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I dont think it will.
Regular russians are not stupid. They know they are the agressor
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2024-09-08
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Because the US did not invade Japan?
Ukraine did get a burst of morale and support when they were invaded, remember all the volunteers lining up to join and civilians actively making and using weapons against the russian troops?
Why shouldnt we expect a similar response from Russians who so far the war was out of sight and mind?
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2024-09-08
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russians are already doing this, so, won't make difference.
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2024-09-08
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This is merely a "special military operation."
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2024-09-08
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In these cases it doesnt matter to the soldiers/civilians involved who shot the first shot.
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2024-09-08
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You do realize that these people supported the war prior to that, right? The difference between this and Pearl Harbor is the American people didn't want to join the war prior to it happening. The reaaon the Kursk population are upset is not because of the war, they fully support it, it's because it's impacting them personally.
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2024-09-08
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When you got enemy tanks and troops coming up on the horizon to your city, you're not going to be concerned about "are we the bad guys".
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2024-09-08
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Deep Russia is the Pacific side
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2024-09-08
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And in this supposed scenario above, for an apt comparison the US would also need to be sourcing its weapons from ally states (instead of being the world’s largest arms dealer).
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2024-09-08
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2024-09-08
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I’m interested in an autobiography, preferably written by him without a translator exactly the way he speaks to western media
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2024-09-08
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2024-09-08
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Not in this case
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2024-09-08
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Because that is what truly elected rulers do
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2024-09-08
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2024-09-08
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I just had two articles rejected and this garbage gets through? WTF
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2024-09-08
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2024-09-08
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I mean.. Gaza has border with Egypt's Sinai and no border with Qatar. So it makes sense the smuggling was done from Egypt territory
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2024-09-08
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The IDF and security apparatus supported the money transfer to Hamas all along. Claiming that the IDF was against it is simply historical negationism.
The IDF even recommended against stopping the money transfer during escalations with Gaza in 2019.
Bibi has a responsibilty for allowing it, but the new lie (That started after October 7th) only tries to clean the IDF from responsibilty to his appeasement strategy against Hamas. A strategy that sadly some may argue that continues to this day.
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2024-11-08
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Idf wasn't Against money transfer it was against transfer of rhe money in the form of US dollars. When Bent became PM he returned the transfers in the form of goods and monitored credit cards, within two weeks after Bibi returned to power he reinstated US dollar cash transfer.
Can't find an English source but here about head of Israeli security warning that the money was used for military purchases
https://www.ynet.co.il/news/article/hj3zlcglt
Again this doesn't absolve the massive failure of the Israeli intelligence services or IDF on oct 7.
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2024-11-08
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It is a source from after Oct 7, where the head of security claimed he was against it, trying to clean the IDF from responaibility.
Here are a couple of other contradicting sources, two from before Oct 7, and one from after.
https://www.haaretz.co.il/news/politics/2019-01-07/ty-article/.premium/0000017f-ea0a-dea7-adff-fbfbc4720000
https://www.inn.co.il/news/392334
https://www.kan.org.il/content/kan-news/opinions/742959/
The security apparatus ia the main force behind the appeasement strategy against Hamas. Even today when they recommend giving them the Philadelphi corridor back.
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2024-11-08
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2024-09-08
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I live in Amsterdam
I cant access this site.
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2024-09-08
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What about for members within the UK in an office working on VPN that uses a cloud service based on Frankfurt?
What about ipv4 blocks that are not tied to specific geolocations due to how they are handed out?
What about my friend who visited for the weekend from Sunderland and wanted to check up on what they might fly back into?
What a hamfisted thought.
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2024-09-08
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2024-09-08
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Color me surprised.
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2024-09-08
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Why don't we actually let this interim government, largely lead by highly accomplished secular technocrats actually do their job before hiding them a failure.
Also i think taslima is disconnected from Bangladeshi society and doesn't realize the change in millennials and gen z. She's labeling this revolution a failure already because her generation is so entrenched in the existing establishment, she can't see an alternative. But gen z and most millennials are pushing for fundamental changes to the system. If that means we wait 3 years for an election so that those changes can take place, so be it. But no one wants any of the current options, and most definitely do not want the islamists.
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2024-09-08
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Religion of so called peace.
