ F = 1, d = 1, µ D = µ F = 0.1, and σ η = 1. In this case, µ D = 0 while µ F = 0.9. Thus, liquidity spillovers from security F to security D are positive while liquidity spillovers from security D to security F can be negative since µ F < µ F (Corollary 7). For instance Figure 4 considers the effect of an increase in the risk tolerance of dealers in security D. This increase reduces the illiquidity of security D but it increases the illiquidity of security F because liquidity spillovers from security D to security F are negative in this case. [Insert Figure 4 about here] Our model predicts the existence of positive or negative liquidity spillovers between securities. Empirically, these spillovers should translate into positive or negative co-movement in liquidity. We illustrate this point with the following experiment. For a given value of µ F, we compute the illiquidity of securities F and D assuming that γ D is uniformly distributed in [0.5, 1] and setting σ uf = σ ud = 1/2, σ η = 2, γ F = 1/2. For these values of the parameters µ j = 0 and liquidity spillovers are therefore positive. We then compute the covariance between the resulting equilibrium values for B D and B F. Figure 5, Panel (a) and Panel (b) show this covariance as a function of µ F when d = 0 and d = 0.9, respectively (for µ D = 0.1 and µ D = 0.9). In both cases, the covariance between the illiquidity of securities D and F is positive because illiquidity spillovers are positive. In panel (c) we set σ uf = 0.1, d = 0.9 and µ D = 0.9 while other parameters are unchanged. In this case liquidity spillovers from security D to security F can be negative when µ F is smalle enough. As a result the covariance between the illiquidity of security D and the illiquidity of security F is negative for relative low values of µ F and positive otherwise. [Insert Figure 5 about here] Is attention good for market liquidity? We now study the relationship between the illiquidity of a security and the fraction of pricewatchers in this security. We already know that the illiquidity of security j is always smaller with full attention than with no attention (see Corollary 2). However, as shown below, for small 20
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A 10-Point Plan for Writing (Without Being Overwhelmed)
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Welcome to FirstCare Walk-In Medical Center
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Fibromyalgia and Suicide Risk
Understanding Why Fibro and Thoughts of Suicide Are Linked
Suicide is a concerning issue, and one that deserves a better level of understanding. With increased understanding, there comes a chance for increased prevention through effective treatment and available interventions. By identifying factors that contribute to suicidal thoughts and actions, people that are more prone to suicide can be recognized and seek the help they deserve.
Studies find commonalities in people that are more prone to suicide attempts and completed suicides. The list of characteristics includes:
Being a woman. Men complete suicide four times more, but women are three times more likely to attempt suicide.
Chronic pain — regardless of the source.
Poor psychological health marked by high levels of depression and anxiety or low self-esteem.
If you look at these four characteristics, an association should become clear between factors that lead to suicide and symptoms of fibromyalgia.
Women are more likely than men to have the disease. The primary symptom of fibro is chronic, widespread pain. Often, fibro is associated with mental health issues with about 40 percent of people diagnosed with fibro also having depression. Lastly, many people with fibro report issues with increased fatigue and reduced quality and quantity of sleep related to the disease.
People with fibromyalgia are more likely to have suicidal ideation, which means they think that suicide seems like a good solution to the problem of their symptoms, and they are more likely to have suicide attempts then the typical person.
Even more interesting is the idea that people with fibro will have more thoughts and attempts of suicide than other groups with chronic pain. The multiple layers and dimensions of fibro lead to a more negative impact that chronic pain alone.
With all of this evidence, you are left with important questions. What are you going to do to avoid this situation? What are you going to do to defy the odds and flourish with fibro while others wilt under the pressure?
If you read other information, people will tell you to start an exercise routine, improve your sleep hygiene, watch what you eat, and utilize measures to improve your self-esteem. All of these aspects are valuable, but you have heard them all before.
The plans that encourage walking four days per week sound great — if only you could have less pain. The inspiration to eat healthy meals makes a lot of sense — if only you had the energy to stand in front of the stove. Of course, you would like to get good sleep, everyone would, but that option seems like an impossibility at this point. Right now, everything seems out of reach.
Fight Fibro With Optimism
If you find yourself in this situation, the problem is not pain, diet, exercise, energy or sleep separately. The problem is the cumulative effect that becomes bigger than any of the individual problems alone. The problem is pessimism. Pessimism can be described in many ways including:
Seeing the glass as half-empty rather than half-full.
Seeing life as a never-ending journey of disappointment.
Focusing on how other people have things better or easy than you.
An inability to find positive aspects about the people, places or things around you.
Next page: how to be realistic, patient and kind about your condition
Fight Fibro With Optimism
In many ways, pessimism is a logical response to fibro. Fibro is a chronic medical condition. It cannot be cured. It cannot be eliminated. It can only be treated with varying levels of response. When you look at your future with fibro, it looks bleak.
This is the problem. More so than the factors contributing, the overall life outlook will be your greatest enemy. This foe has been gathering momentum since your diagnosis.
What was once a small pebble of fibro has been adding mass and building speed over the weeks, months and years. Now, it is a powerful force that seems invincible. This is how fibro wins. It convinces you that it is too massive and frightening to be beaten, so you don’t even attempt to face it.
This enemy must be challenged, though. Otherwise, the result is the suicidal ideation and attempts described earlier. To combat this foe, you must fight back with an approach that is focused on slowing the momentum, stopping the force, and beginning to build motion in your direction. Rather than small, specific tasks, this challenge requires broad changes. Want to fight your fibro? Here’s how:
Be Realistic
Are you going to wake up one day pain-free? No. Are you going to get great sleep every night? No. Are you going to have zero mental health concerns? No.
Fibro will cause problems in your life. You can take measures to physically change these aspects, but a better use of your time is to change your perceptions and expectations of these. The negatives in your life do not cause distress. It is the disparity between expectations and reality that create distress. By being more realistic with your expectations, you will have less pessimism.
Be Patient
Some people choose to battle fibro with all-out effort to quickly undo the damaging effects of the disease. While this approach may work for some, you would do better to address this as a marathon, not a sprint.
By viewing the disease as something that will take a concerted effort over many years to combat you limit your frustrations by building patience. Your symptoms will not change immediately, but if you can work to build your optimism, you can reach your goal eventually.
Be Kind
Usually people will preach the virtues of kindness towards others, but this is regarding the kindness towards yourself. Fibro will work to turn you against yourself. By being kind to yourself, you fight back against fibro.
This can be accomplished by praising your accomplishments and being understanding of your shortcomings. If you lose faith and belief in yourself, pessimism takes hold.
Fibro is a powerful foe. The direct results of pain, mental health issues, fatigue and poor sleep are tough enough to manage. When you add the indirect results that end with suicidal ideation, attempts, and completed suicides, the disease becomes more ominous.
The battle worth fighting is over optimism. If fibro steals this quality from you, your situation will be painful. If you still have your hope, hold on to it. If fibro has corrupted it, strive to recover it. If you can keep hope alive, it can keep you alive.
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Gnome 2.16 and dbus 0.93 to Testing
2006-09-29 - Arjan Timmerman
hi all,
Gnome is finally done and will be in testing soon. Be aware stuff might be broken due to the dbus upgrade.
Please report broken packages to bugs.archlinux.org.
known issues:
- kdepim's pda synchronisation is broken
- mono related packages might be broken
- no gnome-power-manager yet
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Early #HairLoss Later #Heart Problems?
I read a study that says premature balding has a loose link to the likelihood of heart disease later in life. Here’s an example of why I am unabashedly socially awkward. I started asking my guy friends with intentionally shaved heads how long have you been shaving your head? They tell me they either started doing it when they realized they didn’t want to pay good money for a trim or they bit the bullet when they started noticing the depletion of follicle funds. This study is by no stretch of the imagination conclusive so don’t throw-out the baby with the bathwater, so to speak. In the meantime, watch your heart health, keep your lifestyle healthy and rock that premature balding head of yours. It’s not your exterior that people buy for the long haul in life. It’s all about these surprising 4-strategies, as per Psychology Today.
Don’t let high blood sugar steal your health. Grow Dip a Stick for Diabetes, a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization. See the hidden sign of high blood sugar with a needle-free glucose detection kit. Join the Dip a Stick Movement for free by subscribing here or by texting DIPASTICK to 22828 and respond with your email. You can also support us by shopping Amazonby clicking through or donate on PayPal.
About Allie Beatty
Allie's Voice is where I put my thoughts on health news. I have Type 1 diabetes but I talk about things that apply to everybody. Reach me on Twitter @AlliesVoice. Subscribe for free to Allie's Voice weekend e-news to support the nonprofit, Dip a Stick® for Diabetes. Learn more at www.dipastick.org.
Disclaimer
This site is not designed to and does not provide medical advice, professional diagnosis, treatment or services to you or to any other individual. The reader should always consult his or her healthcare provider
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Showing all posts tagged Wisconsin
Scott Walker is self-destructing and may not win a third term. It began in his bid for the presidency when his campaign imploded. Initially, he over-reached. He was too much good for Wisconsin too fast and he wasn’t prepared to take on the wolves. Given the sudden spotlight, he aimed for the presidency. Now, he’s talking like George HW Bush when he reneged on his “read my lips, no new taxes” speech, then said he needed to raise taxes to get along with Democrats toward the end of his first—and hence final—term. If Walker doesn’t lose, then there either aren’t any good Republican or Democratic candidates in Wisconsin or history has decided to stop delivering justice upon those who don’t learn from it.
SpaceX is proving the benefits of both public funding and privatization. Surely both Liberals and Conservatives will want the claim. The US government paved the way for space exploration, but Elon Musk made the stage-one booster return to the landing pad. The world has not seen a breakthrough of this magnitude since Lincoln regulated the first transcontinental railroad through the government while it was built by competing private companies.
Californian idealists, whether right or wrong, are distracted. If they truly believe in their ideals to stand against the Federal government, they will need to stop ballyhooing sanctuary city talking points and repeal their anti-gun laws. Right now, California’s best friend is not social media, but the Second Amendment, specifically the part about a State-regulated militia. Many claim that the National Guard is the militia, but that idea has not been fully tested and vetted and it also has many categorical questions. Calling the national guard to stand against the US military might not work, though it’s a good guess the idea has been tossed around at least one conference room in the bowls of California’s state capitol. We’ll just have to wait and see.
Hillary’s involvement in a bid to recount the election results will lead to her indictment. Before, her indictment was in question. Perhaps Trump would be “magnanimous” and not persecute his political opponent. That would make sense since political retribution is a can of worms that few want to open—except perhaps Hillary. Then again, no one is sure what she wants from this post-concession recount.
Chris Wallace proved his dated journalism nose once again; he asked the wrong candidate about accepting election results. He really expected the tables to be reversed. He questioned Trump based on his speculation of the vote rather than on the character of the candidates.
Of course Hillary would contest the results after she conceded to them. From her retributive, venomous, retaliatory mode of operation—even with every indication of magnanimity from Trump—she thought surely she would be indicted because that’s what she would do. While some speculate that Hillary hopes to sow doubt about Trump’s legitimacy and stir chaos in the nation, she’s just a wolf trapped in a corner who doesn’t seem to know that she is driving nails into her own political coffin.
Michigan and Wisconsin both could see intervention from their own legislatures and State Supreme Courts. The States could determine that the request for a recount came too late to be completed before the electoral college meets. The US Supreme Court would be divided and bounce decisions back to the States. Other speculations include Congress choosing the President and Vice President, but it is doubtful to even get that far. The States are about to display their power. America’s adversaries will quietly watch and that will make them respect America more than anything we will read in the headlines over the next eight years.
Fidel Castro died at 90 years old. He even said goodbye at the most recent Communist Party Congress. Cubans celebrated in the streets of Miami while Black Lives Matter mourned.
Polls aren’t lying. The divisive wind from Wisconsin blows through Indiana. The State GOP is already stacking anti-Trump delegates in hopes of a contested convention; this, despite the fact that polls—which aren’t lying—show 1/3 of Republican voters will turn on the party if Trump leads, but isn’t nominated. The Boston Globe borders on faux news over the border, in an unabashed snowball of anti-Trump efforts. It all perfectly mirrors stage three of the five stages of grief: denial, anger, negotiating, depression, acceptance.
How should we make sense of it all? Of all States, militia-friendly Indiana should be fond of the say-it-in-yer-face Donald. The dissents, however, parallel those of the Bible.
To review: The Bible has over 42,000 documented manuscripts supporting that the original writings are as they were. The only peer that comes close is Homer’s Iliad, with about 500 documented manuscripts. Surmountable archaeological evidence collaborates, enumerates, and elaborates the events of the Bible without contradiction. Jesus’ death and resurrection could not be faked or misreported given the documented witnesses, cohesive accounting of events, and the events as they are reportedly agreed to have happened. All these can be researched as the information is widely available to the public. If the Bible is not real, then novelists should find out how fiction became perfectly cohesive with history without a single footprint of tampering. How many authors do that?
Though dissidents overlook the evidence in their academic-sounding explanations for the Bible as having been allegedly fabricated, they seem to overlook one thing: If the Bible is the first perfectly fake document, shouldn’t academics also focus on uncovering whatever brilliant methods led to a manuscript that can’t be proven false?
Usually, when competent people give high-grade arguments against an idea, but don’t pursue the brilliance their own arguments imply, this indicates that they know their arguments are phony. And usually, this indicates stages three and four of the grief process. It’s like a mother saying to her five year old, “The dog did this? Then we need to call American Idol and audition the first dog who can draw stick figures on the wall.”
The reason people provide convincing arguments against the Bible—even though they don’t pursue those ideas as they would if their arguments were true—is simple. People refuse to believe the Bible, despite the evidence, because, like five-year-olds who don’t know they will get caught blaming their mischief on the dog, they don’t want to change how they live.
The Bible teaches that we should forgive our enemies, remembering that we need no grudges since God is sovereign. It tells us to look after our neighbors just as we look after ourselves. It teaches against breaking wedding vows. And the entire debate on sexual orientation is eclipsed by the Bible’s teaching that we should love God more than anyone else—usually “Christian homosexuals” give arguments that talk more about their desire for human love than their abounding love for God, rendering their “Christian-homosexual” argument irrelevant before it can receive a fair debate. Christians love God first—or did they forget that part?
The Bible is only one example. People reject many ideas and virtues, not because they disagree, but because they don’t want to change their unvirtuous behavior.
What is Indiana hiding? Why is the should-be pro-Trump State so set against the Donald? Consider the agricultural numbers published by the Indiana State government.
According to the report in 2012 from the Indiana State Department of Agriculture, 19.4M of Indiana’s 23.3M acres is farm and forest land, 83%. Indiana’s population at the time was 6,537,344; 245,000 worked in the $11.2B agriculture industry. The industry stacks up to $4B in corn, $2.9B in soybeans, $1.2B in pigs, $1.1B in chickens, and $660M in dairy. Each farm averaged 245 acres. According to Statista, Indiana’s GDP that year was $280.49B; according to Indiana University, only about half of the population was working (est. approx. 3.3M in the labor force). Indiana’s produce ranked well in the nation, their staple products often in the top ten.
Do those numbers make sense?
That’s a lot of land and money. If true, 7.4% of Indiana’s labor force contributed to only 3.9% of the economy on 83% of the land, each person bringing $45,700 in revenue. That’s labor union bargaining power! The Democratic lobbyists should be all over Indiana agriculture like fire ants on a sandwich. Yet, according to this, Indiana farming is half as efficient per person as the rest of the State, but makes a lot of money. The remaining jobs in Indiana should bring in an average of $88K per capita per year, on only 17% of the remaining land! Everyone in the USA should be scrambling to work in Indiana where non-farming jobs are worth an average of almost $90K to each employer. So, why aren’t they?
Remember, the reported agriculture jobs were rounded to the nearest thousand while the population figures measure to the ones’ place. According to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinal, 40% of Wisconsin dairy farms are Latino workers. Were Indiana farm jobs an estimate? Could numbers given to the State Department of Agriculture been somehow incomplete or difficult to verify?
Let’s re-work some numbers. Let’s say that half of the agricultural labor force is from out of State, not being counted in the stats. And, lets say that farm labor is actually half a million. That would mean that each person brings under $22K in revenue each year, which seems more realistic. Now, each worker costs less money to the big farms. Accordingly, the rest of the unions, lobbyists, and work force doesn’t want to flock to Indiana—except for people from a country with a lower cost of living than the US. 12% of Indiana’s work force contributing to 3.9% of the economy—try putting that in the next State of the Union Address—easy to believe, difficult to prove, unlikely to report.
At least two farming States and the Boston Globe are all in a tizzy about losing the illegals. But, no one seems to be able to figure out why farming States don’t like Trump.
Will the IRS investigate? Probably not. That whole taxation and representation part of history seems to be making an encore, along with America’s next and fast-approaching Bible study renaissance.
Wisconsin’s primary will set the tone for the remainder of the election and even the transition into the next president. The principal question of this primary is about the people’s ability to see through deception. This year’s second-place candidates don’t seem to know when they are losing. Perhaps, they actually don’t care, since winning may not be their goal. Their supporters don’t seem to see any of this.
Cruz supporters say that Trump is also a hypocrite, having changed his views, but they don’t seem to see the difference between a civilian having a change of heart, then running for office vs an elected politician contradicting his campaign promises with his past voting record in Congress. The Sunday morning subculture really can’t recognize that difference any more than they can recognize when they are losing. This is because most of their history as Sunday morning Christians is filled with unfulfilled hopes and daily forgiveness of broken promises from pathological apologizers in church leadership.
Cruz’s well-rehearsed facade of the phony Sunday morning genre has hypnotized that Sunday morning subculture into ignoring Cruz’s money from lobbyists, voting for what they hate and he says he hates, and strikingly similar track record of high-effort failure. Walker oversaw an increase in State debt, then endorsed Cruz. When people spend large amounts of money on negative results, such as Sunday morning—declining as it is costly—they have to pull the wool over their own eyes and keep telling themselves they aren’t not doing the right thing. So, Cruz’ failures and Walker’s debt fit their definition of “good results”.
Put in simple terms, neither Cruz nor Churchianity know when they are losing. They always go down swinging, never winning. Churchianity can’t not trust Cruz, a fake who only has credibility from his ability to impersonate their Sunday morning show.
Trump, by contrast, visited St. Norbert College and spoke more about the students’ future. He told his story of encountering the famous William Levitt—of the Levitt towns—and shared what the then bankrupt William told him: He failed because he lost momentum. This is something that Cruz and Walker have neither the likelihood nor the experience to speak about. They are focused on campaign games while Trump speaks to the need of his audience, even in the closest and most critical primary yet and yet to come.
As goes Wisconsin’s wind, so will go the nation’s. The polls could change after Wisconsin, but the atmosphere won’t. The 2016 question asks whether Americans can see the difference between phony smoke, mirrors, puppets, and flip-flops and the real McCoy of results, leadership, and repentance unto hope. And, the answer will be foreshadowed in Wisconsin, tomorrow.
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Streaming: http://lessthan3.com/#!/2011/02/introducing-tokyo-bliss/
As you should be well-aware right now, here at LessThan3 we are always looking to provide exposure to artists of the world who are worthy of recognition. Several months ago we came across the incredible new talent emerging out of Tokyo and it has become our goal to push their content out in the states and worldwide. Today marks a strong step toward this with the launch of a new podcast, Tokyo Bliss. This very special monthly series will feature mixes from artists on Japanese parter label Otographic Music, one of the leaders in the trance and progressive scene in the land of the rising sun. Want a good sampling of the caliber music you should expect? Check out Nhato, Shingo Nakamura, Hiroyuki Oda, Taishi, and KaNa, for starters. This group of artists alone managed to claim three spots on our Top 20 Trance Tracks of 2010 chart; take that as an indication of what\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\'s in store for us all!
Shingo Nakamura will be kicking off the series with the first episode--a beautiful mix of progressive house with many unique tunes, especially the opening jazzy track. Check out the tracklist below, subscribe on iTunes, and download a HQ version of the mix here (right click and \\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\"save as\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\"). Enjoy!
Tracklist:
(0:00:00) 01. B-Max - My Angel (Claes Rosen Remix) [Spring Tube]
(0:06:00) 02. KaNa - Flower Of Snow (Shingo Nakamura Remix) [Otographic]
(0:11:45) 03. Roger Martinez & Funkuz - Close Off Open Up (Original Mix) [Union Jack]
(0:18:45) 04. Shingo Nakamura - I\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\'m With You (Nick Stoynoff Remix) [Silk Texture]
(0:26:00) 05. Kazusa & Shingo Nakamura - Move On (Original Mix) [Silk Digital]
(0:32:30) 06. Croatia Squad - Terra Nova (Original Mix) [Enormous Tunes]
(0:37:45) 07. Soundprank - Burner (Original Mix) [Silk Royal]
(0:42:45) 08. Ad Brown & Darin Epsilon - Cold Water (Playton Remix) [Silk Royal]
(0:49:08) 09. Hiroyuki ODA - Submarine (Shingo Nakamura Remix) [Otographic]
(0:55:20) 10. Shingo Nakamura - Sapporo (Original Mix) [Silk Royal]
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World War II Database
Treaty of Rapallo
16 Apr 1922
ww2dbaseThe German Government, represented by Dr Walther Rathenau, Minister of State, and the Government of the Russian Socialist Federal Soviet Republic, represented by M. Tchitcherin, People's Commissary, have agreed upon the following provisions:
Article 1
The two Governments are agreed that the arrangements arrived at between the German Reich and the Russian Socialist Federal Soviet Republic, with regard to questions dating from the period of war between Germany and Russia, shall be definitely settled upon the following basis:
[a] The German Reich and the Russian Socialist Federal Soviet Republic mutually agree to waive their claims for compensation for expenditure incurred on account of the war, and also for war damages, that is to say, any damages which may have been suffered by them and by their nationals in war zones on account of military measures, including all requisitions in enemy country. Both Parties likewise agree to forego compensation for any civilian damages, which may have been suffered by the nationals of the one Party on account of so-called exceptional war measures or on account of emergency measures carried out by the other Party.
[b] Legal relations in public and private matters arising out of the state of war, including the question of the treatment of trading vessels which have fallen into the hands of either Party, shall be settled on a basis of reciprocity.
[c] Germany and Russia mutually agree to waive their claims for compensation for expenditure incurred by either party on behalf of prisoners of war. Furthermore the German Government agrees to forego compensation within regard to the expenditure incurred by it on behalf of members of the Red Army interned in Germany. The Russian Government agrees to forego the restitution of the proceeds of the sale carried out in Germany of the army stores brought into Germany by the interned members of the Red Army mentioned above.
Article 2
Germany waives all claims against Russia which may have arisen through the application, up to the present, of the laws and measures of the Russian Socialist Federal Soviet Republic to German nationals or their private rights and the rights of the German Reich and states, and also claims which may have arisen owing to any other measures taken by the Russian Socialist Federal Soviet Republic or by their agents against German nationals or the private rights, on condition that the government of the Russian Socialist Federal Soviet Republic does not satisfy claims for compensation of a similar nature made by a third Party.
Article 3
Diplomatic and consular relations between the German Reich and the Russian Socialist Federal Soviet Republic shall be resumed immediately. The conditions for the admission of the Consuls of both Parties shall be determined by means of a special agreement.
Article 4
Both Governments have furthermore agreed that the establishment of the legal status of those nationals of the one Party, which live within the territory of the other Party, and the general regulation of mutual, commercial and economic relations, shall be effected on the principle of the most favoured nation. This principle shall, however, not apply to the privileges and facilities which the Russian Socialist Federal Soviet Republic may grant to a Soviet Republic or to any State which in the past formed part of the former Russian Empire.
Article 5
The two Governments shall co-operate in a spirit of mutual goodwill in meeting the economic needs of both countries. In the event of a fundamental settlement of the above question on an international basis, an exchange of opinions shall previously take place between the two Governments. The German Government, having lately been informed of the proposed agreements of private firms, declares its readiness to give all possible support to these arrangements and to facilitate their being carried into effect.
Article 6
Articles 1[b] and 4 of this Agreement shall come into force on the day of ratification, and the remaining provisions shall come into force immediately.
Original text done in duplicate at Rapallo on April 16, 1922
[Signed: Rathenau]
[Signed: Tchitcherin]
[Supplementary Agreement of 5 Nov 1922]
The plenipotentiary of the German Government, namely Freiherr von Maltzan, Permanent Under-Secretary for Foreign Affairs; the plenipotentiary of the Socialist Soviet Republic of the Ukraine, namely, Herr Waldemar Aussem, Member of the Central Executive Committee for all Ukraine, and also the plenipotentiary of the Government of the Socialist Soviet Republic of White Russia, the Socialist Soviet Republic of Georgia, the Socialist Soviet Republic of Azerbaijan, the Socialist Soviet Republic of Armenia, and the Republic of the Far East, namely Herr Nikolaus Krestinski, plenipotentiary and Ambassador of the Russian Socialist Soviet Republic in Berlin; having communicated their full powers, which were found in good and due form, agreed to the following provisions:
Article 1
The Treaty signed at Rapallo, on April 16 1992, between the German Reich and the Russian Socialist Soviet Republic shall apply, mutatis mutandis, to the relations between the German Reich, on the one hand, and;
[1] the Socialist Soviet Republic of the Ukraine;
[2] the Socialist Soviet Republic of White Russia;
[3] the Socialist Soviet Republic of Georgia;
[4] the Socialist Soviet Republic of Azerbaijan;
[5] the Socialist Soviet Republic of Armenia, and;
[6] the Republic of the Far East,--
hereinafter referred to as States allied the RSFSR -- on the other hand. As regards Article 2 of the Treaty of Rapallo, this shall be valid for the application down to April 16, 1922, of the laws and measures specified therein.
Article 2
The German Government and the Government of the Socialist Soviet Republic of the Ukraine are agreed that the determination and the settlement of such claims as may have arisen in favour either of the German Government or of the Government of the Ukraine since the conclusion of the state of war between Germany and the Ukraine during the period in which German troops were present in the Ukraine shall be reserved.
Article 3
All nationals of one of the Contracting Parties who are resident on the territory of the other Party shall enjoy complete legal protection of their persons in conformity with international law and the general laws of the country of residence.
Nationals of the German Reich who enter the territory of the States allied to the RSFSR in conformity with the passport regulations, or who are at present resident there, shall be granted inviolability in respect of all property taken with them and of all property acquired on the territory of the States allied with the RSFSR provided that the acquisition and employment of that property is in accordance with the laws of the State of residence or with specific agreements made with the competent authorities of that State. The exportation of property acquired in the State allied to the RSFSR shall, unless otherwise provided for in special agreements, be governed by the laws and regulations of the State allied to the RSFSR.
Article 4
The Governments of the States allied with the RSFSR shall be entitled to establish, at places in Germany where they have diplomatic representatives or one of their consular agents, national trade offices which shall have the same legal status as the Russian trade delegation in Germany. In this case they shall recognise as binding upon themselves all legal acts performed either by the director of their trade office or by officials invested by him with full powers, provided that such officials act in accordance with the full powers granted to them.
Article 5
In order to facilitate economic relations between the German Reich on the one hand, and the States allied with the RSFSR on the other hand, the following principles have been laid down:
[1] All agreements concluded between nationals of the German Reich, German legal persons, or German firms on the one hand, and the Governments of the States allied with the RSFSR, or their national trade offices mentioned in Article 4, or individuals, legal persons, or firms belonging to those states, on the other hand, and also the economic effects of such agreements, shall be dealt with according to the laws of the State in which they were concluded and shall be subject to the jurisdiction of that State. This provision shall not apply to agreements which were concluded before the coming into force of the present Treaty.
[2] The agreements mentioned under [1] may contain an arbitration clause. Provision may also be made in such agreements for bringing them under the jurisdiction of one of the contracting States.
Article 6
The States allied with the RSFSR shall allow persons who possessed German nationality but have since lost it, and also their wives and children, to leave the country, provided that proof is forthcoming that they are transferring their residence to Germany.
Article 7
The delegations of both Parties and all persons employed in connection therewith shall refrain from any agitation or propaganda against the Government and national institutions of the country in which they reside.
Article 8
This Treaty may, as regards the above Articles 3 to 6, and also as regards the corresponding application of Article 4 of the Treaty of Rapallo, be denounced on three months notice being given.
Such denunciation may be notified by Germany to any one of the States allied with the RSFSR to take effect only for her relations with that State and, conversely, by any one of these States to
Germany, to take effect only for relations between that single State and Germany.
If the Treaty thus denounced is not replaced by a commercial treaty, the Governments concerned shall be entitled, on the expiration of the period of notice, to appoint a commission of five members for the purpose of liquidating such business transactions as have already been commenced. The members of the commission shall be regarded as representatives of a non-diplomatic character and shall liquidate all transactions at the latest within six months after the expiry of this Treaty.
Article 9
This Treaty shall be ratified. Special instruments of ratification shall be exchanged between Germany on the one hand, and each one of the States allied with the RSFSR on the other hand. Immediately the exchange is made, the Treaty shall enter into force as between the States taking part in the exchange.
Note: We hope that visitor conversations at WW2DB will be constructive and thought-provoking. Please refrain from using strong language. HTML tags are not allowed. Your IP address will be tracked even if you remain anonymous. WW2DB site administrators reserve the right to moderate, censor, and/or remove any comment. All comment submissions will become the property of WW2DB.
"All that silly talk about the advance of science and such leaves me cold. Give me peace and a retarded science."
Thomas Dodd, late 1945
About the Site
The World War II Database is founded and managed by
C. Peter Chen of Lava Development, LLC. The goal of this
site is two fold. First, it is aiming to offer interesting
and useful information about WW2. Second, it is to showcase
Lava's technical capabilities.
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Follow Us
How the Eye Works
To understand how the human eye works, first imagine a photographic camera—since cameras were developed very much with the human eye in mind.
How do we see what we see?
Light reflects off of objects and enters the eyeball through a transparent layer of tissue at the front of the eye called the cornea. The cornea accepts widely divergent light rays and bends them through the pupil—the dark opening in the center of the colored portion of the eye.
The pupil appears to expand or contract automatically based on the intensity of the light entering the eye. In truth, this action is controlled by the iris—a ring of muscles within the colored portion of the eye that adjusts the pupil opening based on the intensity of light. (So when a pupil appears to expand or contract, it is actually the iris doing its job.)
The adjusted light passes through the lens of the eye. Located behind the pupil, the lens automatically adjusts the path of the light and brings it into sharp focus onto the receiving area at back of the eye—the retina.
An amazing membrane full of photoreceptors (a.k.a. the “rods and cones”), the retina converts the light rays into electrical impulses. These then travel through the optic nerve at the back of the eye to the brain, where an image is finally perceived.
A delicate system, subject to flaws.
It’s easy to see that a slight alteration in any aspect of how the human eye works—the shape of the eyeball, the cornea’s health, lens shape and curvature, retina problems—can cause the eye to produce fuzzy or blurred vision. That is why many people need vision correction. Eyeglasses and contact lenses help the light focus images correctly on the retina and allow people to see clearly.
In effect, a lens is put in front of the eye to make up for any deficiencies in the complex vision process.
The main parts of the human eye include:
Cornea: transparent tissue covering the front of the eye that lets light travel through
Iris: a ring of muscles in the colored part of the eye that controls the size of the pupil
Pupil: an opening in the center of the iris that changes size to control how much light is entering the eye.
Sclera: the white part of the eye that is composed of fibrous tissue that protects the inner workings of the eye
Lens: located directly behind the pupil, it focuses light rays onto the retina
Retina: membrane at the back of the eye that changes light into nerve signals
Rods and cones: special cells used by the retina to process light
Fovea: a tiny spot in the center of the retina that contains only cone cells. It allows us to see things sharply.
Optic Nerve: a bundle of nerve fibers that carries messages from the eyes to the brain
Macula: a small and highly sensitive part of the retina responsible for central vision, which allows a person to see shapes, colors, and details clearly and sharply.
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Billabong Feel It All Shoulder Bag - $42.03
Why stash your everything into your jacket pockets when you have the Billabong Feel It All Shoulder Bag' Its bohemian style goes well with your earthy look and the main compartment has plenty of room for all of your everyday essentials. - $42.03
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Are Economists Clueless?
Will Wilkinson has been on a kick lately bashing economists (Macro-economists, to be clear). I can’t say I blame him. Macro-economics is far from a muture science, and is nearly devoid of empiricism. But, these are the guys who end up in policy making positions, and who policy makers listen to when it comes to questions of the economy. And we currently have A LOT of questions about the economy.
If booms or recessions are really based in coordinated psychological changes, then why should we think that monetary or fiscal policy is the most relevant policy lever? If the thoughts and feelings of the population are the issue, then maybe the real problem is that the mass media are unduly scaring people. Wouldn’t it follow, then, that good economic policy would have at least as much to do with controlling the media as controlling the money supply? If the problem with handing Maria Bartiromo a script of state-mandated talking points is that it wouldn’t work, how do we know that?
Again, economics needs to be more experimental. There is a trend in Micro-economics in this direction. But, micro-economics is about individuals interacting with individuals (or individual firms interacting with other individual firms) which makes experimentation far easier. Macro-economics is about the aggregate effects of all the actors in a society doing what it is they do. It’s a complex adaptive system, and these are not easy to study. But, doing a better job is a worthy goal.
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Castle Ravenloft Board Game Review
This Castle Ravenloft board game review was made after playing the game six times.
What is Castle Ravenloft?
