text
stringlengths 0
23.7k
| label
stringclasses 4
values | dataType
stringclasses 2
values | communityName
stringclasses 4
values | datetime
stringclasses 95
values |
|---|---|---|---|---|
**Bull Thesis on $MARA: A Comprehensive Analysis**
Hey everyone, I want to share my bull thesis on Marathon Digital Holdings ($MARA). This analysis is divided into two parts: fundamentals and technicals. Let’s dive in!
**Fundamentals**
1. **Strong Earnings Potential**:
* **Estimated EPS**: Based on Q1 earnings of $1.3 per share, the trailing twelve months (TTM) EPS is estimated to be at least $4 per share.
* **Current Valuation**: With a current share price around $20, this gives $MARA a Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio of 5.
* **Potential Upside**: If investors apply the S&P 500’s minimum PE ratio of 15, this suggests a minimum potential price of $60 by the end of the year (EOY).
2. **Bitcoin Holdings and Mining Power**:
* **Bitcoin Holdings**: $MARA holds 18,000 Bitcoins on its balance sheet, which provides significant asset backing.
* **Mining Capacity**: The company currently has around 30 EH/s (exahashes per second) of mining power, with a target of increasing this to 50 EH/s by EOY. This expansion is expected to boost revenue and profitability.
**Technicals**
1. **Weekly Chart Analysis**:
* **5-Year Time Frame**: The stock is close to breaking out of a cup and handle formation with a neckline at $27.
* **Profit Target**: The projected profit target from this breakout is $50.
2. **Daily Chart Analysis**:
* **Year-to-Date (YTD) Performance**: On the daily chart, the stock appears to be forming a triple bottom with a neckline at $21.
* **Profit Target**: The profit target from this pattern aligns with the cup and handle neckline at $27.
* **Support and Risk Management**: The current price is around $19.50, which acts as a support level. This is a good point for setting a stop-loss to manage risk.
**Catalysts**
* **Bitcoin Price Movement**: A key catalyst is Bitcoin breaking the $70,000 mark (which is also its long term cup and handle neckline) , which would likely drive $MARA’s stock price higher.
* **Mining Reports**: Monthly mining reports showcasing increased production and efficiency will bolster investor confidence in the company’s performance targets.
**Historical Accuracy**
As some of you might remember, I was bullish on $MARA last December when it was trading around $20, predicting it would reach $30—and it did! You can check my post history for verification [https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/17oeiij/comment/k8lsrfx/](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/17oeiij/comment/k8lsrfx/)
**Timing**
Historically, $MARA tends to perform well in summer and winter. Therefore, I'm targeting the first week of June as my first profit point at $27 (I want to avoid trading the second week of June for the CPI and FOMC meeting) and then the first week of July as my last potential sell time at $35-$40, capitalizing on this cyclical pattern. Then anything below closing $19 as a sell out zone to manage my risk.
**Conclusion**
For me, this is an easy trade given the strong fundamentals and promising technical setup. I believe $MARA has significant upside potential, especially with the catalysts on the horizon.
What are your thoughts on $MARA? Do you see any additional catalysts or risks that I might have missed? Let’s discuss!
https://preview.redd.it/7rg018nu4f1d1.png?width=1290&format=png&auto=webp&s=be82ae181ebe4c9191d4a448e4e083a44b51d3ee
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-19-05
|
Great company that trade should go well !
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Nice works for me!
