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Just another idiot
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-22-05
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For anyone paying attention you will have noticed that $ASTS shot up 68% today on over 1700% of normal volume. This is no mere flash-in the pan meme trash. The company signed a commercial agreement with $T (AT&T) announced yesterday on the 1Q earnings call. See here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240515925684/en/
Some Background:
This company is launching satellites to serve 5G wireless directly to unmodified cellphones. If you understand anything about radio frequency transmission (which none of you do, of course), you will understand that there are no easy shortcuts around antenna aperture. The geniuses at ASTS will win the race because they have just gone ahead and built the biggest possible antenna that they can possibly send into space. SpaceX is attempting this, but they will not be able to deliver the same or even similar service as ASTS. Their satellites are just to small.
The total addressable market for this company is literally anyone with a cellphone. (read: huge, trillions huge). They’ll sell the service to mobile network operators (MNOs) who will then sell you a roam anywhere package for some fixed monthly cost.
Why buy now:
Derisking is over, the company has proven they can deliver and they are beginning to launch the constellation this summer. The commercial agreement with AT&T is likely to be the first of many. If AT&T can get onboard, why can’t you?
There is a substantial amount of info at
r/astspacemobile
Speaking the language of WSB, see this post specifically: https://redd.it/1ctnu5d
Current price: $4.03
Price Target: $318 (+7800%)
EDIT: Up 12% after 8 minutes…
EDIT2: ASTS is up another 24% on 493% of normal volume before 11:30am. Get your tickets for the moon landing before it’s too late 🚀🚀🚀🚀
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-17-05
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ASTS seems to be going to the moon, but in the Metaverse scamland
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-22-05
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There's still a shit ton of risk here. I like the stock, and I went in big long ago. It's paying off now, but to say the risk is gone is silly.
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-30-05
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I live to serve 🫡
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-17-06
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I sold amc for about $900,000 profit. Lost it all 7 months later. My ex gf left me shortly after. and I said fuck USA and left to live in Thailand and Bali for a year 🥂
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-17-05
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Not sure how you lost it all
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-21-05
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Oh my gourd!
*I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-21-05
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Should have executed the contracts you’d own amc.
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-21-05
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Never sold cause I have no idea what I’m doing. Just going to let it ride till can buy a house one day
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-17-05
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I did, but also sold yesterday before yet another 7% pop - so, some profits. But I didn't see another huge gain incoming.
I think the tariffs and AI boom will require a lot of power. Whether that means FSLR goes to 330 or not, I genuinely have no clue. If you think so, I would buy shares. If you are just trying to play on a short-term bullish hype, then options. But after this run, maybe not too much, or even wait.
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-22-05
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 It's my flair too
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-25-05
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Sodi Pop wins
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-17-05
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-17-05
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-17-05
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Hey good job, good comeback !
You got short term memory I told you I don't DRS, but thanks anyway !
You should try acting a bit less like a jerk, I'm sure this simple change could do wonders to your life !
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-24-05
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Sure kid. Good luck with the bags. Soon the shares will be worth 10 million each!!
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-24-05
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-17-05
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Need a meme of copium made from crushed up memberberries!
Memberberries being the South Park "(Re)member how things used to be in the good days"?
Not talking about dangly personal bits usually exposed in the Wendy's parking lot, to pay for wife's alimony while she handles her boyfriend's member-berries.
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-20-05
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Ahahahahahahahahahaha
MUH SQUEEZE
AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-25-05
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I was genuinely curious, the responses convinced me that the bulls have it wrong. Either way this vote goes will be bearish for shareholders. The bulls presented only baloney here. They are under the impression that the shares are already allocated and will not appear on the balance sheet and will not result in losses or dilution, but the guy who worked at the sec confirmed they will appear as losses on the balance sheet. Go with your emotion but the reality is that Elon is going to use the shareholders and drive tsla into the ground.