Dungeons & Dragons: Castle Ravenloft is a cooperative dungeon crawl board game in which you will go on different adventures inside of Count Strahd’s castle and attempt to take out monsters and complete objectives. This game – and all of the D&D board games that followed – was designed to give players a Dungeons & Dragons(-ish) experience in an hour or less.
Castle Ravenloft Gameplay
All of the adventures in Castle Ravenloft have their own win conditions. Once you’ve read the setup instructions and what you need to do to win, you’ll choose heroes, place the heroes on the starting tile, and then you’re pretty much ready to go.
Each character has his or her own stats and a special ability, as well as Power Cards that give you even more unique abilities. You’ll have Armor Class (AC), Hit Points (HP), Speed, and Surge Value stats written on your Hero Card.
If you ever have zero HP at the start of your turn, you’ll need to use a Healing Surge and gain health equal to your Surge Value. Your team gets a total of two of these tokens to use per game.
During your turn, you can move and attack, attack and move, or move twice. You’ll attack by choosing one of your Power Cards to use, rolling the die, and adding any bonuses given to you by your Power Card. If you’re able to meet or exceed the enemy’s AC, then you’ll do damage.
When you defeat a monster, you get the experience points written on its card as well as a treasure card (these give you more special abilities). Later on you can use your experience to skip encounters or even to level up your character if you’re lucky enough to roll a natural 20 during an attack.
If you finish your turn at the edge of a tile with an open edge (no wall), you’ll explore. When you explore you add a new tile, draw a monster card, and place that monster’s miniature on the new tile.
After you’re done taking your actions, the Villain Phase will begin. If you didn’t explore on your turn, you’ll draw and resolve an Encounter card, which is pretty much always a bad thing. After that you’ll activate any of the enemy cards in front of you and follow the instructions on their cards.
If you’re able to complete the objective for the adventure you’re playing, everyone wins! You’ll lose if a character starts their turn with zero health and there are no Healing Surge tokens left. Most adventures will also have additional ways you can lose.
Pros
This might just be the best gateway dungeon crawl system I’ve seen. I had a chance to play this with someone who had never played a modern board game and she understood almost all of the rules by her third turn. It’s extremely easy to learn and teach.
The characters all feel quite different thanks to their special abilities and Power Cards. Each one helps the team in his or her own ways, giving players slightly different approaches to the adventures.
There is a very nice flow to this game. Turns are extremely quick, so there’s very little downtime regardless of player count.
The miniatures are fantastic and help to bring the game’s theme to life.
There’s a nice mix of easier to very challenging adventures to go on.
There aren’t too many other dungeon crawl board games that can be completed in an hour or less.
Cons
Some people will not like that they will have to rely on good dice rolls to do well in Castle Ravenloft. It’s very much a luck-based game, so you’ll probably want to pass on this one if that bothers you.
The dungeon tiles are a bit bland looking. That helps to make the miniatures stand out, but the board doesn’t look great when there are fewer characters on it.
You only need the one d20 that is included in this game, but more probably would have been better. Maybe one for each hero and one for the enemies.
Final Thoughts
Castle Ravenloft is a solid, easy-to-understand dungeon crawl for gamers of all ages. It’s certainly not a deep game, but that actually makes it more fun for those who just want to jump in and have a good time without having to keep track a lot of information. In my opinion, it’s a bit underrated on BGG (something I haven’t said about too many other games).
Castle Ravenloft and the other Dungeons and Dragons board games are fantastic for people who are looking for a cooperative dungeon crawl that is easy to learn and that has a lot of replay value. It works very well as a family game, too. You’ll want to pass on this one if you don’t like dungeon crawls or if you prefer meatier games.
If this game system interests you, check out these other D&D board game titles:
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Organizers of the Formula E championship have revealed the calendar for the inaugural season scheduled to start on September 13, 2014.
Organizers of the Formula E championship have revealed the calendar for the inaugural season scheduled to start on September 13, 2014.
The first ever Formula E season will contain ten rounds and will begin on September 13, 2014 in Beijing, China for the first round of the 2014/2015 season which has been programmed one week earlier than previously planned. Round 2 will also be on Asian territory as the 10 teams and 20 drivers will travel to Putrajaya in Malaysia for the race scheduled on October 18.
Replacing Hong Kong for round 3 is Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on November 15, while round four is programmed for December 13 at Punta del Este in Uruguay which will be the last race of 2014. The first race planned for 2015 will be on January 10 in Buenos Aires, Argentina, followed by Los Angeles, USA on February 14.
There will be a second race in United States, on March 14 when Formula E will be organized in Miami. On May 9, 2015 a race will take place in Monte Carlo, Monaco, followed at the end of the same month in Berlin, Germay on the 30th for the penultimate race. The epilog will occur in London, UK on June 27.
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Shadowrun Returns Updated
Product Update - Valve
Aug 1, 2013
New Features, Improvements- SMG: Aimed Shot now uses 4 bullets, down from 6. - SMG: Spray and Pray now uses 6 bullets, down from 8. - SMG: the Beretta, Uzi, Colt, and HK are slightly more accurate. - Shotgun: Kneecap now has a HP DMG penalty of -6, up from -3. It now has a -5% accuracy penalty, and a cooldown of 3. - Shotgun: All shotguns have had their accuracy falloff increased slightly, lowering hit chance at long ranges. - Rifle: Full Auto's accuracy penalty was not being applied properly at high skill levels. It should now always be 15% lower than a single shot's percentage to hit. - Rifle: Smartlinked rifles were less accurate at very long ranges instead of more accurate. This has been resolved. - Rifle: The FN HAR and HK G12 were very similar in every aspect except price. The FN HAR is now more accurate and holds more ammunition than the HK G12. - Rifle: Ammo capacity of the HK G12, Colt M23, and Ares Alpha have been reduced to 32, 34, and 38 respectively. - Rifle: The Colt M23's damage is now 15, down from 16. The Ares Alpha's damage is now 16, down from 18. - Grenades: Reduced store prices of all grenades. - Grenades: HE Phosphorus grenades were not showing up in the store. They should now be purchasable along with the other Tier 3 weapons. - Cyberware purchase screen is now more user friendly. - Vendors will now sell more things in various places throughout DMS campaign (such as more med-kits). - Visual improvements to the summoning grid. - General UI Improvements. - Added additional debugging for finding walkable tiles in debug mode. - Added messaging to alert user when last auto-save occurred. - Black IC is now less lethal. - Added an explanation of how Leylines work in the world of SR:R. - Added a definition of SIN in glossary.
Bug Fixes- Player can no longer sell a currently equipped outfit. - Swapping outfits will now correctly give the correct enhancements. - Player can now equip an outfit if they do not currently have one equipped. - Drones will now retain their Rigging bonus between levels. - Wired reflexes no longer dodge friendly effects. - Spirit death from overwatch no longer causes occasional hardlock - Reduced load times when loading new assets after version update. - First time OSX play will start in windowed mode to work around a crash issue for some users. - Move marker will now be visible over walls. - Fixed a crash that could occur when transitioning characters one-by-one out of the scene and into the next. - Fixed issue with equip screen item filtering. - Fixed issue with installing upgraded cyberware on individual locations of a pair. - Fixed issue with hiring screen adding incorrect selected runner. - Fixed a slew of typos. - Fixed cases in conversation where attribute or skill checks were applied incorrectly. - Fixed character preview not showing 3D Character in some cases. - Fixed bug where user could enter missions that require a decker without having any runners with a Cyberdeck. - Fixed various issues with hiring Coyote. - Work around some Steam Workshop upload timeout issues - Editor: Changes to scene or story variables will refresh that variable in the scratchpad.
Known Issues- We are investigating reports that some users are encountering problems downloading subscribed stories from Steam Workshop.
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Objective
Students will be able to further their experience with exponential functions through analyzing a real world document and providing âmathematical financial adviceâ to a client. Oral communication and collaboration are highly emphasized in this real-world lesson!
Big Idea
This lesson will provide students with the opportunity to investigate a conceptual understanding of exponential functions. Students will begin with a mathematical model and then extend their knowledge to providing "mathematical" financial advice based off
Use the properties of exponents to interpret expressions for exponential functions. For example, identify percent rate of change in functions such as y = (1.02)t, y = (0.97)t, y = (1.01)12t, y = (1.2)t/10, and classify them as representing exponential growth or decay.
Entry Activity
-Include decimals, fractions, irrational numbers, and integers – any real number for that matter!
-Make 2 copies total, on different colors of sticky note paper
2) Have coordinate grid on the board ready to go as students enter
3) 1” sticky notes work the best because they do not take up as much space on the coordinate grid.
Each student should get 2-3 sticky notes as they enter (exactly as in previous days). It is important that all students’ receive sticky notes of both colors, so that they can plot on each of the two functions.
On the board, I project the graph grid and instruct the students to graph y=2^x with the __________ colored domain and y=(1/2)^x with the __________ colored domain. Just as in previous lessons of this unit, check both graphs for outliers and address what possible mistakes were made in their creation. The students will then be able to compare the graph of a familiar function (y=2^x) with that of a totally new one (y=(1/2)^x).
(See the attached picture of the end result - it is really cool!)
The following discussion (starting in thinking groups and then transitioning to the whole group) revolves around introducing the concept of exponential growth vs exponential decay. It also illustrates to the students how different types of exponents affect the outputs in each case.
I have found this entry activity to be very powerful as the students continue to grapple with the complexity of exponentials. Showing them two graphs at one time fosters a great deal of critical thinking – especially when answering the following questions:
3 Questions/Instructions:
1) Collaborate to compare/contrast and describe each graph in detail. List any key features that you find.
2) How has your knowledge of exponential functions been changed by this activity?
3) Think of 1 real life situation that could be modeled by each curve. Describe.
The students will be able to answer these questions in 4-5 minutes. Whole class debrief of the questions usually results in the realization that the functions cross paths at (0,1)… hence why anything to the zero power is 1. I usually have several students who cry out “Oh! I get it now! I see WHY anything to the zero power is one.” Other notable talking points will inevitably come out, and I am ALWAYS surprised by the great answers students have for #3. It is really cool to see them start to understand exponential functions after several days of work! Several honors level students may even attempt to formulate an equation to model the events. I encourage you to try your own questions for this activity and share them in the comments section of this lesson!
Sticky Note Finished Product.JPG
Do Now.JPG
"Exponentially Useful" Financial Advice
(Since it is Friday when I am teaching this lesson, I decided to close the week in a way that is "non-traditional" and fit with our day's theme of striving for conceptual understanding.) Considering there is only 30-35 minutes left of class, I decided to divide the class into pairs as quickly as possible. For me, this was as easy as dividing each thinking group in half. I quickly passed out the activities "entry document" and explained the following task at hand:
For the last part of class, you will serve as a financial adviser with a conceptual understanding of exponential functions, growth, and the data provided to you on the spreadsheet. Your job is to explain the best strategy of investing to a recent college graduate looking to start saving for retirement. Do not overwhelm your client with mathematical jargon - but strive to break down the facts and explain to them the "concept" of what is most beneficial for their future, and why. You have 20 minutes to work before giving a 3-4 minute presentation to a group of your peers. Good luck!
*The Dave Ramsey excerpt comes from a well respected financial advisor who advocates for the understanding of the mathematics behind long term investing.
Dave Ramsey Financial Peace - Sample.pdf
Copy of Video Narrative: A Conceptual Introduction to Exponential Functions.MOV
Student Presentations
15 minutes
Students share results in an oral presentation with their peers. I typically group the class into groups of six (somewhat by ability level) so that there are 3 presentations in each. If time, debrief the key points with the class in a culminating discussion… However, as you will see, the most beneficial conversations occur at the small group level.
Note: You can also follow this activity up with a journal reflection – It is a great way to assess individual understanding in the context of a group investigation. If you try it, please let me know how it goes!
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Patriots vs Saints: 10 Keys to the First Preseason Game
Chandler Jones shined in practice – how will he perform in a game? (Photo: US Presswire)
NEPD Staff Writer: Matthew Jones
On Thursday night the New England Patriots will take the field for the first time of the 2012 season in preseason action against the New Orleans Saints, who are operating on a short week following Sunday’s 17-10 victory over the Arizona Cardinals in the Hall of Fame game.
The matchup offers a number of intriguing storylines from New England’s perspective; here are ten of the most intriguing angles in the Patriots’ exhibition opener:
1. Tom Brady’s chemistry with Brandon Lloyd
Last season, New England’s passing game was extremely effective, as Tom Brady threw for 5,235 yards and 39 touchdowns with Wes Welker, Rob Gronkowski, and Aaron Hernandez functioning as the team’s primary offensive weapons. The Patriots’ aerial attack could be even more deadly in 2012 thanks to the addition of Brandon Lloyd via a three-year, $12 million contract. Lloyd has previously found success under Josh McDaniels in Denver (77-1448-11 in 2010) and St. Louis (51-683-5 in 11 games since being acquired at the trade deadline in 2011), so his adaptation to New England’s offense was expected to be fairly smooth.
Thus far, all indications have supported that theory, as Lloyd has been consistently named among the most impressive performers in Patriots camp; it will be interesting to see how many targets Lloyd sees in the first game of the preseason against a talented Saints secondary which includes both Jabari Greer and Patrick Robinson at cornerback.
2. Showcasing Brian Hoyer and Ryan Mallett
Tom Brady is notoriously reluctant to leave the field even during blowouts; last season, Brady attempted 611 passes while backup quarterback Brian Hoyer’s lone throw came at the tail end of a 49-21 blowout against the Bills in week 16. The 26 year-old Hoyer is set to become a free agent following the season, and New England would be wise to showcase his abilities during the preseason in hopes of drawing trade interest or helping Hoyer earn a larger contract in free agency (which would allow the Patriots to receive a higher compensatory pick via his departure.)
Third-string quarterback Ryan Mallett remains one of the most enigmatic players on the roster; New England was wise to invest a third-round pick in a player with his combination of size and arm talent and could begin to see some returns on their investment as early as Thursday. Mallett is projected to receive a substantial amount of snaps and is another player whom teams could reveal some trade interest in, although it’s certainly possible that New England envisions him being Tom Brady’s eventual successor. Mallett throws the deep ball well and gets great velocity on his throws but most demonstrate improved footwork as well as more consistent accuracy in the short passing game.
3. Running back carry distribution
Bill Belichick invested heavily in running backs during the 2011 NFL Draft, selecting Shane Vereen in the second round and Stevan Ridley in the third round; however, BenJarvus Green-Ellis (34 percent of the Patriots’ offensive snaps) and Danny Woodhead (33 percent) still handled the majority of the work on offense in 2011. Now that Green-Ellis has left town for Cincinnati, it will be interesting to see how New England chooses to distribute their carries against the Saints; Ridley appears headed for the primary role, but each of the other three backs on the team should see extensive action as well.
The preseason opener may offer some indication of how Vereen is developing; the second-rounder was limited to just 15 carries in 2011 thanks to nagging hamstring injuries. Rookie undrafted free agent Brandon Bolden has also impressed onlookers in camp and is in excellent position to make the final 53-man roster following Joseph Addai’s release; look for Bolden to get a healthy amount of carries.
4. Deion Branch/Donte’ Stallworth roster battle
Although Deion Branch appeared to lose some of his explosiveness during the 2011 season, New England’s lack of dynamic wide receivers led to 15 starts for the 33 year-old receiver. The Patriots made a concerted effort to overhaul the wide receiver position this past offseason, releasing Chad Johnson, signing Brandon Lloyd (see above), Jabar Gaffney, Donte’ Stallworth, and drafting Jeremy Ebert (seventh-round.) Alongside Lloyd, Gaffney, and Wes Welker, kick returner/special teams star Matthew Slater and punt returner Julian Edelman are also considered likely to make the final roster and it is unlikely that the Patriots will carry seven wide receivers, meaning that Branch and Stallworth will have to compete against each other for the final spot. Both players enjoy strong chemistry with Tom Brady; Branch is the more productive of the two receivers, but Stallworth is younger (31) and more explosive.
5. Offensive line configurations/permutations
New England’s offensive line depth is a serious concern as the team moves into the 2012 season; four members of last year’s starting offensive line must be replaced on Thursday: left tackle Matt Light retired during the offseason, left guard Logan Mankins and right tackle Sebastian Vollmer are both on the physically-unable-to-perform list, and right guard Brian Waters did not report to training camp. Additionally, offensive lineman Robert Gallery retired this past Saturday.
2011 first-round pick Nate Solder will start in Light’s place at left tackle, and 2011 fifth-rounder Marcus Cannon will start on the right side. Dan Connolly, Dan Koppen, Nick McDonald, Donald Thomas, and Ryan Wendell are the most logical candidates for extensive playing time on the offensive line’s interior. Thomas and Connolly practiced with the first team on Sunday at left guard and right guard, respectively; Koppen and Wendell have both taken first-team reps at center. McDonald was impressive in limited action last season as well and should see the field. There are also a number of young players battling for depth spots along the line: Kyle Hill, Kyle Hix, Matt Kopa, and Darrion Weems at tackle, and Derek Dennis, Dustin Waldron, and Jeremiah Warren at guard.
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Tohti Tunyaz, the Uyghur student who had been studying in Japan, went back to China in February 1998 to gather research data for his doctorate thesis and he got detained by Ministry of State Security in Urumqi. In March 2000, he was found guilty of 'inciting national disunity' and 'stealing state secrets for foreign persons' and sentenced to 11 years in prison with additional 2 years' deprivation of political rights. He is still serving time in Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region Prison No.3 in Urumqi.
Tohti was born in 1959 in Baicheng County in Kashgar of Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region. He graduated Central Institute of Nationalities majoring history in 1982. He became a member of the Ethnic Committee of the National People's Congress, and pursued research on the history and cultures of ethnic minorities in various locations in order to communicate ethnic voices to the central government, and serve as reference for the formulation of ethnic policies and legislative activities. Tohti was also a secretary of Saypiddin Azizi, executive of Republic of East Turkistan and later became cadreman of Chinese Communist Party representing Xinjiang, and he gained credibility from Saypiddin Azizi.
He initially aimed to be government official of Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region to support the development in the hometown, but he decided to do research on ethnic policy and he became a guest researcher of Rikkyo University in 1990. Subsequently, He became a researcher of The Toyo Bunko The Oriental Library and stayed in Japan until 1993. His interest in history of Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region became larger finding the rich historical materials that he could not gain in China. He collected the research materials from countries and published a book in China in 1995. It was written in Mandarin, not Uyghur language, because he wanted to tell the Han people, the largest ethnic group of China, about the Uyghur people. He has also written papers on history and culture of Uyghurs'.
After the 3 years in Japan, he returned to the Ethnic Affairs Commission but he started to hope to gain history doctorate in Japan considering being government officials or politician was not the only way to support his ethnos. Though he asked the executives to send him to Japan, his request was rejected. In 1995, he resigned from work and enrolled in Graduate School of Humanities and Sociology of Tokyo University. His research topics were Chinese ethnic policy and Uyghur history. He went around the world to collect data and documents.
Chinese authorities suspected his activities and on short return to home, his father said to him 'The cadremen here visited and said many things about you. What are you doing over there in Japan?'. Tohti had passed the bar exam in China and he was confident he did not violate any law so he replied 'I am studying in Japan and I have never done anything wrong. Please don't worry, it is not a crime to study'. In February 1998, he left Japan for China temporarily to collect data for this thesis saying 'I'll be back in 3 weeks'.
Tohti was detained in Ministry of State Security in Urumqi during the trip and he was arrested officially in April. Rabiye, the wife who was living in Japan at that time, returned to Xinjiang to look for her husband and found him detained. Their house in Beijing was worked over and all the belongings including passbooks and bank cards were forfeited. Rabiye pleaded the public security to hand back the living expenses as she had 2 children to support, but the security told her to borrow the money from someone and turned around. She was questioned over many things about the life in Japan; how they lived in Japan, how they gained the money, who their close friends were, who they contacted often, etc. Though she replied that they survived on the scholarship and part-time jobs and they never had connection with any organization, the officials made up a imaginary Japanese organization and said that Tohti was a spy contacting the organization. He was charged with spying in Intermediate people's court.
In March 1999, the trial was held in Urumqi Intermediate people's court. It was a secret trial and no family member was allowed to sit in on. He was found guilty of 'inciting national disunity' and 'stealing state secrets for foreign persons' and sentenced to 11 years in prison with additional two years' deprivation of political rights. Though Tohti immediately appealed to High people's court, he was again found guilty of 'inciting national disunity' and 'stealing state secrets'. The change of the accusation from 'stealing state secrets for foreign persons' to 'stealing state secrets' implies that they could not prove Tohti's linkage with foreign organization.
Despite the change of accusation, the sentence remained still.
'Inciting national disunity' was charged on Tohti for planning to write and publish a book called 'Silent Uyghur Rebellion'. Once there was a plan for him to publish a book about Uyghur history and culture but the plan had been a dead issue. Authorities pointed a notebook forfeited from Tohti's house in Beijing was the draft of the book and it incited the disunity. However he used that notebook when he was working for Ethnic Committee and what he had written in the notebook was the things that he was to report to his boss. As the notebook was not disclosed, Tohti's lawyer was not able to ascertain the content. Whatever the notebook contains, charge of sedition should not be made citing unreleased text. He was found guilty and sentenced to 7 years inprisonment and 2 years deprivation of political rights.
'Stealing state secrets' was charged over photocopying catalog of historical materials of Republic of East Turkistan that existed from 1944 to 1949, before the Chinese governance. He photocopied the catalogs in archives in Autonomous Region with the help of the assistant working there. There was no corruption or blackmail to gain the information and Tohti never showed the copies to any one. Though formal documents are to be disclosed 30 years after they are created in China, the catalogs Tohti gained were archives that are created more than 50 years ago and he photocopied the catalogs, not the text itself. It is impossible for the copies to be state secrets. Tohti was found guilty of stealing state secrets and sentenced to 5 years imprisonment for this.
Sum of the 2 sentenceｓ and consideration of the circumstance came up with 11 years imprisonment and 2 years deprivation of political rights. He is now serving his sentence at Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region Prison No.3 in Urumqi.
Tohti's research topics were history and culture of Uyghurs' but he was not involved with East Turkistan independence movement. It is said, he was searching for solidarity among the Han people and other ethnic. Though his intention was good, he got arrested and found guilty for knowing and searching things too much.
The activities to release Tohti was firstly carried out by Tokyo University. They have appealed to dignitary of Chinese and United Nations Commission on Human Rights. Supervisors visited Urumqi and Tokyo University has changed the code and extended the absence until he returns.
Though professors of Tokyo University and Chinese government confronted directly at United Nations Working Group on Arbitrary Detention, the claims of Tokyo University was fully accepted. China was admonished to act accordingly as the conviction of Tohti was extended interpretation of 'state secret' and it was breaching Universal Declaration of Human Rights and International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights.
Lecturers of Tokyo University approached pen clubs and PEN American Center offered Tohti PEN/Barbara Goldsmith Freedom to Write Award. Pen club in Holland also offered Pen-NOVIB Award to Tohti. Amnesty recognized Tohti as Prisoner of conscience in 2002 and started activities to release him.
Rabiye, left in Japan with 2 children, worked for Japanese company and later opened a Uyghur restaurant but strain of worries and other things made her give up on the restaurant. Though she was not hoping independence of East Turkistan, she decided to make a speech on what happened to Tohti at East Turkistan independence event in 2005 to appeal to Japanese mass opinion. However she had to abandon the speech as the Chinese authorities found out what she had planned and visited her family in Uyghur Autonomous Region to put pressure.
She had little income that may cause trouble extending visa only for a year but a company that had been understanding the Chinese ethnic problems and supporting those troubled people offered her a job and she successfully extended her visa for 3 years.
Tohti is supposed to be released on February 2009. However there are little possibilities that the government will issue passport for him, the 'serious criminal'. Being released is not going to conclude the problem.
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Each Monday a brief motivational message is posted focusing on a single sales or business building skill, along with a single action point, for individuals to use during the week to help develop this skill into a regular habit. Take just a few minutes to change your week.
Are Prospects Really From Another Planet?
I could not raise even a raised eyebrow from Paul, a Telstra business manager. No matter
Are your prospects really Aliens in disguise?
what I said or did to try and move the sale forward he would just take it in and give out one of those ‘I’m not giving anything away’ smiles.
Another customer of mine was a bit of a firestorm. It seemed we were talking with raised voices more often then not, even though we managed to continue to do business.
Salespeople I work with tell me it seems that everything they have been trained to do and say just provokes heightened degrees of hostility with many of their prospects.
The initial mood set by a salesperson in an encounter is critical if they want to create an environment that might lead to a sale. This is where salespeople often make strategic mistakes and those mistakes come about because they have not necessarily come to understand the reality that the Prospect may be dealing with.
Let’s begin by looking at what might be going on in the Prospect’s head that may prompt aggressive or irritated behavior in that first encounter.
I’m too busy for this
I have some serious problems at the moment and this is an irritating distraction.
Boy o boy, how many times have I heard that opening line.
I know I should be nicer about this but I have found that the only thing that gets rid of pushy salespeople is to be a bit rude.
It’s obvious you don’t care about me or my troubles, you just care about making a sale.
We could go on with this list but I think the point is made.
We have, in fact landed on their planet and we are immediately trying to impose our values and agenda on them.
This is just not that smart, we know nothing about their culture, current state of mind or experiences. The sales training manual tells us to start by ask qualifying questions. Well I disagree. We have to be smarter than that and take a far more sophisticated and professional approach.
Our initial role as an ambassador to this new planet is to ask questions that are about their concerns….
Their attitude or state of mind at the moment.
What their business or interests are and how they are coping in this market
If we are going to establish an embassy in this new planet we must first put the locals at ease, give them reason to believe that we are not a threat. I have always liked the saying ….
It is also a saying I have been quite happy to actually use in a sales presentation. It works well because it encapsulates your intent and it pacifies the Prospect’s negative concerns.
So, my point is that we need to be mindful of the fact that aggressive or irritable behavior is often the only way a Prospect knows how to deal with an approach by a Salesperson.
We need to mindful of this and not intimated into blurting out our product features when we have not established an atmosphere that is in any way conducive to a sale.
Start the first encounter by trying to ask questions pertinent to the person, their business and what you are seeing right in front of you. Once you have established rapport and the prospect begins to display a more relaxed demeanor you might then begin to ask qualifying questions.
If you invest some time into the prospect but you do not establish rapport you need to do one of two things
Try for an appointment that will allow your Prospect to concentrate
Make a polite retreat offering to make contact (touch base) again in three months. (Time lapse depends on what you have decided is your prospecting cycle)
If you just press on with your SALES PITCH you will further alienate the Prospect and they will give you even more reason to falsely believe that…..PROSPECTS ARE FROM ANOTHER PLANET
If you want to communicate more effectively with these Aliens, you will want to consider downloading the Sales Analyzer APP
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About Greg
Australian business and sales leader, as well as author, who brings to life the science of human behaviour and motivation. Where influencing others decisions and their behaviour is critical to success I bring new and innovative tools to make this happen. Passionate about renewable energy and creating finance solutions to help businesses implement sustainable energy solutions.
Business and sales leader, as well as author and blogger, who brings to life the science of human behaviour and motivation. Greg is a graduate from Newcastle University and a lifelong student of the sciences unlocking the complexities of human behaviour. With 30 years operational sales and management experience he brings resources and a wealth of practical ideas when influencing others decisions and their behaviour is critical to success.
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China, Egypt seeks to promote Belt and Road Initiative
CAIRO, April 13 (Xinhua) -- Egypt is an important partner of China in promoting the Belt and Road Initiative, a visiting senior Chinese official said here on Thursday.
When meeting with Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, Sun Chunlan, head of the United Front Work Department of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee, hailed the long-standing traditional friendship between the two countries and continuous developments in bilateral ties.
The presidents of the two countries have reached a broad consensus on developing the comprehensive strategic partnership, pointing out the directions of bilateral ties, she said.
"China attaches great importance to developing friendly relations with Egypt and regards Egypt as an important partner in promoting the Belt and Road Initiative," Sun said.
The Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road Initiative, known as the Belt and Road Initiative, was proposed by Chinese President Xi Jinping in 2013 with the aim of building a trade and infrastructure network connecting Asia with Europe and Africa along ancient trade routes.
"China would like to comprehensively deepen pragmatic cooperation in various fields with Egypt and achieve joint development on the basis of mutual benefit and a win-win situation," Sun added.
She also condemned the recent terrorist attacks in Egypt and expressed condolences to the victims.
For his part, Sisi said Egypt admires the great achievements made by the Chinese people under the leadership of the CPC.
"Egypt highly values the comprehensive strategic partnership between the two countries and is willing to participate in the Belt and Road Initiative actively," Sisi said, adding that he welcomes more Chinese companies to invest in Egypt.
Egypt is willing to strengthen cooperation with China to combat terrorism in all its forms, he said.
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We offer the parking signs in 12" x 18" with 3/4" rounded corners, and without any holes. Rust-free, durable 51mil standard aluminium base with lamination.
How it works :
After placing your order, you need to email us all the required information that you want to see on your parking signs, including the colors, your logo, images, texts, etc., and we will email or fax you the proof of your parking signs that you need to approve before the production. We offer up to 5 free revisions on designs. If you have a print ready artwork to use, you can also email that to us.
We will make your customized parking signs and ship them from Toronto by CanadaPost within 1-3 business days.
In case you have any questions, please do not hesitate to ask
We also offer Oil Change Reminder Stickers, Maintenance Light Reminder Stickers, PDI Stickers, CSI Stickers, Tire Re-torque Reminder Stickers and Tire Rotation Reminder Stickers for garages and dealerships at the best price on the market in the automotive industry.
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rabil jersey
During Saturday’s June 9th game against the Long Island Lizards, the Cannons wore a special jersey designed to incorporate colors from the March of Dimes. Like what you see? An autographed, pink and purple game-worn Continue Reading
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HBO has released 17 new stills ahead of the second season premiere of "Thrones," airing on April 1. In the new batch of photos, you'll get acquainted with newcomers Stannis Baratheon, Melisandre of Asshai, Davos Seaworth and more. You'll also see familiar faces like Jon Snow, Daenerys Targaryen and the Imp Tyrion Lannister.
Check out the whole gallery by clicking on Dany's exhausted face below, and check out our rundown of all the new "Game of Thrones" characters while you're at it!
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Taking stock at the LHCP conference
I felt like I was returning home as I walked through the gates of Columbia University at 116th Street and Broadway, the day before the LHCP conference began. The scaffolding from the recently completed graduation ceremonies reminded me of my own PhD graduation thirteen years ago. The ubiquitous Columbia-blue signs of "Welcome back Alumni" seemed to be talking just to me. There was some nostalgia for what has changed, most notably the replacement of the tennis courts next to the large brick physics building with an even larger modern glass one.
Jet-lagged from the flight from England, my current home, had me awake at 4 am on the first morning of the conference. Anticipation -- because it was going to be my first conference since the boson-discovery conference in Melbourne in 2012 -- would not let me return to sleep. LHCP's kick-off, given by the conference chair and my own former PhD supervisor Professor Mike Tuts, reminded me of a few of the things to look forward to: a public showing of the new Particle Fever movie on Wednesday night and a panel discussion moderated by New York Times' science writer Dennis Overbye on Friday afternoon.
The conference comes during an early transition for the LHC experiments. While the experimentalists are finalising many measurements from the first set of collisions completed in 2013, they are making significant preparations for the next set of collisions scheduled to begin early next year. The scientific discussions of the sometimes mundane details of the first measurements are sprinkled with giddy soothsaying for what we might discover in the coming years, and how. Continuing into the coffee breaks, the tangible excitement in the ensuing conversations is a highlight of the conference.
My own presentation on measurements of multiple weak-boson production from the ATLAS experiment came on the second day. Jet-lag had not been kind, allowing me a mere three-and-half hours' sleep the night before, and my only hope for a coherent presentation was to keep a steady stream of coffee pulsing through my veins. This worked only too well -- I sped through the results at twice my planned speed, leaving the session chair to comment, "Well, we have plenty of time for questions..."
The morning sessions of the third day focused on what the newly-discovered Higgs boson could be telling us about what lies beyond. The afternoon was open, a break at the midpoint of the conference. For me this meant several hours of catching up on meetings and email. But there was a reward, an early dinner consisting of three things that are hard to find in the UK: fried chicken, a caesar salad, and a Brooklyn beer I'd never heard of. Then it was off to the showing of Particle Fever, where I had volunteered to answer any and all questions the public moviegoers had about physics.
Volunteers answering questions of the public before attending the Particle Fever screening at LHCP 2014. (Image: Chris Hays/ATLAS Collaboration)
I found a place next to a poster of the Standard Model and described the particles and interactions as best I could to the small crowd that formed around me. At the end, one of the listeners told me she was involved in the development of the poster -- from the presentational side -- and she now had a better understanding of what it represented. It's always nice when someone lets you know you have done a good job.
More than 1000 attendees were packed into the big conference hall on the southwest corner of the Columbia campus to watch 'Particle Fever'. The movie tells the story of the Higgs boson discovery, focusing on a few individuals who convey the excitement and activity within and outside the big experiments that took the data leading to the discovery. Afterwards the movie's director and three of its stars -- David Kaplan, Nima Arkani-Hamed, and Fabiola Gianotti -- answered many questions from the audience. I was impressed by the depth of the public's questions, cutting to many of the difficult issues that physicists continue to try to answer through their research. It is reassuring that the public finds many of the same questions interesting as we physicists do. This research is truly a universal human endeavour, and this is one of the core themes of the movie.