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
Yes, so probably a better long-term play. I’m just not sure about this short term summer trade.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
[https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trading-stocks-all-day-and-all-night-might-be-an-inevitability-for-investors-140152597.html](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trading-stocks-all-day-and-all-night-might-be-an-inevitability-for-investors-140152597.html)
Casino's always open.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-19-05
|
Not really new but I don’t always catch all the details. I’d rather just know who it is sense everyone else does. Not embarrassed that I didn’t know who this was and I’m definitely regarded enough with my option gambling to have been here a minute 😂
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Puts on life insurance Companies
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
That's the way the government makes money on U
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
**What is happening?**
* The Biden administration is pushing cannabis reform. Millenials and Zoomers are drinking less and using more Cannabis. [Reference 1](https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/millennials-generation-x-and-gen-z-are-all-unanimous-in-their-position-to-legalize-marijuana-827446897.html) | [Reference 2 ](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-05-31/gen-z-prefers-marijuana-or-shrooms-to-alcohol)
* In August 29, 2023, The Department of Health and Human Services (“HHS”) recommended that DEA reschedule marijuana to Schedule III. [Reference](https://www.icemiller.com/thought-leadership/hhs-releases-unredacted-recommendation-to-move-marijuana-to-schedule-iii-seven-key-takeaways)
* The DEA has just published an NPRM (Notice of Proposed Rulemaking) to re-schedule Cannabis from a Schedule 1 substance (no accepted medical use, high potential for abuse) to Schedule 3 (Accepted medical uses, low potential for abuse). [Reference](https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-submits-proposed-regulation-reschedule-marijuana) | [Actual document](https://www.dea.gov/sites/default/files/2024-05/Scheduling%20NPRM%20508.pdf)
**What are the consequences of this?**
* If moved to Schedule 3, although **NOT** federally legal, section **280E of the IRS code no longer applies**. This means companies will be able to **DEDUCT EXPENSES ON THEIR TAXES**. This is not an assumption, this is on page 89 of the document linked above. This has potentially massive Free Cash Flow implications for these companies. [Reference 1](https://www.reddit.com/r/weedstocks/comments/16bhzeq/impact_of_no_280e_on_fcf_for_msos/) | [Reference 2](https://twitter.com/WeedStreet420/status/1699107287636291873?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1699107287636291873%7Ctwgr%5E7393da30a92b2239ff6ff31a41fd3334e1588758%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redditmedia.com%2Fmediaembed%2F16bhzeq%2F%3Fresponsive%3Dtrueis_nightmode%3Dfalse) | [Forbes article from March](https://www.forbes.com/sites/danielmayo/2024/03/04/cannabis-tax-frenzy/?sh=37f0a1c43663)
https://preview.redd.it/s7bykozrze1d1.png?width=1162&format=png&auto=webp&s=8c4d5ffe4eb4553c07c692a23c59c070cab577db
**DESPITE NOT BEING ABLE TO DEDUCT EXPENSES IN THEIR TAXES**:
* GTI had Free Cash flow of 6.6 Million three quarters ago.
* Free Cash flow of 34.6 Million two quarters ago.
* Free Cash Flow of 69.3 Million last quarter.
* GTI is profitable with Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.33 three quarters ago
* EPS of 0.05 two quarters ago
* EPS of 0.15 last quarter
* $223 Million in Cash versus $175 Million in current liabilities as of last Quarter
* [GTI Financials - Yahoo Finance](https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/quote/GTII.CN/financials)
* GTI is buying back $100 Million dollars worth of its shares, $40kk down $60kk to go. [Press Release (under Capital Allocation)](https://investors.gtigrows.com/investors/news-and-events/press-releases/press-release-details/2024/Green-Thumb-Industries-Reports-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Year-2023-Results/default.aspx#:~:text=In%20September%202023%2C%20the%20Board,million%20shares%20for%20%2439.9%20million)
* GTI is the top holding of the AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF at 23.39% of holdings as of last Friday - [Reference](https://twitter.com/junglejava1/status/1791611842000802146)
* GTI is diversified across the US, operating 20 manufacturing facilities, 92 open retail locations and operations across 14 states.
* GTI has arguably the best branding and online presence amongst its peers. Look at their [website](http://gtigrows.com) and [Instagram](https://www.instagram.com/gtigrows)
**What are some risks and common misconceptions regarding the move to Schedule 3 and GTBIF?**
* Contrary to popular belief, the move to Schedule 3 **does NOT open the door to credit card transactions and large institutional capital** (Big banks) - [Reference](https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20240518248/card-payments-remain-a-challenge-for-legal-cannabis-as-major-banks-avoid-the-sector-changing-classification-wont-help)
* For the same reason, it is uncertain and unlikely the move to Schedule 3 could mean uplisting. I don't need to tell you that uplisting would be an insane surge of volume going from the CSE to the NYSE or NASDAQ.
* Ben Kovler, the CEO, is a bit unhinged on [Twitter](https://twitter.com/Bkov9), for better or worse.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-19-05
|
[View Post](https://new.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/post-viewer/1cvwwf9)
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-19-05
|
Is nvda gonna go up or fall before earnings
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Probably received approval or something but thats an ultra microcap at 4.3m market cap so this comments gonna get deleted for sure
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Looks like it was too late, the rumor was true
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Googl dam. Why is it up a lot
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
It’s all about Nvidia this week. Let’s go!!!