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-21-05
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-17-05
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When a stock moves too fast, it gets halted for 5-10 minutes so that new buyers/sellers can provide additional liquidity. In this case, the stock was halted on the way down. Trading into a halt is either buying or selling right before the halt, counting the stock will resume trading higher or lower. This guy bought into the halt, betting the stock would quickly reverse the drop that caused the initial halt. He was wrong...
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-22-05
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-17-05
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Picking up the penny in front of the steamroller done successfully
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-17-05
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Bough sbux calls after earnings. Withdrawing most of the money only gambling with 2k from now on.
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-17-05
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Toke me 4 years just to get here,up down left right..
I never had luck with options, got burn a lot of time, most of this crap was day trading like and idiot, going on a cruise today and buying cruise stock as well lol.. good luck mofo till next time.
Time for some margarita and getting naked on the balcony.
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-17-05
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will i change my ways? probably not.
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-17-05
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Will post trades if requested
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-17-05
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-17-05
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Hope they hit
Earnings is the week after your expy. On the 28th
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-02-06
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'Nowhere near' is relative, of course. It's not going to happen tomorrow, or next week, or by the end of the year. Probably not even next year. But 2026? 2027? Buckle up, because he did get the 'ticking time bomb' part right.
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-21-05
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I am gonna continue my trading journey until I hit 100k in losses (never gonna happen cuz I’ll win it all back) (come on son)
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-17-05
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at what point do I retire from this? plz pump meme stocks
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-17-05
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it is better to have loved and lost than to never have loved at all
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-21-05
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This is the dumbest market. You have my sympathies
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-23-05
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Did you lose it all?
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-21-05
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When are your expiries?
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-21-05
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That’s insane I only picked target (which I’m regretting now) cuz my wife said it’s always slammed lol.
I only go on Amazon I refuse to go to a store anyone can’t stand going out and shopping.
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-20-05
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Good luck, it’s not going anywhere but market will market lol
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-24-05
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-18-05
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With Nvidia being 5% of spy, they’re the most important company during this ai rally.
What’s everyone’s thoughts on their earnings, will they beat or miss?
Which stocks would be the most impacted? Is there any positions you plan on opening before the earnings?
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-18-05
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-18-05
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-18-05
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Apparently happened more than a week ago, nobody posted about it here so here's the article:
>Palantir Technologies Inc . (NYSE:[PLTR](https://www.investing.com/equities/palantir-technologies-inc)) director Peter Thiel has recently sold a significant portion of his holdings in the company, according to the latest filings. Thiel, a renowned entrepreneur and investor, disposed of shares amounting to approximately $273.5 million in a series of transactions.
>The sales took place over three days, with prices per share ranging from $20.784 to $21.3303. On May 8, Thiel sold 6,285,833 shares at an average price of $21.3303. The following day, he sold an additional 1,669,411 shares at an average of $21.2601. The final sale occurred on May 10, where 5,000,000 shares were sold at an average price of $20.784.
# [Peter Thiel sells $273.5 million in Palantir stock](https://www.investing.com/news/company-news/peter-thiel-sells-2735-million-in-palantir-stock-93CH-3435634)
[](https://www.investing.com/news/company-news/peter-thiel-sells-2735-million-in-palantir-stock-93CH-3435634)
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-18-05
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Probably nothing.
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-18-05
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I don’t care what strikes you got. You just need to figure out if you want to lose it all or how much.
Any slip in guidance, the stock is tanking 5%.
Any hint of AI headwinds, it’s going down 10%.
When this moat everyone says they have creeps away, it’s 25%+
Now is not the time to be playing Nvidia earnings calls.
It’s put time and that’s not a trading strategy when you don’t know what you are doing.
EDIT: Glad you hit the calls boys! This did not make them cheaper. Mission failed.
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-18-05
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I’m down 50k already. Sold it all but now buying back in on a bearish spread for 5k and thinking if I should do more.