Another day of scientific results passed and the panel discussion came up after lunch. This focused on the major accelerators the field will need for the next big discoveries over the years and decades to come. While I will have retired before the next big accelerator produces data, I have a responsibility to ensure that the next generation of physicists have the tools to answer the questions that my generation has yet to even ask. The next discovery will lead to even more profound questions than the last -- this is the excitement of research, and it will continue well beyond the discovery of the Higgs boson, the latest important milestone on the path to understanding the workings of the universe.
About the author
Chris Hays is a Research Lecturer at Oxford University focusing on Higgs boson measurements at ATLAS. He also works on the precise measurement of the W boson mass, which provided an expected mass range for the Higgs boson prior to its discovery. Chris is currently serving as ATLAS UK physics coordinator.
Disclaimer: The views expressed do not represent the official position of ATLAS but the personal views of the author.
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What's Better Than 1 Great Quarter of Earnings? How About 14 in a Row?
Extra Space Storage Inc. continues to see a clear runway for accretive growth.
Deja-vu all over again! Extra Space Storage,(NYSE:EXR) just announced outstanding results for the quarter ending March 31, 2014. This is the 14th consecutive quarter that this leading self-storage REIT has achieved double-digit growth in funds from operations, or FFO. FFO is a metric used by REITs to adjust net income to better reflect actual cash flow from operations. Extra Space is the second largest self-storage REIT with a market cap of approximately $6 billion.
Here are a few highlights from the April 29, 2014 earnings conference call:
· Adjusted FFO growth of 24% compared to the previous quarter
· Increased same store revenue 8% for the quarter
· Over 9% increase in same store net operating income, or NOI, for the quarter
· A 200 basis point increase in same store occupancy to 90.4%
Putting that occupancy into perspective, CEO Spencer Kirk shared that for Extra Space the top achievable occupancy would be approximately 94%. This is due to a couple of factors:
1. In a typical month there is an average 6%-7% customer turnover. There are seasonal variations as well. This is an industry wide trend, not unique to Extra Space.
2. However, Extra Space Storage utilizes an automated revenue management system. This system crunches various inputs including: the occupancy of the local market, information about an individual customer, and the number/type of vacant units at a given facility.
This is a major factor in Extra Space achieving the consistent growth in FFO. Rates are automatically increased and/or move-in incentives are decreased as market conditions become more favorable. A slightly lower occupancy percentage at much higher rates often provides greater revenue.
A rising tide lifts all boatsCEO Kirk identified two industry tailwinds in a Dec. 11, 2013 interview that are helping the performance of the entire self-storage REIT sector. He reiterated these two trends during the earnings conference call:
1. There is virtually no new supply of self-storage facilities being constructed. He does not see this changing significantly in the next two to four years.
2. The Internet and technology advantage. In the old days customers used the yellow pages or just drove up. Today the vast majority use computers and mobile devices to begin their search for storage space. Of course, there are still some drive-ups as well.
Only the largest operators of self-storage have the financial strength necessary to pay for Internet advertising, SEO, staff call centers, and fund websites designed to create a customer experience similar to any other retail online purchase.
A runway for future acquisitionsDuring the quarter ending December 2013 Extra Space Storage acquired 50 properties for $310 million. The recent quarter ending in March was strong as well, with the acquisition of 21 properties for about $250 million. Comparisons by quarter will always be a bit lumpy due to the complexities inherent in large real estate transactions. However, subsequent to the end of the March quarter, Extra Space has already closed on four properties for $61 million, and currently has another $39 million under contract.
During the conference call Extra Space management explained its current FFO projections for 2014 only assumes $150 million for acquisitions during the last six months of the year. This appears to be a fairly conservative assumption.
CEO Kirk pointed out that there are approximately 20,000 investment grade self-storage facilities in the U.S. not currently owned by public companies. This pool of properties represents a runway for significant growth for this entire sector.
When does the rest of the sector report earnings?Public Storage, Inc. (NYSE:PSA) with its $30 billion market cap is the industry giant. It has the highest investment grade of any REIT, and is currently paying a dividend yielding 5.6%. Public Storage is scheduled to report earnings on May 2, 2014.
Sovran Self Storage, Inc. (NYSE:SSS) brands its facilities under the Uncle Bob self-storage flag. Sovran sports a market cap of $2.5 billion, and is currently paying out a 3.6% dividend yield. The company is scheduled to report earnings on May 1, 2013.
CubeSmart(NYSE:CUBE) currently has a market cap of $2.6 billion and is currently paying out a dividend yielding just over 2.8%. CubeSmart is scheduled to report earnings on May 2, 2014.
Investor TakeawayExtra Space Storage just announced another great quarter. The positive macro trends of a severely limited supply of self-storage facilities projected to be built during the next few years; combined with all the Internet and technology advantages, bode well for this entire REIT sector. Interested investors might be well served to do some research prior to these upcoming conference calls. This sector certainly has room for more than one winner!
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New Patients
Patient Forms, Map and Directions
Your first visit to Montclair South Dental establishes a vital foundation for our relationship with you. During the first visit, we make sure to obtain important background information, like your medical history, and give you time to get to know your doctor. To understand what to expect for your first visit to our practice, please read through this page. You'll find all the practical information you need, such as a map and directions to our office, practice hours, payment policies and more. There''s also background information about our committed staff and our first visit procedures. You can even save some time at your first visit by printing out and completing the patient forms in advance of your appointment.
Mission Statement
Our practice is working together to realize a shared vision of uncompromising excellence in dentistry.
To fulfill this mission, we are committed to:
Listening to those we are privileged to serve.
Earn the trust and respect of patients, profession and community.
Exceed your expectations.
Ensure a creative, challenging and compassionate professional environment.
Strive for continuous improvement at all levels.
Patient Forms
Please print and fill out these forms so we can expedite your first visit:
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Kings at Sharks: What bettors need to know
The sixth-seeded San Jose Sharks return to the safe haven of HP Pavilion with hopes of stretching their Western Conference second-round series to the limit as they host the Pacific Division-rival Los Angeles Kings in Game 6 on Sunday. San Jose has yet to lose at home this postseason, winning all four contests - including two in this matchup. It will have to continue that trend as it trails 3-2 after being shut out for the second time in the series on Thursday.
The Sharks dropped the first two games of the series and were a goal away from falling into a 3-0 hole, but Logan Couture scored a power-play goal in overtime for a 2-1 victory in Game 3. Another 2-1 home triumph on Tuesday evened the series, but the reigning Stanley Cup champions dominated the first two periods of Game 5 and Jonathan Quick was impenetrable en route to his league-leading third shutout of the playoffs. The victory extended Los Angeles' home winning streak to 13 games - including all six in the postseason. The Kings will need to find a way to win on the road in order to avoid a decisive seventh game at Staples Center on Tuesday, as they are just 1-4 away from home.
TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBCSN, TSN, RDS
ABOUT THE KINGS: Quick is making a bid to repeat as the Conn Smythe Trophy winner as, in addition to shutouts, he leads the league in goals-against average (1.50) and save percentage (.948) and shares the top spot in victories with seven. "He's awesome," center Trevor Lewis said. "He's our MVP. He's our best player. He probably makes it look easy out there, but he does a lot for us." Anze Kopitar's goal in Game 5, which opened the scoring and proved to be the winner, was just his second in his last 27 contests dating back to March 25, when he tallied against Chicago. The Slovenian admitted the drought was getting to him. "It's a little bit on my mind," Kopitar said. "If I get on the board, it's a little more relieving for me. Now it's a matter of doing it over and over again." Jarret Stoll, who suffered a head injury in Game 1 on a hit that earned San Jose's Raffi Torres a suspension, skated briefly on Friday but is nowhere near returning.
ABOUT THE SHARKS: Coach Todd McLellan downplayed Quick's performance in Game 5, instead criticizing the effort by his own team. "I didn't think we tested (Quick) a lot," McLellan said. "There are a number of goalies in the league that could have performed that way. Maybe his best save was his last one, but other than that, he didn't have to work hard." Couture agreed that San Jose did not put forth its best effort. "Myself included, we were bad," he said. "That's why we lost. We're not going to win if our best players are not our best players. We need to step up." Right wing Adam Burish could return to the lineup for Game 6 as he reportedly skated on the fourth line during Saturday's practice. "He is very close and he may be an option," McLellan told the San Jose Mercury News. Burish has been sidelined since suffering a hand injury in Game 4 of the first-round series against Vancouver.
TRENDS:
* Kings are 1-10 in their last 11 road games.* Under is 6-0-2 in Kings’ last eight road games.* Under is 4-1 in Sharks’ last five overall.OVERTIME
1. The Kings were dominant on the road last postseason, winning their first 10 away from home before dropping Game 5 of the Stanley Cup final in New Jersey.
With playoff implications on the line, expect tight, low-scoring game between these two teams with hot goaltenders...
My free play is on Florida/Boston Under at 7:00 ET.
Boston has rebounded from a six-game losing streak by winning two games in a row after its 2-1 win in Carolina on Sunday. The Bruins return home where the Bruins are holding their opponents to only 2.3 goals per game which is a bit better than their 2.6 goals per game that they are giving up overall this season. Much of this improved play keeping the puck out of the net needs to be credited to goaltender Tuukka Rask who has been outstanding in front of his home fans this season. Rask owns a strong 2.04 goals against average along with a sizzling .930 save percentage when at home. The Bruins are clinging to the eighth and final spot in the Eastern Conference playoff hunt three points ahead of Ottawa and four points ahead of this Panthers team so the stakes remain very high for this veteran team. Rask may very well be playing his better goaltending at this point of the season as well. In his previous 12 starts this month, Rask has a 2.15 goals against average along with a .932 save percentage.
Florida has won four of its last six games as the Panthers make a late push to make the playoffs with their 4-2 win in Ottawa on Sunday. The Panthers stay on the road for this contest where they have seen the under go 7-3-3 in their last 13 contests away from home. The under is also 9-2-1 in their last 12 trips to Boston to face their Atlantic Division rivals. Florida's improved play as of late has much to do with the team’s improved play on defense as Florida is allowing only 2.2 goals per game over the last five games which is a significant improvement over its 2.7 goals per game seasonal average. Goaltender Roberto Luongo shook off a slow start this season to be the goalie the Panthers were hoping he would be when acquiring him in the offseason. Luongo has a 2.33 goals against average along with a .921 save percentage this year. Luongo has also heated up for Florida's playoff chase late this season as he owns a red hot 1.79 goals against average along with a .932 save percentage in his six starts this month. With playoff implications on the line, expect tight, low-scoring game between these two teams with hot goaltenders. Take the under.
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Well, I hate to admit it, but I truly envy my dear friends across the aisle, namely the Democrats. They have candidates they actually believe in. On our side, however, I am sorry to say that the apostates have trampled the Reagan mantle underfoot! What a miserable choice we conservatives must now apparently make: How can we decide between Sen. John McCain and either Sens. Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton – I see no real difference. Alas!The Republicans are in a state of crisis because they have abandoned their ideals and have opted to simply “get along.” In this way, these rogue Republican apostates who claim to be moderates have abandoned the five fundamental principles that have made us great:1) Smaller government. Government is the problem, not the solution. Less is therefore more. Never ask a centralized body to do what local and decentralized efforts can always do better.2) Rugged individualism. America is great because we are a nation of great people – rugged individuals and great achievers, not the converse.3) Fiscal responsibility. I always trust the people to spend their own money as opposed to politicians, who seek to buy votes with tax money that is not theirs.4)Lower taxes. Taxes are a penalty for achievement and excellence and are therefore a barrier to jobs, wealth and prosperity. 5) One nation, under God. America was founded on the principles of religious freedom – that is to say, we have always been a faith-based culture and society. Deviation from our roots will lead to destruction of our national identity.What is truly tragic is that the Republican Party cannot field a single candidate who can espouse these self-evident truths. I guess my only choice is to re-register as a conservative, but where?Vivek R. DaveLos Alamos
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NEW YORK (AP) — "Twilight" star Kellan Lutz teared up when he talked about the death of Robin Williams, saying he saw the actor-comedian as a model for how to be a dad.
The 29-year old actor, who counts Williams' daughter Zelda as a friend, called Williams' death "crushing."
"I love my dad, (but) kind of grew up with my mom and always wanted a father figure there, and I'm a huge fan of his movies and always just wished he was my dad," an emotional Lutz said Thursday. He was promoting his latest film, "The Expendables 3."
Lutz said he grew up watching Williams' movies, and always admired "the kind of person he portrayed," so he thought, "It would be fun to have that kind of dad."
Lutz hopes to carry that over when he starts his own family someday.
"I want to be that dad to my kids. I want to be the 'Patch Adams,' the 'Jumanji,' the 'Mrs. Doubtfire,' 'Good Will Hunting.'"
Williams died Monday in his Northern California home. Authorities said he committed suicide.
He was in the early stages of Parkinson's disease at the time of his death, his wife said Thursday.
Article Comments
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Email leads as a distribution channel: Study
A study by Ascend2 found that email newsletters are an effective channel for content distribution and driving readership. Surveying over 200 marketers, the study found that daily struggles with the channel include improving the quality of leads, growing subscribers, building engagement time, improving brand preference, and increasing the conversation rates.
It’s worth noting that an entire ecosystem of owned, earned, and paid channels impact the generation of MQL’s and SQL’s, so concluding that email as a tactic is the culprit is unjustified. Often times, the issue is weak segmentation, which occurs at the top of the funnel.
82% of the study respondents rated email as an effective channel, followed by social media at 54%, and SEO at 51%. Respondent that A/B tested email newsletter formats and content ranked the webinars & events, eBooks, newsletters, and case studies as the most interactive sources of traffic and engagement.
In another study, the Content Marketing Institute found that email newsletters and subsequent campaigns were considered to be leading lead nurturing tools by B2B marketers. The respondents named the channel as an avenue to nurture leads, push educational content, and invite to in-person events. Offline, marketers derived insights from sales teams to determine customer segments in order to plan content strategies. Marketers that are also charged with sales said they relied on the web traffic analysis to derive these conclusions, while others named keyword research as an indicator to prospect interests.
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Our Services
Welcome to Speedy Green Car Wash
Hi, my name is Speedy Green and I invite you to come in today and experience my express services.
My name says it all...services that are "fast" and "environmentally friendly". Plus, the value pricing is great for any budget!
Unlimited Wash Club
If you like a clean car, then this club is for you! A flat monthly fee is charged to your credit card at the start of each month. You can then wash that vehicle up to once per day, every day of the month! There is two month minimum commitment.Read More
Fleet Services
My Fleet Program uses RFID, Radio Frequency Identification, (Speedy Pass). This method stores and retrieves data through an integrated computer system. We also can provide your company with detailed reporting so you can control your budget.Read More
Bike Wash
I have created the region’s first “Self-Serve” motorcycle wash. My lift system raises your bike so that you can safely clean all those nook and crannies. Plus, I offer waxes and leather conditioner to detail you bike and make it look “bad to the bone”!Read More
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About Fort Smith, AR
The motto for the city of Fort Smith is \Life's worth living in Fort Smith, Arkansas.\ When you live in or visit Fort Smith, you will understand this due to the wide range of activities you can enjoy in the city. As the second largest city in the state, there are close to 86,000 people living in the metro area of Fort Smith. For big city life with a Southern feel, Fort Smith has appeal for an eclectic array of residents.
Has the time come for you to get out of the dorm and move into an off campus UAFS apartment? Perhaps the options available from the University of Arkansas - Fort Smith housing office no longer meet your needs and you would like to find a cheap apartment close to the UAFS campus. If so, you can search for off campus University of Arkansas - Fort Smith apartments with MyNewPlace's college housing search.
Although University of Arkansas - Fort Smith student housing may be very conveniently close to campus, moving to an off campus apartment can be a great way to save money, put some distance in between yourself and an RA, get accustomed to living in your own apartment and building up rental history.
UAFS apartments for rent are available close to campus and in other neighborhoods around Fort Smith, Arkansas. Using our map based university apartment finder, you can find off campus housing near campus to ensure you can still get to all the UAFS Bollweevils games and make it to class on time.
We can help you find off campus UAFS apartments that will best suit your collegiate lifestyle; search University of Arkansas - Fort Smith apartments by the number of bedrooms, price, neighborhood or a range of other amenities.
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The first Stadium should be for Gen 1 Pokemon, as Stadium 2 should be for Gen 2.
Though, this would raise confusion with Jp Stadium 1, since it doesn't have the full Gen 1 list of monsters, as the US/Euro Stadium 1 was released as the second game in Jp, and Stadium 2 was the third.
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Manufacturing
We are partnered with
the best manufacture & distributors
Kikstick Safety Ltd has partnered with WG Pro Manufacturing in Brampton, ON who is our vendor; assisting us to reach Canadian and U.S. retail channels. They have been established more than 20 years and are a full-service provider.
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Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
The nation’s first and only Molecularium, in Troy, NY, is designed to introduce students in grades K-3 to simple material science concepts, including the states of matter – solids, liquids, and gases – using planetariums in a new way for science education. Instead of taking people from earth to space, the first show, “Riding Snowflakes,” take viewers on an audio-visual journey through the molecular-scale world. The Elumenati worked closely with Rensselaer’s content developers to retrofit the existing 24′ planetarium dome at the Children’s Museum of Science and Technology to house an Omnifocus HAL-S1 system to project the Molecularium show. The project is part of the educational and outreach program of Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute’s NSF-funded Nanoscale Science and Engineering Center (NSEC) for Directed Assembly of Nanostructures.
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THE EVIDENCE SHOWS THAT THE ANSWER IS A RESOUNDING “YES, THERE IS MOST DEFINITELY CAUSE FOR CONCERN”:
To follow on from a previous post, it has been shown that a wide variety of medications, including anti-fungal medications, anti-convulsants, glucocorticoids, medications to treat Aids/HIV, and now cancer drugs have been added to this list of drugs adversely impacting Vitamin D levels. Research is now coming to light that chemotherapeutic drugs can ‘enhance the breakdown of Vitamin D and lead to low levels‘!! Continue reading “CANCER DRUGS AND VITAMIN ‘D’ DEFICIENCY!! IS THERE CAUSE FOR CONCERN??”→
Vitamin D Makes Breast Cancer Cells Fall Apart
“Dr. Cedric F. Garland of the University of California’s San Diego Moores Cancer Center is the epidemiologist who has connected the dots between Vitamin D deficiency and cancer. According to Garland, in nearly all forms of breast cancer, vitamin D affects the structure of your epithelial cells. These cells are held together by a glue-like substance called E-cadherin, which provides structure to the cell. E-cadherin is made up of mostly vitamin D and calcium.
If you don’t have adequate vitamin D, that structure comes apart and those cells do what they are programmed to do in order to survive — they go forth and multiply. If this growth process (cell proliferation) gets out of control, you may end up with cancer.
If you have breast cancer in progress, the addition of vitamin D can help stop cancer cells in their tracks by replenishing E-cadherin.”
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Harris Primary Academy
Harris Primary Academy, Croydon
Harris Primary Academy in Croydon is part of a Federation of Academies with an established track record in London. It is one of a community of Croydon schools run by the Harris Federation that works closely together.
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About Me:
Im a mouth-watering but super-naughty chick just waiting for you I enjoy a man who knows how to handle a dame as I undoubtedly know how to handle a dude Let me fulfill your desires fetish and predominance are all things i want to explore Curvaceous PLUS-SIZE 53 I wanna witness your photos hard-core
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Making every day sacred
Sunshine Coast, Goddess archetypes and other stories…
Living
I’m still away on holidays, sitting in our apartment that overlooks Maroochydore beach. I can’t see a thing because the sun hasn’t come up yet, but I can hear the waves kissing the shore and the whine of the occasional car as it passes by on the road underneath us. I can’t see out the window yet, but I know, even at 4:30 a.m., there are joggers and cyclists hitting the pavements. Soon the more sedate walkers will appear (I fall into that category), the ocean kayakers will be dragging their kayaks into the ocean, the cafe staff will be setting up for the day, and in a couple of hours, when the waves start curling, the surfers will appear. The sun rises at 5:30 a.m. at this time of year, and by 9 a.m. it is already getting hot. Summer comes early on the Sunshine Coast.
I don’t think I have ever had the opportunity to get to know a place that is not my home like I have here, simply because I have complete freedom to do whatever it is that I want to do. All of this alone time is intensely enjoyable and nourishing on a deep level, something I am well aware not everyone needs or appreciates. To have my only responsibility be to take my mother to her course in the morning and pick her back up in the afternoon generates an enormous amount of space and connection. So, what have I been doing?
Most days, I have been introducing myself to this place, hanging out, getting to know all of her nooks and crannies, and basically falling in love wherever I go. I have watched sunrises, gone on early morning beach walks, followed rainforest trails, hugged trees and spent entire days in hinterland towns, unhurriedly investigating shops, parks, forests and creeks. I’ve gotten lost and found more times than I can count and driven through three humdinger afternoon storms. Mum and I have transcendental conversations over meals on our balcony – my mother, a Sagittarian Scorpio, likes things deep and meaningful – the elephant shit rather than the bird shit, as she said to me the other day :). What else is worth talking about other than spirit, connection, growth and living our best lives?
Yesterday I spent the day in a little hinterland town called Maleny. I had been looking forward to meeting Maleny all week; I’ve heard such good things about her, you see :). The Sunshine Coast hinterland has to be seen to be believed. It rises up off the coastal flatlands onto a plateau, its height creating not only vast and intoxicating views, but also generating an otherworldly feel, like maybe you have slipped into a different dimension. OMG I love this place so much :). Anyway, I arrive in Maleny, and of course, I am thoroughly charmed and seduced by it. I mean, this town has three bookshops! Organic cafes, a healthfood shop co-operative where I could buy handmade homeopathic medicines among many other things, great op-shops and just a gorgeous, laid back bohemian vibe.
So, as is my wont, I am poking along, looking in all the shops, fondling books and generally enjoying myself. I walk into a shop, and the woman serving me straight away noticed my two sacred geometry tattoos, one on each ankle; then looking me over, she tells me that in fact, she likes the whole look of me :). We start chatting and I tell her that I am from the Coffs Harbour area and visiting Maleny for the first time. Oh! she says, great, I need to ask you a question then. I’m going to Nambucca Heads on the weekend. My eyebrows lift – that’s a beach-side town in my little valley, about 8 hours drive from here. Yes, she continued, I have a family reunion to attend at Taylors Arm, and I was wondering how far it is from Nambucca, and which town I should go to first. Now I am really gobsmacked, because as you may know, gentle reader, Taylors Arm is the tiny little village where I live. Bullshit! Iexclaim involuntarily (I blame my Aries rising for my potty mouth, do not discuss). That’s where I live! She laughed. Great! We must be meant to be friends then! She stuck out her hand: My name is Kyla. And then she sold me a gorgeous goddess dress that was so divine I could not resist it and sent me off back into the street, feeling like the deep connection I had to this place had just been confirmed by the Universe.
View from Maleny south to the Glasshouse Mountains, so named by Captain Cook because they resembled the glass furnaces in his hometown of Yorkshire.A gorgeous, funky collection of tiny cafes in Maleny with outdoor garden seating.The Angels booted me out of bed and sent me to the beach to watch the sunrise. Boy, I was so happy I went 🙂Hugging a tree in Mapleton Falls National Park.At Eumundi markets, watching a jewellery craftsman make a ring to order, for me <3.My Mum, happy as can be on one of our morning walks <3.
Have you ever gone to a place and had a strong, unexpected connection to it?
Loving
Elizabeth Gilbert: ‘You’re never going to please everyone. There are people who think the Sistine Chapel is gaudy.’ Photograph: Rex Shutterstock@ The Guardian
You say in Big Magic you were a fearful child. Are you braver now?
I was born a really fearful kid, really anxious, supersensitive. Other words you could use would be “a pain in the ass”. I grew up with a mother who was really strong. It was an interesting collision of these two characters. My mother’s biggest fear was raising daughters who wouldn’t be able to take care of themselves. She knew bad things happened to women who waited for other people to do stuff for them.
We did have this pretty serious battle of wills when I was younger. A psychologist might take issue with her tactics – she certainly wasn’t about embracing vulnerability, talking out my feelings. It was: “Too bad, you have to do this.” More like a coach.
In adolescence, I got bored of being that person who kept trying to prove her weakness and fragility. What a weird battle: to be trying to defend your weakest point! It came to a point where I thought, I don’t want to die on that hill. I owe my mother only everything and nothing more than that.
She could be describing the relationship between me and my daughter. Oh the relief! Great interview, and I am definitely looking forward to reading her new book. It’s up next on my to read list, that’s for sure.
Gosh I’ve loved the trees and the forests on this trip away. Wherever I’ve gone I make sure to seek out the creeks, park-lands and trees. I always love them, always have, even to the extent that I thought I wanted to be a National Park ranger when I was younger – before I realised that I just want to hug them and admire them and be in their presence <3. Not everything you love has to become your job, I have belatedly realised!
This week, while I was away, my son was invited to speak on ABC statewide radio, along with his Principal Sarah Landers and technology/music teacher, Terry Simpson. It was all arranged without me being there, even ;). The radio presenter was doing a show on teaching computer coding in schools, which basically means teaching kids the language of computers so that they can build websites, games and programs instead of just being technology consumers. Our school does that, and Nick was chosen to be interviewed because of his good understanding of computers. I couldn’t listen to it because that particular program doesn’t stream online, but my second Dad recorded it and emailed it to me – clever huh? Nick was great – way less nervous than I would have been in his place! So proud 🙂
Learning
How to find my way around, on my own, in an unfamiliar place. It involves getting lost a lot, apparently :).
We have all been learning – mum and I, and the family members we have left at home – how to do without each other. My menfolk are okay without me, although it’s definitely more work for the Bear (as well as Pop and the children’s Godfather) but my little girl was a bit sad. We have used facetime to keep in contact, and I told her that she could call me any time she wished (knowing that I had to be be in reach of wifi for it to work on my ipad). She hasn’t abused this privilege at all, and it has been very reassuring for her to see my face every day. I know it’s been reassuring for me as well. Also, you know, absence not only makes the heart grow fonder, but it builds resilience and gratitude as well.
This week I have had a sudden obsession with Goddess archetypes, spending some hours researching them. I love archetypes, you see – identifying and working with archetypes is one of my talents. Archetypes are what I love about astrology, numerology, homeopathy and ayurvedic doshas, basically because they are a source of guidance and insight. I am always seeking to know myself and others better. Briefly:
Persephone: Mystic, healer, writer, seer, sensitive, empathic, guide to the Underworld – needs lots of time alone. She is required to acknowledge and visit her own underworld: this is how she will come to maturity. She will experience great suffering until she faces and transcends her own darkness.
Aphrodite: civilised, charming, sensual, passionate, drawn to relationships, love and loving rather than marriage or mothering, loves the arts and everything that belongs in that world. You may see her as muse for a creative and charismatic man, hostess, in interior design, modelling, fashion, show business and the like.
Hestia: Independent, autonomous, focused on the spiritual world, impersonal and detached energy, flourishes in a spiritual community, does not need a man to complete her. Keeper of the hearth.
Hecate: Goddess of magic, witchcraft and the cross roads. Independent, untouched by passion, feels strongly about her causes and principles, especially for victimised women, the homeless and the abandoned.
Athena: Goddess of wise counsel and war. Identifies with men, appreciates rational thinking, will and intellect. Avoids emotional/sexual entanglements with men, but enjoys working with them. Thrives in business, academia, science, military and political arenas.
Hera: Wife and family matriarch. She values marriage, especially to a powerful husband, which gives her status and power. Completion of self through marriage. In the ideal of this archetype, Hera represents the sacred marriage, the union of masculine and feminine within herself.
Artemis: Goddess of nature and the hunt. She is practical, adventurous and prefers solitude. Self sufficient, feminist, environmental activist, learns from nature – requires periodical retreat into nature to recharge her batteries.
We contain all of these archetypes, although we will favour 2 or 3, depending upon what stage of life we are in. This is only the briefest summary – to find out more, go here. Which archetypes do you identify with?
And that is it for this week my friends – apologies for the late publishing of this post – circumstances conspired against me! I am home now, welcomed lovingly and thoroughly by my family, and looking forward to being re-domesticated again :). Blessings <3.
I know right – fancy our kids being able to be awesome without our coaching, guiding or presence! I actually find it very reassuring :). It would be terrible if my presence was required for all expressions of awesome!
I had such a good time Elysha, thank you xo
The pictures you posted are lovely. I just got back from a four day weekend in Charleston, South Carolina, where they had “one in 1000 year” record-breaking rain. A lot of flooding. Had to ride in a school bus to get to the airport, as that was the only thing they can get through the water!
Thanks for the rundown on goddess archetypes. I’ll have to study that some more.
Oh no, a holiday disaster! One in 1000 years, that is insane. I think you were lucky to be able to leave!
Truly, I felt quite possessed – I just had to read about the Goddesses and summarise them before I could rest. They feel very accurate and meaningful to me. I want to start on the Gods – male archetypes – next.
Interesting! I took the quiz too, which backed up my intuition of being heavily Artemis with a solid back up of Persephone and Demeter. I thought I might have been more Persephone than what showed in the quiz.
It’s fascinating to imagine all the different combinations…there are so many different types of women, and all the types are valid. You have a very strong combination, Georgia. Formidable, one might say!
Hello, Sara. It’s Monday morning here, but before I dive into the week’s work I wanted to spend a little time living vicariously through you. 😉
I have so enjoyed reading about your trip and your wealth of solitude. Wanting to spend time alone is something I have a hard time admitting. There is such heavy guilt that accompanies even the thought of wanting to spend time alone when I could be spending it with my loved ones. But, I have a faint memory (it’s been that long) of how nourishing it is to have even just a little time to myself – time that is not tainted by work or domestic duties, but spent doing only what I want to do. I have never traveled alone (except, years ago, for business), but your recent posts have made me wonder if it’s something I should try. I know you’re not entirely alone, but even just having the days to yourself. What a treat!
I was delighted by your serendipitous meeting of your new friend, and felt a little thrill at your mention of trees. I have a story to tell about a spectacular and very special tree that my beau and I rediscovered this weekend. It may take me a bit to find the time to properly write about it, but I promise I will and I’ll give you a heads up. I have a feeling you’ll fall as much in love with this tree as I have.
As for goddesses – I am always interested in learning more. I finally (it’s only been two weeks, but it feels like ages!) unpacked my books last night, including a small collection of titles on goddesses and magick. As I found them new homes on old shelves, I made a note to return soon to actually open their covers and take a little virtual journey. Soon … soon.
As always, so lovely to be here. Thanks for sharing your wonderful trip. I’m inspired. 🙂
Hello Jamie, it’s early Tuesday morning here, after a public holiday Monday, and I can feel the need to be productive nipping at my heels too. Still…😊
I know exactly what you mean – holidaying alone, or at least a holiday with large tracts of alone time – is not a common thing if you’re a woman, and if that woman should have school age children, well. I kept on thinking that I must be being rewarded for some very good work that I had done :). And yes, I did have to process not bringing my family and the guilt associated with leaving them, but when I think how much time I dedicate to them, I realise that this isn’t too much to ask. I thought they might be cranky or resentful, but they were all, including my partner, just so happy to see me. They could see, I think, that I had totally filled up all my wells.
So, no, this kind of thing doesn’t just happen, much like a creative life doesn’t just happen. It’s strange, but fun and creativity both need discipline and hard work to become a part of a productive life. And courage too, I think – to break free from the ancient idea of women never having any time to call their own, and moreover, it being wrong to want such a thing. It didn’t feel wrong, that’s for sure!
Enjoy your week, Jamie xo
Hi Sara, I always feel like I have so much to say after reading your posts and have to narrow my comments down to the few, most, pertinent and interesting ones!
First of all: OMG, A VACATION BY YOURSELF?? The thought is nothing less than orgasmic. I know so many moms with elementary age kids who would never give themselves “permission” to do this. And now I am also dreaming about planning trips with my own mom (uninterrupted conversation about the most meaningful things that happens more than every couple months? Ah!)
Secondly, I have just begun my journey into Jean Shinoda Bolen’s book “Goddesses in Everywoman” – wow. (I am beginning to hold new moon women’s circles and wanted to start weaving in the archetypes.)
And next on my reading list is “This is Woman’s Work: Calling Forth Your Inner Council of Wise, Brave, Crazy, Rebellious, Loving, Luminous Selves” by Dominique Christina
(Listen to a passionate interview with Dominique Christina that will blow your spiritual and wild divine feminine socks off: https://www.soundstrue.com/store/weeklywisdom/?page=single&category=IATE&episode=10857
Hi Lulu, there is so much goodness in your comment, that I just want to squeeze it 😊.
Firstly, orgasmic is very close to how I felt on my week away. I could feel my energy flowing and buzzing almost all of the time. The fact that I was spending such quality time with my mother was such a treat/education/benefit – she works full time and is often difficult to get hold of on the days that I’m available, so to have all of these conversations (uninterrupted like you say omg) was so wonderful, we have vowed to gave a Goddess week every year at this time, bringing my daughter along when she starts menstruating.
Your links sound fabulous – I knew that Rob had interviewed Liz Gilbert on his show, but I hadn’t gotten to it yet…I will today. Same with the sounds true link (I have to put in some serious housecleaning catch up work 😳). This will make it fun. I will check out the books too – thank you for all of your recommendations, I really appreciate it it!
