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One of the main airbases used by Russian aviation against the invading Ukrainians had a pretty spectacular ammo detonation last night.
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2024-09-08
Special Provocative Operation, SPO.
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2024-09-08
Give me your pocket money, the law says you have to. I'd know.
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2024-09-08
…they say 8 is coming next year. Maybe.
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2024-09-08
'Nokia' if my mandarin serves me right.
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2024-09-08
I know, thats why theyre called intrusive/evil
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2024-09-08
Love it when people call this out and propose reasonable words
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2024-09-08
Many ppl don't realize that the population of Russia was bigger before WW2 (about 170m) than it is now (144m). On top of that, most Russians are not men of fighting years. In WW2, it was truly the fate of your civilization and the world at stake, fighting the Nazis. In that war, millions could be mobilized in self-preservation. Way different tban today. Millions of Russians will not be lining up to serve in an illegal invasion of neighbouring country to aggrandize the ego of a billionaire sociopath leading a kleptocracy of oil barons, crime lords, terrorists, secret police and delusional war-mongers.
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2024-09-08
Chad: You called?
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2024-09-08
Good points about the non-concentration of force, but my thinking was not a missile but an artillery or even an emplaced warhead (so nothing to track) and an event that was designated to shock and sow confusion \ fake news amongst the West...and, worst case, an excuse for more overt assistance from China and NK. With Hungary in the mix as EU head to further muddy the waters, an event such as this would be a god send for Putin with collateral damage being what I would assume he would consider an acceptable exchange
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2024-09-08
That’s who they’re going to deploy? Highly doubt it.
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2024-09-08
If you want to hurt a modern civilization kick it in the power plants and bridges.
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2024-09-08
Surely SOP The normal Russian SOP story 😆
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2024-09-08
Ukraine did a number of these attacks during this stupid war and nothing happened. What do you think the Russia is going to do? nuke their own towns and get a direct NATO response in return? China also made it pretty clear that they are on their own if nukes are used
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2024-09-08
I don’t know if it involved US strategists, but no WAY the US wasn’t aware of this. Sure they need to cry about it in public and say “baaaaad Ukraine”, but Ukraine isn’t nearly stupid enough to piss them off that way.
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2024-09-08
But its war, don’t you think they have resentment after everything that has happened? They are human after all.
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2024-09-08
Yes time to break them shackles and see what the rest of the world has to offer, Russia is a dead country walking
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2024-09-08
Not gonna lie. You had me at blyatskrieg.
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2024-09-08
They're easy to replace IF YOU HAVE REPLACEMENTS, or the materials to craft replacements.
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2024-09-08
That was a cool video, thanks!
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2024-09-08
I see your username!
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2024-09-08
Next year. The year after that. Or the year after that. Doesn't matter, I'll be waiting patiently.
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2024-09-08
Ukraine can always use the "glued Lego" technique and stack weld steel plates (like a solid 6m*2m*2m wall) over the tracks. Secured to the ground and with enough mass, it'd be too heavy to move even if a train rammed it.
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2024-09-08
*güerellias
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2024-09-08
There are said to be 10,000 troops in the invaded area. They are capable of defending quite some supply route, and if it seems to be working they can send in some reserves to increase the reach. Not to mention they did this once already and took back the whole of Kharkiv.
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2024-09-08
China is just giving russia enough rope to hang itself theyre not going to swoop in and save them.
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2024-09-08
Page 56, section 3, paragraph 2 of his ass.
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2024-09-08
In fifty years we'll look back on this move as the catalyst for Chinese expansion to the Ural range.
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2024-09-08
...War ...isn't it just a special military operation, even though now Ukraine has "invaded" Russia putin doesn't want to call it War
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2024-09-08
This is the first time I Hear about this, where is this information from?
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2024-09-08
I can't imagine they will be flying F-16s right up to the Russian border... But perhaps them starting to work on the other fronts will both force Russia to shuffle more AA resources to those areas, and free up Ukraines other air assets to work to support this new offensive... Shit's complicated, though, so hell if I know.
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2024-09-08
They are more like principles to apply. Which would be how most of these books need to be in order to stay relevant. It may seem redundant and dumb to professionals but some newbies may find it useful.
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2024-09-08
Missiles aren't the only way to deliver nukes. They could use a suitcase nuke, or build one into a large drone or a remote-controlled civilian aircraft. We even had a nuclear artillery round at one point, so it wouldn't be a huge stretch for those to exist in Russia's armory. Heck, we had a nuclear bazooka shell.
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2024-09-08
That movie wasn't a documentary, this wasn't a tactic used in Stalingrad.
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2024-09-08
Just ask the DB (Deutsche Bahn) how long it takes to replace 50 km of track in peacetime. Then multiply this by russian levels of competence.