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-22-05
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💀
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-22-05
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[https://nypost.com/2024/05/16/business/jpmorgan-chase-ceo-jamie-dimon-warns-interest-rates-could-stay-high/](https://nypost.com/2024/05/16/business/jpmorgan-chase-ceo-jamie-dimon-warns-interest-rates-could-stay-high/)
“My view is whatever the world is pricing in for a soft landing, I think it’s probably half of that. I think the chances of something going wrong are higher than people think.”
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-18-05
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Nice. Pretty exciting to learn that there is a lot more to options and things you can do with then than just buying singles, isn't it?
I could probably come up with a list of topics for you to research if you need any more places to start.
Also, as a warning... I'm usually theta positive, but the market isn't really in a good spot to be selling a bunch. IV is way lower than actually volatility, and it's probably better to be gamma positive than theta positive.
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-01-06
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You're still holding these calls?
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-20-05
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There are 3 Chipotle locations near me and lately every time I go (to any of them) I leave feeling angry and disappointed.
More than 50% of their customers are millennial and Gen Z and they are 20% more likely than average to have incomes of >$125,000 (according to NY Post article). Is that this crew? Margins are also 16% which is crazy high for the restaurant biz.
Their stock performance has obviously been consistently great while the quality of the burrito has consistently gotten worse. I don’t think I’ve ever seen such a disconnect between stock performance and the quality of the product.
The reason I ask is because I think I’m gonna short it. Except for their diehards, I just don’t see how their customers can continue to choose to eat there.
Edit: Stock splits on June 6. Would short or buy puts after. Edit 2: Vote is June 6, stock split June 26 (thanks Derelict5432).
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-18-05
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Would rather eat at Moe’s.
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-20-05
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https://www.fool.co.uk/2024/05/18/michael-burry-just-bought-175000-shares-in-this-ftse-100-company/
I assume he is thinking short term oil up? How do we get to $150 a barrel and what else does that affect?
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-18-05
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Please explain like I am a regard
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-21-05
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-18-05
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The man can’t keep anything.
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-24-05
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Yea so we have some dilution potentially
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-06-06
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I guarantee you because daddy laxman by next earnings call will either get his shit together or be fired and grandpa Shultz will replace him as CEO again. Also this time of year is always a weak season for Starbucks. Usually fall and winter months business picks up quite a bit because of popular seasonal drinks and items. Buying SBUX calls now is literally free money. If I’m wrong I’ll let a random user that comments below fuck my OF girlfriend for free.
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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Already happened LOL 😆
Now watch as the apes pretends that they never said any of this, just like when RC filled to sell his shares of BBBY.
These dumbasses fools nobody anymore.
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-25-05
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All right, here me out. I have been studying in ~~Batman's~~ Bruce Wayne's cave and have come to an incredible conclusion. But first, But first, let’s established what the problem is; imagine this: I'm a highly regarded investor looking to limit my exposure to theta decay, want to hedge my bets with a much lower risk of 100% loss, want stupid perks some stupid companies give to "stock holders," and also have a somehow negative credit score and even Jarrad from behind Wendy's won't give me credit?
Let me introduce you to stock ownership. Have a bullish theory on a stock? You can just buy the stock. Did the stock go down immediately? Congratulations, you now still own the original amount of the stock that you bought. With inflation you probably even made money, just don't look at the number for literally a few months. Did the stock go up? So sorry you made a little less money. I'm so sorry that there might have been an overly complicated options play that you could have made more free money with.
Speaking of free money have you heard of something called dividends? I bought some shares of a company one time and then they just literally gave me money. It was actually a little weird. I had bought the stock and it immediately dropped 30 cents, but then the next day it went up like 8 cents and then a few days later I got 60 dollars deposited to my account. I forgot how many shares I had, but I bought several tendies with the 60 bucks.
TLDR: idk I made $60 buying shares.
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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Everytime I hear "All Right, hear me out" on WSB...it's an immediate OH BOY HERE WE GO....what now 😂
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-21-05
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#Happy cake day
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-21-05
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It's spelled cramher
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-21-05
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I made $10k this week(pic below) playing volatility on meme stocks with trailing stop losses. This is the first time I’ve ever seen green on my screen even tho I’m still down all time. What would you guys do this week to make that -12k back??Asking for a regard
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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13k into SMCI calls on Wednesday to 28k.