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Me too but its up 15% today! Lol 
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
Sorry buddy
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-22-05
|
Where to buy calls?
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-19-05
|
this is a more correct take on it, plus an easy way for kickbacks
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Started with 1.5k and traded up to 50k profit then lost almost all of it on meme stocks lol. Ive withdrawn around 19k so still profit but I only have 2.5k to trade with now
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-19-05
|
Plays recently: Basically just HIMS shares/long calls
Plays for the most part this year : When SPY was taking HIMS boner pills, I was doing like 3 week out ITM calls and taking pretty solid gains, stop around when SPY started being gay, hence the dip in my chart as most of my port transitioned to le gay shares.
This is just YTD, gain technically if you count tax write offs over two years, but realistically I’m down. All time in comments since I’m not a pussy + current positions
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-19-05
|
Minimal respect, regard. As for the boat, don’t accidentally “jump.”
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
It's where the real money is at
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-19-05
|
|
Analysts at Goldman Sachs estimated in a recent research note that every percentage point increase in the overall U.S. tariff rate would increase core consumer prices by roughly 0.1%. The one-time increase would drop out of annual inflation statistics after a year.
Even if businesses end up absorbing some or most of the tariff, economists still see that imposing a cost. Firms faced with higher prices might have to lay off workers or hold off on expansions. That could sap overall growth and ultimately still affect consumers, though some more than others.
The topic, usually consigned to the academy, is spilling onto the presidential campaign trail, as President Biden and rival Donald Trump jockey over trade policy. With trade barriers likely headed higher under either man, it also has consequences for economic performance and inflation in the U.S.
More details in article by WSJ:
Tariffs Push Up Costs, but Not Always Inflation https://www.wsj.com/articles/tariffs-push-up-costs-but-not-always-inflation-fa2e828b
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-19-05
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-19-05
|
|
Good evening gents, writing to you from the EST timezone and dreading work tomorrow. Soon my option trading will free me from the corporate rat race.
Robinhood (HOOD) reported earnings last week: Actual EPS: $0.18 (expected EPS: $0.05)
I recently bought HOOD shares before earnings and then again after EPS beat. I am so horny for HOOD and actually listened to the earnings call. I thoroughly enjoyed hearing Vlad & Co. talk about their recent success with Robinhood gold, IRA match, 24hr trading, crypto, RH Gold Credit card, upcoming futures trading, and more.
What stood out to me was their recent growth in net deposits and gold subscription growth. What's funny is, that I recently bought Robinhood Gold and then bought HOOD shares thinking many idiots like myself probably bought gold as well (anticipating an increase in subscriber count on their earnings call)
EPS call Highlights:
* Robinhood Gold's credit card has over [1 million](https://www.nasdaq.com/press-release/1-million-users-join-the-waitlist-for-robinhoods-new-gold-credit-card-within-a-month) users on the waitlist within a month of announcement. The card offers 3% cash back on all purchases, RH Gold saw subscriptions soaring by 42% YoY to [1.7 million](https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/robinhood-makes-headway-beyond-trading-2024-05-09/). The program's success reflects the company's diversified and robust subscription revenue strategy.
* **Successful at transitioning from a net loss of $511 million to a net income of $157 million**
* RH Gold subscription growth: "In Q1 \[2024\], we grew Gold subscribers to 1.7 million, **up 42%**, or 500,000 from last year. This momentum has continued into Q2 as we added another 140,000 Gold subscribers in April, more than half of our Q1 growth"
* Net deposits up **65% YoY (130billion+ assets under custody),** with strong momentum going into next quarter
* "We are a technology company" - Vlad
MACRO: An estimated $68 trillion is expected to be transferred from Baby Boomers to their heirs by 2030, marking the largest wealth transfer in history.
* Baby Boomers, born between 1946 and 1964, currently hold a significant portion of wealth in the United States. As they age, their wealth is increasingly being passed down to younger generations, particularly Millennials
With crypto and option trading volume at record highs, millennials are favoring more progressive (and "instant") fintech products such as Robinhood, Webull, Coinbase etc.
