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I really hope not for long
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2024-13-06
Same is likely to happen in russia.
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2024-13-06
The Russian economy is running hot. The state is throwing money at military projects and logistics. Industries that have any connection to military use is seeing record numbers. Which completely fucks any industry that isn't related to the military. Because their wages have stagnated completely compared to MIC jobs and they get no money or business from the state anymore. It works for a while, but any changes to the current situation can send the rest of the Russian economy into a crater. People will happily abandon their farm to make bullets in a factory for 10 times the wages they got before, but then you have no farmers left.
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2024-13-06
What are the Russians going to do when they realize Putin has been selling their food to North Korea for terribly made weapons? Also pretty hard to make much more than bullets and artillery when you don’t have access to tech required to make missles or anything guided. What’s the point in mass production when the best you can make is WW2 era weapons? When you run out of smart weapons your only option is meat wave tactics. How long until they kill all their men? It’s not like they were a super populous country even before the war started. They can only hire foreign people to fight their wars for so long. Especially when you’re killing 20,000 at every halfway major city like they did in Bakmut. They’ll run out of prisoners eventually. How many generations do you think it will take them to recover?
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2024-13-06
Currently reading "The Allure Of Battle" which argues that nearly all wars end through attrition, not decisive battle. In this context the West is currently demolishing Russia for having isolated them and forced Russia to put their economy into overdrive towards suicide. It just takes a lot longer to break a country the size of Russia than we keep hoping it does. Stabilizing Ukraine, getting them the tools to wage deep strikes to further accelerate the attrition of Russia's economy, the tools for active and effective defense, the tools to make their economy and civilians safer-ish. With the collective GDP of all NATO/Western countries, we can prop up Ukraine indefinitely and the Russian economy will collapse, eventually. The when part is the bit we're all debating. Yes I do think we should send Ukraine a *lot* more military aid so they can actively recover their temporarily occupied land.
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2024-13-06
and buy what? I am sure at this point anything that does not benefit the govt is on lockdown....
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2024-13-06
Same as what they've done for decades - buy vodka and get drunk. And again the next day.
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2024-13-06
> They're swimming in the stuff and have nothing to spend it on. There is always tech support.
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2024-13-06
Anything that can store value for a while.
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2024-13-06
You’re probably right. I wonder if Russia will end up using vodka as wages again.
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2024-13-06
You do realize one of those debtors controls the scrip of the debt? The US debt is worthless.
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2024-13-06
Nice of the US to make it on holiday when banks don't work so they have a day to prepare.
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2024-13-06
It increases the pressure on Russia. One solution isn't going to make change but each small pressure helps push them into making a choice to end the situation more quickly.
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2024-13-06
Nabiullina is a fucking wizard. And she's not permitted to quit.
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2024-13-06
It’s no use to talk any sense into a tankie.
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2024-13-06
And with a worthless shadow currency called [Mefo bills](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mefo_bills)
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2024-13-06
after the first bunch of sanctions there is a lot of talk about the BRICS currency back by gold being created, feel like this will just fuel it even more, the real question is who will adopt a BRICS currency, as I don't see in the India that keen on it considering they are having constant boarder skirmishers with China.
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2024-13-06
In Germany we say "Börse" and it thought this was just translated very badly. Turns out that word is real
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2024-13-06
What money?
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2024-13-06
Give it a lick! Mm, it tastes just like Borscht!
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2024-13-06
You mean, it's not just for scams and drugs?!
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2024-13-06
Russia would've nuked the US/EU because of some lame financial sanctions? But only if we did it earlier, but now it's cool? I'm not discounting the possibility that some idiots in our governments think that but this this crazy.
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2024-13-06
We absolutely wouldn't be having this war right now. Putin would've whined about it but done absolutely nothing because he under any circumstances doesn't want a war with NATO. He started the war not because it was easy but because *he thought* it would be easy. I hope our Putin understandards are happy about this mess.
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2024-13-06
well, aside from globalization and tangled up economical relations and whatnot, this is the only thing that makes sense for kid gloves to be put on. also, cuban missile crisis called.
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2024-13-06
What makes you think it won't happen in the West? :D
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2024-13-06
They're making Russia lose a lot of money. Russia just doesn't **have** to modify its behavior until they actually run out.