28k of SMCI puts on Thursday to 43k.
43k of SMCI puts on Friday to 104k.
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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Put 50k into your bank and give yourself a pat on the back, now full port the rest and keep it going
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-22-05
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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Seeing your 5/20 Put tells me everything I need to know. You just gamble with really 0 thought other than "I'm going to outsmart the market" SPY has been trending positive since October and a $6 drop would be so absurd right now that yeah, you refuse to sell on losers and sure do have a lot of them.
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-20-05
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Wrong board
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-21-05
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Finally hit on a big 3 month google call play. Gonna buy me a steak from the local Outback.
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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So this is how the story of most regards here goes - Put in some money - Get some ape first timer luck gains and try and replicate it for the next trade. Fail spectacularly but keep trying - End up losing most of your capital. Complain that you cannot afford any more SPY calls and REFILL your account.
See THATS your problem. Don't refill. If you're really good (and/or getting better as your ape brain is telling you), you should be able to convert $1 to $2. $2 to $4. $4 to $8 - You get the drift. You were dumb enough to lose the first 10k you put in. Now that additional 10k that you refilled is not giving you additional brains. Go and play with the leftover $3.5 and earn your way back up. And if you can't then thank me that your all time loss is just a fraction of your net worth as opposed to your entire net worth + all your + your wife's + your wife's boyfriends maxed out credit cards.
I am not sure whether to flair this as discussion or meme. Mods please guide me. Thank you for coming to my ted talk.
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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If Nvidia beats earnings expectations (and everyone seems bullish about it), I’m assuming that will boost the shares of everyone in the supply chain.
I don’t know enough about the supply chain to know which individual stocks to buy (ARM?), so…would right now be a good time to load up on SMH?
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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r/wallstreetbets
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post
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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Yeah, the musk fan has to resort to a personal attack. Figures.
You call a child "sir"? You must be an infant.
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-20-05
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People really believe the Cybertruck is going to outsell the Tacoma?
No wonder the stock is still over $100.
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-20-05
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I know nobody likes my stories, too many words but I'll leave this here.
Quantum chips used in cloud and AI for speed linked via a fibreoptic network so a "quantum Internet" a backbone in which everything else will attach to. Innovation in AI will be limited without quantum photonic chips. An Internet of cloud storage and AI processing.
I envisage chips progressing in technology so, they use less power improving battery performance by up to 4 times (already happening) and increasing speed of technology but there will be a limit in consumer tech due to the way in which consumer tech and cloud and AI processing will interact... but things such as quantum chips and a quantum Internet will fundementally alter the way we use technology and everything else will branch off of that quantum network.
In the future I think that AI will alter entertainment and the way we consume it ie you could ask Netflix for example to create a movie or TV series based on your preferences and basic story and it would create that entertainment for you, same with computer games, computer games is the next stage with movie like quality as your avatar moves through it. This will require fast Internet and quantum computers as well as cloud storage for processing and storage needs. There's no need for increased innovation in consumer computing we will use the cloud and AI for processing purposes, Microsoft views it the same way hence their 100 billion AI supper computer and cloud storage they will soon build.
Fibre can be faster than low earth orbit internet constellations currently... but that will change everything will be linked via it one day. The Chinese sky net model or Eutelsat integrating geosyncronous satelites into a multi layered constellation for fast data transmission across the globe are better models than starlink LEO. Huawai is working on VLEO constellation for 6G. But fibre integration for long distance cables will inevitable form part of it. A natural path as it'll eventually eradicate mobile phone mats and other infrastructure.
I only have a loose understanding of quantum computing, how else could you envisage our future and what could grow from a quantum computing network?
So from an investment perspective the future of chip innovation is limited due to the way in with everything will be linked, quantum computing taking over data processing and AI supercomputing with a limit in innovation reached with consumer tech. Using faster Internet to bridge the gap.