I believe that Robinhood has a tight grip on the culture of investing – once millennials "receive" the wealth transfer they will be more inclined to deposit funds into Robinhood ((note: I'm sure a lot of folks will still keep their legacy (Schwab, Fidelity etc.) accounts open))
Positions: Two option contracts I bought before earnings –
https://preview.redd.it/85g234gn3h1d1.jpg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=95072b018afeb091a85f58c7fbf226738c4e05b5
+ I own shares in my Schwab account at an average cost basis of \~18$
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
With all of Reddit's recent news and releases, I wanted to write a post detailing Reddit's monetization efforts.
**Reddit Awards**
Reddit recently re-released awards, this time allowing people to react to posts with awards that are actually redeemable for money. Dubbed the contributor economy.
The model is supposed to follow something like Twitch where viewers can donate subs or bits to creators with quality content.
In theory, I think it's a great idea. I don't think we'll see the same interactions as we do on Twitch, where viewers primarily support their favorite streamers. But I do see a world where the contributor economy grows for things like: community fundraisers, donations to artists, etc.
The issue is that Reddit has done so little marketing for how the awards systems works, that hardly anyone knows how it works. If you look at the popular posts of the day, posts that have 50k upvotes might have 1 or 2 awards at most. Some of them do have awards, but most of them tend to be from the legacy gold system, where the awards aren't actually convertible to money.
Another issue is that the awards actually suck. I bought $50 in awards to test out the feature, and the images/emojis are actually terrible.
I see a world where these awards actually become an extremely profitable revenue stream, obviously not even close to Ads, but the feature in it's current state was extremely underwhelming.
**Ads**
I think Reddit's doing a great job with their advertising platform. Contrary to popular belief, I think Reddit actually has an excellent product for advertisers. Communities are quite neatly labeled, and advertisers can target the audience quite easily compared to other platforms.
They are doing a great job with marketing and building out a service center. I think it will continue to be a >90% revenue stream for Reddit as it grows.
The hard part is getting market share from companies that have historically advertised on Facebook, Instagram, etc.
Optimistically Reddit could grow this into a $10b ARR business within the next 5 years.
**Partnerships and Data Licensing**
Obviously with the growth in AI investment, Reddit is uniquely positioned to benefit a ton from this. There's no other platform on the planet with this much uniquely labeled current human interactions. Companies building AI, and perhaps other industries like Finance would invest in Reddit's data.
I think this could optimistically become a $2b ARR business in the next 5 years.
**How does this affect market cap?**
It all depends on how quickly these monetization efforts grow. In Q1, we saw a 50% yoy increase in revenue. If somehow, someway we that yoy increase hits 100%, we could see a market cap of 20-50X revenue. So if Reddit makes $2b next in 2025, and $4b in 2026, we could see a market cap increase of up to $200b.
I think that Reddit's monetization efforts are still in it's nascency. It could take 1 to 2 years for them to really start to explode. In which case, it's highly possible that Reddit hovers around the $10-$15b range.
But I truly think that Reddit is a generational platform, and you'll rarely get the opportunity to invest in a company with this much product success that is still in the early stages of monetization.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
High short interest, undervaluation, and positive technical indicators suggest this stock might be ready for a significant move.
Working on a full report tomorrow where we’ll dive deep into:
* Key Technical Indicators 📊
* Valuation Metrics vs. Peers 💹
* Growth and Financial Analysis 📈
* Analyst Ratings and What They Mean for KSS 🧐
Don't take my word check out yourself.
Our first step is to do a quick trend analysis. We prefer to use the Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) because it incorporates both volume and price, giving us a more accurate market sentiment.
The current price of $25.18 is higher than both the 50-day and 200-day VWMAs, indicating bullish momentum. The RSI of 53.25 suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, while the ADX of 13.63 indicates a weak trend, but with the potential for strengthening.
Our view is the stock is being overly punished for lower revenue growth and accordingly is trading at a significant discount to its peers.
Good luck and happy trading.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
We need actual stores that sell clothes. Buying online is impossible, nothing fits right and I need to see clothes in person to judge quality and fit/comfort. I wouldn't bet too hard against apparel retailers
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
|
They better fucking fix this. My whole wardrobe is UA. I can’t handle having to find a new style.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
They're too busy being cotsco guys eating double chonk chocolate cookies
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
What an idiot.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
I still have some UA clothes from a decade ago that are holding up beautifully. You can really see the quality difference from 10 years ago vs 5 years ago vs now.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
I bought UA trainers last year for the first time
They lasted 11months before the sole on the left was coming off
Will be avoiding in future
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Everyone LOL. I do not recall anyone i know ever wearing anything from Under Armour.