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2024-13-06
"Well the front fell off in this case, by all means, but it's very unusual."
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2024-13-06
The idea that AfD would somehow be able to get the position as chancellor is pure Russian hopium. The only way AfD will become part of the government is if they clean out the extremists and they haven't even started doing that. Marine Le Pen decided to kick AfD out of the ID group because she considers them too unhinged and toxic.
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2024-13-06
It's a perfectly cromulent word.
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2024-13-06
Obviously.
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2024-13-06
It’s not used much in American English and only slightly less rarely in British English, but technically a bourse is any significant stock exchange, particularly a national one. It comes from the name of the Paris stock exchange, La Bourse, and most European countries named their own stock exchanges after it, in various spellings.
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2024-13-06
Doesn't make much sense. There's some speculation that there's increased activity of P-8s flying off Florida coast (Check FR24). Russian subs in Cuba. [https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cg66g0neweko](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cg66g0neweko) [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kcP-24--XLM](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kcP-24--XLM)
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2024-13-06
i'm just guessing here, my assumption is the spend resources setting up shell companies, finding suppliers, setting up production lines, signing contracts, etc. then a few months later new sanctions render that useless and the have to start over. also i wonder how much of the 'new sanctions' are simply sanctioning newly involved companies such as a chinese bank that started financing some military supplier for russia - like there was no reason to sanction them until they started financing the supplier so that's a 'new sanction' but it wouldn't have made any sense to apply it a year ago.
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2024-13-06
Ahh, True Patriots supporting the very thing they claim is destroying America because by making things worse they can leverage the crisis they caused to gain power for themselves so they can cut taxes for the ultra-wealthy nobles they'll never be.
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2024-13-06
It’s the end of the petrodollar! /s
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2024-13-06
When they jack up the interest rates some more that's basically going to happen
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2024-13-06
Overall, sanctions are tools of economic attrition and will rarely directly cripple a large nation state over the short term.  What you are doing isn't so much poking a hole in the side of the ship to sink it so much as dumping a massive bucket of water directly into its lower holds and breaking the bilge pump.  There is a bit of an initial shock, but as much or the damage you are doing is making it hard to recover damage and re-grow.  Over the longer run, they are still trying to get the water out of their ships while their competitors sail on unobstructed.  Even if you are only causing a 2% drain on their economy, take a look at what happens to two equal parties, one growing at 5% and one growing at 3%, and see what the difference is after 20 years.  Then, consider those to parties not being equal, and one of them having other drains on their economy, such as a war.   Ultimately, the sanctions don't stop the war, and they don't necessarily even hurt the target economy enough in the short term to make a decisive difference in the near term war. If they do, that's bonus points - their overwhelming impact comes on longer term planning.  They exist to make it clear that breaking the rules in the world just isn't worth that cost, because even IF you are successful in your endeavors in the short run, you are putting yourself decades behind in the long run.  One tool in the toolbox, ultimately.
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2024-13-06
People keep giving this argument and it doesn’t fit the situation at all. Putin isn’t going to leave Ukraine unless he absolutely has to, the slow bleed just makes whatever that point is take longer. If anything it makes Russia double down. The reason sanctions are coming in stages is to limit the damage to the countries levying the sanctions.
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2024-13-06
I've never heard of a 'bourse' before. I learned a new word everyone!
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2024-13-06
Tty5f5f5fttttttttttttttt
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2024-13-06
You don't hit them with the harshest sanctions as that just makes them leave the negotiation table. You put the squeeze on them slowly and ramp it up from there
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2024-13-06
Except for Sarah Wagenknecht, who is a Russian puppet and recently walked out of the Bundestag with the Afd when Zelensky was speaking.
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2024-13-06
What are you even talking about? Open border? We’re talking about the US’ southern border. Not some other border somewhere else
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2024-14-06
It's almost two million men out of the job market actually. More than a million fled the country, the most talented ones, and unlikely to come back (to come back to what, tbh). And a million out to the war effort (half of them already dead.) Those were men of working and child-making age. If we count all the wives or girlfriends of those who left the country (almost a 1-to-1), we are talking close to four million working-age Russian citizens (almost a million women of child-bearing age, to make matters worse.) It not only screws up Russia's economic future, but this will most certainly push Russia from declining demographics to TERMINAL demographics. Putin really f-ed up his own country.