Consumer chip companies future advantage being in scalability and mass production. Intel is positioning itself so it can scale up innovating in mass production, are there any others like that? Because that takes years.
A diverging chip market with financial gain seen in mass produced chip manufacturing. Quantum computing will take more time, and linked to the big tech stocks like Microsoft, Google and Amazon who are developing their own quantum computers. Consumer tech will be cheaper data usage will go up and there will likely be some sort of addition to the bill for increased processing in data centres for AI apps that create tailor made content for you to view.
If photonic chips enter consumer tech they'll lag behind for decades due to the above model and only be driven by energy efficiency needs. But quantum computing photonic chips common place in cloud and AI processing sooner.
Photonic chips are faster and use less energy but wil always be more expensive than standard chips... Quantum computing photonic chips inevitable for cloud storage AND AI processing, generating an image on chat GPT can use as much power as 25 percent of a phone batteries power as a comparison examlle and the true reason all AI processing done in cloud due to power usage in processing and that barrier won't ever be overcome.
The true AI revolution won't occur until power usage reduced in the cloud and AI supercomputer . Hence massive investment incoming in AI super computers and cloud storage.
Energy efficiency and cost of faster chips being the reason there will be AI supercomputer, cloud storage using quantum photonic chips with chip development in consumer limited over the long term and a faster Internet bridge to connect the two.
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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I think I'm not taking advice from someone who's down $2k on the day.
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-21-05
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Even if Fed policy works, and prices for goods come down they are not in a vacuum. The reason people might “feel” the pressure of a looming recession despite better inflation readings may be because essential expenses remain inflated. I wonder if deflation in the current environment (things becoming wayyy cheaper) would even matter if the majority of your income is going toward regular expenses.
Today, I bought a bottle of olive oil that was 50%-300% more expensive than I have been used to in the pre pandemic era. Compound that on housing crises/bubbles, where people think they need to save every Penny to afford a home.
That feeling is enough to sway me from buying an 80” TV for $600 or even $500, and to consider such a purchase very frivolous. I find myself surfing Facebook marketplace place and thinking, man $200 for X, that’s way too much.
Can this mindset become a self-fulfilling prophecy with respect to the recession? Could this lead to some sort of deflationary spiral? Have there been examples of bolstered consumer spending without having some meaningful deflation on essential goods?
Edit: it’s clear I am conflating “lower inflation readings” with disinflation. High food and gas and essential goods will remain elevated, but *should not increase* at such a high rate as per lower inflation readings. How do you think this will affect consumer psyche? How has it affected yours? I used to be a frugal consumer, and now I’m 10x worse because I’m reminded every grocery bill, how expensive it is to survive.
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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Can’t comment on them because of my lack of knowledge. How much of the market share for instant food delivery do they own?
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-22-05
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Dear Investors
What would be a good and probable guidance at the NVDA earnings? I think they will of course beat earnings, but that would not be enough to rise for the stocks this time (my opinion).
1) Stock split? - If compared with Google and Amazon, they did a 1:20 split when the stock was in the 2000$ range. In such a comparison, a NVidia split is unlikely.
2) New products? IMO unlikely, they just announced a new chip earlier this year.
3) What about their SoundHound investment? The stocks are slightly growing. Maybe the tell anything new about their plans here.
4) Lead time decrease? A faster supply chain should lead to faster profits. IMO they improved here somehow, since they already did before.
Any further ideas or thoughts to the mentioned things?
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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Bringing back a WSB classic that was created by one of the members during the COVID bottom.
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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The next potential pandemic, Bird flu, has been on the horizon for a long time now. I have been thinking about which stocks are very cheap at the moment and would benefit disproportionately from this. I have found two titles for myself:
Abcellera (AI - pharmaceutical researcher) has already developed a vaccine together with Eli Lilly during Corona. The share is still worth 15% of the IPO and is debt-free with net cash of almost 1 billion dollars.