Not sure why anyone would when Nike and adidas are so much better. Even UA's logo is crappy LOL.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Under armour makes the best shoes
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
I'm still kind of annoyed I had to partially move on from "non-branded clothes" to clothes with a logo on them. If I'm going to wear a logo then I want to be paid for it.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
I miss Payless Shoes.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
As the article pointed out, he has always been on the board and came back as CEO now after firing the previous CEO (who Plank had picked to be the CEO).
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
Had a few patagonia casual shorts and they either didn’t fit right or didn’t look as nice. Their board shorts are great and my go to for swimming tho.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
Boeing started supplying Used Serviceable Material (USM) for the Bell 212 model helicopter in September 2023, which is the exact model helicopter that the Iranian president (Ebrahim Raisi) was in at the time of the accident.
The Parent Company of Bell is Textron Inc. ($TXT).
Source: https://www.bellflight.com/support/maintenance/spares
https://services.boeing.com/news/bell-textron-boeing-usm-parts-agreement
https://www.firstpost.com/world/us-made-bell-212-missing-helicopter-carrying-irans-president-a-sturdy-workhorse-in-the-air-13772588.html
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
New theory: All Boeing crashes are false flag operations to make this appear to be a genuine accident
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
I liked it in Apocalypse Now
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
There's a lot of chatter over OTCs uplisting, Canadian companies acquiring MSOs such as SNDL, CGC, and now TRLY with their recent dilution aimed at expansion, but there has been no talk about a company with one of the best big tobacco backers in the game. Enter Cronos Group.
Altria, $MO, the 80 billion dollar tobacco giant, purchased 45 percent of Cronos in 2019.
https://investor.altria.com/press-releases/news-details/2019/Altria-Becomes-Largest-Shareholder-in-Cronos-Group-a-Leading-Global-Cannabinoid-Company/default.aspx
They purchased this portion of Cronos at a much higher valuation than it currently sits, buy they remain very invested in Cronos, looking to expand it into a strong US player. In their 2023 investor presentation, they mention on slide two that turning Cronos into a strong US contender is a high priority. What they've been waiting on is federal changes. Well, here we are now.
Last year, there rumors that Cronos was looking to sell the company to Curaleaf.
https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/altria-backed-cannabis-producer-cronos-explores-sale-sources-2023-07-06/
Although that didn't manifest, it is interesting for a number of reasons.
A) Cronos is sitting on a ton of cash they got from the Altria deal. They have more cash on hand than anyone in the cannabis sector. Over 800 million dollars.
B) with that cash, Cronos has the ability to strengthen the balance sheet of any player that absorbs them.
C) This part is HUGE: Altria's deal with Cronos gives Cronos exclusive rights to Altria's expansion in the cannabis sector. Altria cannot do anything cannabis related without going through Cronos.
If Curaleaf, or another big player, for example, wanted to do business with Altria, they would have to acquire Cronos.
So I see a few different scenarios possibly playing out here.
1. Altria aggressively builds up Cronos without adding to their current share position. They already own over 40 percent, so it benefits them greatly if Cromos expands in a strong way in the US. Cronos has a ton of cash to acquire MSOs and with Altria's guidance they will become a major player. I could even see a reverse merger where Pharmacann merges with Cronos to become one entity. Cronos purchased a 10 percent stake in Pharmacann a while back and Pharmacann has put off their IPO plans for a couple of years now. I would also look out for some sort of transaction including Gotham Green Partners considering they have the CEO of Gotham on their board.
2. Altria decides to just buyout the rest of Cronos. This could be a cash deal or stock exchange. It would certainly be at a higher marketcap valuation than it currently sits. This would be great for anyone holding CRON shares and great for MO investors long term.
3. A company like Curaleaf decides to acquire Cronos to obtain the ability to work with Altria. This would have to be a stock deal and would be dilutive to the larger company, but they do it to acquire the cash reserves to fix their balance sheet and to work with Altria.
4. Scenario 3 happens and then in addition, $MO buys out the entire new entity.
There is going to be a lot of M&A in this sector in the company months and years. Big players have been waiting on rescheduling news to make their moves. The next few months the first few dominos wil probably fall.