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2024-09-08
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so much sacrifice to oust a dictator, only to have another set of psycopaths step up to the plate, extremely sad for these people
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2024-09-08
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>“Religious fanatics, fools, jihadis, and restless, helpless people.”
It is supposed to be a serious thing idk why I thought of Dune the moment I read it. Ofc the Bangladeshis ain't Fremen they are a filthier version of the harkonens.
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2024-09-08
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Islamists will use any chance they can get to grab power. How did the situation in Bangladesh become about religion?
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2024-09-08
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India has been deporting bangladeshi migrants for years now, that might change soon.
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2024-09-08
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I am an atheist who is extremely critical of Islam, but any religion that gets big enough will be used as a justification to kill people. Secular governments/groups have also engaged in their fair share of murder.
The ask is not for entire societies to abandon Islam. The ask should be that simply adopt more moderate interpretations. As much as I dislike Turkey, Turkey is a good example of a moderate Muslim society (though Erdogan seems to be changing this now)
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2024-09-08
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if anything India has been keeping them. deportation rates must be increased.
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2024-09-08
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Christianity **survived** the enlightenment and renaissance. Christianity fought against those secular changes every step of the way. Christianity has absolutely no business claiming moral superiority to Islam. The only difference between the two groups is a minor difference in theological specifics and regional culture that predated both religions.
That moral superiority is specially blind with the autocratic crap the christian nationalists have been pulling across Europe and the US. Iraq and Iran looked very different in the 60's. They were about as progressive as any Western nation at the time. Christian groups are pushing to do exactly what Islamic fundamentalists did to the Middle East through the 70's and 80's.
The only time cultural progress happens in the world is when people reject another aspect of religion.
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2024-09-08
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There’s this saying: “When they are the minority, they want majority rights. When they are the majority, there are no minority rights.”
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2024-09-08
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\*piece
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2024-09-08
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They only keep refugees that have to leave the country because of religious disputes. They're not even considered "illegal".
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2024-09-08
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Agree with apostasy.
But regarding Bhumiputra laws.. America has affirmative action too
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2024-09-08
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2024-09-08
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P.R.O.P.O.R.T.I.O.N.A.L.
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2024-09-08
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Dammit, changing that.
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2024-09-08
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Our porpoise here is clear.
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2024-09-08
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They probably still haven't recovered from the last time the US gave them a "proportional" response
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2024-09-08
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Isreal, USA and Saudi: Hey Iranian, how long are we going to wait you?
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2024-09-08
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Two shapes may be proportional, but one may be substantially larger.
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2024-09-08
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Also they are probably like “you have our back, right Putin? ….Putin?….uh oh.”
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2024-09-08
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The best part is they are personally experienced with said perportinality.
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2024-09-08
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Iran is a failed state, only a matter of when not if it completely implodes.
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2024-09-08
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F-22 always getting blue balled.
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2024-09-08
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I read something that the more moderate Iranian president was also asking Khomenei to call off the attack.
Basically making the whole thing a cost-benefit analysis. He made the argument about how the Iranian people already don't like the government. How retaliatory US and Israeli strikes on critical Iranian infrastructure will make the Iranian people even less happy with the regime. Especially since the regime is the one trying to start something for ideological reasons instead of what is best for the Iranian people.
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2024-09-08
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I hope they attack and we get rid of them before they have nukes.
Deescalation is not in the interest of the west and surely not Israel.
Iran with nuclear weapons would not be restrained and will throw the region into further instability.
Biden’s administration approach on that matter is odd to me
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2024-09-08
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Can you explain in simple terms to someone that doesn’t know much about out war planes what makes the f22 special.
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2024-09-08
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Everyone talking trash... and I get it.
Reality is, the rational thing for Iran to do is finish building some nuke weapons, and let their proxies go after Israel.
Short term win for Israel, long term, more trouble awaits.
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2024-09-08
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If Iran was doing a proper cost benefit analysis they'd have offed the guy themselves.
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2024-09-08
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Holy shit, seriously? There's a fighter jet that actually moves that quick that your eyes can't even register it, or your ears can't hear it before you're dead?
That's crazy.
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2024-09-08
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They would reorientate 2 years into a global war, people will be fucking like crazy.