I love this post…that sounds like my kinda vacation!! I felt like I was right there with you. I lived in Australia for just over a year back in 2008 and loved it so much. Wish it was closer to I could visit more often! 😉 Sounds like you had a rejuvenating, heart-nourishing, soul-nourishing vacation. Yay! As for the goddesses, definitely the first three on your list – Persephone, Aphrodite, Hestia ❤ Aleya (PS, can't wait to read Big Magic either!)
Sara, I like your vacation and the way you brought me along through your descriptions. I must admit, i particularly liked the storms. I can understand why you love those places. And what an odd coincidence it was to meet Kyla and to find those connections with her. The place that had the most powerful impact on me is Hawaii, but from what you say, I think Australia would be wonderful too. Will it seem strange to acclimate to your normal life? I think it’s wonderful that you were able to spend that time with your mother. She seems like such a cheerful person in her picture.
I liked the storms as well! They seemed like they were bringing vitality in.
It’s interesting; I haven’t found it difficult to adjust back into my everyday life, apart from cooking and cleaning, that took a bit of time getting back in the swing of things! It didn’t help that daylight savings started the day we arrived home which mucked around with my sense of timing. I really like my life, and I enjoyed coming back to it. It was so nice getting to know somewhere different and spending so much time with my mother, but I didn’t feel like I was escaping like I might have felt when my kids were toddlers and preschoolers.
Elizabeth Gilbert’s new book is on my list too! As is Brene Brown’s “Rising Strong”. Currently reading “Everyday Grace” by Marianne Williamson! And, funny enough, I took a career test in high school that said I should be a park ranger. 🙂 Probably based off the fact that I would rather be outdoors than anywhere else.
Hi Sara, long time no see. 🙂
I love how you described your vacation and what was really tickling your senses because it felt like I was there right along with you. I’ve yet to go to Australia but have heard so much about the beautiful natural scenery and multitude of places to visit. It’s a long way from California but hopefully I can make it there sometime in the near future!
The way you talked about falling in love with the nooks and crannies of a place describes so well how I felt about London when I was there studying for a year. Even the hustle and bustle didn’t bother me as much as it normally does in other cities. Even before I left, I’d felt this strange pull to the city and nearly as soon as I arrived, I started falling in love. It’s hard to describe but I know you understand what I mean. It was unexpected and absolutely amazing. Just thinking about my time there makes me feel happy.
September has been a tough month on me but I think I’m slowly making adjustments to transition into a better frame of mind. I’ve missed reading and interacting with you here but as always, your posts have so much wonderful energy that I can’t help but feel better after reading every time. Hope you have a great week ahead. 🙂
Hi Lillian, you sure put a smile on my face too! I love it when you visit, but I know how it is, and how life sweeps us up sometimes. I’m glad you enjoyed my travel stories…and isn’t it strange how the most unexpected places grab us? I certainly had no inkling the Sunshine Coast was going to feel like ‘my country’. In fact, I’d always been prejudiced against Queensland – too hot, too many cyclones and weird politics lol :). Boy was that box dismantled :). Enjoy your week Lillian, be well.
I’ve holidayed solo so I really understand how wonderful replenishing time and freedom to do as you please is. And what a beautiful place you had to experience it in. I love the story of the new friend you made. It’s wonderful when people chat, whether it’s to ask where a piece of jewellery or handbag came from, where you got your hair cut or as happened with you they feel empowered to make a deeper connection. At the same time it’s great that you were able to maintain via the wonders of technology the connections with your family, as well as nurturing time with your mother.
Interesting, Ardys asked the same question… my first answer that pops into my head when asked this, as the experience has stayed with me, is Broome… flying over Broome and landing felt like going home. My second was Taylors Arm… ten years ago when the Pawlonia trees were in bloom like they are now, I knew I was coming to a place that already felt like home 🙂
Hi Dale, lovely to read you ❤️
My need for solitude certainly doesn’t seem to be decreasing as I get older, that’s for sure…but I love being connected as well. It was very important to feel connected to my family; I didn’t at all feel that I was trying to escape from them, I was just taking an opportunity to spend time with my mum in a place I didn’t know. And freeing! Omg solo travelling is the best!
Yep, the Paulownias are in full bloom, stinking hot, but with a southerly blowing in now, thank goodness. Great that you picked TA rather than Broome 😊
The views are wonderful, Sara. I love your descriptions of the mornings, it’s my favorite time of day. I get out quite early and always feel alone but at the same time can “feel” the other early souls. And I can absolutely relate to your enjoyment and need of solitude, as I get older my enjoyment and need have only increased. Thanks for the Liz Gilbert interview and highlighted quote, she always is a fine gem.
Have a wonderful rest of your holiday. Look forward to hearing about it. ❤
Sara I love your posts, love em to bits. Glad you’ve had a lovely time with your mum on the Sunshine Coast. Maleny, I know (know!) I would love to bits, I’ve just never been there. Some day eh.
Started reading Big Magic this week…of course it’s awesome.
Brydie, thank you so much <3.
If you could get yourself up there one day soon – you and your camera would go nuts in the best possible way. And not only that, but the town itself is like a hinterland version of Bellingen, but funkier. I loved it :).
Wow.. so pleased those Angels kicked you out of bed for that view.. it was worth getting up for.. Good to know you and your Mom are doing ok.. and you are finding your ‘ME’ time so enriching.. exploring a new place and having space can be very fulfilling..
I can see why your little girl would miss you, good to know she is adult enough to understand with communication time..
Looking good Miss Tree Hugger you 🙂 And I hope you feel refeshed upon your return xx
Thanks Sue! I am such a tree hugger 🙂
We had such a wonderful time away, although it hasn’t made it easier on my daughter when I leave; even last night when I went to a friend’s house for a little gathering for her 40th, about 5 minutes up the road, Alani cried and didn’t want me to go. Sigh.
Anyway, it’s an improvement from not being able to leave the room without that response, so small steps!
How lovely to read of your holiday. What special time to soak up space, place, you and your mum. Special indeed. I loved the trees, and tree hugging you. Trees are a sacred spirit for me. Many moments in the bush spent curled in the embrace of tree roots, tree branches. Tree Houses are a favourite kids play space, so I am lucky to share that.
My unexpected connection place would be Broome in WA, coz on one hand it is SO touristy, busy and bustling. Yet the soul-heart-connection with place and people that I feel for it exists on a special somewhat explainable, somewhat unexplainable level.
May the magic of your holiday radiate through you and through your life. Celebrating such experiences is key to motherhood, sharing in community and being with children.
Interesting, you were the second person who said that Broome had a special resonance for them – I wonder what it is about that place?
I spent quite a lot of time up a tree when I was a kid – we had two jacarandas in our front yard that were perfect for climbing, as well as making tree houses out of the she oaks along the river. There is just something very special about them, to me anyway. Funnily enough, neither of my children enjoy climbing trees because neither of them like heights! They get that from their father, that’s for sure 🙂
Persephone and Artemis. When I was reading Persephone I got a shiver down my back, which is always my clue that something rings true for me. It was a strong shiver. You are making a huge Elisabeth Gilbert fan out of me and I already was one. I sometimes accompany my husband on his business trips and find myself discovering new places on my own so I could relate to your experience. So happy for you and your Mum to have this time together. xx
Again, Ardys, we have something in common. Persephone and Artemis also resonate strongly with me. It’s interesting how some of the others pop their heads up to help me out – Demeter to help me be a good mother, and Athena to help me succeed in my studies. The interesting thing about realising the significance of the Persephone archetype to me, is that I saw pomegranates in all of these unexpected places for days afterwards, which also sent a shiver down my back! We also have a beautiful pomegranate tree at home, which against all odds, is fabulously abundant with pomegranates. I am reading this fabulous book at the moment which you might enjoy too, on this very subject: Goddesses in Everywoman by Jean Shinoda Bolen. The one that I am reading is a recent 30th anniversary edition, so obviously it is not new, but the descriptions of the archetypes are wonderful, and it helps me to understand other women and myself too.
So glad you’re enjoying Elizabeth Gilbert!
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What I’m reading
Woman, mother, partner, friend, student, writer, spiritual seeker, cook.
I want to express myself in an authentic, honest and creative way. I want to write about my journey to become the very best person that I can be - and share it too! A meal is best shared, and I think life is too.
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forage
The Bureau of Land Management says it will likely remove fewer wild horses from the range this fall than in the past.
BLM Spokesoman Tom Gorey says that’s because they’re running out of space to put the horses.
“We are almost maxed out in our long-term pastures in the Midwest and the short-term corrals we have in the West, where we put horses that we have removed from the range,” Gorey said. “And we try to adopt out as many as we can, but adoptions have been on the decline.”
A study by the National Research Council finds that the BLM’s management practices for wild horses are economically unsustainable and lack scientific justification.
The BLM removes thousands of horses from public lands each year, to maintain a certain population size. But Guy Palmer, chairman of the committee that wrote the report, says the practice is expensive – and fundamentally flawed.
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I’m fairly sure I also have an Android phone that doesn’t do BLE advertisements. Mine is a OnePlus 5. I have however found a “workaround” that seems to be reliable. I have installed the app Beacon Simulator. If I create a beacon in the app and contiously have it running it seems I also get the ADV_RAND messages in the monitor.sh log and presence detection is working very reliable.
Appreciate that. It sounds like the MAC address broadcast by your beacon is a public address?
when the door is opened I stop the depart sequence from running.
when my door is closed i check whether both phones are away (0 confidence)
— if so then I run an arrive scan.
— if not then i run the depart sequence from the linked post above. I don’t do the restart sequence (because I only have the one pi running monitor, so it can’t be out of sync with itself). instead at the end of the depart sequence I do an arrival scan.
the obvious problem is that one of the phones can be in the house but outside of the pi’s bluetooth range. so it comes back as not home. not a huge problem for me since i’m also tracking based on WiFi and a bunch of logic based stuff surrounding my doors and motion sensors. I might add some additional trigger for an arrival scan like triggering a certain motion sensor that is close to pi.
Yes, I have the app running at all times. I have three Pi Zero W covering my house using sample config provided by andrewjfreyer with one mqtt sensor per Pi and a min_max sensor. It’s been running reliable for me for a week now
I’ve been using this for a week now and quite honestly, I’m still in awe :). The Nmap scanner which I still have running is grossly inaccurate by comparison.
Monitor is getting it right 99% of the time…that 1% is because my RPi is not able to see my whole house, but I’ll be solving that soon. One thing I do notice, my iphone 8 is measured at being consistent on the confidence scale more than the wife’s iphone6s…but monitor still handles even that
Wondering if anyone else running master build with 2 rPi Zero W is going offline? Once in a while my send pi will show offline and within HA it will say unknown. I will need to restart the pi or service in order for this to cone back online.
I tried using beta as well but i find it is not fast at detecting my devices. With pi1 i am using -tr and with my second pi upstairs i am using -tad.
What are other using? and what are others behave file look like that have more than 1 pi running monitor?
I cant think of any trigger i can use for our front door without a sensor, i do have a cam in the front and can use the motion for the triggers but i would get some false once in a while as well.
Massive merge into master! Version 0.1.956 merges hundreds of bug fixes and optimizations into the master branch from beta. Please read the new readme and comments in this thread related to beta.
Instead of posting all the many, many changes and updates - I’ll ask everyone read the updated readme. Post questions here, and I’ll do my best to answer if they’re not already addressed in the readme’s FAQs.
In your most recent update of the install walk through it looks step #9 got dropped (initial run with sudo bash monitor.sh)
Also, add me to the list of people with android phones that don’t appear to be sending random advertisements. My wife and I both have samsung galaxy s9s that aren’t detected using your suggested hcitool lescan and hcidump method.
I have paired my phone with both regular bluetooth devices and a BLE device (a 2017 nvidia shield remote), and the phone seems to be connected and working just fine with the bluetooth devices. Is it possible that hcitool isn’t detecting the advertisements? Or would it definitely be a problem with my phone?
Also, add me to the list of people with android phones that don’t appear to be sending random advertisements. My wife and I both have samsung galaxy s9s that aren’t detected using your suggested hcitool lescan and hcidump method.
Before I start, just wanted to thank @andrewjfreyer, awesome work sir! I’ve been watching this thread and decided to add a Pi Zero W to my collection so I can join in on the fun!
However, upon setting everything up it doesn’t appear to be finding any random advertisements from any of my Android phones, Galaxy S5, J2 Pro or Note 9.
Beacon Simulator
Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE) beacon simulator.
This app transforms your Android device into a virtual BLE beacon advertiser and transmitter. You can create your own collection of beacon configurations and use them anytime, anywhere, to emulate a physical beacon.
Its purpose is essentially to help developers working on beacon software with more flexibility than with some real beacons.
Current features:
- Broadcast and advertise iBeacon, AltBeacon, Eddystone
- Eddystone support for: URL, UID, un...
I have found another app that might shed some light on the Android situation, nRF Connect. Under Device Information there’s a section for Bluetooth low energy that list the phone capabilities. The item “Periodic advertisement supported” on my phone says “NO”. I’d be interested to hear from others if this is indeed an indicator if the phone will work out of the box with @andrewjfreyers excellent monitor service.
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Be True to Your School!
Want to show support for your College of Ministry? Martin Luther College is offering a high resolution, custom flag displaying the MLC logo. This eco-friendly 3’ x 5’ nylon flag has a single-face reverse image and is finished with a canvas heading and grommets. The special order that we placed for this flag allows us to offer it for $49.95 which includes shipping to your home.
To order your flag:
Fill out the information below and click Submit
You will receive confirmation of your order via e-mail along with a PDF order form
Mail the completed order form along with your payment of $49.95 to the address proivided
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The 15 greatest T-shirts in wrestling history
We here at WWEClassics.com don’t pretend to know much about fashion. If you’ve seen the unwashed masses that we can be on a WrestleMania weekend, then you’d probably agree. But that doesn’t mean we don’t know a cool wrestling T-shirt when we see one.
Starting with the days when competitors printed their own cheap tees at the local sporting goods store, WWEClassics.com dressed up a list of the 15 greatest T-shirts in wrestling history. Our criteria shifted from early shirts that inspired copycats to the ones that broke sales records, but overall we were digging for tees that were just plain cool. Try these on for size and let us know what some of your favorites are.
15
Eddie Guerrero's "Latino Heat"
This Eddie Guerrero T-shirt may have been inspired by the 1983 classic “Scarface,” but don’t confuse Latino Heat with the film’s slimy crime lord Tony Montana. Guerrero may have wrestled by a dodgy code of lying, cheating and stealing, but the similarities between the former WWE Champion and the fictional kingpin end there.
The real crossover here is between Guerrero and the film’s star, Al Pacino. Possessing the same fiery charisma and genuine unpredictability in the ring that Pacino brought to the screen, Guerrero thrilled audiences while cheating and enraged them while smiling. It was all in their swagger — that rare ability to attract through movement. In his own way, the magnetic Superstar from El Paso, Texas, was a movie star in the squared circle. What better way to represent him than with a movie poster?
14
King Kong Bundy
If King Kong Bundy wasn’t a real man, a cartoonist would’ve created him. With his angry, bald face and bulging belly in black tights, the 450-pounder was exactly what you picture a professional wrestling villain to look like. So maybe that’s why Bundy’s image lent itself so perfectly to the animated counterpart on his T-shirt.
Taking a bit of artistic license with King Kong’s already larger-than-life build, the graphic aptly captured the immensity of the man who battled Hulk Hogan inside a steel cage at WrestleMania 2. Bundy, with his bulging eyes and rounded edges, appeared even more imposing in cartoon form while other Superstars came off looking like cheap caricatures. The only thing more impressive is the fact that WWE found a shirt to fit his Guinness-worthy girth.
13
The Rock's "Brahma Bull"
The Rock’s first “Brahma Bull” tee was a little too cartoony for The Great One, a little too over-the-top to properly capture what made the former WWE Champion "The Most Electrifying Man in All of Entertainment." Over time, though, the logo evolved as the graphics were stripped, leaving behind a blank canvas that was later filled in with the red, white, and blue of the U.S. flag.
Deep into a career that was built on arrogant boasts and a cockeyed sneer, The Rock, almost unexpectedly, emerged as an American icon and this T-shirt captured that newfound aspect of his personality perfectly. In its way, the insignia became something more akin to a logo you’d see on a superhero’s chest plate — the perfect touch for a competitor who always seemed to be a step above a normal man.
12
Andre the Giant's "Red Hand"
By now, we’ve all heard the “believe it or not” stories of Andre the Giant’s enormity — the rings that were so wide you could pass eggs through the center, the 118 beers he could drink in one sitting and still stand up. All served to perpetuate the fact that the WWE Hall of Famer was the most physically impressive athlete to ever enter the squared circle. The Giant’s T-shirt had to do the same.
Featuring a print of Andre’s legendary paw on the front — the same hand, which once enveloped broadcaster “Lord” Alfred Hayes’ entire face during an interview segment — and his sasquatch-like size 24 foot on the back, the tee captured The Giant’s size without hyperbole. These weren’t exaggerations of the Frenchman’s superhuman measurements, these were the facts. All you had to do was place your hand against The Giant’s and you’d see he truly was The Eighth Wonder of the World.
11
Chris Jericho’s “Monday Jericho”
When Chris Jericho made his WWE debut on Aug. 9, 1999, he brazenly interrupted The Rock and declared Monday Night Raw was now “Raw is Jericho.” But his faithful fans — the "Jericholics" — knew that his assertion of “Raw is Jericho” was actually the second time he put his name on a show.
While competing in WCW, Jericho made sure fans of the Atlanta-based organization knew that the flagship program was not Monday Nitro. It was, in fact, “Monday Jericho.” The outspoken Superstar eventually donned a T-shirt with a revamped Nitro logo featuring his name. Soon, the top became one of WCW’s most popular, even rivaling the infamous nWo shirts. As Jericho’s popularity was on the rise, fans wanted to declare that Nitro did not belong to Hollywood Hogan, but rather that "Monday Jericho" was the show they paid to see.
10
Greg "The Hammer" Valentine's "I Broke Wahoo's Leg"
Had nearly crippling Mid-Atlantic icon Wahoo McDaniel not already made Greg Valentine the most hated man in the Carolinas in 1977, his reveal of a callous T-shirt designed to boast about the act certainly did. Picking up where his father, Johnny, left off, the young Hammer sought to make his reputation at the expense of the legendary Wahoo by snapping his shinbone before a horrified Raleigh, N.C., crowd.
The sadism of Valentine’s act was bad enough, but there was something about his self designed shirt that made the no-nonsense thug even viler. No flashy graphics. No bright colors. Just four simple words spelled out in plain white lettering on black: "I Broke Wahoo’s Leg." With that, "The Hammer" gave the folks in the Greensboro Coliseum another excuse to pelt him with D batteries. But decades later, when CM Punk aped the top with his own “I Broke Big Show’s Hand” tee, it proved that Valentine didn’t just incite, he inspired.
9
John Cena's "8-Bit"
John Cena’s ever-changing T-shirt color scheme has garnered the former WWE Champion comparisons to everything from Teletubbies to a bowl of Fruity Pebbles cereal. Schoolyard insults aside, the best of the Cenation leader’s many shirts was this tee that depicted the West Newbury, Mass., native as a character in a 1980s video game.
Dubbed Cena’s “8-bit” shirt by those who can recall the technological limitations of the first gaming systems, the tee actually reveals more about the Superstar than his love for Nintendo. While Cena has often been the whipping boy of old school wrestling fans who think he represents the misguided modern era, the truth is Cena is as old school as it gets. And, like his no-days-off work ethic and his high top sneakers, this shirt is another tip of the cap to what came before him.
8
D-Generation X
Every army needs a uniform, and the DX army was no different. Banded together against enemies like The Nation and the McMahon family, Triple H, X-Pac and The New Age Outlaws hit the ring in matching black shirts with the D-Generation X logo across the front and made it clear that they were fighting as one — even if they were fighting for the right to party.
That was never as apparent as it was in 1998 when the degenerates came storming into Norfolk, Va., in an army jeep in an attempt to invade a taping of WCW’s Monday Nitro. In their matching DX shirts, the faction — and their countless fans — sent the message that this wasn’t just an article of clothing, it was a revolution.
7
CM Punk's "Best in the World"
CM Punk came to Money in the Bank 2011 to make history. Days after he unleashed the verbal "pipe bomb" that turned the WWE Universe upside down, Punk walked into Chicago’s Allstate Arena with the promise to defeat John Cena for the WWE Championship and then leave the company with the title in his possession.
That night, The Straight Edge Superstar stepped out in front of a raucous hometown crowd wearing a new white T-shirt with The Windy City’s flag on the front and the phrase “The Best in the World” emblazoned across the back. Featuring the city and date of the event, the exclusive top was only available to those WWE fans who made it to the Second City that night, so it was no surprise when the tee became the most desired article of clothing in all of sports-entertainment.
6
Cactus Jack's "Wanted Dead"
The sight of Mick Foley in his Cactus Jack T-Shirt was once such a frightening image that Triple H nearly jumped out of his kneepads when Foley stripped off his button-down shirt to reveal the “Wanted Dead” tee underneath. In that moment, The Game understood he was no longer dealing with a roller coaster enthusiast from Long Island, N.Y., but an unpredictable outlaw from Truth or Consequences, N.M., who felt pain, but seemed to absorb it in a way that other men could not.
Strange the effect that slipping on a simple poly-cotton blend could have on Foley, but The Hardcore Legend underwent a metamorphosis from family man to Hardcore Legend through the sleeveless top. With his scarred arms exposed, Foley survived the grisly King of the Deathmatch tournament in that shirt and won the World Tag Team Titles alongside his mentor, Terry Funk. It’s questionable if he could have achieved the same things in the tie-dye of Dude Love.
5
Randy “Macho Man” Savage’s “Macho Man”
Randy “Macho Man” Savage didn’t do T-shirts. The flamboyant Superstar’s personality wouldn’t allow it. For him, it was a sequined cowboy hat with a matching fringed blazer or it was nothing at all. But when he did don short sleeves, he did it right.
Stepping out in a bright purple shirt like only the most confident of men could, Savage wore a tee that was adorned with his nickname in block letters. But it was the graphic of his sunglasses that told the story. In the lenses of the signature shades was an image of the former WWE Champion himself. It was the perfect representation of the Macho Man because, to Savage, all eyes were on him — even his own.
4
The New World Order's "nWo"
If the logo of The New World Order’s signature shirt looked like it was seared on with a branding iron, that wasn’t a mistake. The insignia was just that: a brand. When you wore the colors of The nWo, you were nWo for life. And it all it took for WCW fans to realize that a Superstar had turned to the dark side was for a competitor to slip on the trademark black and white of the bad guys.
Designed with the same basic color scheme as “Stone Cold” Steve Austin’s “Austin 3:16” shirt, the tee added to the “so bad they’re cool” mystique of Scott Hall, Kevin Nash and the rest of the anti-authority nWo members. It also rivaled The Texas Rattlesnake’s top in terms of ubiquity as it broke WCW sales records at the height of the company’s popularity in the late ’90s.
3
"Rowdy" Roddy Piper's "Hot Rod"
Roddy Piper favored two T-shirts during his run as WWE’s most dastardly villain in the early 1980s. One featured the face of a scowling black panther — a nod to the rowdy Scot’s predatory cat–like dominance over the squared circle. The other, more famous shirt was a red ringer tee with the words “Hot Rod!” seared across the chest in flaming letters. Both captured Piper’s well-documented aggressive nature, but it was the latter that became one of the most recognizable images of WWE’s first boom period.
Predominantly red and yellow — which may or may not have been a clever jab at his greatest rival, Hulk Hogan — the tee matched the Scotsman’s trademark kilt perfectly and gave him a look that no other Superstar could mimic. Few people’s names warrant an exclamation point. With “Hot Rod!” there was no question.
2
Hulk Hogan's "Hulkamania"
It was T-shirts that brought Hulk Hogan to WWE in the first place. Once a star for Verne Gagne’s AWA in Minneapolis, The Hulkster left the promotion following a dispute over his cut of merchandise sales. Hogan knew there was marketing potential in his mythical size and intoxicating charismatic, but he had to join forces with Mr. McMahon to realize it.
Hulkamania didn’t arrive fully formed, though. On the night he won his first WWE Title, he wore a cheap, red tank top that said “American Made” across the chest. As time went on, his yellow and red “Hulkamania” tee became The Hulkster's trademark and the sight of the big man tearing his shirt off before every match became the defining image of the “Rock ‘n’ Wrestling” boom of the 1980s.
1
"Stone Cold" Steve Austin's "Austin 3:16"
“Talk about your psalms, talk about John 3:16. Austin 3:16 says I just whipped your @$$!"
With those immortal words, WWE Hall of Famer “Stone Cold” Steve Austin became the anti-establishment hero of the WWE Universe. There has never been a Superstar bolder or tougher than The Texas Rattlesnake. One would think that the most popular Superstar of all time would have an elaborate T-shirt to boot. But for the original Austin 3:16 T-shirt — the most popular WWE garment of all time — it was a strikingly simple design.
A black top with “Austin 3:16” emblazoned in white letters on the front and a smoking skull with “Stone Cold” carved into the back, the preferred shirt of The Rattlesnake was a revolution unto itself. WWE fans all over the world turned to Austin as he stood up to Mr. McMahon. Not since the red and yellow of Hulkamania had there been a garment that defined an era of WWE history.
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NEW laws should be introduced to protect people from the kind of online abuse suffered by JK Rowling after she donated £1 million to the campaign against Scottish independence, a Labour peer has said.
The Harry Potter author was the subject of a social media backlash after coming out last week in support of the continuation of the United Kingdom in its present form.
Lord Foulkes of Cumnock, a former Scottish MP and minister, asked Justice Minister Lord Faulks at question time in the House of Lords: "Are you aware of the vile, personal internet abuse heaped on supporters of the union in Scotland including JK Rowling the author merely for giving £1 million toward Better Together? Will you condemn this?"
And he questioned whether some legislation could be introduced "to protect all of us who suffer such attacks".
Lord Faulks told him: "I do deplore what has been said about those who have a particular viewpoint - it is the enemy of democracy that the internet should be used in this way.
"We should nevertheless be hesitant before we prevent access to the internet. Russia, China, some of the Arab states prevent access to the internet. Once you start preventing access to the internet you prevent some of the advantages you get economically and otherwise form this extraordinary phenomenon now 25 years old."
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Book Briefs 6
Halting State, Charles Stross — Despite the level of his output, Charles Stross is about as far as one can get from SF formula. His works range from exploring the concept of the Singularity to an award-winning alternate history series to a spy agency dealing with Lovecraftian opponents. Halting State, his latest novel, is a near future tale that doesn’t really fall into any of these categories. Told alternatively from three viewpoints (police officer, forensic accountant and gaming programmer), corporate shenanigans meet gamers meet national security and digital infrastructure. While perhaps not Stross’s best, he still intrigues the reader using both intellect and readability.
The Nine: Inside the Secret World of the Supreme Court, Jeffrey Toobin — Between the retirement of Sandra Day O’Connor and the appointment of John Roberts and Samuel Alito, this is already a book about a Supreme Court that was, not a Supreme Court that is. Although focusing largely on the last several years of the Rehnquist era on the Supreme Court, Toobin catches the Supreme Court in its most massive and significant transition in decades. Yet this also allows Toobin a unique opportunity to compare the Rehnquist era with the early days of the Roberts Court. In so doing, the book shows just what a dramatic and revolutionary change is occurring there, one that has serious and dire ramifications for the nation.
The Varieties of Scientific Experience, Carl Sagan — It might be unfair to classify Carl Sagan with the so-called “new atheists.” Although they rely on reason and logic, they tend to roundly condemn religion itself. In contrast, while Sagan relied on his strong belief in scientific method and knowledge, he tried to remain a somewhat more objective observer. That approach is demonstrated in lectures he gave in 1985 for the Gifford Lectures on natural theology, lectures edited and published here by his widow, Ann Druyan, last year on the 10th anniversary of Sagan’s death. Sagan’s approach, in fact, is such that it’s probably not fair to call him an atheist. Although it looks like he leans toward atheism (“The alleged natural theological arguments for the existence of God simply are not very compelling”), Sagan is, more accurately, an agnostic. “Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence” is a long-standing mantra Sagan reiterates during a question-and-answer session at the lectures. Given Sagan’s almost inimitable style, this is a very readable scientist’s eye view of the core theological issue — the existence of God and his role in the universe.
“Science” is only a Latin word for “knowledge.” And it’s hard for me to believe that anyone is opposed to knowledge.
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You are here
Presentations
All public presentations delivered by the Nunavut Impact Review Board which are unrelated to project-specific assessments (available on the public registry) will be posted here to ensure access for Nunavummiut, residents of Canada, and other interested parties.
“Pan-Territorial EA and Regulatory Board Forum: Collaborating Across The Canadian Territories” delivered at the Arctic Council Sustainable Development Working Group’s Arctic EIA Workshop, Yellowknife, NT: April 24-26, 2018English
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4 Ways to Get Rid of Keloid Scars
Removing a keloid scar isn’t just about wanting to look better; it’s also about putting a stop to the annoying itch and irritation. Start your new year off right by leaving your scars behind in 2017. Try any of the following:
LasersLaser scar removal is a popular method for taking care of an acne keloid. The two types of lasers generally used for acne scars are fractional CO2 lasers and Er:YAG lasers with the latter of the two being less invasive. They work by removing old tissue so that new, healthier tissue can grow back. Laser scar removal often requires repeated treatments. Source: GetRidOfThings
Steroid injectionsInjections of steroidal anti-inflammatories have been known to help with keloids. However, these have been shown to be more effective following major treatment for keloids. This includes surgical scar removal, laser treatment, and more, as noted in a 2014 study.
A combination of different injected steroids has also been shown to be more successful in a 2012 analysis. An 80 percent recurrence rate was reported, however. Talk to your doctor about using injected steroids in combination with surgery, laser removal, or other operations. Source: HealthLine
Tretinoin cream (Retin-A)Tretinoin is a prescription medicine that people apply to their skin. Commonly used for acne and aging, it works by speeding up the skin’s natural cell turnover.
A 2010 review in the Journal of Clinical and Aesthetic Dermatology found that retinoids, such as tretinoin cream and isotretinoin, may help reduce the size and appearance of keloids. Source: MedicalNewsToday
Silicone gelThis involves wearing a sheet of silicone gel on the affected area continuously for months, which is hard to sustain. Results are variable. Some doctors claim similar success with compression dressings made from materials other than silicone. Source: MedicineNet
Let us take a look at your scar to see which treatment will suit you best. Call us so we can schedule an appointment!
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Doll clothing
Dolls and Party Barcelona DDdy set
If you follow my facebook you might have read that I’ll be attending Barcelona’s Dolls and Party event next 5th of July. For the event I am preparing a few new sets. this one will be the only one to fit only DDdy bust size. Last weekend my friend AOJ came by and we took out Reira and Inori for an outdoor photoshoot with their new dresses (Inori in the next post xD). Also his girlfriend brought her MSD dolls, and I took the chance to try some MDD shirts I had to see if the fit was ok (in another upcoming post xD). I’d love to share with you the photos he took, I really love them! :) Reira (DD beato) is veeeery photogenic! <3
The set will include:
top, skirt, socks, pantsu, ribbon, collar and pocket watch.
I meant to put the pocket watch as if it were a bag ^^’ it’s easy to shorten more if needed.
Reira shows us the details of the watch, it doesn’t work tho :p but I think you can open it and change the battery, I honestly didn’t try!
It’s beautiful when closed :)
neck collar with ribbon
head band
omake :)
Thanks for looking! I hope you like it :)
ps: no pictures of socks and pantsu, as actually I didn’t make the final version yet xD
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The new American victimhood
Who will come to the aid of the oppressed, huddled masses of Wall Street?
America needs a new civil rights movement. Apparently, white conservatives and Wall Street are being horribly oppressed, by immigrants, by Muslims, and by the Harvard-traitor president of the United States.
Christopher Hitchens described the fundamental, existential insecurity that underlies the Beck/Palin/tea party movement, in a brilliant piece in Slate:
One crucial element of the American subconscious is about to become salient and explicit and highly volatile. It is the realization that white America is within thinkable distance of a moment when it will no longer be the majority. This awareness already exists in places like New York and Texas and California, and there have even been projections of the time(s) at which it will occur and when different nonwhite populations will collectively outnumber the former white majority. But it also exerts a strong subliminal effect in states like Alaska that have an overwhelming white preponderance.
Until recently, the tendency has been to think of this rather than to speak of it—or to speak of it very delicately, lest the hard-won ideal of diversity be imperiled. But nobody with any feeling for the zeitgeist can avoid noticing the symptoms of white unease and the additionally uneasy forms that its expression is beginning to take.
For example, so strong is the moral stature of the Rev. Dr Martin Luther King Jr. and the civil rights movement that even the white right prefers to pretend to emulate it. (This smarmy tactic long predates Glenn Beck, by the way: I remember Ralph Reed trying it when he ran the Christian Coalition more than 10 years ago and announced that he wanted to remodel the organization along the lines of the Southern Christian Leadership Conference.) Thus, it is really quite rare to hear slurs against President Barack Obama that are based purely on the color of his skin. Even Beck himself has tried to back away from the smears of that kind that he has spread in the past. But it is increasingly common to hear allegations that Obama is either foreign-born or a Muslim. And these insinuations are perfectly emblematic of the two main fears of the old majority: that it will be submerged by an influx from beyond the borders and that it will be challenged in its traditional ways and faiths by an alien and largely Third World religion.