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2024-15-06
The bulk of them migrated to Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Georgia. Lots of them in IT or entrepreneurship. For Georgia, it's been a shock to its housing market, but for Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, it's a steroid injection to their economies.
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2024-15-06
How the hell did Argentinians expected to change their hyperinflation?, doing the same thing done for the past decades that kept them in the hole? Everybody wants the good life, but sometimes you need to pay the consequences of your past decisions.
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2024-13-06
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2024-13-06
Germany should just kick out Russians at this point. It won’t solve the entire right wing extremism, but will help a bit
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2024-13-06
The power differential is lopsided because some NATO countries are very well prepared. Germany is not and as such doesn't carry it's weight as much as it could or should.
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2024-13-06
The first decision of Pistorius that I dont support. This is gonna cost more than one billion euros per year. One billion euros, that could have been shells for ukraine while stirring up trouble for no reason. This is for 20,000 extra men by the way. Who cares? That is not gonna make any difference. Shells would make one.
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2024-13-06
But not within the European Union
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2024-13-06
Germany has a much much much bigger problem with people who want to kick out migrants from the Middle East and Russians, not the migrants from the Middle East and Russians ones.
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2024-13-06
I see the entire monthly budget of the FSB is going into these comments
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2024-13-06
And if there is no war? How much money for cancer research will you put aside for dust gathering tanks?
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2024-13-06
I've a great new range of tin foil available. Special offer just for you
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2024-13-06
I prefer no war with high defense expenditure (which may in part play a deterrence role in avoiding war anyway), to war with sticks and stones against tanks.
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2024-13-06
[https://youtube.com/shorts/qgaCi8wENws?si=H8n36GdjNqiEcy9p](https://youtube.com/shorts/qgaCi8wENws?si=H8n36GdjNqiEcy9p) (Translation: What will you do after graduation? Do Military Service! I will join in on defending Sweden, my homecountry! Lets go!) Looks like we are good ;)
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2024-13-06
Wappie detected
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2024-13-06
What?
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2024-13-06
I guess you might be right, i am not in Germany, only read the news. But that is a sad situation overall.
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2024-13-06
braindead take. One of my best buddies (he's german) is married to a russian woman. What the hell did she do wrong now? Just because one of her passports says she's russian doesn't mean she's in favor of Putin or his war in Ukraine...
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2024-13-06
We shouldn’t believe they would stop because it’s not even a fucking century since we have seen that the likes of Putin don’t stop, they just get emboldened by every concession made in the hope of stopping them
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2024-13-06
Ever since the EP election, yes. And they love to focus on that election and spin it to doom-and-gloom on a national plan. Never mind that the EP elections rarely project how the national elections turn out.
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2024-13-06
True. Still, doesn't hurt to re-arm and prepare. Worst case, if a conflict doesn't come, that gear and ammo can be sent to Ukraine.
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2024-13-06
I'd bet most Europeans would rather run or surrender actually. Most might say they'd fight but like me they'd mostly be too scared to die. That's why Ukraine needs to ban men from leaving and chase them down and force them to fight.
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2024-13-06
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2024-13-06
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2024-13-06
Yeah, but paranoid regimes never really trust each other. Dictators always want more and as much as you see handshakes and smiles, there's more going on behind the charade.
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2024-13-06
Putins gone to make another cash down payment and get a reassuring cuddle from Kim.
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2024-13-06
Or just the one with the other promised some version of peace. An alliance of evil is prone to devour itself in greed.
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2024-13-06
Isn't Russia putting anti sat nukes in space?
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2024-13-06
No reason why a nuke can’t fall from space onto Washington DC… it wouldn’t be detected by the spy sats as there would be no ICBM plume to track. I’ve been saying this for years now…. you could surprise nuke a country by dropping them from space like the rods from god.
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2024-13-06
Two birds one stone.