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2024-09-08
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"Stop having a boring knife, stop having a boring life"
Vince (the OG slapchop guy) should be hired to advertise those missiles. It'll go off the shelves like *hot* cakes.
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2024-09-08
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If it quacks like a duck. And swims like a duck. And looks like a duck…it’s holding a Trident II D5LE2 and looks upset.
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2024-09-08
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Pretty sure this is just American wishful thinking. This is not a land dispute it is a religious conflict bc the existence of a Jewish state undermines the claim that Gd rejected and abandoned us.
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2024-09-08
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Putin already gave them support and promised them weapons
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2024-09-08
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You mean the same us fleet that can’t stop the houthis?
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2024-09-08
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Seems like lot of folks with testosterone poisoning here. Already forgetting that there is a huge war going on in the Europe too. No one in their right mind wants to see things escalate more no matter how cool F-22s are.
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2024-09-08
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if iran fire missiles again and they have no effect, its a show of weakness, that's why there is so much rhetoric, iran doesnt have a real air force to do anything to israel, it can only manage terrorist level attacks at the west.
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2024-09-08
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2024-09-08
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100% credible denial for assad....
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2024-09-08
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2024-09-08
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Very plausible, ISW did report that a Russian source reported fighting at Milutino, which is right next to Tsukanovo. If confirmed, it means Ukraine has advanced 33 km deep, and is 25 km away from the nuclear power plant
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2024-09-08
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Very capable is probably stretching it. Adequate as long as you don't mind thousands of casualties per week. And not actually making significant progress for months on end to show for it.
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2024-09-08
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Putin assassination attempt
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2024-09-08
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They stopped last year's offensive in its tracks.
The loss of 1000s per day is their effort to be not static.
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2024-09-08
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They're means to an end, not collectibles. The tradeoff is easily worth it.
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2024-09-08
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When the potato fields start speaking Ukrainian
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2024-09-08
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As someone who’s not been following this war: What is the significance of what’s going on in Kursk?
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2024-09-08
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[From ISW map, comparison with Russian-occupied North Kharkiv](https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/1174024705380978758/1271339142495866992/image.png?ex=66b6fa57&is=66b5a8d7&hm=0dd339b1dd12446c3a46c94c940f94b7ae8515da4319d23f53b0b81fe3c5a2d3&)
Yeah folks I don't think this is a little incursion anymore, looks like a proper offensive
If anything, if this is an incursion, we should also call Russia's North Kharkiv offensive an incursion
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2024-09-08
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Russian propaganda always insisted that Ukraine was just a puppet of the USA. Who knew they lied.
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2024-09-08
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Lipetsk had a particularly rough night considering the ammo storage facility that got annihilated lol
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2024-09-08
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No significant progress has been made in this war in well over a year by either side. Suddenly Ukraine invades a bunch of Russia and continues to grow their newly acquired holding. This was unexpected and very embarrassing for Russia, as this was supposed to be a quick and clean "special military operation." It gives Ukraine bargaining power if parties want to do that, and could allow them to make gains elsewhere if Russia pulls troops back to defend their own land. Mostly though, SOMETHING is happening in a war that's seen thousands die each week during a seemingly endless stalemate.
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2024-09-08
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To add to this, it effectively unfreezes the war, so Russia cannot claim to freeze the conflict, it has to actively defend its own territory. It made the war fluid again.
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2024-09-08
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I'm not counting on them holding onto much in the long term, but even if they don't - the chaos and political turmoil they are sowing for Putin is a permanent gain in itself.
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2024-09-08
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They were doing big cyber attacks on banking that week. I wonder if they were going to screw the financial system. Erase some debt increase some, decrease some, have atms spit cash at passersby
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2024-09-08
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Ukraine should call it a "special operation"
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2024-09-08
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About 35km from the nearest Ukrainian land, 25km to the nuclear plant! Just crazy! Probably they can make it in the next two days at this rate.
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2024-09-08
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A lot of it currently is the surprise factor, Russia has had the headlines for their (very costly) advance in the eastern Donbas for months now. So nobody expected this from Ukraine while they’re fighting back the Russian meat grinding machine elsewhere.