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2024-09-08
Unless overwhelming and you are willing to accept the losses, brute force alone is not enough. So "think before action" would be a better summary of the book. Or as another fighting force now puts it: The the first to understand, the first to adapt and respond, the first to overcome – this is the mindset of a Royal Marines Commando.
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2024-09-08
At this point, Putin will be using the exact same Soviet era train to escape towards Siberia, just like his most beloved Stalin.
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2024-09-08
> What do you think the Russia is going to do? nuke their own towns I honestly wouldn't rule that out with putin in the kremlin, I very much doubt he will as I see his nuclear threats for the posturing they are, but you never know with him.
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2024-09-08
The Ukrainians have been training with the Americans since the last invasion and I pretty sure our guys have hammered home the logistics aspect of war. The lack of Russian logistics is why Russia got stalled.
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2024-09-08
You have to bring your own flag. Its not a legitimate claim if you don't have a flag.
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2024-09-08
Are the people of Kursk going to have a referendum on indepence now? Kexit!
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2024-09-08
no reason not to try it 😉
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2024-09-08
no reason to not do it though 😉
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2024-09-08
[You joke but I already made one](https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/1244175681399554060/1271293929710420040/kursk.png?ex=66b6d03c&is=66b57ebc&hm=7c1cf73013152b08f9670ae0f92d468adf8bba91c6b4dcd24595e25e7ff68319&)
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2024-09-08
Also, it seems like the moronic Russians are for the first time confronted with the consequences of their and their government's actions.
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2024-09-08
Yeah I also saw that joke everywhere :)
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2024-09-08
It's me I'm the creator of information
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2024-09-08
While I sympathize with the Palestinian people to an extent, they elected Hamas. Right now Hamas is in the find out phase of FOFO. Which is completely different from what is happening in Ukraine. If you can't see that the situations are absolutely different then I can only assume you are willfully ignorant.
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2024-09-08
Oh I agree.
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2024-09-08
That would be 🔥
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2024-09-08
Im curious what exactly is kyiv hoping to gain from this new front in russia? The last incursions across the border were using defected forces and resistence group and the main army remained on the frontline inside ukraine. Three options I could see is 1 Ukraine wants to widen the frontline and take pressure off from the fronts in ukraine. 2 Ukraine wants to put more pressure on the russian populace and infrastructure in the area to hamper the russian war machine 3 Ukraine wants to try to use the area as a barganing chip in talks with moscow or a 4th but in my opinion extremly unlikely option this was supposed to be the same as the last small day trips inside russia but the situation was better for them than initially thought so they are rushing to move troops in to take advantage of this hole. I say unlikely because I doubt this was not well planned out
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2024-09-08
> The observed population growth can be largely attributed to the increased migratory movements post-COVID-19 and to the influx of displaced persons from Ukraine. I think people conflate natural pop growth (which is negative) and overall growth, which is positive. Growth via immigration from war zones is hardly a resounding positive either - both for political stability and for the relative wealth & education disparity.
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2024-09-08
Admit it, today was nut day anyway. 
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2024-09-08
i really hope you’re right and there won’t be any nasty surprises showing the opposite! occupying always requires a lot of troops. will be interesting to read reports about next days and weeks to clear up the picture. unfortunately the demographic potential / resources of russia is bigger than ukraine’s. i wish ukraine would be able to call back a serious number of evaded conscripts. ukraine needs support in this matter from nato allies. e.g. germany, it’s somehow janus-faced to provide funds and hardware but to keep evaded conscripts for desperate integration into own labour market and social security system…
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2024-09-08
I believe they have captured that facility already, too. I at least saw reports of it anyway.
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2024-09-08
Well it’s unlikely they would pull out and then repeat in a different section because Russia after this will be forced to divert much more resources to man those border regions and build much more tough defensive lines there.
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2024-09-08
If true, that’s a good point
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2024-09-08
sounds like someone who hasnt read the book
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2024-09-08
Two of them apparently got shot up by Russians while fleeing deeper into Russia. There was a video claiming civilians were fired at by soldiers (unknown if Russian or Ukrainian), but they were military age, speaking Arabic, and using a radio/walkie. They got lit up (passenger bailed) and the driver backed out of there. It could have been either that shot them, though.
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2024-09-08
To Syrskyi‘s balls
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2024-09-08
thebrogs you have no idea what’s you’re talking about, leave this one to the true experts /s
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2024-09-08
Absolutely fucking not, they’re not going to waste their 10 precious planes on that
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2024-09-08
Natural gas lines used to transport gas to Eastern Europe cross to Ukraine exactly there. Rail lines supporting the Donbas and Luhansk go through there. There is a nuclear powerplant providing the power for 50% of russian steel production there.
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2024-09-08
Someone wrote a song about this years ago https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=EGT6bdlcLPI
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2024-09-08
If you do not master your anger...
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2024-09-08
Let them just take Ukraine then /s
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2024-09-08
For all of Xi’s authoritarian tendencies, he’s an adult. It’s weird how few of those there are in politics.