And while the tea party right is couching its demands in the Beckian buzzwords of “original constitutionalism” and freedom, to the people funding the movement that means no Social Security, Medicare or unemployment insurance, and no more regulation of business, including dangerous pursuits like mining and oil drilling.
Meanwhile, over at the New York Times, Wall Street mogul-whisperer Andrew Ross Sorkin chronicles the travails of America’s true underclass: the battered capitalists of Wall Street who are literally being marched into the internment camps by a cruel, despotic “president” they thought they knew…
That the honeymoon between Washington and Wall Street has turned to bitter recriminations is not news, given that the administration had long pledged to revamp Wall Street regulation in the wake of a crisis that rattled the global financial system.
Less than two years ago, Democrats received 70 percent of the donations from Wall Street; since June, when the financial regulation bill was nearing passage, Republicans were receiving 68 percent of the donations, according to an analysis by the Center for Responsive Politics, a nonpartisan research group.
But what is surprising is that some of the president’s biggest supporters have so publicly derided his policies, even at the risk of hurting their ability to influence the party in the future. Issues like the carry-interest tax on private equity or the Volcker Rule have become personal.
Why so personal? The prevailing view is that bankers, hedge fund mangers and traders supported the Obama candidacy because he appealed to their egos.
Mr. Obama was viewed as a member of the elite, an Ivy League graduate (Columbia, class of ’83, the same as Mr. Loeb), president of The Harvard Law Review — he was supposed to be just like them. President Obama was the “intelligent” choice, the same way they felt about themselves. They say that they knew he would seek higher taxes and tighter regulation; that was O.K. What they say they did not realize was that they were going to be painted as villains.
That Wall Street view of itself as a victim has prompted much of the private murmurings and the unfortunate — or worse — outburst from Stephen A. Schwarzman, who likened the administration’s plan for taxes on private equity to “when Hitler invaded Poland in 1939.” Mr. Schwarzman later apologized for the “inappropriate analogy.”
Never mind that these guys caused the financial crisis that led to the need for regulation. They wish to be free. Free from government meddling in their fiscal gambling (but not free from getting bailed out if their bets don’t pay off.) They long for the days of George W. Bush, when the huddled masses in the country clubs back east could truly yearn to breathe in the sweet air of liberty; a halcyon era when:
In 2007, the top .001 percent of American earners took home 6 percent of total U.S. wages — about twice the figure for 2000, notes Emmanuel Saez, an economics professor at University of California–Berkeley. Saez also found that the top 10 percent of American earners pulled in 49.7 percent of total wages: a level “higher than any other year since 1917 and even surpasses 1928.”
What did W have to do with this? He cut $1.3 trillion worth of taxes, 32.6 percent of which went to the top 1 percent of earners. And thanks to $7.8 million in contributions from Ameriquest, a subprime-mortgage company, President Bush pushed his Ownership Society initiative to get poor people into mortgages they could not afford so that Wall Street could engorge itself on borrowing to buy toxic waste.
Ah, those were the days. … Can I get a rousing round of “we shall overcome?”
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Freddie Mac posts $4.6B net income for Q1
In this Tuesday, April 9, 2013, photo, a "Sold" sign is posted outside a home in Indianapolis. Mortgage giant Freddie Mac earned $4.6 billion from January through March of 2013, helped by a stronger housing market. The government-controlled company has turned a profit in the past six quarters. (AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
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Gorskie Named to USL Team of the Week
ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. (September 26, 2017) — Tampa Bay Rowdies center back Hunter Gorskie has been named to the USL Team of the Week following his home debut on Saturday night.
Gorskie scored the game's only goal in the 33rd minute and helped the Rowdies to their first clean sheet in five matches to lead Tampa Bay to a critical 1-0 win over the Charlotte Independence.
It was Gorskie's second goal in just three appearances since joining the Rowdies last month.
Additionally, goalkeeper Matt Pickens was named to the Team of the Week's bench. The full USL Team of the Week is listed below.
GK – Fabian Cerda, Tulsa Roughnecks FC: Cerda recorded a five-save shutout, as the Roughnecks moved closer to a playoff berth with a 1-0 win against the LA Galaxy II.
D – William Yomby, Richmond Kickers: Yomby made six interceptions and nine clearances, as the Kickers earned a 1-0 victory against the Rochester Rhinos on Saturday night.
D – Hunter Gorskie, Tampa Bay Rowdies: Gorskie scored the only goal of the game and also put in a solid defensive display as the Rowdies moved into the Eastern Conference’s top four by defeating the Charlotte Independence.
D – Oumar Ballo, Swope Park Rangers: Ballo opened the scoring in the Rangers’ 3-1 win against Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC and also recorded eight clearances while going five of eight in duels.
M – Lewis Neal, Orlando City B: Neal scored a late game-winner to go with his earlier assist, as OCB gave its playoff hopes a major boost with a 2-1 victory against the Charleston Battery on Saturday.
M – Alessandro Riggi, Phoenix Rising FC: Riggi recorded two goals and two assists to lead Rising FC to a pair of victories, as Phoenix ran its undefeated streak to 10 games.
M – George Davis IV, Louisville City FC: Davis scored two goals in two games, as Louisville took four points from the week to extend its lead in the Eastern Conference to seven points.
M – Lindo Mfeka, Reno 1868 FC: Mfeka scored four goals in two games – including a hat trick against OKC Energy FC on Wednesday night – as Reno moved into second place in the Western Conference.
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Wyoming Business License
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and an assumed business name also called a dba doing business as. Even though you may start a business without a business license, you will need to get one eventually because you are legally obligated to obtain one. There are fines and possible misdemeanors if you don't get a business license or home occupation permit if you are operating even from a home-based business, an online business, ebay business or any business.
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Things that make you go hmm… is this what the future might look like? All you cinephiles out there should be interested in this:
MoviePass, a new $50-per-month service for film fans, will let subscribers watch unlimited movies in theaters using their smartphones as tickets. The all-you-can-watch service, announced Monday with a private beta starting in the San Francisco Bay Area just in time for the Fourth of July blockbuster weekend, is looking to shake up the theater business in much the same way Netflix has changed the DVD-rental game. MoviePass will launch with an “unlimited pass” service allowing subscribers to go to as many films as they can stand for $50 a month. If they want to see a 3-D or Imax film, they will pay a $3 surcharge. A “limited pass” offering four movies a month for $30 is in the works.
So, all-you-can-eat movies, borrowing the Netflix model, except, in this case, theatrical screenings are the order of the day.
And guess who’s spearheading MoviePass… none other than Mr Stacy Spikes, the founder of the Urbanworld Foundation Inc., which owns and runs the Urbanworld Film Festival here in New York City; he posted it on his Facebook page earlier today, but, apparently, the initial announcement was made on June 20th, when Stacy announced the project’s website, which you can find HERE.
Now, for someone like me living in New York City, where movie ticket prices range between $12 and $13, this could be attractive. I already gripe often about the cost of movies here, and with a pass like this, just as I currently do with Netflix’s à la carte streaming feature, I’ll be much more inclined to see movies in the theater, and more often.
“Even with online ticketing, this side of the business is still a 75-year-old business and there’s not a lot of innovation… Getting your tickets, how you do that, how you interact with the theater, how you interact with the studio, none of that has really changed. We’re giving the viewer a lot more power and also allowing [studios and moviegoers] to speak with each other,” Stacy Spikes said in an interview with Wired.com.
So could this be the so-called “killer-app” that the studios need to bring audiences back into the theaters?
There’s still a lot I’d like to know, and hopefully we can get Stacy to talk to us about this in detail. More importantly for those involved, how will this make money? Any of our Bay area readers planning on signing up, since they’re starting with you folks first?
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It can be frustrating waiting to get into the parking lot and being stuck in line with cars in front either taking a long time to pay or asking the parking lot attendant many questions causing the line not to move. It would be great to just scan the pass or membership and enter the lot in a faster moving line.
The processing dates during the Labor Day sale are usually only around a month making it difficult for anyone who lives further away to be able to process the pass in time. I ended up paying $83 during the Thanksgiving weekend sale instead of $68 during the Labor Day sale because I couldn't get to the park by September 30th. With Cedar Fair's system, all I have to do is enter my current season pass number, upload a picture if the current picture is more than a few years old and as soon as the purchase is complete, my pass is renewed. I'd like to see a similar set up for Six Flags.
I get the plastic bottle every year with the dining pass and never use it, I didn't even pick up this years version. Besides not wanting to carry it around, I don't like the idea of leaving it in a station or entrance to a ride where it could be taken by someone else either by accident or purpose or tampered with. Cleaning them is also annoying since they aren't dishwasher safe. The paper cups would be great.
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/2018/12/11/adventureland-new-rollercoaster-phoenix-tickets-coupons-summer-hours-opening-altoona-des-moines-ia/2276263002/
It's going to be a Maurer spinning coaster. It will be interesting to see if it's a clone like most of the other Maurer spinning coasters that are SC2000 versions like Laff Trakk or an original design.
Now with the Gold Plus membership level gone (unless that is just temporary), that should help a little with only 3 membership levels. I think it would be best to have 2 season pass types, regular and gold and 2 membership levels, a basic one and a top tier one like Diamond Elite. With the previous 4 membership levels, 3 types of season passes (Summer Thrill Pass, Combo Pass and Gold), it is a lot to figure out. I can only imagine how complicated it would be for someone who visits only twice a year and doesn't go online to amusement park message boards of other social media groups to decide on what pass or membership to get.
I have only been there once but checking Queue Times almost every day, it looks like crowds have been better than expected with the cold weather. Tonight Justice League was showing a 45 minute wait and the Skyway a 20 minute wait even with temperatures under 30 degrees. I would have thought everything would be a walk on in that weather.
I agree Coaster Dynamix models would be great. If there was a Statix train for Nitro, I'd buy it without thinking twice (I just have Talon from Dorney right now). The Nanocoaster models would be nice to see as well.
I also have some generic Six Flags merchandise I have bought from the park in past years like a baseball that has "Six Flags Coaster Team" on it. I like it because I collect baseballs but would have preferred to have the baseball mention Great Adventure somewhere on it.
I got a survey from Cedar Fair today about Dorney Park season passes. You had to select the top 5 reasons you bought a 2019 season pass from a list. One of the choices was 2019 additions to Dorney Park. 😕
I remember having to cross my legs for it to be more comfortable. It was one of the worst wild mouse coasters I have ridden, shorter than other models and fewer drops.
They could, it used to be on the same pier as Great White
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Eye Exams
An ounce of prevention…so the saying goes, is certainly true in getting routine eye examinations. Many silent thieves of sight can only be determined with a dilated exam. Diseases like glaucoma, diabetic retinopathy, hypertensive retinopathy, and macular degeneration rarely give any warning until there has been irreversible vision loss. Therefore, an eye examination is more than simply answering the question “which is better 1 or 2?”.
During an eye exam, your doctor will ask about your general health and see how it relates to your eye health. A list of your medications is also needed to correlate any problems you might be having with your vision versus your general health.
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Imagine having handy teaching hints constantly on recall, similar to the manner in which the melody to “Sweet Caroline” is never more than two seconds away from your mind’s reach.
The difference being, these methods are actually helpful. Caught in a communication conundrum? Grab a visual! Frustrated that your students don’t seem to be getting it? Recall those ever-important stages of language acquisition!
Prepare to have all these, and more, permanently imprinted on your brain. Just for the time being, clear your mind of the lyrics to “Yellow Submarine” and make some space for five ESL teaching methods that’ll rock your world!
5 ESL Teaching Methods That Totally Rock
1. Total Physical Response
Total Physical Response, or TPR, is a language acquisition method developed by psychology professor James Asher. TPR uses a combo of language and physical actions to engage students in the language learning process. Much has been learned about TPR from observing infants throughout the acquisition of their home language.
Think about a time you may have interacted with your 6-month-old niece. Maybe her mom said “Give your auntie a high five!” Your niece responded with the physical action of slapping your hand. Can she fluently communicate yet? No, but she does pick up on a few verbal clues like “high five,” and the hand slap is nearly an automatic response.
While the brain is generating this automatic response, it’s also taking note of things like syntax and speech patterns. After enough exposure, your niece will eventually generate language spontaneously. If it’s easy enough for an infant, why wouldn’t it be just as effective with your students?
There are many ways to use TPR within the classroom, but as a warm-up or transition between activities are two great ways to get your students up and moving.
It’s best to begin with simple, explicit instructions or commands, such as “sit” or “stand.” It’s imperative that clear visuals are provided when introducing the concept. A physical demonstration paired with the corresponding action is a most effective strategy when beginning.
Once the group has been familiarized with the terms and the reciprocal actions, it must be revisited consistently. Meaningful repetitions will deepen understanding, as well as provide familiarity with the language.
Once your students have mastered these simple commands, you can move on to more involved, multi-step verbal tasks like “Stand up and touch your toes” or “Sit on the floor.” As the complexity of the tasks grow, so will your students’ confidence.
Before you know it, your students will be able to “Shake, Rattle and Roll” like rock stars!
2. Introducing Items of Cultural and Personal Relevance
Where do you feel most comfortable? Most likely at home, among familiar things. When we are in our natural environment we are typically secure and relaxed. Creating feelings of security and comfort within your students can help mentally prepare them for successful language acquisition. Though we usually can’t reach our students in their literal home environment, there are some things we can do to create a welcoming and familiar classroom.
Just as your home probably reflects your culture and personality, your classroom should reflect the background and interests of each culture represented among your students. Items of cultural relevance might include books in a student’s home language and maps or flags from their homeland. Of course, it’s always important to know your students on personal level, too. Appropriate pop culture references and music can also be incorporated into your classroom.
Providing these items not only creates a feeling of familiarity, but it also sends the message that your students are valued. It shows that you care about every part of them, culturally and personally.
When integrating items of cultural and personal relevance into your classroom, get creative! Again, think about your own home:
It has your favorite books. Create a classroom library comprised of your student’s favorites, including books in their home language.
It has photos of family and friends. Make certain the visuals in your classroom represent people from varying backgrounds.
If you like to paint, it has all the stuff you need to paint. Find out what your students like to do and have some of that stuff for them, too.
By adding just a few items to their classroom environment, your students can feel “Homeward Bound” regardless of how far away their home may be.
3. Using Authentic Materials
I have clear memories from my own time as a student in which the teacher requested that we perform seemingly mindless and mundane tasks. I’m sure they fit neatly into the lesson plan, but they didn’t seem to serve any real purpose. I remember a particularly bland piece of prose that revolved around an older gentleman’s trip to the library and the books he selected.
The point of reading the selection was to check comprehension. Why would I care to read about this fictional geezer, let alone prove my comprehension of his literary adventures by regurgitating the tale? Your students feel the same way.
Learning can be much more meaningful and motivating if it actually serves a purpose. Would you be in interested in reading this post if you didn’t think you’d take something away from it? Probably not. Your students don’t want to waste their time on something without a “take-away,” either. This is the true benefit of using authentic materials.
Authentic materials can be described as materials that have been created for native speakers and are used as teaching tools in the ESL classroom. These aren’t necessarily manufactured pieces from a classroom curriculum. It’s important to note that ESL considerations were not made as the materials were being created. This could include books, directions and maps, newspaper articles or recipes. It could also include videos or music.
Really, any source of language designed for the native speaker could be considered an authentic material. As a student, I would much rather have the end product of a lesson be a pizza I made following a recipe than a bunch of useless information about a useless subject (i.e. Grandpa’s trip to the library!).
Set up a makeshift restaurant in your classroom. Grab menus, recipes, signs and even little notepads for writing down orders.
Plan a trip to a local museum. You’ll need brochures, bus schedules (if you’re taking school transportation—pretend!), maps and directions. It might even be fun to provide a little history on the anticipated exhibits through written text or videos.
Plant a class garden. You’ll need to start with gardening and plant research. This can be done with books, videos and Internet resources. There are seed types to read about and predictions to make. Once again, you can incorporate recipes using the fruits of your labor.
This is just the beginning—all you need is a little creativity. In no time you and your students will realize there “Ain’t Nothing Like the Real Thing.”
4. Displaying Visuals and Realia
I must admit that one of my biggest pet peeves is when people try to describe an episode of a television show to me that I don’t watch. I have no background information on the plot or characters, so it doesn’t really make sense. They’re talking and talking about this thing I don’t really understand, with no reference, other than their wordy explanation.
I honestly feel like screaming, “I don’t know what you’re talking about and I don’t care!” But, I don’t want to be perceived as rude or unintelligent, so most times I just smile and act interested, all the while, mentally zoning out. Sound familiar?
This very scenario plays out daily in classrooms across the country with our ELL students. Unfortunately, the stakes are much higher than choosing your new favorite TV show.
How can we prevent our students from tuning us out? Well, If I had had any familiarity or background on that television show, I might have been more willing to participate in the conversation. This is exactly what we need to provide for our students.
Visuals and realia are one of the most effective ways to provide a relatable reference for our students. Visuals are just what you might think they are: a universal picture that accompanies your lesson. For instance, if you’re teaching about elephants, have a pictures of elephants available to share with students. Easy, right?
Using realia is just as simple. It just means having a tangible object that students can fully “experience” to help deepen understanding. If you’re teaching a science lesson about trees, have bark, leaves and twigs available. If you’re teaching an English lesson about plurals, have one bean available to show the meaning of “singular,” and two or more beans available to show the meaning of “plural.”
Remember that elephant lesson? A picture could be easy and helpful, but you can take it a step further by adding small elephant figurines, or by providing a scrap of leathery material to better describe their skin.
We’ve already talked about how realia can be used to help with an English lesson, and math is a no brainer, too. Provide something tangible when teaching addition, subtract or any other operation.
Visuals are invaluable when teaching routines and social emotional skills. Think about those feeling charts or visual schedules. What a great way to reach not only your ELL students, but all of your kids.
By providing just a few inexpensive and interesting items for your students, you’ll soon have your students “Seeing Clearly Now.”
5. Remembering the Stages of Second Language Acquisition
I recall as a young teacher I had a Hmong student named Cindy. I was quite inexperienced and I easily got frustrated with her silence, day after day. All the other kids greeted me with hugs, laughed at my jokes and sang silly songs with me. Cindy just sat for months, stone faced and silent. I honestly took it personally.
She didn’t appear to like anything about me or our classroom. I was constantly in her face, prompting her to repeat after me and “use her words.” I thought if I could just make her speak it would mean she liked me and I was doing my job as her teacher. Obviously, this was useless and I eventually just gave up, and so did she—before she even started. Cindy will forever be one of my biggest regrets as a teacher.
I didn’t realize it at the time, but Cindy was simply going through the stages of second language acquisition. She was stuck in the first stage, the silent or receptive stage, and I was doing nothing to help move her forward.
There are actually five stages that your students might go through on their language acquisition journey:
1. Silent or Receptive Stage: During this stage students may be silent or use non-verbal communication, like pointing or nodding their head. The focus is on building the confidence it takes to actually speak and on learning basic vocabulary. There’s no language fluency at this stage in the game.
2. Early Production: Students might begin speaking in one- to two-word responses or short phrases and could acquire upwards of 1,000 new vocabulary words during this stage. Confidence grows even though a student might not be comfortable with the language yet.
3. Speech Emergence: This is where the real communication begins. Sentences and phrases become longer and more complex, though the rules of grammar might still be foggy. Greater comprehension is gained in this stage and students might begin reading or writing in the acquired language.
4. Intermediate Fluency: Learners begin thinking in the second language during this stage. Take, for instance, a French student to whom you’re teaching English. Previously when they had encountered a small, fury rodent gathering nuts they would think ecureuil. At this point they might see that same fury rodent and think “squirrel.” Comprehension and fluency greatly increase at this level.
5. Advanced Fluency: This is full mastery of the language. It can take between two and 10 years to get to this stage. The work doesn’t stop once the language has been mastered, either. There must be ongoing opportunities to engage in the language to keep sharp.
It’s fairly easy to determine which stage your students are in. Language acquisition charts and checklists are widely available. You might display these around your classroom or work area as a reference for reasonable expectations during each stage. It’s also a good self-reminder to relax. Don’t take it personally if your students aren’t getting it just yet. You truly have to let nature take its course on this one.
It’s of great importance that we remember to never push our students through these stages, or expect more than what they’re ready for. We must observe students, catch them where they are and work with them from there.
Though my intentions were good, all of my urging with Cindy certainly caused anxiety, which resulted in a complete shut down. This could happen during any stage if you neglect to take time and pick up on the needs of your students. As we guide our students through the stages of language acquisition, always remember: “Time Is on Our Side.”
These five methods can be used with your students at all levels and stages of acquisition. Each method can practically be adapted to fit all classrooms, across the curriculum, within every lesson.
They’re clever and memorable—just like that catchy eighties tune. Time to put ’em on instant recall and rock it out in your classroom!
Jackie Hostetler has worked in the field of education for 15 years, earning her ESOL Masters in 2010. Her passions include early childhood education and language acquisition in our youngest learners. She is the director of an early learning center and the mother of two of her own little learners.
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Boost your toddler's brain power by "bridging minds"
This story by The Conversation is republished as part of our series of articles written by local and international academics and researchers. The views expressed don't necessarily reflect that of Parent24 or Media24.
A three-year-old boy struggles to thread beads on a string while his older sister watches. She could ignore him or take over the task to get it done quickly.
But if she observes him closely, and realises that he is struggling to hold the string steady, she could offer to hold it for him and praise him for any beads he threads.
This approach — which includes awareness of the child’s cues, clear communication, back-and-forth reciprocity and guidance that adapts to where the child is at — would be an example of the sister “bridging minds” with her brother.
Our research team at the University of Toronto has spent the past five years working to measure and teach the specific behaviours that promote children’s language and cognitive skills.
We have defined supportive interactions as those in which two minds are “bridged.” We also call this “displaying cognitive sensitivity.”
What's going on in someone else's head
Bridging minds describes what it means to step outside of one’s own thoughts, and to recognise and be responsive to what is going on in someone else’s head.
Specifically, it’s the ability to determine what the other person knows, what interests them in a given moment, what they are capable of doing, what types of instructions or support they need, and then to respond accordingly.
This concept moves beyond early work on the topic of sensitivity, which focused on the need to be responsive to how children are feeling in order to support children’s emotional development.
A parent should consider: What is this child capable of doing? iStock.com
Instead, it draws on more recent research from the field of neuroscience, which has highlighted that responsive serve-and-return interactions are just as critical for stimulating children’s early brain development. Indeed, building bridges is about building brain connections.
Applying the science
The breakthrough of our research is that we have come up with a reliable and efficient way to measure the extent of “mind-bridging” occurring in such interactions.
This involves trained researchers using simple checklists to evaluate interactions of children with siblings, parents or early-childhood educators — based on live or video-recorded interactions of pairs or groups.
The whole process can be completed in less than 10 minutes.
Our next challenge is supporting people to use the “bridging minds” approach more often in their interactions with children. Many parents and professionals know that “early experiences matter” and “zero-to-three is a vital period for human development,” but still need more practical tools to make the most of these early years.
(Centre on the Developing Child, Harvard University)
Our research team is currently conducting intervention studies with home-visiting nurses in Brazil and, in collaboration with colleagues at George Brown College, with early childhood educators in the Toronto area.
The goal of these studies is to help these populations build more bridges with children on a daily basis.
Maximise "brain nutrition"
While waiting for the results of these studies, our research team has some suggestions for how to ensure children get the most “brain nutrition” out of every interaction.
In moments of play or daily routines, parents, guardians and early learning professionals can consider:
What is this child looking at and thinking about? How can I engage them, following their lead?
Start a conversation by commenting on what they’re doing. Then, try adding on to what they are already thinking about to extend their learning.
For a child playing with blocks: “What are you building there? A tower! Oh that’s a big tower. It’s already one, two, three bricks high with three different colours. Let’s see what you will do next with the tower?”
For a child who is having trouble scooping water with a bucket: “Oh dear. It’s hard to get the water, isn’t it? I hold the bucket with both hands to make it easier for me. Want to try? Great job, you did it!”
Every interaction is an opportunity to expand what a child knows. To help build brains, parents, educators, siblings, grandparents and other caregivers can all try “bridging minds.”
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Standards of Experience
Lilian G. Katz, Ph.D.Clearinghouse on Early Education and ParentingUniversity of Illinois at Urbana-ChampaignMany public officials, policy makers, politicians, journalists, and many others use a variety of clichés when discussing education. Clichés are usually defined as vague, stereotyped, overused expressions that large numbers of people readily agree with. They are also ideas that have a kind of common sense quality to them. For example, the first goal on the list of national goals proclaimed by the National Education Goals Panel in 1990 is “All children shall come to school ready to learn.” Was it assumed by the officials who originated this goal that children were not learning during the five years of life before entering school—learning, for example, how to walk and talk and play, and so much more? How should the sentence “All children shall come to school ready to learn” be completed? Ready to learn what? Probably it could end “…ready to learn whatever the school wants them to learn.”Today the answer to the latter question is most likely to be stated in terms of performance standards, benchmarks, and other types of outcomes. Early childhood educators are pressured to get children “ready” for school, ready to “succeed” in school, and ready to perform well on tests of academic skills. All of these goals and outcomes are frequently cited as the desirable outcomes or end-products of the curricula “delivered” to young children. Reference to the “delivery” of a curriculum—as in “delivering the mail,” and talk about “inputs” that are expected to produce specific “outputs” or outcomes—is increasingly frequent. These concerns with outcomes and end-products are based on a corporate, industrial, or factory model of education. Indeed, some commentators even refer to child care as an “industry” instead of as a service. Such an industrial model implies that once the raw materials have been placed on the right kind of assembly line and then been subjected to a fixed series of processes, “out” “come” identical products—identical shoes, chairs, cell phones, or test scores, or whatever else is being manufactured. This industrial model is not completely successful for corporations and factories; periodically there are bankruptcies and large-scale recalls of manufactured products because of faulty design or errors in production processes. The industrial model is not fool-proof for industries, and I suggest that it is a very inappropriate basis for thinking about the education of young children. In fact, it is most likely to be seriously misleading for the design of provisions for young children.I suggest that a more appropriate approach might be to ask ourselves: What are the standards ofexperience that we want all of our children to have? Rather than “delivering” education, we are most likely to help children by “providing” experiences known to be beneficial to young children. Thus when we decide to evaluate or assess a provision for young children, we might ask: What kind of experiences is each child having much of the time? Or perhaps we should ask: What does it feel like to be a child in this environment day after day after day? To use these questions as a basis for assessing the appropriateness of provision for young children requires coming to agreement on which experiences are thought to be essential to yield the kinds of short-term and long-term effects (vs. products) we want to cause. Below is a very preliminary list of some important “standards of experiences” that should be provided for all young children in all programs, much of the time.Young children should frequently have the following experiences:
Being intellectually engaged, absorbed, and challenged.
Having confidence in their own intellectual powers and their own questions.
The list is derived from general consideration of the kinds of experiences that all children should have much of the time spent in our educational settings. It is based on philosophical commitments as well as the best available empirical evidence about young children’s learning and development. If the focus of program evaluation and assessment is on “outcomes” such as those indicated by test scores, then evaluators and assessors would very likely emphasize “drill and practice” of phonemics, or rhyming, or various kinds of counting, or introductory arithmetic. While in and of themselves such experiences are not necessarily harmful to young children, they overlook the kinds of experiences that are most likely to strengthen and support young children’s intellectual dispositions and their innate thirst for better, fuller, and deeper understanding of their own experiences.
A curriculum or teaching method focused on academic goals emphasizes the acquisition of bits of knowledge and overlooks the centrality of understanding as an educational goal. After all, literacy and numeracy skills are not ends in themselves but basic tools that can and should be applied in the quest for understanding. In other words, children should be helped to acquire academic skills in the service of their intellectual dispositions, and not at their expense.
We have tried to ensure that all the information on this site is as accurate as possible. Please let us know if you spot any errors.
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Planetary Vol 1 11
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"Cold World": It's 1969, and a woman in white, Bride, and her best men have S.T.O.R.M. operative John Stone at their mercy. Flipping up a fake fingernail reveals a secret device which enables the coldly efficient agent to escape certain death, eliminate Bride'
Synopsis for "Cold World"
It's 1969, and a woman in white, Bride, and her best men have S.T.O.R.M. operative John Stone at their mercy. Flipping up a fake fingernail reveals a secret device which enables the coldly efficient agent to escape certain death, eliminate Bride's squad of killers, and smash her operation. Still, he might not have survived the final showdown with Bride if not for the sudden appearance on the scene of a somewhat younger-looking Elijah Snow, who turns Bride into a all-too-fragile snow sculpture to avenge the death of an old girlfriend.
Thirty-one years later it's Snow who needs help, so the two men meet again in a remote bar in Kazakhstan frequented by individuals who, ironically enough, spend their final days on Earth attempting to cheat death. Over a beer, Snow tells Stone -- relatively unchanged himself over the past three decades -- about some serious gaps in his memory, a fact proved when he reveals, to the agent's surprise, that he didn't know who William Leather was when he encountered him a few months previously.
Stone reacquaints Snow with a memory of his being on the Nautilus, hiding from Leather, while Stone himself was trying to destroy it many years before. This memory opens the floodgates of Snow's brain to a broad mosaic of images from his past: a dark-haired woman who loved him, a pipe-smoking individual reminiscent of Sherlock Holmes; and (perhaps) The Four's Randall Dowling, who apparently doctored Snow's memories as "a game." Discovering these pieces of the puzzle, and perceiving there is much more beneath the surface, strengthens Snow's resolve to uncover the whole truth. Moreover, as he tells Stone, one critical piece of information has come of it all: "I know who the Fourth Man is."
Trivia
John Stone is based on popular fictional spies such as Nick Fury and James Bond. S.T.O.R.M., a precursor of StormWatch, is a nodding reference to the Marvel Comics organization S.H.I.E.L.D.. Stone's nemesis The Bride is possibly an analogue to the Marvel Comics villain Madame Hydra.
The S.T.O.R.M. agent that was fatally shot by The Bride bears a strong similarity to Nick Fury, as indicated by the cigar, eyepatch, and stubble.
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Posted - 10/01/2013 : 16:56:47 Who won the Phil Kessel $64 million / 8 year signing with the Leafs?
40 L A T E S T R E P L I E S (Newest First)
Alex116
Posted - 10/30/2013 : 15:39:15
quote:Originally posted by nuxfan
quote:Originally posted by The Duke
Going off topic........nuxfan and Alex .....why didn't van. Re-sign mason Raymond ??......big loss for the Canucks and big gain for the leafs.....damn I love his play for the leafs so far....he plays the game so smart, plus with speed and skill.
They didn't resign him because he was wildly inconsistent, and he would have cost too much. He had several years to prove himself, but could not maintain any level of consistency. He was also making 2.2 million, and was unlikely to stay for much less. TOR got him for a very reasonable salary, and only after every other team passed on him as well. I believe TOR was the only team to offer him a tryout
I liked Raymond, he ha some skill and great speed. When he is on, he is very good. when he is cold, he is not very useful
Very well said Nux. Duke, i think i even commented in a thread mentioning his signing that i thought it was a good move for the Leafs and that if nothing else, his speed and PK ability is pretty good, providing he stays healthy. He seems to have found a nice spot on the Leafs and is contributing. I too am happy for him as he seems like a really good guy.
He was given every opportunity here to seize a top 6 roll and failed to do so. I think he'd have been on a very short leash with Torts as well and he seems to have found some chemistry with the guys he's playing with in TO. Bolland has been his centre i believe and he too is off to a great start for the Leafs which obviously helps. I would love to listen in to a conversation between these two re the old Vancouver/Chicago rivalry they used to compete against one another in!!! Anyway, glad he's doing well and hope he finds the consistency he lacked here, however, you need to keep in mind his playoff numbers aren't very good at 8Gs and 10A in 55 playoff games and we all know how you value those. Man, against those big bad Bruins you compared the Sedin's and Kessel vs, all Raymond did was get crunched into the boards, breaking his back in the process. I mean, what a wimp. I guess he won't be any use to the Leafs in April? (*sarcasm warning*)
Alex116
Posted - 10/30/2013 : 15:25:31
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShight
Awesome Alex.
So, I just want to summarize your argument here. You're asking me not to use a sample size of... (how long has it been... 150 straight games that Phil Kessel has been at a PPG pace?).
This will be my last attempt to try to get through to you. From your response, it's clear to me you still don't have the slightest clue as to where i stand on this debate. Your summarizing of my argument is somehow that i'm asking you not to use a 150 game sample size? Where did i imply that? I've not even questioned whether or not Kessel is a PPG guy and this is what you have concluded somehow? Please feel free to explain.
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShight
But then, your main argument against hinges on ONE PLAY. One play which seems to be debatable on top of it.
NO! Not even frickin' close. My main argument is not based on ONE PLAY! Do you even know what my main point is in this debate??? BTW, it's hardly debatable, it WAS a 2 on 1 and wouldn't have been if Kessel had made the right play defensively. Maybe he misjudged the distance and thought he could get a stick AND get back in time to defend? Maybe it's the first defensive lapse he's made all year? I dunno? But i do know that my main argument doesn't "hinge on this ONE PLAY".
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShight
Sure, the Oilers completely suck this year. But that doesn't take away from Phil Kessel's performance from last night. He just absolutely ruined The Oilers. That was a performance for the ages. The only reason he didn't put up 6 points, is because he didn't play in the third. It was The Phil Kessel show last night.
He didn't play much in the 3rd you mean, right? If he sat the 3rd out, i'll be calling the league to rescind his 4th point that is listed on a 3rd period goal. "A performance for the ages" might be a little strong imo, though i'm only basing this on hearing that he had a pretty good game. I think i'd have seen and heard a lot more if this was really some out of this world game from him.