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2024-13-06
Is Putin taking a helicopter
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2024-13-06
Yes, it is slightly better than those countries, but still exhibits the usual authoritarian policies - crushing political protests, murdering political opponents, massive control of media, police state etc. etc. The majority of those that travel will be from Moscow and St Petersburg where they are allowed a few more freedoms.
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2024-13-06
I can't wait for the pictures. What will the schoolkids be holding in their hands, Russian flags? Or will they be too busy clapping..
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2024-13-06
There are still thousands of people doing business or visiting family in China at any given time. Russia, well I don’t know why you’d go there.
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2024-13-06
It is not in the interest of the gov't for people to start stock piling supplies right before the outbreak of war, because those supplies would be wanted by the military, and the stockpiling would drive up prices etc. Obviously, it is in the interest of the individual citizen to do it, but the gov't is definitely not going to advertise the fact that there's troop movement. The news will hit after it starts on its own.
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2024-13-06
> there's signed global agreements it's worth as much as the paper it's signed on. These agreements are because both sides don't see real value in violating it. Space weaponry isn't really necessary (missiles do the job), and anti-satellite already exists. You bet your ass that in a real war, the satellites will get shot down (for both sides). Its just the US has so much more that they have more to lose.
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2024-13-06
Maybe, maybe not.
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2024-13-06
For some reason or another I am on a side of social media full of propaganda. Far right propaganda, Russian propaganda, North Korean propaganda etc. You name it, I’m seeing it. The North Korean side of things always fascinates me. Numerous accounts sharing videos of how amazing it is and all the things you can do there. One video in particular stood out to me trying to dispel the “myth” that North Koreans aren’t allowed to use the internet. The video featured a very carefully organised room with a computer at each desk, almost every screen is just stuck on the Google search home page. Some people are just staring at the screen doing nothing, others are only reading the national news, and I think one guy looked like he knew what he was doing. But it was all so obviously staged. Yet there are numerous comments questioning whether North Korea is actually that bad, or just completely failing to see through the veil of it all. I guess the whole point of my comment here is you’d be surprised how easy people will just believe every little thing they’re told by one side or another.
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2024-13-06
Cleaning up his bunker to show off to his playmate
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2024-13-06
Kim’s little bitch paying his dues
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2024-13-06
i wiLl SpElL iT oUt fOr yOu
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2024-13-06
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2024-13-06
>So whose idea of history is he saying his opponents are ignorant of? Probably that most people are ignorant of the fact that like the USA, China suffered from terrorism which lead to the Xianjing crackdown. China suffered [over 1000 dead and 1700+ wounded](http://www.wikipedia.org/wiki/Xinjiang_conflict) due to terror attacks and put 1.5 million in camps as a result. Morally reprehensible, but as if China gives a fuck if it means crushing Islamic terrorism.
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2024-13-06
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2024-13-06
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2024-13-06
This is not an article, it’s an over-bloated tweet, with the same quality content of a tweet, which is crap quality.
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2024-13-06
Thank you for this
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2024-13-06
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2024-13-06
The last government fucked it all up in throwing it wide open after first moving to allow commercial production of medical use marijuana… and now they have massive problems around use and wider addiction problems. Thailand isn’t really like anywhere else in the world, you can’t compare the place with typical western nations.
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2024-13-06
Lol good luck with that. Everyone is gonna convert their suppositories as health clinics then
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2024-13-06
Do you mean repositories
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2024-13-06
Suppositories go up your ass.
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2024-13-06
Then how do you know any thing of the west? It is not like the east.
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2024-13-06
From what I have observed on the internet about the west is that it puts more value on individuality while the east emphasizes more about collective
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2024-13-06
My friend the west and the east are different you just wouldn't understand. Your screens will always cover your eyes from the truth
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2024-13-06
Don’t go to the Maldives, though pretty it’s the most Islamist government besides Iran and the population is the most Islamist in the world. Open practice of other religions is banned. Homosexuality is illegal. Non-Muslims are not allowed to become citizens. The law is based on sharia and judges are instructed to look to sharia to fill in the gaps if there is not a letter of the law to follow. Lashing/flogging is a punishment. Human trafficking is huge, about 1 in 5 people there are foreign workers from Bangladesh or India trapped in debt slavery.
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2024-13-06
Just digging your hole deeper, huh.
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2024-13-06