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2024-09-08
Fill your boots lad: Aftermath of Rus column ambush [https://x.com/Tendar/status/1821805704237228502](https://x.com/Tendar/status/1821805704237228502) FPV drone hit on MI-8 [https://x.com/CalibreObscura/status/1821824811569500546](https://x.com/CalibreObscura/status/1821824811569500546) Drone attack on Lipetsk airbase [https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1821841548146811117](https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1821841548146811117)
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2024-09-08
FPV drones have only a tiny amount of battery life, they wouldn't reach Russian bomber bases.
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2024-09-08
Potentially, but it's impossible to win a war purely defensively. If they don't have at least some forces attack, then they would have, as an aggregate people, been better off surrendering upfront and all agreeing to speak Russian and dissolve their government and execute their leaders during those first 3 days a few years ago. Best to send the best for the job and create hell on earth for both sides instead of only one.
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2024-09-08
I think the long play is forcing Russia to disperse their troop deployment so they can’t singularly focus on putting their men on the front in Ukraine.
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2024-09-08
Syrskyi of all people knows what he’s doing, we’re talking about “I defended Kyiv” guy. Let him do his thing, I’m sure the risk isn’t lost on him and his people.
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2024-09-08
Russia is a ticking time bomb on the road for implosion. They are absolutely fucked once the war finishes.
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2024-09-08
Wouldn't shutting it down pose a risk to the security of the plant? I remember similar discussions some time ago, when the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Plant was occupied by russians.
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2024-09-08
His words were "another provocation". "Special" is reserved for them only.
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2024-09-08
*We implore you, Vladimir Vladimirovich…*
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2024-09-08
Every day is nut day, only the degree of intensity varies
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2024-09-08
In this case, though, they actually took the [Leahy Law](https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leahy_Law) seriously.
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2024-09-08
Now do Clausewitz lol
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2024-09-08
Sure thing, these are a few that I have been following since Feb 24: [https://x.com/CalibreObscura](https://x.com/CalibreObscura) [https://x.com/michaeldweiss](https://x.com/michaeldweiss) [https://x.com/JimmySecUK](https://x.com/JimmySecUK) [https://x.com/Tendar](https://x.com/Tendar)
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2024-09-08
This is true Source: he made me lay the mines
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2024-09-08
"North Korea military expansion raised security concerns within our country. Seeing how they are putting bio laboratories in russia to produce more shit-filled balloons, we decided to start a special military operation to liberate russians from NK-controlled puppet government."
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2024-09-08
also curious about this info
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2024-09-08
Well there's a lot of holes in those feet already.
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2024-09-08
(Taps of a Louisville slugger are heard in the tunnel)
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2024-09-08
https://v.redd.it/8qtu30zz4lhd1 Tonight a whole column got massacred too.
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2024-09-08
Political reasons and false sense of hope from the prior successful offensives
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2024-09-08
I'd be willing to bet there are some Intelligence or SOF guys now dispersed out in to Russia proper. All they need is an FPV drone or two and to get within a few KM of the bases to cause some havoc. It's doubtful but I have high hopes.
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2024-09-08
I would have thought that, but the units they appear to be moving in response have campaign markings from the front.
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2024-09-08
He is particularly good at hiding his true emotions. Botox does that to ya
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2024-09-08
> Wouldn't shutting it down pose a risk to the security of the plant? I'm sure there is absolutely a way to safely sabotage it. > I remember similar discussions some time ago, when the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Plant was occupied by russians. The discussions were because the Russians were literally bombing the plant and NATO told Russia if they continue, they will be finding out with their fucking around. Same with the nuclear facility near Kyiv that was getting hit with missiles. Also, I believe the plant is still occupied by Russians.
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2024-09-08
Papa Warthog heavy breathing noises.....
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2024-09-08
AFAIK the art of war had an intended audience of provincial governors who may have to lead a military force while knowing absolutely nothing about war.
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2024-09-08
“You shouldn’t defend yourself from a mureder because my buddy Tom over there is being murdered and it’s totally unfair for you to survive if he doesn’t” Nobody here is talking about Palestine in relationship to this war because they’re entirely separate issues
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2024-09-08
I was there also, was a tough day.
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2024-09-08
*Gruyèreillas
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2024-09-08
Lightning war was completely bewildering to their opposition when Germany did it with their motorized troops and lightly equipped troops in WWII. So much so that it’s studied at West Point. Russia is so unwieldy and plodding that it’s the perfect tactic to use against them. Now that Ukraine is using bigger drones for resupply, troops can stay light and move fast.
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2024-09-08
or poland "Invades" Ukraine
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2024-09-08
Well a couple of years back boeing and Airbus etc stopped providing spares to Russia. Not immediate pressures, but it's really biting now. A couple more years and air travel will be relegated to a handful of Ilyushins.
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2024-09-08
if Putin starts nuking his own people, he can kill himself right after
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2024-09-08