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShightI think it's time to start showing some respect for Phil Kessel!! He's the real deal (as I have been saying for 5 years).
I'm not sure what this respect for Kessel is that you seek? I've already said he's a PPG player, something you questioned at the beginnig of this last post, and something that is FACT as well. How can i argue this? I've also said i think he will remain a PPG player and maybe slightly better. I've even told you i pegged him for a 90ish point season this year? I've called him a high end offensive player! What more do you want???
I'm going to try yet again to explain where i'm coming from. Maybe i'm explaining this poorly? I don't think so, but perhaps someone else can chime in and at least let me know if what i'm saying is confusing. I don't care if you agree with me or not, but please, someone, let me know that this is at least clear as to what i'm saying. To summarize:
*Regarding the poll question, i think Kessel is the winner overall, but i'm not claiming it to be any sort of NYI sized craziness! If i were a Leaf fan, i'd have preferred a 5 year deal, but i understand this prob wouldn't have gotten the deal done.*I believe Kessel is a top notch / elite offensive forward in the NHL.*Kessel is already a PPG player, nothing to debate here as it's a fact.*I believe Kessel will continue to be a PPG player or better for at least the next 5 years.*By "better", i mean 90ish points, perhaps even pushing 100 if others around him improve and/or the Leafs aquire more help?*I do not think that Kessel will hit 110pts.....EVER. My opinion/guess only, based on the few who've done it in the last 10-15 years.*Though he may have improved other areas of his game, i don't feel he's elite anywhere other than offensively (aside from maybe his speed?).*I would prefer Jonathan Toews and his near PPG coupled with his all around game (leadership, faceoffs, defensive/two way game, etc) to Phil Kessel if i had to choose between the two.*I do not hate Phil Kessel and would love to have him as a Canuck under the right scenario (salary and cap hit).*If Phil Kessel comes to Vancouver on Saturday night and puts up 3G's and 3A's, my opinion and predictions for him will not suddenly change, just as they haven't during this current tear he's on.
I'm sure i'm missing some points/opinions i've shared, but hopefully this clears things up Crock as you seem to have been unable to grasp my point(s).
JOSHUACANADA
Posted - 10/30/2013 : 14:05:59 What you mean players go on cold streaks, much like they do for hot streaks? That's craziness your talking there, Nuxfan! Based on what some Toronto fans think Kessel is immune to this. Kessel's 4 point night last night, 150ish games of ppg status and the fact he is definitely, definitely gonna increase in ppg totals by significant amounts to justify his $8 million over 8 years max contract. Now I am gonna go to Kmart and come home and watch Whopner! Cue the Rainman
nuxfan
Posted - 10/30/2013 : 10:51:16
quote:Originally posted by The Duke
Going off topic........nuxfan and Alex .....why didn't van. Re-sign mason Raymond ??......big loss for the Canucks and big gain for the leafs.....damn I love his play for the leafs so far....he plays the game so smart, plus with speed and skill.
They didn't resign him because he was wildly inconsistent, and he would have cost too much. He had several years to prove himself, but could not maintain any level of consistency. He was also making 2.2 million, and was unlikely to stay for much less. TOR got him for a very reasonable salary, and only after every other team passed on him as well. I believe TOR was the only team to offer him a tryout
I liked Raymond, he ha some skill and great speed. When he is on, he is very good. when he is cold, he is not very useful
CrockOShight
Posted - 10/30/2013 : 09:30:10 Awesome Alex.
So, I just want to summarize your argument here. You're asking me not to use a sample size of... (how long has it been... 150 straight games that Phil Kessel has been at a PPG pace?).
But then, your main argument against hinges on ONE PLAY. One play which seems to be debatable on top of it..
Sure, the Oilers completely suck this year. But that doesn't take away from Phil Kessel's performance from last night. He just absolutely ruined The Oilers. That was a performance for the ages. The only reason he didn't put up 6 points, is because he didn't play in the third. It was The Phil Kessel show last night.
I think it's time to start showing some respect for Phil Kessel!! He's the real deal (as I have been saying for 5 years).
Alex116
Posted - 10/29/2013 : 22:25:12
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShight
I'm going to go ahead and guess that you guys *didn't* watch the Leafs-Oilers aka "Phil Kessel Show" last night. Probably too busy trolling hockeydb.com to see that Michel Goulet "only scored 106 points when he was 28". Wooooowww.
You're correct! I didn't watch the game tonight. Luckily for me, i'm not force fed midweek Leafs vs Oilers games like I am Leaf games pretty much EVERY Saturday, cuz as a hockey fan, I prob would have watched!
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShightAlex, exactly what "test" did I fail? I thought the question was: which players achieved PPG before 27; and then did so later in their careers. Wasn't that the question?
Are you guys applauding yourselves because Michel Goulet "only" scored 106 points when he was 28? Peter Forsberg had his best year at 24 - oh, and then went on to have a million great seasons after that until his retirement - but this is all supposed to mean something?
The "test" you failed, was obviously misread/misunderstood on your part. It wasn't to find guys who had PPG before 27 then did so later. It was "name guys who hit PPG status prior to 27, who went on to significantly increase their performance between the ages of 27 and 31?". Basically, find some guys who had 80ish points at age 20-25 and then became 100+point guys when they were 27-30. There are very few.The significance of this is that because Kessel is PPG already (at a relatively young age), doesn't mean he's going to increase that automatically like you seem to imply. You're implying that because he's not in his "prime years" yet, that he's more likely than not to increase his numbers as he hits 27-30. Nuxfan was pointing out that not many guys do this so odds are that Kessel won't have this massive 25 point increase. Don't get me wrong, he could, it's just not as likely as you make it seem by saying things like "it's a good bet" that he will do this. Hopefully this clears things up?
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShightYou guys *really* missed the point. I never said that Phil Kessel was a "lock" for a progression. I said that he was an "extremely good bet". And, if you had actually been watching hockey last night like I did - you would be nodding your heads and agreeing with me. Phil Kessel COMPLETELY dominated last night. Oh, and look at that. 2nd in League Scoring. Thanks for coming out.
I said that I'm going to guess that Kessel has a 110 point season in 2016-2017 - but I fully admit that I could be way wrong on that one.
Okay, this is what I was talking about. You said he was "an extremely good bet", and as I just explained above, I don't agree. I wouldn't go running off to bet that if I were you, that's all. I already said, he'd likely increase his PPG status but I just don't see 110 in the cards. I too could be "way wrong" as i'm not a genie and can't tell the future. We could wake up a year from now and Kessel could be outscoring and outperforming Crosby for all we know? I wouldn't bet on that either, but you get my point, right? As for tonight, had I been watching, I can guarantee you I wouldn't be "nodding my head in agreement". A 4 point night against a poor defensive team with a 3rd string goalie with just a handful of games under his belt doesn't change my mind. Nice night for sure and 4 points is 4 points, but that and 2nd in scoring after a dozen or so games does not suddenly make me feel like the Leafs won this deal, which is what this is all about, remember?
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShightSo...... if Kessel goes the way of Mats Sundin, and "only" has 8 straight seasons of 70-point + hockey... ummm. Yeah. This is a waste of my time.
If this happens, whether or not you're wasting your time, you shouldn't be happy with his deal. If he doesn't get over and stay over PPG status for at least 4 or 5 years, 8M a year would have to be considered ridiculously overpaid!!! Would you not agree?
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShightAlex, do you play hockey? It doesn't sound like it. I'd rather not make any judgements despite your repeated vitriol directed at me... But come on. Dude. It wasn't a 2-on-1. It was a guy coming down on the wing in a SHORT-HANDED situation. You give the guy the shot from the outside. 96 times out of 100 the goalie makes the save. Life goes on. I can't see how you are taking Kessel to task on this. It was one play - a nice play by the opposition - and it meant nothing. There's no analysis to be done there. Nothing to discuss. Kessel's stick broke. Dubinsky made a nice shot. Life goes on.
I no longer play hockey, though I did. Regardless of that, you don't need to have ever picked up a stick to know what a 2 on 1 is my friend. It may not be a clear cut 2 on 1 from center ice as Kessel is doing his best to close in on the 2nd guy, but it's a 2 on 1 nonetheless. Have another look, and pause the clip at :09 seconds and tell me it wasn't a 2 on 1 that was played rather well defensively by Franson. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=19o9Vc-8Jrg&list=TL8FVlRcbmVlSGkIEiCvHgfu6M9sfDsuH0You are totally correct that Dubinsky made a great shot and that a goalie would stop this most of the time or the shooter would miss. Pretty much a perfect shot. Where you're totally wrong is that it wasn't just merely a guy coming down the wing in a short handed situation. Here's the thing, I complimented Franson on his defensive play here yet if it were simply a guy coming down the wing, he played it horribly. Why wouldn't he go to the guy and not let him have the shot? Oh, maybe because it's almost a guarantee that Dubinsky would have slid the puck over to Letestu for an easy tap in? Seriously, you're questioning my hockey knowledge and you can't even see this? I'm a little horrified to be honest. "Life goes on"? Yeah, great attitude towards the play. It may not seem like much, but in the end, like it or not Kessel made the wrong choice. Had he turned around and skated back immediately, even without a stick he could have defended Letestu to the point that Franson would have been free to "take the shot away" from Dubinsky.
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShightHere you guys are - in the midst of completely eating your own dirty socks for breakfast. Kessel is on a veritable tear. 10 points, 6 goals in 4 games. And you guys are LITERALLY grasping at straws - "oooh aaah... Kessel broke his stick blah blah blah." "Brendan Shanahan was merely a PPG Hall-of-Famer for the rest of his career (but his BEST season was when he was 25) blah blah blah." You sound absolutely ridiculous.
And yes Alex. I realize that I do too. I am responding to this insanity.
How am I eating my words? Because Kessel is on a tear right now? 4 or 5 games makes this contract a good one? Huh? Why didn't Sam Gagner get 8+ million for his 15 points in 5 games?
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShightJust, do us all a favour. Okay? Please. Watch the highlights from last night. The Game is now on the NHL GameCentre vault entitled "The Phil Kessel Show". If that wasn't proof enough for you... well, then I can't help you. And, I want to be in your Pool. I'll be picking Phil Kessel in the Fourth round while you're still jumping up and down because you drafted OEL.
I already saw the highlights and I don't think they do Kessel justice actually. From what I heard, he was dominant, but seeing highlights of his goals and assists isn't enough to show he dominated. BTW, i'm not questioning it, I just don't think seeing the highlights is enough. Thing is, even if he did dominate, it's still one game against a poor defensive team. It's not going to change my mind. I won't suddenly think Kessel will score 110 points nor will I think the Leafs are the winner in this deal. As for my pool, you won't be picking Kessel in the 4th round. He went top 10 in 2 of the pools i'm in (the others have goalies so he went a little lower) so you'd likely be missing out on him. If you are plucking him in the 4th round of your pools, I want in them! BTW, I don't care if he's picked 1st overall in a pool. I've never been in a pool that gives points for defense so he's definitely a high pick.
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShightWould you like to tell us how many points you think Kessel will finish with at the end of this year?
Well, on my pre-draft (pool) list, I had him pegged for around 90, however, after reading your post and the subsequent excitement you've exuded, i'd have to say 140?
Alex, exactly what "test" did I fail? I thought the question was: which players achieved PPG before 27; and then did so later in their careers. Wasn't that the question?
Are you guys applauding yourselves because Michel Goulet "only" scored 106 points when he was 28? Peter Forsberg had his best year at 24 - oh, and then went on to have a million great seasons after that until his retirement - but this is all supposed to mean something?
You guys *really* missed the point. I never said that Phil Kessel was a "lock" for a progression. I said that he was an "extremely good bet". And, if you had actually been watching hockey last night like I did - you would be nodding your heads and agreeing with me. Phil Kessel COMPLETELY dominated last night. Oh, and look at that. 2nd in League Scoring. Thanks for coming out.
I said that I'm going to guess that Kessel has a 110 point season in 2016-2017 - but I fully admit that I could be way wrong on that one.
So...... if Kessel goes the way of Mats Sundin, and "only" has 8 straight seasons of 70-point + hockey... ummm. Yeah. This is a waste of my time.
Alex, do you play hockey? It doesn't sound like it. I'd rather not make any judgements despite your repeated vitriol directed at me... But come on. Dude. It wasn't a 2-on-1. It was a guy coming down on the wing in a SHORT-HANDED situation. You give the guy the shot from the outside. 96 times out of 100 the goalie makes the save. Life goes on. I can't see how you are taking Kessel to task on this. It was one play - a nice play by the opposition - and it meant nothing. There's no analysis to be done there. Nothing to discuss. Kessel's stick broke. Dubinsky made a nice shot. Life goes on.
Here you guys are - in the midst of completely eating your own dirty socks for breakfast. Kessel is on a veritable tear. 10 points, 6 goals in 4 games. And you guys are LITERALLY grasping at straws - "oooh aaah... Kessel broke his stick blah blah blah." "Brendan Shanahan was merely a PPG Hall-of-Famer for the rest of his career (but his BEST season was when he was 25) blah blah blah." You sound absolutely ridiculous.
And yes Alex. I realize that I do too. I am responding to this insanity.
Just, do us all a favour. Okay? Please. Watch the highlights from last night. The Game is now on the NHL GameCentre vault entitled "The Phil Kessel Show". If that wasn't proof enough for you... well, then I can't help you. And, I want to be in your Pool. I'll be picking Phil Kessel in the Fourth round while you're still jumping up and down because you drafted OEL.
Would you like to tell us how many points you think Kessel will finish with at the end of this year?
JOSHUACANADA
Posted - 10/29/2013 : 10:34:03 What you forgot to mention Oilinontario was the fact that the 3rd line center Duke refered to in Bozak's, has a very large contract and is also a contributing factor to why Toronto wont likely be able to match Kessel with a premier #1 centerman. For the record Kadri might develop into a decent #1 centerman and should he be paired with Kessel, they are likely to see decent offensive stats together. I say should because it is unlikely they will be paired long term due to neither being proficient in 2way play. First full game pairing of those two is happening in the next few games as Bozak is out with an injury and Kadri has been promoted to the top line for the duration. Heres hoping they can prove the pairing is good, to justify a long term pairing.
OILINONTARIO
Posted - 10/29/2013 : 10:21:55 And he will continue to play with a third-line center. The Leafs are maxed out as far as cap space mainly due to the Clarkson and Kesel contracts. And don't say Kadri is the #1 center the team needs. He is filling in while Bozak is out.
The Oil WILL make the playoffs in 2014.
The Duke
Posted - 10/29/2013 : 09:11:06 Anyway, kessel is worth his weight in gold in Toronto, in my opinion. He is a special player which doesn't come along every day and the leafs are very lucky to have him. Excellent job by nonis to lock him up for 8 years.
You disagree nuxfan that kessel hasn't had his shot yet ?....come on,...really...have you seen the leaf teams he has been on for the last several seasons ???.....playing with a 3rd line centre on a nightly basis......kessels production , considering these facts , make him one of the leagues top elite forwards.
I'll ask you all a question.....how many NHL forwards can be a ppg player and be in top 10 scoring in 2 consecutive seasons with bozak as their centre ??
Going off topic........nuxfan and Alex .....why didn't van. Re-sign mason Raymond ??......big loss for the Canucks and big gain for the leafs.....damn I love his play for the leafs so far....he plays the game so smart, plus with speed and skill.
Alex116
Posted - 10/28/2013 : 22:25:17
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShight
ROFL.
This debate is ridiculous.
Nuxfan, what am I supposed to do? Find players who have hit PPG status before 27, only to increase it later on?
Crock, you completely failed Nux's test. Heck, half the guys you named were on my list of guys who didn't have career years in the 27-30 period so chances are they weren't PPG players before then who improved after!!! That wouldn't make a lot of sense. I think you might have misunderstood Nux's challenge to you?
Oh, and he randomly checked a few, so I checked a few others.....Guy Lafleur - Age 25 and 26 were his best years. 27 and 28 were good as well, but he certainly didn't have the 25point increase you predict of Kessel in that time period!!!Michel Goulet - Career best 121 at age 24. Very good 106pt season at 28, but from 29 on, never hit PPG again.Pierre Turgeon (why not go with another French player? lol) Career best 58 goals and 132 points at age 23. Barely a PPG player at ages 27-30.Where did you come up with these names? You couldn't be more wrong as none of the 6 that we've mentioned fit the criteria nuxfan was looking for. The way you mention at the beginning of your post what he's looking for tends to make me think you understood, however, your examples are far from what would fit the question??? I'm, confused at your responses. Personally I believe that Kessel will improve on his PPG status now, however, not by a ton and certainly not nearly by the 25 points you predict a few years from now.
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShight
I like that Kessel went over to the bench to get a stick. What are you going to do with no stick? I hate watching players with no stick skating with their wrists low to the ice like it's intimidating or effective or anything like that. No stick = useless. Get off the ice / get a stick. Anyway, like I said, it wasn't like there was a "major" threat there. It's a Power Play. Geez. You guys are critical (of only Kessel it seems). WWDSD? (What would Daniel Sedin do?)
You'd make a poor coach. Players without a stick can still tie up a guy enough to eliminate them from the play. In this case, Kessel could have tackled the guy and given up a PP which they may have killed? Better than the result they got isn't it??? AND, you may not think a 2 on 1 is a "major threat", but I think most coaches would. I'm shaking my head at what you must consider a major threat! As for WWDSD? Well, as a guy who's actually scored 40+ goals in an NHL season, he'd have prob just scored at the other end thus not putting himself in the position of having to choose between defending without a stick, or going and getting one? I kid of course. I don't know what he'd have done to be honest? But he's not the one who's got a history of being a "sniper only" nor does he have an 8yr 8 million dollar deal that's being discussed, so it's not all that relevant is it?
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShight
I'll give you one more reason why The Leafs "win" this contract. Jersey sales. #81 Kessel jerseys are FLYING off the shelves.
Really? You're gonna use this to justify his deal? Okay......
[/quote]
nuxfan
Posted - 10/28/2013 : 21:55:48
quote:Originally posted by The Duke
Alex, you can call my post silly if you want but those numbers against the bruins are correct. I picked that segment of hockey because it was a situation where a players true grit really shows.......it was a tough series for all involved and showed a players true colours when it was all on the line.
I have no doubt they are correct. I just don't put any faith in the comparison. If it helps you sleep at night looking at a 7 game stretch 3 years apart against 2 different teams in 2 different circumstances, and drawing a conclusion that fits your beliefs, then power to you.
quote:The sedins showed what they are all about in a real tough series.....Boston ain't San Jose...what the hell has San Jose won ?....ever ?.....
When the chips were down they choked.....played like p****s...this is why the Canucks will never win a cup with them....and you know it.
Up until that series, what had Boston won? And SJ is plenty tough, although you probably don't see them much. You can poo-poo them all you like Duke, but in the end, the Sedin's were a huge reason why VAN even made it to the finals. They didn't have a magnificent finals, nor did the rest of the team, yet they still took BOS to 7 games. Without the Sedin's there probably were no finals for VAN, perhaps not even a playoffs.
quote:Don't give me this what has kessel won ?...the leafs are just building a great team....he hasn't had his shot yet....ask this question in 5 years or so......the sedins had their shot and got pushed around like rag dolls.
He hasn't had his shot? He's been there 5 years, what is he waiting for? Guys that make 8M a year - in other words, "superstars" - should be taking and making their shots, not waiting for their shots.
I think I'll be waiting a lot longer than 5 years to ask this question....
CrockOShight
Posted - 10/28/2013 : 21:10:58 This is off topic... but omg. Did you guys just see that shift by Sedin-Sedin-Kesler-Hamhuis-Bieksa (?). That was like two minutes of pure domination leading up to a beaut of a goal. Fantastic!
Anyway, I just thought of you guys when I saw that.
JOSHUACANADA
Posted - 10/28/2013 : 18:30:10
quote:Originally posted by nuxfan
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShight
ROFL.
This debate is ridiculous.
Nuxfan, what am I supposed to do? Find players who have hit PPG status before 27, only to increase it later on?
I see you just randomly threw a few players onto the page and hoped for the best. A few simple spot checks:
- Forsberg: had his best year at age 23, with 116 points. Never matched it again, although he was a consistent PPG performer through his career.
- Shanahan: had his best year at age 24 with 102 points. Never broke 90 points again.
- Rod Brind'Amour: best season at 24 with 97 points. Never broke 90 again.
Thanks for playing, we have some parting gifts in the back.
To summarize, not many have achieved it, and I think the odds are against Kessel achieving it as well. He has a slim chance of significantly increasing his performance (ie, hitting 100+ points), and he has a slim chance of regressing to 60-70 points in the next few years. He is more likely to hover around PPG for his peak years - which is still an admirable feat and would make him valuable. If he can add some intangibles to his skill set, or win a Conn Smythe enroute to a Stanley Cup victory for TOR, then I'll be the first to agree that he's worth his 8M. Until then, overpaid.
One thing I agree with - this debate is ridiculous. We can agree to disagree, and I'll leave it at that.
Pretty much what I expected. 100 point players in the modern day are pretty special. You don't usually see a player come into the league for 5 or 6 years and up there point totals after that by 20-30% without other contributing factors. I am not saying Kessel is a career 70-80 point player/ 30-40 goal player, but to see him all of a sudden join the elite 50 goal / 100 point player crowd would take other contributing factors. Like say an Elite centerman of the Henrick Sedin, Spezza, Getzlaf, Malkin, Crosby variety, which the Leafs currently lack. If the Leafs bag or develop one of those then your cooking.
The Duke
Posted - 10/28/2013 : 18:12:41 Alex, you can call my post silly if you want but those numbers against the bruins are correct. I picked that segment of hockey because it was a situation where a players true grit really shows.......it was a tough series for all involved and showed a players true colours when it was all on the line.
The sedins showed what they are all about in a real tough series.....Boston ain't San Jose...what the hell has San Jose won ?....ever ?.....
When the chips were down they choked.....played like p****s...this is why the Canucks will never win a cup with them....and you know it.
Don't give me this what has kessel won ?...the leafs are just building a great team....he hasn't had his shot yet....ask this question in 5 years or so......the sedins had their shot and got pushed around like rag dolls.
nuxfan
Posted - 10/28/2013 : 17:40:39
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShight
ROFL.
This debate is ridiculous.
Nuxfan, what am I supposed to do? Find players who have hit PPG status before 27, only to increase it later on?
I see you just randomly threw a few players onto the page and hoped for the best. A few simple spot checks:
- Forsberg: had his best year at age 23, with 116 points. Never matched it again, although he was a consistent PPG performer through his career.
- Shanahan: had his best year at age 24 with 102 points. Never broke 90 points again.
- Rod Brind'Amour: best season at 24 with 97 points. Never broke 90 again.
Thanks for playing, we have some parting gifts in the back.
To summarize, not many have achieved it, and I think the odds are against Kessel achieving it as well. He has a slim chance of significantly increasing his performance (ie, hitting 100+ points), and he has a slim chance of regressing to 60-70 points in the next few years. He is more likely to hover around PPG for his peak years - which is still an admirable feat and would make him valuable. If he can add some intangibles to his skill set, or win a Conn Smythe enroute to a Stanley Cup victory for TOR, then I'll be the first to agree that he's worth his 8M. Until then, overpaid.
One thing I agree with - this debate is ridiculous. We can agree to disagree, and I'll leave it at that.
CrockOShight
Posted - 10/28/2013 : 17:00:05 ROFL.
This debate is ridiculous.
Nuxfan, what am I supposed to do? Find players who have hit PPG status before 27, only to increase it later on?
I like that Kessel went over to the bench to get a stick. What are you going to do with no stick? I hate watching players with no stick skating with their wrists low to the ice like it's intimidating or effective or anything like that. No stick = useless. Get off the ice / get a stick. Anyway, like I said, it wasn't like there was a "major" threat there. It's a Power Play. Geez. You guys are critical (of only Kessel it seems). WWDSD? (What would Daniel Sedin do?)
--
I'll give you one more reason why The Leafs "win" this contract. Jersey sales. #81 Kessel jerseys are FLYING off the shelves.
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShightJoshua - I agree that NO player should be offered a contract that is over 5 years in length. That's actually something the owners wanted to enforce in the new CBA agreement during the lock-out. They didn't get it of course, and now here we are. 1. Any other team in the NHL would have snapped up Kessel on the FA market. Kessel and Kessel's agent wanted long-term. The Leafs didn't have a choice about the term. I fundamentally agree that NO contract should be over 5 years.
Hey, don't look now, but we agree on something! Lol. Not the "any other team" part, but the 5 year max part!
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShight
2. BUT, what the owners got instead was the compliance buy-out. In an absolute nightmare scenario - if Phil Kessel goes completely AWOL a la Scott Gomez - the Leafs buy out the last three years of the contract. I believe it's 50% of whatever is remaining. For a conglomerate like Maple Leaf Sports - I don't think they're worried about that kind of exposure at all.
Ummm, correct me if i'm wrong and i may just be as i didn't follow the CBA stuff too closely, but didn't each team get 2 compliance buyouts? And don't both have to be used by the end of next summer? And didn't Toronto already use their two on Komisarek and Grabovski? Unless it's another buyout situation i'm missing that you speak of, the Leafs are stuck with this deal unless they can trade it or the rules change?
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShight
Alex - Mr. Troll ;) - Like I said to your "Internet Troll Brother" Nuxfan - great. You've found some exceptions. That's great. It IS indeed interesting that Wayne Gretzky produced more when he was a member of the Coffee/Messier/Kurri/Anderson Oilers than as a King. Good stuff.
1. I'll even give you guys 10%. 10% of players produce more at ages other than 27-30. Or even 20%!! Heck, I'll give you Trolls 25% just because I'm feeling super generous. That STILL means that 75% score more during their Prime.
Keep in mind, i only looked at a handful of players i considered to be above avg. If you're looking at EVERY player to play the game and are going to tell me some 3rd liner averaged 30pts instead of 25 between 27-30 i'm not gonna buy into your numbers. What i'm getting at is it's only fair to guage guys who had significant numbers and significant peak years and when they occured. I don't have the info in front of me, nor the time or desire to research it but your 25% "Troll generosity" could still be questioned. It might be less i suppose, but it could also be more.
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShight
2. I said from the very beginning: "Nothing in life is for sure."Same goes for Kessel. I'm not saying that it's for sure. I'm saying that Kessel is a good candidate to have a 110-point season at least once in his career. Good candidate. Good bet. Not "for sure". Even Sidney Crosby isn't a "for sure".
Kessel's back-checking. So, Kessel, on the PP, drifts into the slot and rips a prime opportunity SOG... except his stick shatters. Dubinsky picks up the puck. Barrels down the ice, scores a shortie off of an unbelievable slap shot from the circles.
How can Kessel be blamed for that? Dubinsky was being watched by two Leafs (Phaneuf and JVR I believe). He took an incredible shot. Bernier probably should have had it. But, come on. A broken stick. Even Crosby has broken sticks.
It was a nice shot (wrist shot actually), absolutely. However, keep in mind i'm just using this as an example, Dubinsky could have threaded the puck through on the two on one to Letestu instead of shooting. Again, this is just theoretically. Where you see 2 Leafs watching Dubinsky is beyond me. The Dman who's back (Franson i believe?) does a good job taking away the pass and Dubinsky beats Bernier short side with a nice shot. JVR is floating back in looking disinterested and Kessel, admittedly husselling, took a very poor route via his bench to get new lumber! Bad move. Hard to argue it really. If he had gone straight back and defended the body of Letestu, it would have left Franson to be able to close in on Dubinsky and take away the shot as it would have been a standard 2 on 2. Watch again if you so please - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=19o9Vc-8Jrg&list=TL8FVlRcbmVlSGkIEiCvHgfu6M9sfDsuH0
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShightThe announcers calling out Kessel is EXACTLY what I am talking about. Pierre McGuire ALWAYS puts down Kessel (while praising Rick Nash). All I've got to say about that isA.) They are wrong. B.) You're big boys. You can make up your mind for yourselves. C.) That has happened throughout Kessel's entire career. Put down and doubted. I've read some interesting literature about Phil Kessel. And he is - along with Martin St.Louis - the most "stigmatized" player in the NHL.
That's why I'm on this thread trying to change your minds about it. It's not right. The announcers are confusing confidence with skill.
There may be the problem, i actually don't mind McGuire! Lol, i know i'm in the minority, but just saying. And it's not just him i've heard stuff from so either everyone has this hate-on for Kessel that you speak of, or mayber there is a little work needed on his 2 way game???
Crock, for the last time (hopefully), i don't hate Kessel or what he brings to the table. I don't think this is one of the worst contracts ever or anything to that regard. I don't even think it's the worst the Leafs have (ahem, Clarkson) or not even necessarily close. In fact, i even said that the Leafs kinda had to sign him as they'd have lost him for nothing had they not. Sorta forced their hand somewhat. So, IMO, Kessel won this deal. He is going to get 8M per season for the next 8 years!!! WHAT IF, he gets lazy and uninterested and becomes a 60pt guy cashing his paycheque and absorbing the boos that would follow? Very unlikely, but just using it as an example. He's guaranteed that money, the Leafs are guaranteed very little. Kessel wins.
nuxfan
Posted - 10/28/2013 : 14:01:54
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShight2. BUT, what the owners got instead was the compliance buy-out. In an absolute nightmare scenario - if Phil Kessel goes completely AWOL a la Scott Gomez - the Leafs buy out the last three years of the contract. I believe it's 50% of whatever is remaining. For a conglomerate like Maple Leaf Sports - I don't think they're worried about that kind of exposure at all.
Compliance buyouts end next summer, and they are a special form of buyout. Normal buyouts are at 66% of remaining salary spread over 2x the remaining years plus a penalty for cap circumvention, and they count against the cap. In your buyout example, Kessel would cost the Leafs 12M, and they would take a cap hit of roughly 4M in each of the next 3 years, and 2M in each of the following 3 years. I don't think the Leafs are interested in that kind of "exposure".
quote:Alex - Mr. Troll ;) - Like I said to your "Internet Troll Brother" Nuxfan - great. You've found some exceptions. That's great. It IS indeed interesting that Wayne Gretzky produced more when he was a member of the Coffee/Messier/Kurri/Anderson Oilers than as a King. Good stuff.
1. I'll even give you guys 10%. 10% of players produce more at ages other than 27-30. Or even 20%!! Heck, I'll give you Trolls 25% just because I'm feeling super generous. That STILL means that 75% score more during their Prime.
Crock, you never answered my challenge - how many players that have hit PPG status prior to 27, go on to significantly increase their performance between the ages of 27 and 31?
Because that is what you are counting on with Kessel. I think we can all agree that if Kessel continues at his current clip, this deal will not be worth it in the end. To make this deal work, he has to go beyond what he's already done, probably hit the 100 point mark at least once.
So, how many can you find? I'm curious. I already gave you Daniel and Henrik Sedin. Anyone else? I think you will find that the number is shockingly small, likely quite a bit under 10%.
quote:2. I said from the very beginning: "Nothing in life is for sure."Same goes for Kessel. I'm not saying that it's for sure. I'm saying that Kessel is a good candidate to have a 110-point season at least once in his career. Good candidate. Good bet. Not "for sure". Even Sidney Crosby isn't a "for sure".
Some things are for sure - for exmaple, Kessel will collect 8M in each of the next 8 seasons, regardless of what he does or how many points he gets.
quote:Kessel's back-checking. So, Kessel, on the PP, drifts into the slot and rips a prime opportunity SOG... except his stick shatters. Dubinsky picks up the puck. Barrels down the ice, scores a shortie off of an unbelievable slap shot from the circles.
Broken sticks happen all the time, no blame. But what the player does after the broken stick? A defensively minded forward would skate back right away and assume a defensive stance once the puck was lost in the offensive zone, or would go to the bench and get off the ice in exchange for another player. Kessel stalls, waits to see what will happen, then when the play is leaving in front of him he skates back to the bench to get a new stick, taking himself completely out of the play, and then finds himself behind the play when the shot goes in.
Kessel's fault? No, it was a great shot and as you say there were other players that could have done more. Did Kessel try to do anything substantial to prevent it? No.
CrockOShight
Posted - 10/28/2013 : 09:43:04 Well thank you Joshua and Alex. I appreciate the discussion.
Joshua - I agree that NO player should be offered a contract that is over 5 years in length. That's actually something the owners wanted to enforce in the new CBA agreement during the lock-out. They didn't get it of course, and now here we are.
1. Any other team in the NHL would have snapped up Kessel on the FA market. Kessel and Kessel's agent wanted long-term. The Leafs didn't have a choice about the term. I fundamentally agree that NO contract should be over 5 years.
2. BUT, what the owners got instead was the compliance buy-out. In an absolute nightmare scenario - if Phil Kessel goes completely AWOL a la Scott Gomez - the Leafs buy out the last three years of the contract. I believe it's 50% of whatever is remaining. For a conglomerate like Maple Leaf Sports - I don't think they're worried about that kind of exposure at all.
Alex - Mr. Troll ;) - Like I said to your "Internet Troll Brother" Nuxfan - great. You've found some exceptions. That's great. It IS indeed interesting that Wayne Gretzky produced more when he was a member of the Coffee/Messier/Kurri/Anderson Oilers than as a King. Good stuff.
1. I'll even give you guys 10%. 10% of players produce more at ages other than 27-30. Or even 20%!! Heck, I'll give you Trolls 25% just because I'm feeling super generous. That STILL means that 75% score more during their Prime.