All in all, Cronos somehow convinced a big tobacco company to give them an exclusive deal. This was a bad move on Altria's part. they either need to buy their way out of this or have another player buy their way out, or they need to help rapidly expand Cronos to turn it into a thriving business instead of a giant pile of cash company. No matter what, I believe there is an arbitrage here for people investing in the stock.
There is also a ton of incentive for Altria or Curaleaf to buy them out ASAP, as the cannabis sector is going to have richer premiums by the month now.
I am long $cron and I'm not a financial advisor.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Something’s still going on if they don’t let buy orders over 20%
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Always has been. 🧑🚀🔫🧑🚀
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
I don't pay fees with IBKR. Stocks anyway. What type of account do you have?
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
"Not really, but that's alright. Next caller!" - Jimmy Shill
*I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
How the mighty have fallen.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
i Am NoT a RoBoT 🤖
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-23-05
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
|
They ran
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
American University students in mourning. Anti-fog protests are being discussed, but division remains whether the colonizer is fog, or mountains.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
At least he went down with a bang
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
No clue honestly. It's about 2-3 years old at least.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
|
[https://apnews.com/article/india-elections-climate-change-disasters-voting-politics-810b9038bc40209d640e1ea9b96c2d7a](https://apnews.com/article/india-elections-climate-change-disasters-voting-politics-810b9038bc40209d640e1ea9b96c2d7a)
Due to an increasingly dry climate, the agriculture and fishing industry in much of India is struggling to stay afloat. Billions of dollars of damage have come as a result of floods and droughts, and the Indian government isn't able to allocate the resources or afford the costs. With the situation getting worse, many farmers aren't able to protect their crops and Indian agriculture doesn't have a sustainable future ahead of itself.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
|
Bullish af
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Iranish
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Skibideez nuts lmfao gottem
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Finally some good news linked to Boeing!
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
You're implying that the dead guy being president was somehow relevant in him being a contender for the supreme seat. 🤦♂️🤷♀️
>And he was closer to the front of the line than the back of the line.
Lol. Says you.
>Writing off his death as a "nothing burger" is presumptuous to say the least.
It is. In Iran, nothing matters but the supreme leader. He can sack and overrule anyone. You dont know that, you're clueless.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
He was going to buy 75 mil shares of AMC word on the street.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
According to WSB. So I bought some 16x oil certificates (europoor) and let's just say it didn't play out like I hoped it would.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
The market does not care.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
Nvidia earnings come out post market on Wednesday. They beat their past 4 earnings and past performance always predicts future results. Easy 35% gain for sure. The calls are NOT priced in. My schwab account aka my life savings is almost fully maxed out on margin leverage on nvidia and nvidia 2x etf w about a 3x total leverage on the portfolio. Buying calls in my robinhood too. Jensen Huang will not let us down.
If you disagree with me you are regard and hate making money.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Puts and call for nvda hace already been overbought
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Wait there’s a 2x NVDA ETF, with options?
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Going to fit in just fine.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
I wonder what happens when a company is already super hyped going into earnings….
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
If they miss, we crash. Very unlikely. The more likely outcome is gap up 20-30%
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Nvidia is circumventing trade restrictions and supplying chips to Russia. Bullish or bearish? On one hand bombing Ukraine is wrong but the demand for Nvidia chips is strong.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Nah. A baby bump. The bulls will scrap their knees and then we go back to the SPY chop
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
|
Justin needs human skin to put on his AI 🤖
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
Nvidia to the MOON
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-22-05
|
My dog was bought at peak recession in Nov. ‘09. I swear he is a fucking living representation of the economy. 2020 gets cancer big time thought he was gonna die.. Nope.
He has surprised each and everyone of us how long he has lived. I believe he will die in the next recession. The fact that he is still hanging on is absurd. He’s a 15 y/o golden retriever and still jumps up like a goddamn pup. Just like our economy. I’ll buy another dog to predict the next recession. Thank you 🫡
Great dog btw. Bearish bets on his life would not have paid off but at this point it’d be a miracle. Like our economy holding on another full 2 years.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
The death of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi introduces significant challenges, given his administration's stringent policies, aggressive foreign stance, and ongoing economic sanctions. This event could worsen internal power struggles and social unrest, similar to past protests. Additionally, Iran's relations with the West, particularly concerning the nuclear deal (JCPOA), might become more strained, potentially stalling sanctions relief and impacting the fragile economy.