Many still question the move considering the factors mentioned above, some say it is more of a morale booster for Ukraine than anything. However, they just struck a base with 15-25% of Russia’s Air Force about 250km north of the Kursk region, so there may be more strategy here. Perhaps an attempt to divert Russia from the offensive in Donbas.
Part of me also suspects with the potential of “I’ll end the war in 1 day” Donnie being elected, Ukraine is planning to take some Russian territory in the direction of Moscow to make Putin uncomfortable, and make any talks of conceding annexed territory a bit more complicated.
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2024-09-08
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Given the uncertainty right now, this is all my speculative opinions:
---
Assumed achieved outcomes:
- russian military embarrassment
- ukrainian morale boost
- allies improved faith in Ukraine determination and eventual victory
- open season for saboteurs to wreck havoc in Russia internally. expect more things to go BOOM over the next few months
---
Possible military significance to be achieved:
- Russia forced to make hard choices
- pull soldiers from other areas, which blunts their offensives
- no reserves, they'll be exhausted and thus will be easier to eliminate
- no benefit of prepared positions to assault from (i.e. mines, buildings)
- can be picked off in transit while redeploying in a hurry
- risks counterattacks on other fronts while redeploying
- pull unoptimal units such as rosgvardia national guard and conscripts
- inexperienced ill equipped soldiers will suffer great losses
- primarily just to slow down advance
- could lead to internal unrest
- general mobilisation
- absolutely no chance this will happen, no time to train or equip
- meat wave attacks to slow down ukrainian advance
- greatly increased risk of internal unrest
- do nothing and hope Ukraine is bogged down
- Ukraine captures as much territory as it can possibly hold with the limited amount of manpower they have, practically unchallenged
- moves ukraine border closer to critical targets
Possible political / strategic significance to be achieved:
- a nuclear power plant could be captured
- major city of kursk could be captured or at least sieged
- gas infrastructure to europe could be captured
- logistic supply lines to Belgorod (roads, railways) could be cut
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2024-09-08
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He has lots of practice dick-slapping pianos, you know it's gotta hurt when he dick-slaps your face.
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2024-09-08
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No they were going to kill Putin on the navy day out whatever
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2024-09-08
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That was Navy Day. https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-suspected-ukrainian-attack-navy-day-parade-state-tv-says-2024-08-06/
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2024-09-08
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It's not a coincidence. A massive armored assault like this needs air support and lots of it. If this were a NATO operation we'd have seen a swarm the like of which the world had never before seen since WW 2 pounding all Russian AAs and radars to parking lots.
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2024-09-08
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> I'm against war crimes
Immediately proposes to commit war crimes by kidnapping children. Makes total sense /s
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2024-09-08
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Probably not, considering there’s basically no indication they’re participating at all. The UAF is probably still working through the induction process & figuring out how to maximize value out of them without putting extra risk on their limited number of airframes.
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2024-09-08
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Well, NATO countries have been giving shit loads of small boats. I think Ukraine was to receive a dozen CB-90. And the US donated Mark IV boats as well.
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2024-09-08
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None. They won't nuke their own territory, and couldn't exploit any alleged advantage it supposedly would involve even if they did.
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2024-09-08
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I think "Russian so stupid" is a given at this point
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2024-09-08
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We have liberated Kursk...by vaporizing it!
-Putin
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2024-09-08
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The only air support they’ve been confirmed to have is helicopters carrying troops to Sudzha & and fucktons of drones. The Russians would be the first ones to tell us if suspected F-16s appeared.
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2024-09-08
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In honor of Ukrainians
https://i.imgur.com/jZ3dVRN.jpg
Reference: https://twitter.com/yasminalombaert/status/1821452232690188389
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2024-09-08
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Right. Nuking places in Ukraine is one thing. Nuking official Russian territory is another. Radiation would spread everywhere. There are more than political reasons not to use nukes. The territory will have to be abandoned for a long time.
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2024-09-08
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There have already been news about outcome. 2 boats covered, 2 boats tried to land 12 troops. Some got blown up on mines, some retreated after gunfire. 2 boats sunk, 10 people died for ukranians.
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2024-09-08
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According to Russian sources, battles for Malaya Lokhna, which was taken by Ukrainian forces, have started as of this morning.
https://x.com/noelreports/status/1821795085232574910?s=46
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2024-09-08
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