2. I said from the very beginning: "Nothing in life is for sure."Same goes for Kessel. I'm not saying that it's for sure. I'm saying that Kessel is a good candidate to have a 110-point season at least once in his career. Good candidate. Good bet. Not "for sure". Even Sidney Crosby isn't a "for sure".
Kessel's back-checking. So, Kessel, on the PP, drifts into the slot and rips a prime opportunity SOG... except his stick shatters. Dubinsky picks up the puck. Barrels down the ice, scores a shortie off of an unbelievable slap shot from the circles.
How can Kessel be blamed for that? Dubinsky was being watched by two Leafs (Phaneuf and JVR I believe). He took an incredible shot. Bernier probably should have had it. But, come on. A broken stick. Even Crosby has broken sticks.
The announcers calling out Kessel is EXACTLY what I am talking about. Pierre McGuire ALWAYS puts down Kessel (while praising Rick Nash). All I've got to say about that isA.) They are wrong. B.) You're big boys. You can make up your mind for yourselves. C.) That has happened throughout Kessel's entire career. Put down and doubted. I've read some interesting literature about Phil Kessel. And he is - along with Martin St.Louis - the most "stigmatized" player in the NHL.
That's why I'm on this thread trying to change your minds about it. It's not right. The announcers are confusing confidence with skill.
...and you may have noticed. When the Leafs were up 3-1 against the Pens with 1 minute left. Who was on the ice? Phil Kessel. Starting to branch off into other roles.
No, it isn't a perfect world - or a perfect contract perhaps. But Phil Kessel is a good bet. And Leafs' fans are going to be super happy having #81 sweaters on their back long-term.
JOSHUACANADA
Posted - 10/28/2013 : 06:28:20 Pretty bold statements made about Kessel going on here. 1 that he is the most valuable RW in the game then everybody but Ovechkin, maybe Perry and then that he is more valuable that either of the Sedins, who both sport the awards for league leading in statistical categories. It would be more apt to compare him to 1 dimensional wingers who have yet to score 40 goals and yet to acheive greater than 85 points. I dont think you can win the arguement that he is more valuable than a 100 point player with excellent 2way play and one who has 6 plus years of elite play. Kessel has yet to put up elite stats outside of goals score over a 5 years period, counting this one and last years shortened season.
Remember I have no problem with the yearly contract value, just the term. He is getting elite pay for the max term, but has yet to put up truly elite stat numbers while having a contract similar to some proven 100+ players and proven 50 goal scorers. He just hasn't proven he is worth max term and value. I don't think every team in the league matches this offer, but I agree there are teams who would.
Alex116
Posted - 10/27/2013 : 23:38:25 Man, I try to stay away from this and I still get dragged into it! Thanks Crock! Well, you're not the only one to mix nux and I up.
Duke, your posts are so silly that they make you look like an internet troll. Nux covered everything I would have if I deemed your posts worthy of a response, so consider yourself lucky he replied, because i'm not sure i'd have bothered.
Crock.... You are correct, most players prime could be proven to be 27-30. MOST. As nuxfan already pointed out, many don't follow that pattern. Here's a few others who i'd consider above avg players........J. Roenick, P. Kariya, K. Tkachuk, S. Fedorov, M. Recchi, T. Fleury, J. Nieuwendyk, R. Brind"amour, P. Bure.......I could find more if you want? Bure's a great example. His best statistical seasons were at age 22 and 23 (60 goals / 110 points and 60 goals / 107pts). Now, i'll admit, he went on to some nice numbers later in his career (ages 29 and 30 he had 58G/94Pts and 59G/92Pts respectively) as well, but this illustrates what nuxfan is saying about Kessel. There's just as much chance he's shown / is showing us his best years today as there is that he's gonna put up this 50 goal / 110 point season you so boldly predict! Please keep in mind, i'm not saying Kessel WON'T meet these lofty goals you have for him, i'm just saying that it's hard to use these predictions to justify a current deal!!!
How about this name? Mats Sundin, a long time Leaf, had his best statistical years before 27, however, he was also very consistent throughout his career, something that nuxfan touched on in regards to Kessel. He could very well stick around a PPG or slightly better or worse for most of his career? Again, not saying he can't or won't get even better statistically, but it's not as much of a no brainer as you make it out to seem.
I wanna get away from this but here's a good name for you. How about this guy named Wayne Gretzky. Pretty sure by 27 his best statistical years had come and gone. Now, I don't wanna dismiss how good he was throughout his career and even after 27, but i'm just going by your numbers, ages, etc and pointing out that statistically, his best years were earlier in his career. Same could be argued about Messier really, though at 28 he had a really good year before the drop off happened somewhat rapidly.
Anyway, there's some more names for you to chew on in regards to your claim.
Lastly, I want to remind you that this is only an opinion I, and others, have in regards to the deal Kessel signed. Again, imo, he's too one dimensional to justify that kind of term and dollar amount for my liking. I know many Leafers claim he's improved his two way game and other facets of it, however, when I watched highlights the other night, the commentators were quick to point out a mistake he made when his stick broke and how he left the play as the opposition rushed up ice. He raced to get a new stick and in turn the other team (can't recall which game if it was last night or the CBJ one maybe?) got an odd man rush and scored. Good, defensively responsible forwards don't make this mistake and the commentators (TSN?) made a point of saying that Kessel still has a lot of work to do on the other side of the puck!!! Maybe when you're watching, the "homer" play by play guys don't mention this sort of stuff as much, being that they're more or less part of the team! Let's face it, all our teams play by play crew are homers to some degree. Anyway, just wanted to add that to the mix as it supports my argument of Kessel still being very 1 dimensional. If you're gonna be a sniper, you'd better be sniping 40 and maybe even 50 every season if you aren't gonna help out on the other end!!!
CrockOShight
Posted - 10/27/2013 : 23:35:40 How can you POSSIBLY say that Vanek is worth more than Kessel?
That might be the silliest thing I have read today. If you put Vanek in the same category as Kessel - then... I can't help you. I'm sorry, I've tried. But I cannot help you.
If you put Vanek in the same category as Kessel; then of course you don't understand why Kessel is getting 8 million. Vanek is not worth 8 million.
What we have been saying repeatedly - is that Kessel is a top-tier player. He is a Top 10 player in the league. He is a Superstar. He is a franchise player. Hence, worth 8 million.
Vanek is a strong second-tier player who is a Star. They are not comparable. To even have them in the same discussion is... disconcerting. Unproductive. Not even worth my time. I'm sorry.
By comparing Vanek to Kessel you've seriously undermined your hockey integrity. With all due respect. I think you need to rethink your Kessel opinion. Your "Kesselinion" if you will. What you just suggested - that Vanek is worth "more than" Kessel - is absolutely way off.
I apologize for my brevity; but there is no point in even discussing this. Kessel > Vanek. Everyone in this Forum knows that. Get that out of my house right now. Let's move on. Next!
nuxfan
Posted - 10/27/2013 : 20:01:50
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShight
quote:Nuxfan (not Alex) - you've come up with some questionable examples. Perry, Getzlaf, Staal, Ovechkin, Malkin - all still too young to decide "which year" was their best.
In S. Gomez and B. Richards - you just came up with the absolute worst contracts in the League. It's a pretty easy counter-argument to say "well, if SCOTT GOMEZ is worth 10 million; then Phil Kessel is EASILY worth 8 million..."
Getzlaf et al are all in their "prime years" as per your age definitions. By your measure, we've seen all we need to see, in the next 2 years they'll all hit 30 and start predictably trending downwards into oblivion. Unless you think they're going to smash through some new performance barrier this year or next, they will be all the proof you need.
Keep in mind, these are the ones I looked into by thinking about it for literally a single minute. I suspect that further investigation would turn up quite a few more examples.
quote:The other thing that you seem to be avoiding - is that ANY OTHER TEAM in the NHL would have offered Phil Kessel that same contract. (Obviously considering their Cap Space).
How do you know this? How can you possibly know what every GM in the league would have done? No wonder you think you have so many "facts" supporting your "argument"
quote:Kessel wouldn't have lasted a week on the FA market. The Leafs locked him up throughout his Prime. That's a great move by a club that seems to be moving in the right direction - lock up your assets. Build around them.
Locking up your assets is a great plan. Overpaying for your assets is not. There is a difference.
[quote]Kessel's contract is exactly in keeping with the trends and the values set by other players in the nhl
OMG, finally. An actual argument from Crock worth consideration.
It is certainly possible (and likely) that Kessel's contract will be used as a measuring stick for other players who come up over the next few years. If Kessel is worth 8M a year, is Vanek now worth 9M or even 10M when he's up this year? He's done all that Kessel has (and hasn't), and has more points to boot. He's only 28 years old, and so is in his "prime production years" according to the Crock-model. Of note, he's also another player who enjoyed is best season before 27 (84 points when he was 23) and then underproduced every year after that.
I certainly worry about the Sedin's upcoming contract negotiations given Kessel's contract. Its within the realm of possibility that they will get 8M a year each (for less years), which would cause no shortage of problems for VAN cap-wise.
nuxfan
Posted - 10/27/2013 : 19:55:35
quote:Originally posted by The Duke
Sorry, was going to add, just to clarify a bit more......since there is only one kessel....lets add the Sedins points together and share them equally for them both ( since there are 2 of them
Indididually againist Boston in a 7 game playoff series......
kessel srores at a rate of......... .857 %
The Sedins score at................ . 357 % ( broken down of course )OR.....has they did actually score in that series....
Nothing to argue about here....Chara played for both Boston teams.....both Boston teams were great....both Boston teams went to the cup final........but only 1 player stepped it up.....and his last name WASN`T Sedin.
Its funny Nuxfan, in an earlier blog you referred to the Sedins as Superstars......and to kessel has a star.....I guess these numbers I just posted proves that you have the Super in the wrong p[lace.
Of course, in Duke-land its perfectly natural to measure an entire career by the performance over a 7 game stretch... never mind compare 2 careers over 2 different 7 game stretches in different situations and 3 years removed...
One important distinction that you failed to mention Duke - the Sedin's were in the STANLEY CUP FINALS, while Kessel was playing in his first playoff round in 5 years. Other things you fail to mention:
- during that 2011 playoff run, the Sedin's were nearly PPG - even with the scoring drought they had in the finals. In the SJ series alone the Sedin's combined for 15 points in 5 games. Do VAN even make it to the finals without them?
- Over their careers there are both about 0.66 PPG through the playoffs. I thought about looking at Kessel's performance in the playoffs, but frankly his sample size is too small to be relevant.
When Kessel leads his team to the SCF, then we can start comparing performances. Until then, I know where the "super" belongs.
CrockOShight
Posted - 10/27/2013 : 16:55:11 The other thing that you seem to be avoiding - is that ANY OTHER TEAM in the NHL would have offered Phil Kessel that same contract. (Obviously considering their Cap Space).
Kessel wouldn't have lasted a week on the FA market. The Leafs locked him up throughout his Prime. That's a great move by a club that seems to be moving in the right direction - lock up your assets. Build around them.
Joshua - I'm sorry man. But your argument about H. Sedin being "more valuable because he has better playmaking abilities in a more contributibal position." ...is bizarre. I disagree that Cs are worth more than RWs. I used to think like you - but turn it around. Wouldn't it be just as easy to say "Well, there are fewer good RWs out there - therefore RWs are more valuable." (I could name 50 strong Cs out there. It would be much harder to do that for RWs.)
For the record, the best RW in the game today is Ovi. Followed by Kessel and Perry. Am I wrong?
In S. Gomez and B. Richards - you just came up with the absolute worst contracts in the League. It's a pretty easy counter-argument to say "well, if SCOTT GOMEZ is worth 10 million; then Phil Kessel is EASILY worth 8 million..."
So, Thank you for that. :)
Even putting that aside - like I already said - that tends to be the exception rather than the rule. MOST players tend to peak between 27-30.
Is it 100% for sure that Kessel's production will increase? No. But, given the trends, it's a very good bet.
And gentlemen - let's be clear. Kessel is better than either Sedin; and would be subsequently more valuable of the FA market. Which, is exactly what he is - that's exactly what happened.
How much are you willing to pay the Sedins when their contact expires?
Gosh. I feel like Kessel's agent or something. I'm not a Leafs' Fan. I have no affiliation. Nux and Alex - you guys obviously like the Canucks. Is it not possible that you are just refusing to listen to reason? Just because you don't like what you hear? Kessel's contract is exactly in keeping with the trends and the values set by other players in the nhl. Actually, he's under-valued IMHO.
But again, how much would you have paid Kessel?
The Duke
Posted - 10/27/2013 : 16:12:26 Sorry, was going to add, just to clarify a bit more......since there is only one kessel....lets add the Sedins points together and share them equally for them both ( since there are 2 of them
Indididually againist Boston in a 7 game playoff series......
kessel srores at a rate of......... .857 %
The Sedins score at................ . 357 % ( broken down of course )OR.....has they did actually score in that series....
Nothing to argue about here....Chara played for both Boston teams.....both Boston teams were great....both Boston teams went to the cup final........but only 1 player stepped it up.....and his last name WASN`T Sedin.
Its funny Nuxfan, in an earlier blog you referred to the Sedins as Superstars......and to kessel has a star.....I guess these numbers I just posted proves that you have the Super in the wrong p[lace.
JOSHUACANADA
Posted - 10/27/2013 : 16:05:56 Crock, you came to the discussion late and probably didn't notice I defended Kessel and his 8 million a year on the last page. I mentioned it was not a home town discount and also put it out there that 8 years at the max value was a team risk, which slanted it to Kessel's favour. I just thought the comparison to the Sedins was a valid arguement against Kessel's newly signed contract.
However, the Sedin's did not have statistical equal seasons for there first 6 years as you suggested. Henricks stats matured sooner than Daniel. Daniel had superior scoring stats, but Henricks ppg and playmaking skills are and have been superior to both Daniel and Kessel. He is extremly durable and has an ironman playing streak 500+ games long. The fact both players matured later has as much to do with where they played and the team they played for as Kessel's situation does. It was by there 4th year that both were elevated to the top line with Naslund that there ppg increased. This was at 24-25. Kessel has had the advantage of playing in Toronto for strong offensive teams primarily on the top line with decent offensive players at a younger age. There is as strong an evidence that Kessel has peaked, as there is the the Sedins will maintain a ppg pace, exceeding Kessel's ppg pace for a few more years.
I brought up the first 10 games because as of now Henrick is outpacing Kessel at ppg, is the better playmaker and is playing in a more contributing position than Kessel, while making less than Kessel's future contract value. Henrick on the open market is worth more than Kessel per year, while Daniel, who plays a more similar role and is keeping pace with Kessel, is of closer value, but neither will garner max value while playing together and likely neither will be signed near full value for 8 years like Kessel.
Now theres a true test playing againist a tough , tough team and facing Z. Chara ALL GAME LONG...has they all did !!!!!
So in conclusion.....in the same circumstances....1 Phil kessel ( all by himself ).....out-scores 2....yes, 2 Sedins together.....surprise, surprise....
That my friends is why kessel gets 8 million per.....and the Sedins don`t......kessels deserves it... ( as I said before, compared to other players salaries )..........in reality, I don`t believe any sport player is worth the $$$$$ they collect, but this is the world we live in.
nuxfan
Posted - 10/27/2013 : 14:41:44
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShight
Joshua, I chose Daniel arbitrarily over Henrik - because it really doesn't matter. Over their first seven NHL seasons, their production is almost completely the same (actually Daniel is a better match for Kessel - more goals, fewer assists). But again, over their first seven seasons - Daniel and Henrik are pretty much interchangeable here.
Daniel is the better comparison, he is the "sniper" between the two of them. They are not interchangeable, Henrik brings all the same scoring prowess, but adds very good faceoff skills and supreme playmaking ability. As a pure centre, he is more valuable than Daniel IMO.
quote:Alex, you mentioned that Daniel's best season was when he broke his ankle - because of a higher PPG. Okay, fair enough. All you have done there is to add credence to my argument. Daniel was 29 when he had that season. So, that's exactly what I was suggesting for Kessel - his "best" years should come anywhere between the ages of 27-30. I offered 2016-2017 as Kessel's "peak" year - when he is 29 - that's actually exactly what I wrote. I think that by pointing out Daniel's "best year was at the age of 29" - you've just underlined exactly what I just said.
You said that I have "no idea whether Kessel has hit his Prime or not". You are right. I have absolutely no idea. What I said is:
Based on everything we know about Hockey Players, and their production based on age, Kessel is an EXTREMELY STRONG candidate to have a progression over the next few years. Like I said, 27-30 is a player's "Prime Age". Kessel hasn't hit that yet. Like I said, "nothing in life is for sure"; but it's an extremely good bet.
Can you offer us any evidence to the contrary?
And, for another interesting exercise (I will do the same on my end) - find me a player who's production "dropped" after they hit 27 years of age. **There aren't many. And those that we do find will be the exception rather than the norm. Look at any NHL player's stats - and you will see that in general, they will "peak" between the ages of 27-30.
I am nuxfan, not Alex
I think if you look , you will find that there are many players that peaked before your magical age of 27. With less than a minute of thought, I came up with:
- Scott Gomez: his best season came when he was 26 years old, and its been downhill from then on.
- Brian Gionta: best season came when he was 27 years old, downhill since then
- Corey Perry: still too young to say for sure, but as of now, his best season was 2 years ago when he was 25 or 26. His previous 2 years have been downhill from there. He's capable of matching it, but I doubt he'll surpass it.
- Ryan Getzlaf: same as Perry, too young to say for sure. His best season was 4 years ago, when he was 24. While I think he might match that production again, I don't think he will surpass it.
- Brad Richards: had his best years at age 25, and matched it at 30, but never surpassed it.
- Evgeni Malkin: had his best statistical career at 23. Has come close to matching it, but IMO is unlikely to surpass even though he is only 27 now.
- Alex Ovechkin: had best years at age 22, unlikely to match again
- Eric Staal: had best year at age 20, then settled into a 70-85 point window. unlikely to match
quote:All this talk about Daniel Sedin, is to compare a player in their early career with similar numbers. Sedin didn't hit PPG status until 26. Kessel has already achieved that twice, AND, it is a safe bet to say that he will do so again - several times throughout the Prime Age of his career. We aren't comparing "who is better - Daniel or Kessel".
And again, to the main premise of the thread - is PPG enough to justify 8M per year? Just so we are clear - I too think Kessel will be around PPG for the next few years. I just do not think that a uni-dimensional player capable of PPG is worth 8M a year.
quote:Joshua, you still are kind of questioning my assertion that "Kessel is on the upswing, while the Sedins are on the downswing". But then, you are citing their performances over the first 10 games of the season. Ummm. First 10 games of the season. Look at the stats from the past two years. Kessel will outscore both Sedins this season. Again, nothing in life is for sure. But it is a VERY good bet to assume that Kessel WILL outscore either of the Sedins this season based on past trends.
Look at the stats from the past 3 years - and suddenly your whole "argument" goes out the window. You seem to be cherry picking particular statistical windows to make your point.
Crock, I would be happy to take a bet with you, today, that Kessel will not outscore both Sedin's this season (min 70 games played each). I don't have a lot of faith that you will honour the bet if you lose, but whatever. Let me know.
quote:Alex, the word "should" meant that "based on past trends, and everything we know about a player's Prime Age blah blah blah", we "should" see an increase to Kessel's production over the next couple of years. I believe that was very clear.
I have an exercise for you, and I suspect you will find very few examples - find players that hit PPG production before 27, and then saw their production increase by 20 points or more between the ages of 27 and 32. That is what you are suggesting that Kessel will do, so I'd be curious to know how many examples of this are out there.
Note - Daniel only did it twice.
quote:Fine. Both of you don't seem to like this contract (just like you seem to not like Kessel). But, why not?? I've just given a million reasons why it is an EXCELLENT contract for the Leafs. I haven't heard anything (based on HARD EVIDENCE / OBJECTIVE FACTORS) that would suggest otherwise. (Alex's vague notions of back-checking/leadership/every players is... vague at best. Give me something measurable here.)
I have not heard any hard evidence or facts from you to suggest that this is a guaranteed good contract for the Leafs either. I've heard some suggestions that Kessel's career is on the same trajectory as superstar Daniel Sedin (however, it could not possibly be on the same trajectory as Brian Gionta, Scott Gomez, or Brad Richards). I have heard that his production should go up because players generally peak between 27 and 30. This is not evidence.
There is nothing measurable to give. The only measure you will have is in 8 years time (or less if things go badly), and you can look back on what happened.
quote:There still seems to be a stigma surrounding Phil Kessel. It's almost like you guys don't believe that he can keep going at this pace. What in the world would suggest that to you???? Like, really? Did you see the game he played last night?? I thought he was First Star (I was disappointed they didn't even give him a Star). He was buzzing around the net all night long. He had a hattrick the game before that. He hasn't recorded a point in only two games this season. He is the go-to guy in Toronto - a team with one of the best PPs in the game. What is the world would suggest to you that Kessel "won't" keep up this production??
Again.... I have no doubt that Kessel will keep this production up. I don't think he will exceed it in any appreciable way over the life of this contract. Is PPG enough to justify 8M a year?
quote:So, if you don't like this contract so much. What would you say Kessel's "value" is?? Would you have accepted 7 million over 7 years?? Like, are we splitting hairs now? He is - and is going to be over the next 3-4 seasons - going to be a Top Player in the game. Isn't that what we pay our big players for?? Isn't that his value?? Where would you put his value??
Is 7M vs 8M "splitting hairs" in a cap restriction world? I had put his value at 6.5-7M on a long term deal. 8 years is fine for terms, he will still be young when the contract is complete.
CrockOShight
Posted - 10/27/2013 : 11:29:40 Joshua, I chose Daniel arbitrarily over Henrik - because it really doesn't matter. Over their first seven NHL seasons, their production is almost completely the same (actually Daniel is a better match for Kessel - more goals, fewer assists). But again, over their first seven seasons - Daniel and Henrik are pretty much interchangeable here.
Alex, you mentioned that Daniel's best season was when he broke his ankle - because of a higher PPG. Okay, fair enough. All you have done there is to add credence to my argument. Daniel was 29 when he had that season. So, that's exactly what I was suggesting for Kessel - his "best" years should come anywhere between the ages of 27-30. I offered 2016-2017 as Kessel's "peak" year - when he is 29 - that's actually exactly what I wrote. I think that by pointing out Daniel's "best year was at the age of 29" - you've just underlined exactly what I just said.
You said that I have "no idea whether Kessel has hit his Prime or not". You are right. I have absolutely no idea. What I said is:
Based on everything we know about Hockey Players, and their production based on age, Kessel is an EXTREMELY STRONG candidate to have a progression over the next few years. Like I said, 27-30 is a player's "Prime Age". Kessel hasn't hit that yet. Like I said, "nothing in life is for sure"; but it's an extremely good bet.
Can you offer us any evidence to the contrary?
And, for another interesting exercise (I will do the same on my end) - find me a player who's production "dropped" after they hit 27 years of age. **There aren't many. And those that we do find will be the exception rather than the norm. Look at any NHL player's stats - and you will see that in general, they will "peak" between the ages of 27-30.
All this talk about Daniel Sedin, is to compare a player in their early career with similar numbers. Sedin didn't hit PPG status until 26. Kessel has already achieved that twice, AND, it is a safe bet to say that he will do so again - several times throughout the Prime Age of his career. We aren't comparing "who is better - Daniel or Kessel".
You also mentioned that "a huge impact on Daniel's stats has been his brother". Right. Again, I think you are lending credence to my argument here. Daniel has been playing with Henrik this whole time. Kessel? Well, Tyler Bozak?? JVR seems to have found his home in Toronto - but that's THIS season. Two years ago, Kessel was scoring at a point-a-game pace - on a losing team with nobody on it. So, again, thank you for pointing that out.
Joshua, you still are kind of questioning my assertion that "Kessel is on the upswing, while the Sedins are on the downswing". But then, you are citing their performances over the first 10 games of the season. Ummm. First 10 games of the season. Look at the stats from the past two years. Kessel will outscore both Sedins this season. Again, nothing in life is for sure. But it is a VERY good bet to assume that Kessel WILL outscore either of the Sedins this season based on past trends.
Alex, the word "should" meant that "based on past trends, and everything we know about a player's Prime Age blah blah blah", we "should" see an increase to Kessel's production over the next couple of years. I believe that was very clear.
Fine. Both of you don't seem to like this contract (just like you seem to not like Kessel). But, why not?? I've just given a million reasons why it is an EXCELLENT contract for the Leafs. I haven't heard anything (based on HARD EVIDENCE / OBJECTIVE FACTORS) that would suggest otherwise. (Alex's vague notions of back-checking/leadership/every players is... vague at best. Give me something measurable here.)
There still seems to be a stigma surrounding Phil Kessel. It's almost like you guys don't believe that he can keep going at this pace. What in the world would suggest that to you???? Like, really? Did you see the game he played last night?? I thought he was First Star (I was disappointed they didn't even give him a Star). He was buzzing around the net all night long. He had a hattrick the game before that. He hasn't recorded a point in only two games this season. He is the go-to guy in Toronto - a team with one of the best PPs in the game. What is the world would suggest to you that Kessel "won't" keep up this production??
I was in the hockey locker room talking about this the other day with the guys. Somebody actually said, "it shouldn't have been a dime over 7.4 million."
ROFL. Are you kidding me!?!?
So, if you don't like this contract so much. What would you say Kessel's "value" is?? Would you have accepted 7 million over 7 years?? Like, are we splitting hairs now? He is - and is going to be over the next 3-4 seasons - going to be a Top Player in the game. Isn't that what we pay our big players for?? Isn't that his value?? Where would you put his value??
nuxfan
Posted - 10/26/2013 : 15:17:57
quote:Originally posted by CrockOShight
Daniel Sedin in his first six seasons:478GP, 119G, 187A, 306Pts. Age 20-27 (played one year in Sweden which was not counted).
Daniel's first season with a point-per-game pace was in 2006-2007 when he put up 84Pts in 81GP (36G, 48A) - when he was 26-years-old.
Daniel's first six seasons: 0.64PPG, 0.25GPG.
Phil Kessel in his first six seasons:504GP, 185G, 194A, 381Pts. Age 19-25
Phil Kessel's first season at a point-per-game pace was in 11-12 when he put up 82Pts in 82GP (37G, 45A) - when he was 24-years-old.
Kessel's first six seasons: 0.75PPG, 0.37GPG.
--
Daniel's salary after hitting PPG status: 6.1 M
Kessel's salary after hitting PPG status: 8M
I don't think you are arguing the correct point here. No one is claiming that Kessel is a bad player, or is not going to put up points. Rather, is simply putting up PPG numbers worth 8M a year?
quote:We know that players often reach their maximum potential (their prime) any where between the ages of 27 and 30. Actually, for Daniel, it was when he was 31-years-old - a whopping season of 104Pts in 82GP in 2010-2011. Great season.
Phil Kessel is currently 26-years-old. He hasn't hit his Prime yet. We do not yet know what that Prime will look like; however, all signs point to a MAJOR progression for Phil Kessel - especially in the next 3-4 years.
Actually, for Daniel, his best season was the season before, 09/10. He missed 20 games with a broken ankle, causing his total points to be lower, but his PPG was higher that season than the next.
You have no idea whether or not Kessel has hit his prime, or will get better than he is now - just because "most players" do so between 27 and 30 does not mean that Kessel will see any appreciable increase in his output. Perhaps he will be a PPG player over his career from here on out - good for 35g/40a a season. What then?
quote:
Daniel Sedin's best season came when he was 31. For Phil Kessel, that will be in 5 years. If Kessel is anything like Daniel Sedin (all signs throughout their career so far point to very similar numbers / very comparable stats); then when Phil Kessel, he is a virtual lock to score 50 Goals, and have a 110 Point Season at some point during his career. I'll even give you the year: 2016-2017 - watch for Phil Kessel to score 50, and put up 110 Points in 2016-2017. (Obviously barring injury).
You are missing one very important factor in Daniel's success over his career - Henrik. Having a twin brother that is also one of the best playmaking centres in the game today has a huge impact on performance.
quote:I don't think there's a debate as to whether the Sedins are trending downward. They are definitely trending downward. Sure, they are off to a good start this season. Hey, I wish them well. But, the signs say that they will both finish with around 70-75pts apiece. Good, but not a point-per-game.
They have trended downward from 100+ point seasons, to merely PPG, however that was always going to be expected, few players can maintain that sort of production year over year. They are getting older, and their production will decrease as the years go on. As for their production this year, both are on pace to finish over PPG again this season. What "signs" are you referring to that makes you think they will finish under PPG?
quote:Kessel on the other hand *should* put up 38 Goals, and 48 Assists - 88 points. Somewhere in the Top 10 in the League.
*should* because you think he will, based on some other "signs"? or *should* because he needs to, just to start justifying this contract?
JOSHUACANADA
Posted - 10/26/2013 : 09:23:46 I also find it interesting when you claim Kessel to be on the upswing and say clearly the Sedin are on the downswing, when in this early part of the season Daniel is tied with Kessel in points at 12, while Henrick is leading them both by 4 at 16.
JOSHUACANADA
Posted - 10/26/2013 : 09:20:30 Yet with all the evidence you brought, Daniel was playing for $3+ million per year at the same age Kessel signs his $8 million contract. I notice you didn't compare him the Henrick who has greater career stats and achieved them sooner than Daniel, who also played for $3+ million at the same age Kessel signed his $8 million contract.
CrockOShight
Posted - 10/25/2013 : 18:52:25Daniel Sedin in his first six seasons:478GP, 119G, 187A, 306Pts. Age 20-27 (played one year in Sweden which was not counted).
Daniel's first season with a point-per-game pace was in 2006-2007 when he put up 84Pts in 81GP (36G, 48A) - when he was 26-years-old.
Daniel's first six seasons: 0.64PPG, 0.25GPG.
Phil Kessel in his first six seasons:504GP, 185G, 194A, 381Pts. Age 19-25
Phil Kessel's first season at a point-per-game pace was in 11-12 when he put up 82Pts in 82GP (37G, 45A) - when he was 24-years-old.
Kessel's first six seasons: 0.75PPG, 0.37GPG.
--
We know that players often reach their maximum potential (their prime) any where between the ages of 27 and 30. Actually, for Daniel, it was when he was 31-years-old - a whopping season of 104Pts in 82GP in 2010-2011. Great season.
Phil Kessel is currently 26-years-old. He hasn't hit his Prime yet. We do not yet know what that Prime will look like; however, all signs point to a MAJOR progression for Phil Kessel - especially in the next 3-4 years.
In fact, for a player that already has five straight seasons with 30+ Goals under his belt before reaching his Prime age; Phil Kessel is a VERY solid bet to be a 40-goal scorer this year (Prime -1 Year); before REALLY lighting it up in 2-4 years' time.
Daniel Sedin's best season came when he was 31. For Phil Kessel, that will be in 5 years. If Kessel is anything like Daniel Sedin (all signs throughout their career so far point to very similar numbers / very comparable stats); then when Phil Kessel, he is a virtual lock to score 50 Goals, and have a 110 Point Season at some point during his career. I'll even give you the year: 2016-2017 - watch for Phil Kessel to score 50, and put up 110 Points in 2016-2017. (Obviously barring injury).
The Leafs signed Kessel throughout this entire "Prime" Period. Granted, Kessel's 32-34 years of age seasons (the last three seasons on his contract), we should see some regression. And, fair enough. We are seeing the same with the Sedins right now.
**The person who contested Sedin's regression, and then questioned Kessel's progression clearly doesn't look at stats. Daniel Sedin's stats have gone steadily down since that monster 104-point season - 67pts two years ago, 40 points last year; while Kessel's have just gone steadily up - 64pts three years ago, 82 two years ago, 52 last season.
I don't think there's a debate as to whether the Sedins are trending downward. They are definitely trending downward. Sure, they are off to a good start this season. Hey, I wish them well. But, the signs say that they will both finish with around 70-75pts apiece. Good, but not a point-per-game.
Kessel on the other hand *should* put up 38 Goals, and 48 Assists - 88 points. Somewhere in the Top 10 in the League.
But again, it won't even be this season. Not "yet" as they say. Not even next year. It will be in 2-4 years when Kessel puts his "big" season. Draft accordingly.
In any event, given Kessel's age and career stats up until this point - signing him through his Prime is an EXCELLENT move by the Club. Nothing in life is for sure - but this is the poker equivalent to pushing all in with the Nut Full House. It's a very good bet. One that any club in the NHL would have just been chomping at the bit to make.
Odds are that Phil Kessel is not only worth 8 million a season; but that he will be worth much MORE than that in 2-4 years' time. Therefore, the Leafs made an excellent deal here.
Posted - 10/25/2013 : 12:23:21 Slozo....First things first, i can take a ribbing as well as the next person. Do you get a sense i was really upset or something?
Anyway, i actually noted my mispelled word when i re-read my post and unfortunately didn't have time to edit it before getting pulled away from my computer. Unfortunately, sometimes work comes first. Regardless, i'm not one to usually care about online spelling / grammar and was in fact quite serious when i asked and noted the mistake. I'll be quite honest, i'm a high school grad with some college eduction but no degree, however, grade 8 for me was some 30ish years ago so i won't ever claim to be an English major. I will say that your interpretation of "soliloquy" still doesn't cut it. I have to be honest, i had no idea what one was so i had to look it up but either way, it doesn't really fit your use. Even the way you brought it up was quesionable..... "Alex, speaking of redundant soliliquies..." Huh? At what point was anyone speaking of such? Um, NEVER? Either way, the purpose of my post wasn't intended to lead to a debate about english spelling and grammar, and unlike you i don't wanna waste a ton of time arguing these small things.