Market Implications:
Energy Sector
Iran is a major player in the global oil market. Any instability within the country could lead to concerns about oil supply disruptions, which typically result in increased oil prices. Companies like ExxonMobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX) could see significant movement as oil prices respond to the news. Additionally, WTI Crude Oil futures might experience heightened volatility.
Defense and Security Stocks
Geopolitical uncertainty often leads to increased defense spending, particularly in regions close to the epicenter of the instability. Companies such as Lockheed Martin (LMT) and Northrop Grumman (NOC) could benefit from this increased demand. These firms provide advanced military technology and defense systems that are likely to see higher orders from both the U.S. and its allies in the Middle East.
Middle Eastern Markets
Regional markets, especially in countries like Saudi Arabia and the UAE, could experience increased volatility. The Tadawul (Saudi Stock Exchange) and the Dubai Financial Market might see fluctuating investor sentiment. ETFs that track these markets, such as the iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF (KSA), could be impacted by changes in regional stability and investor risk appetite.
Safe-Haven Assets
In times of geopolitical uncertainty, investors often flock to safe-haven assets. Gold, represented by SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), and U.S. government bonds are typical beneficiaries. Increased demand for these assets can drive up their prices, providing a hedge against the broader market volatility.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
You've missed the ligma analysis
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
ligma?
*I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Ligma balls!!! Lolololololololll
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Ligma?
*I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Lol if you believe that...
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
It was "Clouds In Air"
Undoubtedly collaborated with data from the "Meteorological Observations and Storm Surveillance for Atmospheric Data"
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
Yawns...these foos barely have internet.
NothingBurger
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
Yawns...these foos barely have internet.
NothingBurger
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
|
Nah Boeing didn't assassinate him... he just unfortunately stepped into a helicopter made by Boeing.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
*Pa!* Half of your portfolio is gone.
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Is Boeing just the illuminati?
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
"WTF", says AMD
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
His face looks like he’s trying to say “wait, you’re saying I’m dead?”
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
https://www.newsweek.com/iranian-president-raisi-helicopter-crash-bell-212-american-1902594
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
this is shit posting. obviously not made by BA. it’s another american company https://www.newsweek.com/iranian-president-raisi-helicopter-crash-bell-212-american-1902594
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-21-05
|
Sharing my research with anyone interested in statistics. Any feedback is welcome. What do you guys think 2024 will look like?
Sometimes you wonder if it's just that easy. So far, the answer seems to be yes. It has only happened twice since 1948: when Q4 (Oct-Nov-Dec) of the previous year is up 10% or more, and the following Q1 (Jan-Feb-Mar) is also up 10% or more, the S&P 500 ends the year with double-digit gains.
Some may argue that a sample size of two is small, while others might say these are rare and powerful events that set the stage for continued growth. In six months, we'll have our answer.
* In 1985, Oct-Nov-Dec saw a total gain of 16.04%. In 1986, Jan-Feb-Mar added another 13.07%. The rest of the year? Up 14.62%.
* In 2011, Oct-Nov-Dec were up 11.15%. In 2012, Jan-Feb-Mar gained 12.00%. The rest of the year? Up 13.41%.
* In 2023, Oct-Nov-Dec were up a total of 11.24%, and in 2024, Jan-Feb-Mar are up 10.16%. Year-to-date, the market is up 11.18%.
Will 2024 achieve the hat trick? Could this be why the market has been so bullish? Could it really be just that easy???
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
I can’t help but read this comment in Trumps voice, the syntax is perfect
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
comment
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
ITM calls are way better I think, or is that regarded beyond belief?
Look at $MARA calls dec20th 2024.
If I buy the ITM call at $5, I pay $1,495 per contract.
If I exercise let's say in a month at $22, I pay another $500 so total $1,995 for $2200 worth of stock ($ 205 profit)
If I stick with OTM options like the dec20th 2024 call at 21, I pay $635
If I want to exercise at $22, it will cost me another $2100, for just $2200 stock, so I loose $500...
​
https://preview.redd.it/gr2ll1jnyj1d1.png?width=1394&format=png&auto=webp&s=8061a5db3fbd0318349edc0ee97122542ae32d9e
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
post
|
r/wallstreetbets
|
2024-20-05
|
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.