Valneva
Already has an approved vaccine against bird flu. This time, inactivated vaccines will be more in demand than MRNA vaccines. There was too much discussion about the side effects of the vaccines from Moderna, Biontech and AstraZeneca.
Pfizer acquired a 9 % stake in Valneva The purchase price was twice as high as the price Pfizer paid!
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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The ATB Take:
Amidst speculation over the timing of re-scheduling, it is easy to lose sight of the long-term investment opportunity cannabis presents. In the US, US$30bn in state-legal sales would need to more than triple to reach the value of the current market inclusive of illicit sales; in Canada, six years into legalization the market is still growing double-digits.
In "The Future of Cannabis" series, we invite investors to think about how the cannabis industry might look like years from today, and we start by using the tobacco industry as a framework for that. Were cannabis to follow tobacco's footsteps, what would this mean for valuations and business models?
We believe we would see (1) consolidation into global oligopolies (as of 2020, five tobacco companies made up 82% of cigarette sales globally, up from 43% in 2001), (2) outsourcing of cultivation to focus on manufacturing, marketing, and distribution, and (3) margin and ROl expansion (top tobacco companies increased their EBITDA margin from 17% 40 years ago to 41% in 2023).
**Assuming a tobacco-like consolidation occurs in cannabis over the next 15 years, we find that leading MOs/LPs-those handful of companies among the long-term winners--would find support for a 2024 EV/EBITDA multiple of over 40x (think about a present value EV of ~US$10b in the US and -C$420mm in Canada, and note that this excludes international markets or verticals other than cannabis).**
Our analysis reveals that Tier 1 MSOs/LPs that survive a shakeout period would stand to capture an outsized portion of the industry's long-term value like in a pareto distribution, therefore justifying an outsized valuation premium over the rest of the sector. In this instance, long-term investors should place even more emphasis on market leadership, strong fundamentals, and management teams with long-term orientation.
Part 2 of our series will draw parallels between cannabis and alcohol, and Part 3 will explore other variables and scenarios of how the global cannabis industry could evolve and where US and Canadian companies might intersect.
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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For those of you that held Nvidia prior to 2016; people that bought and held between inception date and 2016, what made you believe in the company so much to hang on tight and know you were investing with the right company? For over 16 years that stock barely moved. Let’s hear some different thought process here..
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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Well, it was 40 shares at like $50. So not a lot at the time.
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-20-05
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Can u check ur pm plz
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-08-06
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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you are still holding a position.. my bitcoin got looted
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-20-05
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You belong here.
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-20-05
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how do you read the graph and predict when there will be a boom or a plummet?
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-20-05
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Just do the opposite of what you did the last time, it can’t go wrong 🙂
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-20-05
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-21-05
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only being down \~$2k from 4 -5 years in the casino isn't too bad at all
of course this isn't counting vehicle expenses getting htere, drinks etc when there, perhaps taxi/uber fares, all the auxillary costs
but tha'ts not too bad for half a decade of gambling.
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-21-05
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Respect for this 1000% loss
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r/wallstreetbets
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comment
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-21-05
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[**https://www.cnbc.com/2024/05/19/soaring-debt-and-deficits-causing-worry-about-threats-to-the-economy-and-markets.html**](https://www.cnbc.com/2024/05/19/soaring-debt-and-deficits-causing-worry-about-threats-to-the-economy-and-markets.html)
Surging budget deficits have been driving the debt, and the CBO only expects that to get worse.
The agency forecasts a $1.6 trillion shortfall in fiscal 2024 — it is already at $855 billion through the first seven months — that will balloon to $2.6 trillion by 2034. As a share of GDP, the deficit will grow from 5.6% in the current year to 6.1% in 10 years.
“Since the Great Depression, deficits have exceeded that level only during and shortly after World War II, the 2007–2009 financial crisis, and the coronavirus pandemic,” the report stated.
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r/wallstreetbets
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r/wallstreetbets
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2024-19-05
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