Your post touches on a grand total of ONE thing i spoke of / asked, and ironically, it was one of the only points which had nothing to do with hockey. There wasn't a single reference to any of the hockey based points i made, just a retort about my mispelled word and an insult about my level of reading comprehension.
At least Crock had the decency to touch on the hockey based stuff we were discussing, such as whether or not Kessel is streaky, what his role is, etc. We may not agree on these things, but at least it wasn't an entire reply about the irony of me mispelling a word when mentioning you doing the same.I'll try to refrain in the future from commenting on these such things, but i find it hard at times because you're obviously far more intellectual than i judging by the words and phrases you use. "Soliloquies", "salient points", "lessons in decorum", etc, and that's just in this one post???
slozo
Posted - 10/25/2013 : 05:51:35
quote:Just curious, do you know what a soliloquy is? I ask only because you spelt it wrong and it really doesn't describe anything i said. Go look it up. Same with the grade 8 level of reading comprehension? Where did i say anyone had that? I only compared Crock's post to a grade 8 essay. How does that relate to anyone's reading comprehension?
Alex,Pardon my fast writing for the incorrect spelling of soliloquy . . . but talking about myself misspelling a word, and in your next sentence using the non-word "spelt" is . . . well, it's ironic, humorous, and kills whatever attempt you made at dissembling my point.
(FYI - spelt gets through a good spellcheck, as the only meaning of the word is an ancient grain - not as an alliteration of the word "spelled")
And it describes exactly what I meant: a long, overwrought speech, delivered/orated to oneself in front of an audience . . . usually used by thespians to describe a speech by an actor talking to the audience, as in the "Romeo, Romeo, wherefore art thou Romeo" speech by Juliet.
Your speech was similar to me, in fact; long, overwrought, WAY over-dramatic . . . and it didn't have a lot of substance.
You insulted Crock by calling it a Grade 8 level essay . . . and I retort in kind that I think you demonstrated a grade 8 level of reading comprehension in missing several salient points . . . and you act as if YOU have been the one attacked?
Do you understand now? Have we beaten this dead horse enough times? You get it?
I didn't want this to turn into an "insult-fest", but . . . if you can't take some ribbing right back in exactly the same way you delivered it to someone else, then you need a lesson in decorum.
"Take off, eh?" - Bob and Doug
nuxfan
Posted - 10/24/2013 : 22:39:20
quote:Originally posted by JOSHUACANADA
I heard that both were playing under Tortella occasionally off each others lines to mix it up and give Vancouver some flexibility in there lineups. I have also heard it said that when one twin gets injured the production of the other does not always drop off. I have heard it said mostly that either would take a discount if it meant they could play together. So my question is what happens if the Sedins get shopped individually and the buyer pays 8 million over 4 years for either or both individual contracts. Does this mean the Kessel deal is of value?
You sure do hear a lot of stuff about the Sedins!
There is not enough evidence that there would be prolonged success without the other, because they just haven't done it much in their careers. AV and Torts both split the twins up from time to time, but its rarely for more than a period at at time, just to shake things up. The time apart from injury is about 30 games in the last decade, they are generally durable players.
Like I said, the twins are unique. I don't think any GM worth his salt would trade for one and not the other - they are valuable on their own, but they are so much more valuable (production-wise) together. You probably see highlight goals from time to time, but you have to see them on a nightly basis to truly appreciate how they can dominate play for extended periods of time on intuition and perfect blind passes in a cycle. They are extremely skilled, and prolific scoring machines, on a consistent basis.
As for comparing the Sedin's to Kessel - there is very little comparison IMO. They are different beasts, at different stages of their careers. The Sedin's are 33 years old, superstars that will start to decline in 2-3 years time. Kessel is an up-and-coming star in the league, at 25 he has lots of years left, and all of them prime years.
The only thing that they have in common is that neither is worth 8M per year.
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Roland Yakoubov, recipient of The World Networks 2016 Entrepreneur Awards, announces Yoga classes at Luna Center in Glendale, CA. “I’m happy to announce members of The World Networks may enjoy their first class FREE”. GHENA YOGA classes will be offered every Saturday and Sunday at 2:30pm starting February 6 and 7, 2016.
Dr. Raffi Gureghian of Gureghian Chiropractic attends the SAG Awards celebration in Hollywood on Janurary 31, 2016. “We are excited to announce our new office now open in Northridge, CA” says, Gureghian Chiropractic office manager. The member of The World Networks goes on to share, “at our office, all patients are treated like celebrities…we welcome you for all your Chiropratic needs”.
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Quotes
Eric Kripke: (on his newborn son's birthday) Want to hear something creepy? My son was born on Sam [Winchester's] birthday. It freaks me out. My son was born on May 2nd, and Sam was born on May 2nd. It's disturbingly coincidental. I mean what are the odds that with any day out of the year he is born on Sam's birthday? Very, very troubling
Eric Kripke: (About Jared Padalecki's injury in season 2 of Supernatural) Ah, Jared. We're making it work. Luckily, he gets in fights every episode so it is easy for him to break his hand. It turns out the zombie breaks his hand. I'm glad he's OK, and I'm glad it all worked out, but I do have to say there is a part of me that wished he broke his hand a little earlier because it would have made so much more sense to come out of the car crash with the broken arm. He survived getting T-boned by a semi going full speed, but a zombie broke his hand? We do what we always do — we made a joke out of it and we had Dean give a funny reaction. Not once does it get in the way of the story.
Eric Kripke: (On the third season of Supernatural ) This is a season where war breaks out. And there's no longer any of this, 'Who's the psychic kid? And I should follow the yellow-eyed demon, what?' It's war. We're at war. Choose a side. It's the end of the world. We feel this is the most exciting season yet. We feel this is the season to join the party. I'm not promising that we're not going to make missteps, as any show does. But the difference between us and other shows, is when they make missteps, they say, 'Go f--- yourself.' When we make missteps, we pay attention to the fans and we course correct. So, fans, I love you all, but stop worrying.
Eric Kripke: (On the fans of Supernatural ) First of all, I love our fans. I love them to death. I love how passionate they are. But they tend to worry unnecessarily. They tend to get stressed before they have a chance to judge the finished product. We are so conscious and aware of our fans. We're making the show for the fans; we're not making the show for the network. We would never do anything to betray them. I'm not saying we're perfect. I'm not saying we don't make mistakes. But we're very conscious and aware. And when we do make mistakes, we course-correct. So if I can get any message to them, it's, 'Don't worry. We're making choices based on what's best creatively for the show.'
Eric Kripke: (On his show Supernatural) We're hoping the audience will connect to committed, good, red-blooded, rollicking storytelling that every week is a satisfying story. We'll track the mythology, but every week we just want to scare the hell out of you with basically a different horror movie that has a beginning, a middle, and an end.
Eric Kripke: (On the boys in Supernatural ) We're hoping our guys are charismatic, and handsome, and we hope the girls are attracted to that, but we want everyone to come to the party. We have what we think are Luke Skywalker and Han Solo cruising the country and killing monsters, and what's not to love about that?
Eric Kripke: (On his friend's and family's reaction to the spooky -sometimes disturbing urban legends that go into Supernatural.) Because of the show, people wonder if I had a disturbed childhood, or tortured puppies, stuff like that. But I'm a normal Ohio boy from a tight-knit family, though my friends and family do seem surprised that I'm coming up with such twisted crap. About once a month my sister calls me and says, "What the hell's wrong with you?".
Eric Kripke: It's the ability to confront death, but come out safe and sound at the other end. For me, there is nothing more pleasurable than sitting with someone watching the show and having them jump or spill popcorn. It's so fun to see that you can create a story that has that impact on people.
Eric Kripke: You really learn a lot about a culture based on what scares people, and I've always been interested in these legends, which are every bit as fleshed out as any world mythologies, they're the stories you tell by the campfire.
AMC Amazing!
As the owner of 1977 AMC Matador Coupe, I am always excited to see the use of AMC vehicles in various episodes! Matadors, Gremlins, and Pacers have been used in the series. I never miss an episode of Supernatural, and seeing AMC's just makes viewing that much more fun! May I extend an invitation to attend an AMC International Convention in Auburn, Indiana, July 18-20, 2013. Who knows, you might find a "hell of a great car" to use in an up coming episode!moreless
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Methodologies
The primary goal of the project is to create methodical instructions for the documentation, conservation, and restoration of musical instruments, which will provide expert support to institutions and individuals with regard to the correct assessment, documentation, and preservation of musical instruments, and also the correct handling of musical instruments.
An overview of how the project works with regard to the aforesaid formulation of methodologies was presented at the conference “Making wooden musical instruments: an integration of different forms of knowledge” in Barcelona on 7–9 September 2016. You can find the presentation poster here.
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22 Day River Cruise from Siem Reap to Hanoi
This magical river cruise along the Mekong River will take you through Cambodia and Vietnam, showing you the culture and local traditions of each country and the must-see sites along the way.
Your adventure begins in Siem Reap, Cambodia, with the magnificent Temples of Angkor-ancient ruins that are a display of architectural complexity and grandeur unlike anything else in the world. See the most famous of these temples, Angkor Wat, which honors the Hindu god, Vishnu; and the Bayon temple, which features some 200 mysterious faces carved in its many towers. Enjoy an inspiring Aspara dance performance and other treasures of the city before embarking on your river cruise. In Kampong Tralach, an ox cart ride will show you the Cambodian countryside and you'll meet a local farmer and learn about his daily life. The temple of Wat Hanchey provides you the most stunning views, and then take part in a traditional water blessing with local monks. Continue to Vietnam and stroll through a local market-a unique opportunity to see locals buying and selling fresh produce. Via sampan, visit the home of a local family for a cotton-weaving demonstration and a local workshop which makes rice wine and traditional candies. In bustling Ho Chi Minh City, try your hand in the kitchen with a Vietnamese cooking class and go on an excursion to the Cu Chi Tunnels-the extraordinary network of tunnels used by the Viet Cong during the war.
Fly to Hanoi and explore the famous sites, such as the Old Quarter, where peddlers have traded goods for centuries on its 36 ancient streets. Next, a remarkable 2-night cruise along Ha Long Bay will show you its beautiful Limestone Islands. You'll visit the Cua Van Floating Village, spectacular caves, and even go for a swim at Titop Island. Fly to Sapa, located in northwest Vietnam, with its lush green hillsides, surrounded by mountains in every direction. Here, you'll visit the villages of the Zay and Black Hmong ethnic groups to learn about their way of life. And to really appreciate the serene landscape, visit the stunning Silver Waterfall and enjoy the epic views from atop the highest road in Vietnam at a point called Heaven Gate. The perfect ending to an unforgettable river cruise vacation!
It's about you. You are the reason we've used our 85-plus years of travel expertise to design the very best river cruise experience. Inspired by you, we've taken everything special about river cruising and made it even better. Here are some of the features and amenities you'll experience on board our Avalon ships.
Day 5 Kampong Tralach-Konpong Louang-Phnom Penh: ox cart ride through the countryside and visit a local farmer's home in Kampong Tralach; visit the silversmith village of Konpong Louang; sightseeing by private cyclo, including the Royal Palace, Silver Pagoda, and the National Museum
Day 6 Phnom Penh: visit the Tuol Sleng Museum and one of the Killing Fields; afternoon at leisure; show by children from local orphanage
Day 7 Wat Hanchey-Angkor Ban: visit Wat Hanchey and partake in a traditional water blessing by local monks; walking tour in Angkor Ban with school visit
Day 8 Vietnam Border Crossing-Chau Doc: visit a local market and the religious sites at Sam Mountain in Chau Doc
Day 9 Long Khong A-Cu Lao Gieng: walking tour of Lhong Khong A with cotton-weaving demonstration; visit a sampan-making family and interact with a Catholic priest in Cu Lao Gieng
Day 10 Ben Tre: visit a local garden and a local workshop to see how rice wine and traditional candy are made
Day 11 Ho Chi Minh City (Disembarkation): walking tour; visit the famous Rex Hotel for a drink, War Remnants Museum, and Ben Thanh Market; cooking class
Meals
Day-By-Day Itinerary
Day 1Arrive in Siem Reap, Cambodia
Welcome to Siem Reap, your base during your visit to Angkor, considered by many to be the most spectacular architectural ruins on Earth! Hotel rooms are available for mid-afternoon check-in.
Day 2Siem Reap
This morning, start your sightseeing of the TEMPLES OF ANGKOR. Constructed between the 9th and 13th centuries, the temples were built around the Khmer interpretations of Indian religious and political beliefs that ultimately evolved from Hinduism to Buddhism. The complex architectural grandeur of the Angkor temples is arguably unmatched among ancient ruins anywhere in the world. First, visit the best preserved and most famous of all the temples: ANGKOR WAT, honoring the Hindu god Vishnu. Featuring five trademark towers and stunning bas reliefs, it has become a symbol of Cambodia. Then, visit BANTEAY SREI, a unique temple dedicated to the Hindu god Shiva. Unlike other temples, it is built on a small scale from red sandstone, which can be carved like wood. This evening, enjoy a PRIVATE APSARA DANCE PERFORMANCE, where the ancient Khmer culture is brought to life by talented dancers, singers, and musicians. (Breakfast, Lunch, Dinner)
Day 3Siem Reap
Today, continue your sightseeing of the Angkor temples by TUK-TUK. Start at ANGKOR THOM where you will explore BAYON TEMPLE. One of the few Buddhist temples in Angkor, it features some 200 striking faces carved in 54 towers and impressive bas reliefs. Next stop is TA PROHM, which, unlike the other temples, has been left relatively untouched. Tree roots grow over and through the ruin walls, allowing you to experience the temple with the same wonder as the early explorers who discovered it. Lastly, stop at LES ARTISANS D'ANGKOR, a development project teaching young adults traditional handicraft techniques. The rest of the afternoon is at your leisure to explore this charming town. (Breakfast)
Day 4Siem Reap (Embarkation)
This morning, transfer to the port and board your river cruise vessel for your CRUISE down the Mekong through Cambodia and Vietnam. This afternoon, enjoy time on board the ship as you cruise through Tonle Sap (Great Lake). After the rainy season, this massive body of water can cover around 10,000 square miles and provides the perfect breeding ground for fish, which provide food for people living on the lake. This evening, enjoy a welcome reception. (Breakfast, Lunch, Dinner)
NOTE:During low water conditions, generally mid-December to August, we will not be able to cruise on Tonle Sap. In these cases, we will fly from Siem Reap to Phnom Penh for embarkation. No included sightseeing will be missed. Low water conditions vary from year to year, so this will be evaluated on a cruise-by-cruise basis.
Day 5Kampong Tralach-Konpong Louang-Phnom Penh
Today, visit Kampong Tralach for an OX CART RIDE past rice paddy fields and the beautiful Cambodian countryside. Along the way, stop to MEET WITH A LOCAL FARMER and learn more about his daily life. Lastly, visit the SILVERSMITH VILLAGE of Konpong Louang. Here, you will see talented craftsmen use age-old techniques to turn pure silver into works of art. Then sail to the capital city of Phnom Penh. After lunch, your sightseeing tour by private cyclo includes visits to the ROYAL PALACE with the spectacular SILVER PAGODA and the NATIONAL MUSEUM, featuring an outstanding display of Khmer artifacts. (Breakfast, Lunch, Dinner)
Day 6Phnom Penh
Sightseeing this morning provides a glimpse of the atrocities inflicted on the Cambodian people by the Khmer Rouge regime. Visit the TUOL SLENG GENOCIDE MUSEUM, a former high school that housed over 17,000 prisoners. Of this number, it is believed that less than 15 survived the torture and avoided being sent to the Killing Fields. You will also visit one of the KILLING FIELDS, where over 200,000 people were killed by the Khmer Rouge. The remainder of the day is at your leisure to explore the city. Just before dinner, children from a local orphanage will put on a SHOW featuring local song and dance. (Breakfast, Lunch, Dinner)
Day 7Wat Hanchey-Angkor Ban
This morning, visit WAT HANCHEY, a temple dating back to the 8th century and the Chenla Empire. Located on a hilltop, enjoy stunning views of the surrounding area and partake in a TRADITIONAL WATER BLESSING given by local monks. After lunch, enjoy a WALKING TOUR through the rural village of Angkor Ban. Here, you will see traditional Khmer houses and visit a LOCAL SCHOOL. (Breakfast, Lunch, Dinner)
NOTE:The climb to Wat Hanchey features a steep incline. If you feel you are unable to make the climb, you will be driven to the top by car.
Day 8Border Crossing-Chau Doc, Vietnam
Cross the border this morning into Vietnam and sail to Chau Doc. Upon arrival, walk through the LOCAL MARKET and absorb the atmosphere as locals are busy buying and selling fish, meat, and produce. After lunch, join a sampan excursion down the backwaters of the river to the religious sites at the base of SAM MOUNTAIN. Along the way, see traditional floating homes, speedboat merchants, a market selling dried goods, and more. (Breakfast, Lunch, Dinner)
Day 9Long Khong A-Cu Lao Gieng
After breakfast, a sampan brings you to the village of LONG KHONG A, where cotton weaving is a well-preserved tradition. Spend time at one house for a COTTON-WEAVING DEMONSTRATION and a chance to talk with the family. In the afternoon, board a sampan and enjoy scenes of daily life along the river. Stop at a LOCAL HOME, where a skilled family works together to hand-craft sampans for a living. Then, ride a specially designed MOTOR CART to one of Vietnam's oldest churches for a special INTERACTION WITH A CATHOLIC PRIEST. (Breakfast, Lunch, Dinner)
Day 10Ben Tre
This morning, board a sampan for a scenic cruise to Ben Tre. Visit a LOCAL WORKSHOP to see how rice wine and traditional coconut candy are made. Then, continue on to a LOCAL GARDEN, where several types of fruit indigenous to the area are grown. This afternoon, enjoy time on board the ship as we sail to exciting Ho Chi Minh City. (Breakfast, Lunch, Dinner)
Day 11Ho Chi Minh City (Disembarkation)
Welcome to Ho Chi Minh City, still known as Saigon to many. This morning, enjoy a WALKING TOUR of the city's famous and historic landmarks as you stroll through the heart of the city along Dong Khoi Street (formerly Rue Catinat) past Ho Chi Minh Square, the Municipal Theatre, the Central Post Office, and Notre Dame Cathedral. Stop at the Rex Hotel for a refreshing DRINK at the popular ROOFTOP BAR where the U.S. Military held the infamous "Five O'Clock Follies" during the war. Next, visit the WAR REMNANTS MUSEUM followed by BEN THANH MARKET, the largest and oldest in the city. For lunch, participate in a hands-on VIETNAMESE COOKING CLASS. Head into the classroom and learn how to prepare different local dishes and the techniques necessary to recreate them once you return home. Last but not least, sample your delicious creations! The afternoon is at your leisure to explore this lively city. (Breakfast, Lunch)
Day 12Ho Chi Minh City. Excursion to Cu Chi Tunnels
This morning, leave the city and drive through vast expanses of rice paddies to visit the CU CHI TUNNELS, an extraordinary network of tunnels more than 120 miles in length that was used by the Viet Cong as a hideout and secret village during the war. Here, you will learn about how the tunnels were constructed and have a chance to walk through a section to experience what life would have been like underground. Return to Ho Chi Minh City and enjoy the remainder of the afternoon at your leisure. This evening, join your traveling companions for a special farewell dinner hosted by your Cruise Director. (Breakfast, Dinner)
Day 13Ho Chi Minh City-Hanoi
Today, transfer to the airport and fly to Hanoi. Upon arrival, transfer to your hotel for the night. (Breakfast)
Day 14Hanoi
This morning, take time to look at the life of Ho Chi Minh, the father of modern Vietnam. First, visit the MAUSOLEUM and the humble cottage from which "Uncle Ho" ruled Vietnam until his death in 1969. Next on the agenda: ONE PILLAR PAGODA, the HO CHI MINH MUSEUM, and the Presidential Palace. Stop at the infamous "Hanoi Hilton" before continuing to mystical Hoan Kiem Lake, where you will enjoy a brief guided walk. Also visit the ancient TEMPLE OF LITERATURE, over 900 years old and Hanoi's first university. Lunch is at KOTO, a non-profit restaurant and hospitality program that trains local street children in restaurant skills they can use to find a job and build a stable life. After lunch, enjoy a ELECTRIC CART ride through the fascinating Old Quarter, 36 ancient streets where peddlers trade as they have for centuries. An early dinner this evening is followed by a fascinating performance of Hanoi's renowned WATER PUPPETS, a traditional art form dating back to the 11th century. (Breakfast, Lunch, Dinner)
Day 15Hanoi-Ha Long Bay
Travel from Hanoi through the fertile countryside to Ha Long Bay, a UNESCO World Heritage Site. Located in the Gulf of Tonkin, the bay is dotted with more than 3,000 limestone islands carved into fanciful shapes by the action of the water. Board the luxurious Paradise Elegance for a TWO-NIGHT CRUISE on the bay. After lunch, visit the CUA VAN FLOATING VILLAGE, home to more than 700 people. You can visit by bamboo raft with the locals or in a kayak under your own power. Enjoy scenic sailing for the remainder of the day before anchoring for the night. (Breakfast, Lunch, Dinner)
Day 16Ha Long Bay
Continue exploring the bay. Visit TITOP ISLAND, where you have the chance to swim or climb 400 steps to the top for stunning views. You will also visit LUON CAVE by your choice of boat or kayak. At DARK AND BRIGHT CAVE, you can explore by bamboo raft with the locals or by kayak. After a day of exploring, consider a spa treatment or simply relax for happy hour prior to dinner! (Breakfast, Lunch, Dinner)
Day 17Ha Long Bay-Hanoi
This morning, relax onboard or visit SUNG SOT CAVE, considered one of the most beautiful in the area with its magnificent formations. Afterwards, return to Hanoi and check in to your hotel. The remainder of the day is at your leisure. (Breakfast)
Day 18Hanoi-Sapa
Today, transfer to the hill-station town of Sapa known for its mountain scenery, rice fields, and colorful ethnic minorities. This afternoon, join a walking tour of this small town and visit the LOCAL MARKET. (Breakfast)
Day 19Sapa
Your day starts with a visit to TA VAN and LAO CHAI villages, to see the traditional way of life of the Zay and Black Hmong ethnic groups. These ethnic groups live together here under the watch of Fansipan Mountain. The Zay live a sedentary lifestyle and choose land near the valley's bottom for growing wet rice. The Hmong have historically preferred higher elevations for corn farming but recently they've started gradually moving to lower land and learning from others like the Zay. After lunch, visit the beautiful SILVER WATERFALL and ascend the highest road in Vietnam to HEAVEN GATE for stunning views of the surrounding mountains and valley. (Breakfast, Lunch)
Day 20Sapa
This morning, visit one of the famous WEEKLY MARKETS. Here, the local ethnic minority groups wear their most beautiful costumes as they sell and trade their homemade products. The Flower Hmong group is most recognizable with their colorful dress. After a quick photo stop at the China border, visit Taphin village, home of the RED DAO people who migrated from China starting in the 12th century. The Dao women are recognizable by the bright red turban they wear and, in some cases, shaved eyebrows. Tonight, consider exploring Sapa and stop at the famous "Love Market," where local Hmong and Dao come from their villages for the chance to see one another and perhaps go on a date! (Breakfast, Lunch)
Day 21Sapa-Hanoi
Today, transfer back to Hanoi and check in to your hotel for the evening. (Breakfast)
Day 22Hanoi
Your vacation ends with breakfast this morning. (Breakfast)
Call (520) 445-6812 for more information or to book today! Mention code 13367760
Dates and Prices do not include air travel. Participation in this vacation requires requires purchase of the following flights from Avalon Waterways, not included in pricing: (1) roundtrip air from your U.S. gateway and intra-vacation air segments; or (2) intra-vacation air segments only, starting at $212. Required intra-vacation air segments: Ho Chi Minh City/Hanoi. Air prices were effective on April 5, 2017, and their availability is limited. At the time you purchase your tour, air prices may be higher.
Gratuities to Local Guides & drivers are included.
Price is per person, based on double room occupancy.
Please call for single accommodation price. Triples not available.
Prices shown include cruise in Category B in an Avalon Suite on Mekong Deck.
To upgrade to a Category A on the Tonle Deck, add $400 per person in double occupancy or $800 in single occupancy.
Extra Nights per person in Siem Reap:January-April & September-December: in single room $265; in twin room $138July-August: in single room $232; in twin room $121
Extra Nights per person in Hanoi:in single room $215; in twin room $113
The following charges are not included in the land/cruise vacation price unless otherwise noted: airfare to and from the start of your vacation; intra-vacation air, unless specified in the itinerary; airline baggage fees including checked and/or excess baggage fees; Federal inspection fees for the Federal U.S. Customs and Immigrations; International Air Transportation tax; agricultural tax; other per person taxes imposed by government entities; airport taxes and fees, including the September 11th Security fee up to $11.20 per person, passenger facility charges up to $18 per person, Federal domestic flight segment fees up to $4.10 per segment, and U.S. and international arrival and departure and other government-imposed added by the airline and applicable at time of booking; port taxes; passports; visas and vaccinations; tips to your Cruise Director, Local Host, driver, Local Guides, and/or ship's crew; gratuities on ferries, trains, and cruise ships; laundry; telephone; minibar; alcohol, beverages, and food outside of the contracted Avalon menu as presented at a hotel or restaurant or onboard your vessel (these extra items will be billed to you before leaving the hotel, ship, or restaurant); airport transfers on non-qualifying flights; optional excursions; additional activities and excursions purchased online; porterage at airports and train stations; Travel Protection; and all other items of a personal nature.
Additional airline-imposed fees for seat assignments may apply and are not included in your total package cost. Please refer to carrier websites for seat assignment policies and applicable pricing.
Booking your Vacation with AirOur volume buying power saves you money. We may be able to provide you with flight arrangements from your gateway city. Avalon Waterways offers 2 air options: Flex Air and Instant Purchase Air. Early Airfare Price Guarantee locks in a price that is guaranteed not to increase. Air pricing and schedules are available approximately 330 days prior to last travel date in the itinerary. At that time the best air price will be utilized and a new invoice with the air cost and confirmed schedule will be sent. The identity of the carrier, which may include the carrier's codeshare partner, will be assigned and disclosed at this time. If the guaranteed price is the lowest, the schedule with the lowest fare per contracted classes of service will be booked. Any voluntary change to the confirmed flights negates the guaranteed price and is subject to air pricing at the time of the change.
Guaranteed air-inclusive prices - air is only available to passengers traveling from the United States and only available when booked in conjunction with a land vacation. An additional non-refundable air deposit of $300 per person is required for Flex Air booked in conjunction with any land vacation (i.e. air-inclusive vacation). Air can only be booked by Avalon in conjunction with a vacation package. Instant Purchase Air requires air payment in full at time of booking (i.e. air-inclusive vacation) plus a non-refundable per person service fee of $30 (North/Central America), $50 (Europe/Middle East) or $80 (all other international destinations). Once booked, Instant Purchase Air is non-refundable, and non-changeable. Some vacations may only offer one Air type option. However, once your airfare is confirmed and Avalon has received your full air and land deposit, your air-inclusive vacation price is guaranteed.
Air-Inclusive Vacations - Applicable Taxes & FeesAir-inclusive vacations include government-imposed taxes and fees applicable at the time of booking and will be shown as a Total Amount. Additional airline fees for baggage may apply. At the time of booking your air-inclusive vacation online, carrier Websites will be provided to check baggage fees, or you can visit www.iflybags.com for up-to-date baggage pricing/restrictions. For return travel from some countries, international travelers are required to pay entry and/or exit fees at the airport. These fees will be collected by the local government and are payable by the traveler at time of travel. Your confirmation booking information will contain information about these fees.
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MLB.com beat writer Brian McTaggart blogs about all things Astros.
Could Lee, Berkman and Pence be breaking out?
There is no bigger reason for the Astros’ shortcomings on offense this year than the struggles of their 3-4-5 hitters: Carlos Lee, Lance Berkman and Hunter Pence. No matter what the order, the three sluggers have scuffled for most of the season and the Astros’ offense has followed along, but there are signs they could be coming around.
Berkman went 1-for-4 with a run scored Wednesday, one day after going 3-for-5 with three RBIs. In his last 22 games, he’s hitting .288 with three homers and 16 RBIs to raise his batting average to .241 from .175.
Lee went 1-for-3 on Wednesday with a two-run homer. He’s hitting .281 with four homers and 12 RBIs in his past 16 games, raising his batting average to .208 from .189.
Pence went 1-for-4 with a two-run triple Wednesday and his hitting .410 with eight RBIs in his last 10 games. He hit .302 with six homers and 16 RBIs in May and is off to a quick start in June.
If all three guys can continue to heat up with the weather, maybe the summer will be bearable, after all.
Meta
The following are trademarks or service marks of Major League Baseball entities and may be used only with permission of Major League Baseball Properties, Inc. or the relevant Major League Baseball entity: Major League, Major League Baseball, MLB, the silhouetted batter logo, World Series, National League, American League, Division Series, League Championship Series, All-Star Game, and the names, nicknames, logos, uniform designs, color combinations, and slogans designating the Major League Baseball clubs and entities, and their respective mascots, events and exhibitions.
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I would bet that this issue is related with https://issues.apache.org/jira/browse/DIRMINA-628 (quote = " Windows Firewall dialog complaining about our software trying to perform an operation that needs to be blocked / unblocked before continuing").
I remind an old thread discussion saying that it was the reliable way to test if some socket opts where available but it is ?
Edouard De Oliveira
added a comment - 17/Nov/08 23:38 I would bet that this issue is related with https://issues.apache.org/jira/browse/DIRMINA-628 (quote = " Windows Firewall dialog complaining about our software trying to perform an operation that needs to be blocked / unblocked before continuing").
I remind an old thread discussion saying that it was the reliable way to test if some socket opts where available but it is ?
It may be reliable, but the problem is that when used in an Applet, it will simply not work. We are 'happy' that Alexander not only have had the problem, but was clever enough to dig it and found what was the problem ! I was totally unaware that this class was doing such a socket connection...
Emmanuel Lecharny
added a comment - 17/Nov/08 23:49 Yeah, I just created a lonk on it.
It may be reliable, but the problem is that when used in an Applet, it will simply not work. We are 'happy' that Alexander not only have had the problem, but was clever enough to dig it and found what was the problem ! I was totally unaware that this class was doing such a socket connection...
Emmanuel Lecharny
added a comment - 18/Nov/08 13:06 Funny enough, we had the very same problem back in 1.1.2, and it was 'solved' by catching all the exceptions. Except that I don't think it solves anything...
I am new to Mina and the whole environment. Anyway, I am creating a project that began with 2.0.0-M3 and is now using 2.0.0-M4. I have this issue, where my server and client is creating a lot of loopback threads, that I believe must be related to this issue. Any word on whether it will be fixed?
Matthew McMahon
added a comment - 13/Jan/09 06:19 I am new to Mina and the whole environment. Anyway, I am creating a project that began with 2.0.0-M3 and is now using 2.0.0-M4. I have this issue, where my server and client is creating a lot of loopback threads, that I believe must be related to this issue. Any word on whether it will be fixed?
Removing the socket testing code from the DefaultSocketSessionConfig has had an unintended side effect for stand alone applications that use the NioSocketAcceptor. Before binding to the port, the receive buffer size on the ServerSocket is always set to value from the DefaultSocketSessionConfig, which previously would have been the OS default, but is now 1024 bytes. Upgrading from 2.0.0-M2 to 2.0.0-M4 caused a huge drop in read performance in several applications which previously had no trouble keeping up with the rate of incoming messages. I was able to observe the receive buffer size on the server app staying pegged at close to 1400 bytes, and confirmed using a debugger that the socket recieve buffer size was being set to 1024 bytes, which is a rather small default.
As a fix, I propose changing NioSocketAcceptor.open to check DefaultSocketSessionConfig.isReceiveBufferChanged before setting the receive buffer size on the ServerSocket. This will let the OS default be used in most cases which I think should be the expected behavior. I've attached a tar file containing patches with the proposed changes for NioSocketAcceptor, DefaultSocketSessionConfig and AbstractSocketSessionConfig
John Costello
added a comment - 27/Jan/09 15:35 Removing the socket testing code from the DefaultSocketSessionConfig has had an unintended side effect for stand alone applications that use the NioSocketAcceptor. Before binding to the port, the receive buffer size on the ServerSocket is always set to value from the DefaultSocketSessionConfig, which previously would have been the OS default, but is now 1024 bytes. Upgrading from 2.0.0-M2 to 2.0.0-M4 caused a huge drop in read performance in several applications which previously had no trouble keeping up with the rate of incoming messages. I was able to observe the receive buffer size on the server app staying pegged at close to 1400 bytes, and confirmed using a debugger that the socket recieve buffer size was being set to 1024 bytes, which is a rather small default.
As a fix, I propose changing NioSocketAcceptor.open to check DefaultSocketSessionConfig.isReceiveBufferChanged before setting the receive buffer size on the ServerSocket. This will let the OS default be used in most cases which I think should be the expected behavior. I've attached a tar file containing patches with the proposed changes for NioSocketAcceptor, DefaultSocketSessionConfig and AbstractSocketSessionConfig
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